Super Bowl line movement- what it means

[RoyBacon]

Appears 70% of the spread bets are on the Pats while 70% of moneyline bets are on Atl.

The line drifted toward Atl at +3 -115, +135ish.

Looks to me like the books will accept a fairly significant NE liability?

[chico2663]

Additionally, 60 percent of the money is on the over of 59 in this game according to Bovada, which means the public is very much in on the favorite and the over.
If history holds and the underdog and the under covers, it might make up for a rough playoff stretch for Vegas.


Also read where 62% is on new england. Yet the line isn't moving. Sounds fishy to me. Goodluck roy

[Fatal1ty]

Have sharps weighed in yet? Who is putting the huge money down on what? My source says Vegas locals pointing to NE and Under for what it's worth. Agree an Under will crush a lot of cards.

[jjgold]

means nothing

never pay attention to data

do your own thing

[BigdaddyQH]

If you have to depend on what others are doing, you are a huge LOSER. And you people wonder why 90% of you are either air bettors or losers. If you would spend your time assessing the players instead of the gamblers, you may actually win once in a while.

[rizespor]

Well presumably sharps are waiting until gameday to get the best possible line on Atlanta. Thus far books have not budged off 3 despite the lopsided action since they probably know they'll get hammered at 3.5. So it's basically turned into a game of chicken. The later it gets, eventually someone will hit ATL and set off a wave of Atlanta money. Same could probably be said for the total as well though obviously much less betting handle than the spread.

CG took a million dollar bet on ATL yesterday

https://twitter.com/DavidPurdum/status/827676683964653569

[odog11]

Well presumably sharps are waiting until gameday to get the best possible line on Atlanta. Thus far books have not budged off 3 despite the lopsided action since they probably know they'll get hammered at 3.5. So it's basically turned into a game of chicken. The later it gets, eventually someone will hit ATL and set off a wave of Atlanta money. Same could probably be said for the total as well though obviously much less betting handle than the spread.

CG took a million dollar bet on ATL yesterday

https://twitter.com/DavidPurdum/stat...76683964653569

. Agree, no reason to bet Atlanta at 3, wait for 3.5 or take Falcons team total over 28 if you like them.

[RockBottom]

Can't see the books moving off 3, they'll just move the juice.

[jt315]

Well presumably sharps are waiting until gameday to get the best possible line on Atlanta. Thus far books have not budged off 3 despite the lopsided action since they probably know they'll get hammered at 3.5. So it's basically turned into a game of chicken. The later it gets, eventually someone will hit ATL and set off a wave of Atlanta money. Same could probably be said for the total as well though obviously much less betting handle than the spread.

CG took a million dollar bet on ATL yesterday

https://twitter.com/DavidPurdum/stat...76683964653569

With Pinnacle at -3 (+06) and CG Tech. taking some big six figure bets and dealing a -140 ML I would say the sharps have already hit Atlanta. Not that anyone should be afraid of what they are on this season.

Their best chance now is to hope public money pours in on NE and get a +3 reduced at this point.

[lakerboy]

If the books move to-3.5 just don't bother watching unless you are on the pats.

[Dirty Sanchez]

If you have to depend on what others are doing, you are a huge LOSER. And you people wonder why 90% of you are either air bettors or losers. If you would spend your time assessing the players instead of the gamblers, you may actually win once in a while.

[odog11]

. Agree, no reason to bet Atlanta at 3, wait for 3.5 or take Falcons team total over 28 if you like them.

If you fools had listened to me you could have escaped with a push.