Stock Market Discussion -- started 03/06/2018 -- updated daily !!!

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  • homie1975
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-24-13
    • 15442

    #11271
    Originally posted by Poker_Beast
    Slurry you are the man. I have to research and learn how to trade puts/calls. I know nothing about that stuff. Keep up the great work!!!
    SLURRY is a bad-asss.
    Comment
    • Snowball
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 11-15-09
      • 30040

      #11272
      If you want to buy any equities here
      consider SILJ etf or a basket of silver miners.
      Comment
      • Slurry Pumper
        SBR MVP
        • 06-18-18
        • 2811

        #11273
        Nothing different to report today. I'm looking for the SPY to get to maybe 445 where the 200 DMA and a resistance line is drawn. On the QQQs they are right at the resistance line and 20 DMA now but I can see them moving up to $358. Be aware however that since the QQQs are right up against a pretty strong resistance level, the entire market can be influenced and thus get rejected today. I don't think that happens, but I wouldn't be surprised by it either. The IWM is leading the charge up the hill here lately and this can make it up to the 210 level or even the 212 level. Either one of those will be met with me buying those 3 to 4 week time to expire PUTS again. SMH has a little room to move up but there are the 200 DMA, and resistance levels left and right along the way. How about the Dow Transports you ask, after eclipsing the near by 50 DMA to the upside, there is only the 100 DMA left at 15835 before the all time high but that just may be wishful thinking. It battled through 3 moving averages including the big 200 DMA just yesterday so we'll see. The dow transports is like the marines, first in the battle and that along with the IWM is a good leading indicator of what is to come. I remain bullish today but I must admit my crystal ballz are straddling the razor wired fence here with some of the metrics. I think there is a big down move still coming soon but for today it is up the hill. Its a day traders type of market with pretty big swings in either direction and if you're not careful, one of those crystal balls can get sliced on that razor wire.
        Comment
        • k13
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 07-16-10
          • 18053

          #11274
          Discounts will be getting bigger and bigger.
          Comment
          • homie1975
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-24-13
            • 15442

            #11275
            Originally posted by k13
            Discounts will be getting bigger and bigger.
            it's a beautiful thing. charts will continue looking ugly but for those in it for the long haul, these opportunities will be golden.
            Comment
            • trobin31
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 01-09-14
              • 9853

              #11276
              Oil, DXY, commodities all going to the moon...GG fellas. Feels like something insane is coming, Great Depression 2.0 level stuff, protect yourselves
              Comment
              • Crusherrr
                SBR MVP
                • 06-27-16
                • 3646

                #11277
                Originally posted by trobin31
                Oil, DXY, commodities all going to the moon...GG fellas. Feels like something insane is coming, Great Depression 2.0 level stuff, protect yourselves
                Just go all in on WEAT, GRU, JJG? Wheat and Grains to the moon?

                If Russia and Ukraine keep it up then this will just keep going up.
                Comment
                • Crusherrr
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-27-16
                  • 3646

                  #11278
                  Originally posted by trobin31
                  Oil, DXY, commodities all going to the moon...GG fellas. Feels like something insane is coming, Great Depression 2.0 level stuff, protect yourselves
                  Wish I held OIH still like you mentioned a while back. I was up like $20k on it and then sold at breakeven.
                  Comment
                  • Slurry Pumper
                    SBR MVP
                    • 06-18-18
                    • 2811

                    #11279
                    Last week we witnessed all the markets top out and make another lower high. This week both of my crystal ballz are letting me know that we may see lower lows by the time that closing bell rings on Friday. If we stop taking Russian oil you can expect $140 a barrel real soon
                    Comment
                    • homie1975
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-24-13
                      • 15442

                      #11280
                      happy 4th anniversary to this thread (03/06/2018) and a HUGE THANK YOU to all who have contributed !!
                      Comment
                      • topgame85
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-30-08
                        • 12325

                        #11281
                        Is this the week things turn very ugly?
                        Comment
                        • Slurry Pumper
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-18-18
                          • 2811

                          #11282
                          Hi All I've been on a long weekend vacation so I haven't had time to post much. Of course with the things going on in the market, I have been working while also enjoying the finer things in life, like getting hammered for the entire weekend. Last Thursday I thought the market may move up but it more or less gapped down and then see sawed the rest of the day. Correction, it actually did a gap and crap. I used that opportunity to load up on QQQ, IWM, and SPY PUTS that expire in a month. Then on Friday, after the market did the same thing as on Thursday with another gap down and more see saw action from there I got more aggressive with buying the QQQ, IWM, and SPY Puts that all expire on Friday. The high premiums are just a cost of doing business but if you get rid of them before the final day, you can retain some of the premium pricing. Also the high premiums are a tell that they need to be elevated so that the sellers will be willing to take the elevated risk.

