Anybody else thinking of blind betting the Cubs 1.5 run line every game?

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  • texhooper
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-05-09
    • 10001

    #106
    Originally posted by iloseagain
    Ummm no.. He threw a complete game. Gave up a grand slam in the 8th or 9th.. You remembered incorrectly
    no sir. it is you who are wrong. maybe before you correct me in the future, know what you're talking about. the only thing i'm wrong about it is it was actually a home game.

    Baltimore 6, Texas 1




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    • iloseagain
      Restricted User
      • 06-29-10
      • 10682

      #107
      well then i must be thinking of another game..
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      • iloseagain
        Restricted User
        • 06-29-10
        • 10682

        #108
        maybe im thinking of another game completely then.. baltimore hit a grand slam in the 8th or 9th of this game i am thinking about.. we all lost a ton of money on it.. maybe it wasnt the cliff lee game then.. i wouldnt have remembered it as "grand slam towards the end of the game to screw me" if, in reality, they were losing the whole game.. I swear it has to be another game
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        • texhooper
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-05-09
          • 10001

          #109
          Originally posted by iloseagain
          maybe im thinking of another game completely then.. baltimore hit a grand slam in the 8th or 9th of this game i am thinking about.. we all lost a ton of money on it.. maybe it wasnt the cliff lee game then..
          it's all good man. whatever it was it sucked but you guys made it out alive.
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          • iloseagain
            Restricted User
            • 06-29-10
            • 10682

            #110
            here it is.. kid jus found it



            not sure why i thought it was the cliff lee game
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            • JMon
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 12-11-09
              • 9800

              #111
              Originally posted by swordsandtequila
              Hey swords...Grits is not answering, so I will ask you, and I know you will answer honesty. How many games do you predict the Cubs to win this year?
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              • swordsandtequila
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-23-12
                • 9756

                #112
                Originally posted by JMon
                Hey swords...Grits is not answering, so I will ask you, and I know you will answer honesty. How many games do you predict the Cubs to win this year?
                Shit JMon, wouldn't even hazard a guess. They're definitely talented, just too long a season to make 116 win type predictions. Too many things can go wrong. Losing Schwarber hurt, but like all sports if they can stay relatively healthy the should be in the thick of it. Until proven otherwise they're not heads and tails above the rest of the league. Pretty sure St. Louis, Pittsburgh, SF, etc. will have a say in things. As a Rays fan, I've seen first hand how teams can waste great pitching (or hitting as it were). All that said, I've made some change on the Cubs, just not ready to proclaim them the greatest of all time 2 weeks into the season.
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                • JMon
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 12-11-09
                  • 9800

                  #113
                  Originally posted by swordsandtequila
                  Shit JMon, wouldn't even hazard a guess. They're definitely talented, just too long a season to make 116 win type predictions. Too many things can go wrong. Losing Schwarber hurt, but like all sports if they can stay relatively healthy the should be in the thick of it. Until proven otherwise they're not heads and tails above the rest of the league. Pretty sure St. Louis, Pittsburgh, SF, etc. will have a say in things. As a Rays fan, I've seen first hand how teams can waste great pitching (or hitting as it were). All that said, I've made some change on the Cubs, just not ready to proclaim them the greatest of all time 2 weeks into the season.
                  Only reason I asked a season win total, is not too be naive if does happen. My research on post 99, clearly shows ML and RL -1.5 on a dominate team. Problem is...are they a dominate team?
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                  • iloseagain
                    Restricted User
                    • 06-29-10
                    • 10682

                    #114
                    arrieta vs bergman tomorrow.. do we play again? -320 right now.. no RL for me ATM... prob be -150 lol
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                    • d2bets
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 08-10-05
                      • 39990

                      #115
                      Originally posted by iloseagain
                      arrieta vs bergman tomorrow.. do we play again? -320 right now.. no RL for me ATM... prob be -150 lol
                      Weird, RL is only -120. I realize the importance, but hard to lay -320 ML over -120 RL. Seems like it's gotta be a trap though.
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                      • Grits n' Gravy
                        Restricted User
                        • 06-10-10
                        • 13024

                        #116
                        Originally posted by JMon
                        How many games do you predict the cubs to win this year?
                        No clue. Bases is too boring to hold my attention for a full season.

                        I do know that blindly betting them on rl will not end well.
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                        • frogsrangers
                          Restricted User
                          • 04-25-12
                          • 5792

                          #117
                          Originally posted by Grits n' Gravy
                          No clue. Bases is too boring to hold my attention for a full season.

                          I do know that blindly betting them on rl will not end well.
                          First time I have ever seen Grits n' Gravy say anything on this board that makes sense
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                          • iloseagain
                            Restricted User
                            • 06-29-10
                            • 10682

                            #118
                            Originally posted by d2bets
                            Weird, RL is only -120. I realize the importance, but hard to lay -320 ML over -120 RL. Seems like it's gotta be a trap though.
                            ended up on rocks 1h +0.5.. rocks 1h ml. rocks ml and +1.5
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                            • d2bets
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 08-10-05
                              • 39990

                              #119
                              Jake the Great strikes out the side in the 1st on 13 pitches. Live stuff. Could be one of those days for him.
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                              • FlyinAir
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-14-14
                                • 1612

