Rare opportunity: Bumgarner is +125 tonight.

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  • CantFeelMyFace
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-17-12
    • 372

    #1
    Rare opportunity: Bumgarner is +125 tonight.
    Unloading on Giants + 125 @ A's. You almost never see this number with Bumgarner pitching. Too much value here.
  • Chi_archie
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-22-08
    • 63165

    #2
    good luck
    Comment
    • sourtwist
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-10-12
      • 9364

      #3
      All over it

      But not because you said so
      Comment
      • MontrealCrw
        SBR Sharp
        • 06-07-18
        • 283

        #4
        Bum is washed up, been unstoppable in playoffs though
        Comment
        • ikid2groove415
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-08-18
          • 11981

          #5
          Originally posted by MontrealCrw
          Bum is washed up, been unstoppable in playoffs though
          2.90 era is wash up ? He’s been injured the last 2 season - Canadians should stick to hockey
          Comment
          • krk1030
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-13-08
            • 17610

            #6
            Very fishy
            Comment
            • Plaza23
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 12-29-13
              • 7392

              #7
              Giants are 1-7 in Bumgarner's last 8 starts when at least a 120 or higher underdog. Under has hit 7/8 times though.


              Comment
              • ikid2groove415
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-08-18
                • 11981

                #8
                Originally posted by krk1030
                Very fishy
                Line is spot on- Oakland
                line up grinds out AB- bumgarner won’t last 6 inning - they will drive up his pitch count - game could tip either way - Cahill haven’t been bad
                Comment
                • MontrealCrw
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 06-07-18
                  • 283

                  #9
                  Originally posted by ikid2groove415
                  2.90 era is wash up ? He’s been injured the last 2 season - Canadians should stick to hockey
                  Copy that boss
                  Comment
                  • ikid2groove415
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-08-18
                    • 11981

                    #10
                    Originally posted by MontrealCrw
                    Copy that boss
                    Je vous remercie -
                    Comment
                    • ikid2groove415
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-08-18
                      • 11981

                      #11
                      MLB extra inning free all weekend fellas
                      Comment
                      • Chi_archie
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 07-22-08
                        • 63165

                        #12
                        Originally posted by ikid2groove415
                        MLB extra inning free all weekend fellas
                        oooooh thanks for the heads up
                        Comment
                        • jjgold
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 07-20-05
                          • 388189

                          #13
                          ok on it
                          Comment
                          • 2daBank
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-26-09
                            • 88966

                            #14
                            Originally posted by ikid2groove415
                            Line is spot on- Oakland
                            line up grinds out AB- bumgarner won’t last 6 inning - they will drive up his pitch count - game could tip either way - Cahill haven’t been bad
                            Line is not spot on, it off just like it was yesterday. You yourself say right here “game could tip either way” well if that the case than there is in fact value on San Fran, plus money coin flips are exactly what you should be looking for to get down on in mlb.. he doesn’t have to go more than 6, San Fran pen been very solid. Evenly matched teams and frisco has at least a slight edge with starter (you correct Cahill been pretty good but most giants lineup has hit him pretty good over the years). Could go either way so there def some value on the dog here.
                            Comment
                            • KVB
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 05-29-14
                              • 74817

                              #15
                              This line opened early with SF favored and was picked as a pickem by most houses.

                              They've been enticing SF bettors for sure. My sources and samples show more tickets on SF, but more money on Oakland. I was debating whether or not to chime in, and as I was watching, the increasing volume brought, like I figured more tickets to the SF moneyline, and the gap I see in the money difference is shrinking.

                              The books are getting their equal money here.

                              If that's what the books want right now, then +125 is a good deal as far as I'm concerned. I'm not on the play, but the books are willing to put up a sale to offset some action.

                              Could be sharp action, but that doesn't change the +125 deal all that much.

                              Good Luck.

                              Comment
                              • 2daBank
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-26-09
                                • 88966

                                #16
                                Originally posted by KVB
                                This line opened early with SF favored and was picked as a pickem by most houses.