                          I think we see a pretty sizable stinking dump this week and probably going into next week until the FED shows up to talk. Funny thing is it doesn't matter what he says, the markets will all mark a bottom and then it will be back to the buy the dip story. Geopolitical things will magically work out around that time as well and out of the very darkness of war, the oil spike will subside and we will be getting the rebirth of the market trade that just might push to new all time highs. Speaking of highs, no I'm not high... yet anyway, that is the forecast from me for the spring to summer months. For now however I see some capitulation selling coming in for the next week and a half. As always things can happen and I have been wrong in the past, although not that often, so keep a keen eye out for signs of life for the bulls.
                          Comment
                          • Snowball
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 11-15-09
                            • 30040

                            #11283
                            guys i bought DCNNF which is the US ADR for Canadian Palladium Resources @ .09s
                            Comment
                            • trobin31
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-09-14
                              • 9853

                              #11284
                              RIG, $10 make you holla
                              Comment
                              • OldBill
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 11-02-21
                                • 6398

                                #11285
                                i do not want stocks you have to buy and sell i'm sticking with ones that are listed on the SEC and pay dividends every 3 months buy 1 one month buy another diff one next month then a 3rd month after this way you get paid every month so on n so on i know personally one guy that strated last year with only $1000 cash prices were like only .20 per share now he's quit his high paying career job as VP of big comapny Paid him $150,000 a year plus benefits for whole family and is tripled that income and knows how to avoid taxes

                                reivest that money in high yiels securities like paying 2.5% then sit back every day and j o or get a bj from your bitch LOL
                                Comment
                                • Madison
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 09-16-11
                                  • 6360

                                  #11286
                                  Originally posted by trobin31
                                  Oil, DXY, commodities all going to the moon...GG fellas. Feels like something insane is coming, Great Depression 2.0 level stuff, protect yourselves
                                  I've been slowly trimming my portfolio since last summer. More significantly since Nov/21. I'm am certainly not a buy and hold and yet I'm not an options person as I'm tethered to my IRA.

                                  Would you kindly extrapolate a little on your comments?

                                  Not sure if you saw or cared about my referral to the book by Adam Baratta "The Great Devaluation" but was looking forward to some comment from you. BOL. Challenging times.

                                  Thx!
                                  Comment
                                  • Madison
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 09-16-11
                                    • 6360

                                    #11287
                                    Originally posted by OldBill
                                    i do not want stocks you have to buy and sell i'm sticking with ones that are listed on the SEC and pay dividends every 3 months buy 1 one month buy another diff one next month then a 3rd month after this way you get paid every month so on n so on i know personally one guy that strated last year with only $1000 cash prices were like only .20 per share now he's quit his high paying career job as VP of big comapny Paid him $150,000 a year plus benefits for whole family and is tripled that income and knows how to avoid taxes

                                    reivest that money in high yiels securities like paying 2.5% then sit back every day and j o or get a bj from your bitch LOL
                                    So, please help me understand. Dividends are great for the wealthy but ... I have a tradeable 100-200K portfolio. Probably half are dividend baring stocks. With market volativity how do 2% div's do a small investor any good. Not here at least.
                                    Comment
                                    • Madison
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-16-11
                                      • 6360

                                      #11288
                                      OIL

                                      Can one of you more intelligent folks explain to me how we import 3% or less in Russian oil and that can cause domestic gas prices to rise circa 100%. And, even more so, why are none of the talking heads mentioning?

                                      I'm a confessed conspiracy theorist and wonder if the Exon's and Chevron's of the world aren't porking all of us??
                                      Comment
                                      • trobin31
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-09-14
                                        • 9853

                                        #11289
                                        Originally posted by Madison
                                        I've been slowly trimming my portfolio since last summer. More significantly since Nov/21. I'm am certainly not a buy and hold and yet I'm not an options person as I'm tethered to my IRA.