                                #120
                                Rockies +0.5 +160 1st 5 was my bet for the game. Great value
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                                • iloseagain
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 06-29-10
                                  • 10682

                                  #121
                                  oh i also took 1h u3.5 ha
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                                  • d2bets
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 08-10-05
                                    • 39990

                                    #122
                                    Rizzo and Soler demolish back to back pitches into the wind.
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                                    • iloseagain
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 06-29-10
                                      • 10682

                                      #123
                                      ahh looks like the squarest bet on the board will win
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                                      • d2bets
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 08-10-05
                                        • 39990

                                        #124
                                        Originally posted by iloseagain
                                        ahh looks like the squarest bet on the board will win
                                        Is it really square to bet on Arrieta who hasn't allowed a run at Wrigley Field since July 2015 (43+ innings)?
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                                        • iloseagain
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 06-29-10
                                          • 10682

                                          #125
                                          Originally posted by d2bets
                                          Is it really square to bet on Arrieta who hasn't allowed a run at Wrigley Field since July 2015 (43+ innings)?
                                          yes and no.. im just saying taking a huge fav in MLB on the RL is usually pretty square
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                                          • d2bets
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 08-10-05
                                            • 39990

                                            #126
                                            Jake is the best pitcher in baseball right now, and he might just top last year's historic season. If he makes 32+ starts, he might just reach 25 wins this season. Oh, and he hits 450 foot home runs too.
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                                            • d2bets
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 08-10-05
                                              • 39990

                                              #127
                                              Fowler leaned into one. That's pretty much ballgame.
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                                              • d2bets
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 08-10-05
                                                • 39990

                                                #128
                                                Arrieta has thrown 51 consecutive scoreless innings at Wrigley Field.
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                                                • Bigdave117
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 02-01-16
                                                  • 111

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by iloseagain
                                                  arrieta vs bergman tomorrow.. do we play again? -320 right now.. no RL for me ATM... prob be -150 lol

                                                  Betting ML on Arrieta games is retarded. Usually the line is like 200 or 250 for ML vs 120 for RL and the cubs have won 95% of the games in his huge streak by 2+ runs. That -250 looks like a horrible value in comparison


                                                  You gotta figure he's going to give up about 1-2 runs a game and the cubs offense is generally good for 5-7 runs
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                                                  • Mr KLC
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-19-07
                                                    • 30993

                                                    #130
                                                    The Chicago Cubs win again to move to 15-5 on the year. It's their best start through 20 games since 1907, a year in which the Cubs won the World Series.
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                                                    • habitualwinning
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-22-12
                                                      • 1569

                                                      #131
                                                      Originally posted by Mr KLC
                                                      The Chicago Cubs win again to move to 15-5 on the year. It's their best start through 20 games since 1907, a year in which the Cubs won the World Series.
                                                      But they didn't cover the -1.5 RL @home against the lowly Brewers, so the homers in this thread lost last night. After that 8-1 RL start by the Cubbies every Chicagoan thought they would be millionaires by the end of the season betting them. But as is always the case in baseball, reality caught up and the Cubs are now below .500 on the RL and down money since that "hot" start.

                                                      The homers are all scratching their heads still trying to figure out how the Cubs have lost to Robbie Ray, Chad Bettis, Tyler Chatwood and Daniel Straily. Most casual baseball fans couldn't even tell you what teams those guys are on, much less their stats, lol. Cubs only good loss this season was when CarMart shut them down over 7 solid innings. The rest are horrible losses, especially when the Cubs are >-200 almost every game and sometimes -250, -300, -350+ like tonight. If Arrieta ever has a couple of off starts like he did the 1st half of last season, or if Lester goes through a cold stretch, Cubs homers/backers will be buried with these ridiculously juiced lines. I tried telling these guys there's a difference between a team being really good and being able to consistently profit off of that good team. The Cubs haven't even played the Nats, Mets, Dodgers, Giants or Pirates yet this season.
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                                                      • Capybara
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 08-17-08
                                                        • 11803

                                                        #132
                                                        Originally posted by habitualwinning
                                                        But they didn't cover the -1.5 RL @home against the lowly Brewers, so the homers in this thread lost last night. After that 8-1 RL start by the Cubbies every Chicagoan thought they would be millionaires by the end of the season betting them. But as is always the case in baseball, reality caught up and the Cubs are now below .500 on the RL and down money since that "hot" start.

                                                        The homers are all scratching their heads still trying to figure out how the Cubs have lost to Robbie Ray, Chad Bettis, Tyler Chatwood and Daniel Straily. Most casual baseball fans couldn't even tell you what teams those guys are on, much less their stats, lol. Cubs only good loss this season was when CarMart shut them down over 7 solid innings. The rest are horrible losses, especially when the Cubs are >-200 almost every game and sometimes -250, -300, -350+ like tonight. If Arrieta ever has a couple of off starts like he did the 1st half of last season, or if Lester goes through a cold stretch, Cubs homers/backers will be buried with these ridiculously juiced lines. I tried telling these guys there's a difference between a team being really good and being able to consistently profit off of that good team. The Cubs haven't even played the Nats, Mets, Dodgers, Giants or Pirates yet this season.
                                                        Very solid post right here.

                                                        Nevertheless...

                                                        I am on the -2.5 tonight, so let's get it! (Arrieta games get different treatment. So far they are 4-0 on the -3.5 for his games.)
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