-
Comment -
Just proves you Yanks are masters at settling for mediocrity...
According to a new ABC/Wash Post poll, Trump's tops the Republican primary field leading his nearest competitor by 10%. Here are some of the contents of the poll:
- 32% Trump.
- 22% Carson.
- 10% Rubio.
- 7% Bush.
- 6% Cruz.
- 5% Fiorina, and the rest got 3% or below.
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/donal...ry?id=34599211
Donald Trump Leads in Expectations, Shows Strength on Attributes (POLL)
Donald Trump leads the Republican presidential field in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, not only in vote preferences but in expectations as well -– a remarkable feat for the non-politician who’s surprised the GOP establishment with his staying power as well as his support.
Trump has leveled off with backing from 32 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents who are registered to vote, easily enough to retain his frontrunner status. Fellow outsider Ben Carson follows with 22 percent, also flat this month after sharp summertime gains.
Notably, even more leaned Republicans -- 42 percent -- say they expect Trump to win the GOP nomination for president. And given a list of six potential nominees, 43 percent pick Trump as having the best chance to win the general election just more than a year from now.
See PDF with full results here.
Trump also fares well on many key attributes. Nearly half of leaned Republicans -- 47 percent -- view him as the strongest leader; 39 percent think he'd be best able to handle immigration; 32 percent feel he is closest to them on the issues; and 29 percent say he “best understands the problems of people like you.” In each case he leads the other top-five contenders for the nomination, Carson, Marco Rubio, Jeb Bush, Ted Cruz and Carly Fiorina.
Trump has weaknesses nonetheless. More view Carson as the most honest and trustworthy (33 percent vs. 21 percent for Trump), and Trump trails Bush in having the best experience (31 vs. 23 percent). While 19 percent say Trump has the best personality and temperament to serve effectively as president, that compares with a similar 24 percent for Carson.
Trump and Bush are particularly weak in another measure in this poll, produced for ABC byLanger Research Associates. Roughly equal numbers of leaned Republicans say the more they hear about Trump the less they like him, compared with liking him more, 45 vs. 47 percent. Albeit not a statistically significant result, Bush goes numerically underwater in this gauge, 47-41 percent.
Compare that to Carson: Sixty-four percent say as they hear more about him they like him more, vs. just 18 percent who like him less, a vast 46-point net positive. Scores for Rubio, Fiorina and Cruz also are net positive
on this measure by 23, 17 and 8 points, respectively.
Horserace
For all the campaigning under way, the overall race for the GOP nomination looks to be on pause, with essentially no change in candidate support since last month. That reflects a loss of momentum for Trump and Carson alike. Still, among their opponents only Rubio cracks the double digits, and just barely, with 10 percent.
In addition to his appeal to anti-immigration Republicans, Trump’s candidacy is very much bolstered by desire in the party for a political outsider. Republicans and Republican-leaning independents by 57-39 percent say they’re looking for someone from outside the political establishment rather than someone with political experience – drastically different from the 21-76 percent division on this issue among leaned Democrats. And Trump wins 41 percent support from registered leaned Republicans looking for an outsider, vs. 18 percent from those who prefer political experience.
Trump also continues to garner greater support among less educated potential voters -– 46 percent among those who haven’t gone beyond high school, vs. 23 percent among those who’ve attended college. And he’s still more popular among men than women, with 37 vs. 27 percent. Indeed white men without a college degree (leaned Republicans overwhelmingly are white) are among his strongest groups in voter preference and on issues and attributes alike.
Trump also does particularly well among leaned Republicans who oppose the Trans-Pacific Partnership, a trade agreement he, too, opposes. He’s backed by 45 percent of its critics vs. 21 percent of its supporters.
Further, Trump is maintaining his support among groups where it might not be expected -– for example, he’s backed by a third of evangelical white Protestants, “very” conservative leaned Republicans and Southerners alike. He has 36 percent support in non-urban areas, vs. 24 percent in cities.
Groups
These results also are reflected in perceptions of candidate attributes. Men, those with less education, those who prefer a political outsider and opponents of the Trans-Pacific Partnership generally are more apt to rate Trump positively.
In one potential trouble spot for Trump, very conservative Republicans –- a key GOP group –- are less likely than “somewhat” conservatives to view him as the strongest leader of the lot, although he leads on this attribute in both groups, picked as strongest leader by 40 percent of strong conservatives and 52 percent of somewhat conservatives.