                                        Would you kindly extrapolate a little on your comments?

                                        Not sure if you saw or cared about my referral to the book by Adam Baratta "The Great Devaluation" but was looking forward to some comment from you. BOL. Challenging times.

                                        Thx!
                                        I haven’t read it, sounds interesting though and right up my alley, will check it out

                                        Every chart I’ve seen with the current defensive posturing indicates a flight to safety bc of incoming recession, the dollar being the world reserve currency goes for it, energy & commodities being the life-blood of civilization go for it, so money gets moved into the safest places that we all know regardless of any country falling or mass hysteria, we will all need energy, food, wood, steel etc. the market is pricing in the risk of a very catastrophic event right now, I don’t think it has actually happened yet, hopefully I am wrong.
                                        Comment
                                        • rake922
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-23-07
                                          • 11692

                                          #11290
                                          Originally posted by topgame85
                                          Is this the week things turn very ugly?
                                          looks that way.... Man oh man. Honestly what's next?

                                          Earthquake wiping out a continent? Asteroids coming in May?


                                          The S&p500 is definitely negative in 2022 I'm calling EZ. Investor sentiment is terrible
                                          Comment
                                          • Slurry Pumper
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 06-18-18
                                            • 2811

                                            #11291
                                            Well today was about as good as it gets for a trader. Sure the futures were down early, but as the market opened, the QQQs are positive, and the other big indices are right around 0 as well, then it went to shyt like I said it would. So you had a chance to hop on board the PUTS train to hell for the next week or so.

                                            Originally posted by Madison
                                            Can one of you more intelligent folks explain to me how we import 3% or less in Russian oil and that can cause domestic gas prices to rise circa 100%. And, even more so, why are none of the talking heads mentioning?

                                            I'm a confessed conspiracy theorist and wonder if the Exon's and Chevron's of the world aren't porking all of us??
                                            The big energy companies don't have to pork you in any nefarious way, they get to do that out in the open without trying. I think that 3% sounds like a small number until you consider how tight the oil markets are. 3% of the good ole U.S.A.s usage is about 540,000 barrels a day. That's allot of gas into the tank. The psychology will start the hype machine for the oil futures with buyers trying to get their share knowing that a half million barrels are not there like it used to be. The oil gets bid up for a while and that make the market go parabolic for a while. What goes up must come down so eventually it will come crashing down, and I'm willing to bet that starts to happen in a 1-1/2 weeks or maybe even sooner if things start to break the right way. In reality the U.S. consumer will adjust their usage to make those 500,000 barrels not needed. I know I'm not just driving around in my giant land Yacht Super Duty Dodge truck rolling coal like I used to. Now I take out the Krautwagon TDI. Sure I'm still rolling coal with all the illegal upgrades, but it stil lgets 45 MPG as compared to 15.
                                            Comment
                                            • slewfan
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-01-15
                                              • 15745

                                              #11292
                                              Originally posted by topgame85
                                              Is this the week things turn very ugly?
                                              They started when Biden was inaugurated. It just took a year or so for the rest of the insanity to kick in.

                                              Even Trump predicted 7 dollar gas in 2020.. He recognized what this leftist regime of socio-marxists were up to. Now we have to wait it out and hope for the best as Putin becomes emboldened. As will China, Iran, and N. Korea.

                                              Now is the time to buy low and wait for the socio-marxists to be voted out of power.

                                              THAT IS OF COURSE IF THE ELECTIONS ARE NOT RIGGED...!!!
                                              Comment
                                              • rake922
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-23-07
                                                • 11692

                                                #11293
                                                Originally posted by slewfan
                                                They started when Biden was inaugurated. It just took a year or so for the rest of the insanity to kick in.

                                                Even Trump predicted 7 dollar gas in 2020.. He recognized what this leftist regime of socio-marxists were up to. Now we have to wait it out and hope for the best as Putin becomes emboldened. As will China, Iran, and N. Korea.

                                                Now is the time to buy low and wait for the socio-marxists to be voted out of power.

