-
Comment -
Just think about how that money would help a homeless person or a kid with cancer.Comment -
Lot of good (bad) advice in this thread
Kid must be young, I went through it all when I was in my early 20's
Bet way over my head all the time
Won a lot, lost moreComment -
If you are serious, talk to close friends/family and don't get advice from a sports betting forum. 80% here are addicts that manage their addiction and probably 20% can't manage itComment -
NEVER, NEVER, NEVER, under ANY circumstance, break the cardinal rule, which is: Do not risk money you cannot afford to lose.
If you have mad money, I don't care what you spend it on as long as you're not breaking the law or putting others at risk. But when you take the rent money and lose it, that's one problem that's likely to lead to another . . .Comment -
good info in this thread
We all are looking at ourselves in the mirror todayComment -
Items two and three are basically the same but I can certainly appreciate the separation of the points, and valid points they are. But point number one has serious flaws.
Again it’s not that gamblers don’t know; it’s that so much they know is wrong. This is why so many nominations and the points are given, as well as comments for a well thought out post; however, the money management plan is expensive and unwise.
I’ve posted over and over again that changing you bet size is equivalent to progressive betting and it is costly.
Let’s keep it simple and get back to basics. Take a set of 21 bets; give yourself 11 wins and 10 losses. Now take any starting bankroll amount. To keep it simple, bet 5.5% to win 5% for each bet and put the wins and losses in any order you desire. After each bet, win or lose, adjust the next bet to 5.5% of the new bankroll, just like Gunshard says.
Now, if you didn’t change the size of your bets, 52.4%, or 11 wins and 10 losses would result in breaking even.
But Gunshard’s plan requires changing the size of your bets after each play, changing the breakeven point. How much it changes depends on the percentage bet, but the higher the percentage, the worse off you are. With my example, of 5.5%, the breakeven point nears 54%.
Gunshard should be thankful for discount books and vigorish, if he uses them, as his strategy raised his breakeven point, which was offset by the reduced vig.
Again, the percentage doesn’t matter; it’s easier to use 5.5% for this exercise than Gunshard’s recommended 5%, but the results are along the same lines.
Try it again and again. No matter what order you place your 11 wins and 10 losses, after those 21 bets, you always have 97.1% of your roll left.
In fact, after 110 wins and 100 losses with 5.5% bet each time, you would be down somewhere in the neighborhood of 25% of your starting bankroll.
No wonder so many felt Gunshard’s strategy was a good one with points, noms, and comments…it’s not that gambler’s don’t know, it’s just that so much they know is wrong.
Proper money management is essential to maximizing profits or minimizing losses and essential to securing long term profits.
Comment -
Fukk him. He quitComment -
When you run bad, take a break. Go the whole week or weekend without even checking scores or SBR, nothing. Everyone needs a vacation, it re-charges the batteries. Then come back slowly, tweak the way you cap games, never be afraid to learn something new. I'm always trying a new way to use stats to help me. A lot of people don't use the info that's right out here on the 'net. Do the homework!Comment -
Asking for advice in a site full of degenerate gamblers, losers and addicted is funny.
If gambling makes your life go worse, then quit.
Maybe you should stop for a couple of weeks or a month, prove to yourself that you are not an addicted, analize what you did well and what you did wrong, change the strategies that led you to lose that money in such a short spam of time, and get some perspective of your life.
And then go back if you feel you should , or quit if you feel you should.
Gambling should be something pleasurable, not painful.Comment -
Gambling is an obsession. It's not an addiction. With an obsession, all you have to do is stop doing it. No cold sweats or withdrawals.
You just have to decide you aren't going to do it anymore and do other stuff. Withdraw the money and don't log in again. Don't look at the lines.
It will consume and control your life if you do it right.Comment -
Don't buy the money management BS. Everyone using "money management" is overbetting. They are all going to lose. They just don't know it yet. You are going to lose, too. It's just a question of how much you are going to lose before you say enough is enough.Comment -
Go sbr pro and just bet pointsComment -
Good education here
I am learningComment -
you need a woman , treat your self someComment -
I haven't made a bet since Denver won over the Steelers(I had Denver money line) I quit betting on line when it took me 2 months to get paid. I only bet in Vegas now and its a 4 hour drive. I use to bet every day but off shore is garbage. IM going to Vegas and have a free weekend thanks to Denver. I bet a lot of props before the sport season starts and that's y I don't have to bet teams every nigh The props keep me goingComment -
Vegas more expensive but very true. Funneling big cash to Nevada one way or the other is still a good way to go, especially with William Hill operating.
Getting some larger action to Bookmaker and Pinnacle seem reasonable as well.
It has been getting tougher and tougher to get winning balances home, been like that since the very beginning.
A cat and mouse game for sure.
If they legalize it everywhere, I fear, because of taxes, books may have to charge a higher commission to the winners, that juice will take a lot of lare players out of the markets...they'll put there money elsewhere.
It will soften them, but we will pay for it. I'd probably change my positions accordingly.
Comment -
And maybe only 5% or less consistently win over time if I had to guess... Over time means year to year..
Problem is when most win big after a long winning streak they begin to place larger bets and when they lose they begin to chase with even bigger bets and then lose it all quickly.. That is the typical mold of a losing gambler over time even if they win more bets then they lose.. Bank roll management and self control is huge in gambling..
Just because you did great for a week or two doesn't mean it's gonna continue like that and you shouldn't make much larger bets.. Consistency with betting I think is very important.. When you see a gem every once in a while I think that is when you can make a larger bet and risk it.. That doesn't mean everyday though..
Few pointers to consider from Jibs..Comment