Additionally, just 14 percent of very conservatives think Trump's the most honest and trustworthy; 40 percent say it's Carson. And while very conservative leaned Republicans say by 53-35 percent that the more they hear about Trump the more they like him, that swells to 78-10 percent for Carson.
Methodology
This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone Oct. 15-18, 2015, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,001 adults, including 423 leaned Republicans. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 points for the full sample and 5.5 points for leaned Republicans, including the survey’s design effect. Partisan divisions are 30-24-39 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents.
The survey was produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates of New York, N.Y., with sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York, N.Y. See details on the survey’s methodology here.
Not something to brag about...Comment -
<small>2016 Republican Nominee - Republican National Convention</small> Mon 7/18 901 Jeb Bush is Republican Nominee <input id="editx" name="M1_0" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> +190 8:00AM 902 Field wins Republican Nomination <input id="editx" name="M2_0" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> -270 Mon 7/18 903 Marco Rubio is Republican Nominee <input id="editx" name="M1_1" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> +200 8:00AM 904 Field wins Republican Nomination <input id="editx" name="M2_1" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> -280 Mon 7/18 905 Donald Trump is Republican Nominee <input id="editx" name="M1_2" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> +425 8:00AM 906 Field wins Republican Nomination <input id="editx" name="M2_2" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> -675
There is only one reason 5Dimes still has Trump at only +475 to win.
The lights are burning late tonight in the suites of the establishment tonight.
For not since Sen. Barry Goldwater won the California primary in 1964
have their prospects appeared so grim.
They wanted Bush now they'll back almost anyone not named Trump and they have a lot of money
to produce negative advertising in an attempt to bring Trump down. That's why 5 Dimes is hesitant
to produce odds with Trump at the top. They think the establishment might still prevail at the end.
I disagree completely.
I for one would certainly stay home rather than have the establishment forcefeed us to vote
(while holding our nose) for one of their handpicked stooges. We are done with that.
At this juncture America could not have created
a leader more suited for this moment in history than Don Trump.
6/18/15 2:11pm $25.00 $500.00 Pending 7/18/15 8:00am Politics Other Sports 905 Donald Trump is Republican Nominee +2000* <small>vs</small> Field wins Republican Nomination Comment -
Really, what policies did Trump articulate so well that you as a college grad are so enthusiastic about. I have yet to hear him say anything of substance about anything. He wants to build a wall, he wants a completely unworkable tax policy btw a policy he hasn't spoken about since that first day. And actually some of his comments are almost socialistic in nature. I can't understand how strong right wing people are committed to him. Maybe it has to do with his very first comments and they were very racial, extremely racial about immigrants. BTW, those Mexican immigrants are now very negligible.
I would ask you and Dwightie and Brooks what is the enthusiasm. I will only get an intelligent answer from you, blah blah blah from Dwightie and bs from Brooks.Comment -
Many reasons I'm for Trump:
1) I'm not a doctrinaire Repubican though always when I voted I did so for the Republican candidate
for POTUS. I was so sickened by Bush's Iraqi indulgences that I didn't vote in 2004. Trump's divergence
from Republican or conservative orthodoxy doesn't bother me at all. In fact I like the fact that he's
against a no-fly zone in Syria and has a conciliatory attitude toward Russia. His tax plan is not a radical change
like some of his opponents & he actually intends to get more contributions out of the top 1%, really not a bad
idea.
2) I like his two major positions a) trade deals b) immigration policies. .
3) Finally & the initial reason that I bet on Trump early on was that we met up
chasing girls in the singles bars of NY city.
We became pretty good friends from 1969 to 1971. Maxwell Plum's on
63rd & 1st was the main attraction. One time Trump
told me there was a new place he heard about & wanted to check it
out. It was called the 'Hippopotumus" When there was
a line at maxwell's waiting the bouncers at the front would always
let me jump the line & walk right in, same with Trump.
So we went there & got pretty pissed off that they wouldn't let us in.