                                                THAT IS OF COURSE IF THE ELECTIONS ARE NOT RIGGED...!!!
                                                I still blame his wife.. don't you?
                                                Guy should not have ran and she knows it now.
                                                Comment
                                                • Enkhbat
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-18-11
                                                  • 3145

                                                  #11294
                                                  Could this get any uglier? I feel like the bottom is reached, or at least very close to it.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • rake922
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-23-07
                                                    • 11692

                                                    #11295
                                                    Originally posted by Enkhbat
                                                    Could this get any uglier? I feel like the bottom is reached, or at least very close to it.
                                                    It can get worse. There's no reason for you to say "this feels like a bottom"

                                                    Who the hell with huge money says "now is the time to buy"...... The only hope is if Putin has a stroke in his sleep, so you should pray for that.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • guitarjosh
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 12-25-07
                                                      • 5731

                                                      #11296
                                                      Originally posted by Enkhbat
                                                      Could this get any uglier? I feel like the bottom is reached, or at least very close to it.
                                                      I don't think we're anywhere near bottom yet...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • hehfest
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 09-28-08
                                                        • 7934

                                                        #11297
                                                        Originally posted by guitarjosh
                                                        I don't think we're anywhere near bottom yet...
                                                        Well, that's true. Pray it hits zero and never goes back up. A nuke or two could give it a bad hair day.
                                                        Last edited by hehfest; 03-08-22, 01:03 AM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • chico2663
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 09-02-10
                                                          • 36915

                                                          #11298
                                                          Originally posted by Madison
                                                          Can one of you more intelligent folks explain to me how we import 3% or less in Russian oil and that can cause domestic gas prices to rise circa 100%. And, even more so, why are none of the talking heads mentioning?

                                                          I'm a confessed conspiracy theorist and wonder if the Exon's and Chevron's of the world aren't porking all of us??
                                                          Called price gouging. This oil they are raising prices on was bought couple weeks ago at lower price. Also shell just bought a shitload of oil from Russia at a discounted price. No way in hell they are going to pass discount to consumers.
                                                          Last edited by chico2663; 03-08-22, 02:36 AM.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • chico2663
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 09-02-10
                                                            • 36915

                                                            #11299
                                                            Originally posted by rake922
                                                            It can get worse. There's no reason for you to say "this feels like a bottom"

                                                            Who the hell with huge money says "now is the time to buy"...... The only hope is if Putin has a stroke in his sleep, so you should pray for that.
                                                            Putin doesn’t want to die so he will take it as far as they can. Russia has been attacked twice through the flats of Ukraine. To be honest with you Russia was found where the capital city of Ukraine. They moved north east to make it harder to attack them by land. That is the history lesson for you guys.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • k13
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 07-16-10
                                                              • 18053

                                                              #11300
                                                              Originally posted by Enkhbat
                                                              Could this get any uglier? I feel like the bottom is reached, or at least very close to it.
                                                              Bottom...this is just getting started.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Slurry Pumper
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 06-18-18
                                                                • 2811

                                                                #11301
                                                                Waking up a little green this morning which is to be expected after being taken out behind the woodshed for a ole fashion ass kicking. Either today or tomorrow as history shows, will be an up day. This is just very short term and I may put on some very short term (today and tomorrow) hedges to offset any bullishness that shows up. This cat might not bounce much an it can still all fall apart so by lunchtime don't be shocked if things just turn for the worst. Remember the Trick, Trap, Fool and Fux you sideways crew is always out there trying to get you to think one thing is happening just before they pull the rug out and go the other way at exactly the wrong moment for the majority of the people.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Snowball
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 11-15-09
                                                                  • 30040

                                                                  #11302
                                                                  UVXY puts.

                                                                  Ukraine has possible solution on recognition of Crimea, DPR, LPR — Zelensky - World - TASS
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Snowball
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 11-15-09
                                                                    • 30040

                                                                    #11303
                                                                    The market was going green until Biden says he's going to announce bans on Russian oil, gas and coal.

                                                                    Just as Ukraine is ready to cut a deal with Russia, US does this.

                                                                    Will the US allow Ukraine to cut a deal with Russia?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • rake922
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 12-23-07
                                                                      • 11692

                                                                      #11304
                                                                      What the hell is tass.com pal? I hope I didn't catch something opening this link
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • trobin31
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 01-09-14
                                                                        • 9853

                                                                        #11305
                                                                        Originally posted by rake922
                                                                        What the hell is tass.com pal? I hope I didn't catch something opening this link
                                                                        Comment
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