Trump & I left but not before Trump told the bouncers their something like
'You realize who you didn't let in, I'm Donald Trump, remember that name.' note that
Trump was a complete unknown at that time & I had just a hint that
his station in life to reach for the stars was no higher
than mine. He was braggert but in a nice way & when we'd drive
around Manhatten know the name of the owner of every large building,
After a while he moved from Jamaica Estates
to his own pad in Manhatten & bragged about it was
in the same highrise where Joe Namath had his bachelor pad.
Trump the only person I ever was friends with who is
a household word so I admit I am prejudice!Last edited by 15805; 10-21-15, 06:57 PM.Comment -
-
<small>2016 Republican Nominee - Republican National Convention</small> Mon 7/18 901 Jeb Bush is Republican Nominee <input id="editx" name="M1_0" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> +190 8:00AM 902 Field wins Republican Nomination <input id="editx" name="M2_0" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> -270 Mon 7/18 903 Marco Rubio is Republican Nominee <input id="editx" name="M1_1" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> +200 8:00AM 904 Field wins Republican Nomination <input id="editx" name="M2_1" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> -280 Mon 7/18 905 Donald Trump is Republican Nominee <input id="editx" name="M1_2" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> +425 8:00AM 906 Field wins Republican Nomination <input id="editx" name="M2_2" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> -675
Today at Sportsbook.com & Hollywood.eu Trump has taken the lead for the first time for the Republican Nomination:
Trump- +300
Rubio- +320
Bush= +400
Carson- +600
Cruz- +1000
Kasich- +1500
All the rest +2000 or worse.Comment -
Back, after a huge disappointing Sept of gaming, even well into the first 2 weeks of Oct. Well, I'm backkkk and ready to kick some ass.
Glad to see the next president is still humming along. He is now presenting himself as a more humble man, along with some praise {politics ?
}of his fellow opponents. Cept Hitlerite, I believe.
If it's Hitlerite/Trump, does she have a chance in hell of staying with him in a head to head debate? I see no way!
Comment -
Yeah, my Sept was probably my worst in years. Oct looking good.
Humble? Not a chance.
Comment -
Comment -
funny article about how dumb trump supporters are?
15805,
i thought you 'educated conservatives' were all about 'free-trade'. when did you become a 'protectionist'?Comment -
I would saying anything coming from you, jtoler, would most likely be incorrect. Based on your previous post, of course, you're not very bright.
Still waiting on those metrics... lolComment -
You don't find it ironic (in your case moronic) that you posted about an article on how dumb Trump supporters are?
Comment -
so not only do you not know what hypocrisy means or how to use the word, we can now add ironic to the list. You keep getting dumber from an observational point of view. You really should go to the doctor, not kidding. I've noticed the past years your brain is becoming more defunct solely based on your post history. Or maybe your just petulant sheep... your pick... lolComment -
"I am self-funding my campaign and therefore I will not be controlled by the donors, special interests and lobbyists who have corrupted our politics and politicians for far too long," Donald J. Trump said in a statement. "I have disavowed all Super PAC's, requested the return of all donations made to said PAC's, and I am calling on all Presidential candidates to do the same."Comment -
Yet, Trumps buddy Ican, has a 150m superpac. Article doesn't imply, but read between the lines.
Comment -
Fun read:
I don't agree with Trump on everything, but most of the reasons in this article leads me to believe that he would be the best candidate for President.Comment -
lol.... you want to talk about irony.... my lord hahaha
mr. admitted sheep who is frequently proven wrong because he uses "my truths" telling someone "of course you won't see what I see."
wake the penetrate up rkelly.... lol... how many times can you be made an ass of before you wake up?Comment -
need anyone read more? here is an example of his logic, doesn't attempt to answer the post just attempts ridicule and name calling. as I said when presented with any type of facts this is what he does. tell me why any one should engage with this guy? give me one serious reason to spend mental energy with him? just one? don't include laughing at him that is becoming tired.Comment -
-
A very uneducated and irrelevant one. Post #1953 actually has logic based on who the author of post #1952 is. You clearly do not know but here ya go...
1. He admits to being a sheep and toeing strict party lines which means he does not think for himself.
2. He admits to using "my truths" that he will run with until someone like me proves him wrong then he will just forget it ever happened.
Now, I have NO doubt this won't change you view but the facts are the facts. From what we seen you are not much different than him when it comes to "my truths" mr. "I don't have the data."Comment -
fair enough mr. "prey" to whomever.Comment