                                They've been enticing SF bettors for sure. My sources and samples show more tickets on SF, but more money on Oakland. I was debating whether or not to chime in, and as I was watching, the increasing volume brought, like I figured more tickets to the SF moneyline, and the gap I see in the money difference is shrinking.

                                The books are getting their equal money here.

                                If that's what the books want right now, then +125 is a good deal as far as I'm concerned. I'm not on the play, but the books are willing to put up a sale to offset some action.

                                Could be sharp action, but that doesn't change the +125 deal all that much.

                                Good Luck.

                                Obviously been some money liking A’s this series, very similar to the nats braves series (unfortunately got rained out today). Percentages on a side never bothers me in this sport, I like being against the side that bet enough to move them from favs to dogs. Ultimately none that stuff matters to me as over the years I’ve found all that to be a exercise in futility for me, just cap them and bet where I perceive value which often times comes from one side moving the line to a number I feel profits long term. While it isn’t for me I really enjoy your takes on the subject, I even read your CFL thread for that reason even tho I have no interest in it! Lol
                                Comment
                                • KVB
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 05-29-14
                                  • 74817

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                  Obviously been some money liking A’s this series, very similar to the nats braves series (unfortunately got rained out today). Percentages on a side never bothers me in this sport, I like being against the side that bet enough to move them from favs to dogs. Ultimately none that stuff matters to me as over the years I’ve found all that to be a exercise in futility for me, just cap them and bet where I perceive value which often times comes from one side moving the line to a number I feel profits long term. While it isn’t for me I really enjoy your takes on the subject, I even read your CFL thread for that reason even tho I have no interest in it! Lol
                                  Awesome Banker,

                                  When I post a post like above, it is pretty much informational. I always say use my posts in conjunction with your own.

                                  I'm not using some bullshit consensus stuff here, I'm using a sample of backend info, just a sample, but a broad enough one to confirm or dis confirm a lot things bettors may be thinking.

                                  It's technical, but so are you as you are also assessing value, whether using numbers or being very good subjectively, or both.

                                  You are right, above, about the line being off as well as the value being on SF, and it's even stronger when you consider my post as well on the books "putting up the sale" and the reasons I'm looking at.

                                  I think we're both rocking here and it's the combination of approaches that can yield the best results.

                                  Comment
                                  • ikid2groove415
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-08-18
                                    • 11981

                                    #18
                                    Suppose to have 58,000 people for tonight’s game - largest MLB CROWD This year
                                    Comment
                                    • 2daBank
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-26-09
                                      • 88966

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by KVB
                                      Awesome Banker,

                                      When I post a post like above, it is pretty much informational. I always say use my posts in conjunction with your own.

                                      I'm not using some bullshit consensus stuff here, I'm using a sample of backend info, just a sample, but a broad enough one to confirm or dis confirm a lot things bettors may be thinking.

                                      It's technical, but so are you as you are also assessing value, whether using numbers or being very good subjectively, or both.

                                      You are right, above, about the line being off as well as the value being on SF, and it's even stronger when you consider my post as well on the books "putting up the sale" and the reasons I'm looking at.

                                      I think we're both rocking here and it's the combination of approaches that can yield the best results.

                                      Numbers based but obviously subjective how I interpret the numbers and which ones I choose to value the most. I thought your stuff was pretty useful to me w ncaa hoops in determining which ones I should fire or pass on and could def see a way to come up w my lines then playing or passing based off your market analysis.

                                      That under in zona has really nice texture to it thus far!!
                                      Comment
                                      • KVB
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 05-29-14
                                        • 74817

                                        #20
                                        Daayaam, flood gates opened in Zona.

                                        They need to get this under control for a few innings.

                                        Yikes.
                                        Comment
                                        • krk1030
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 08-13-08
                                          • 17610

                                          #21
                                          1 run will win the way this is going..
                                          Comment
                                          • 2daBank
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 88966

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by krk1030
                                            1 run will win the way this is going..
                                            I was just thinking the 1st team to score might take this one.
                                            Comment
                                            • krk1030
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-13-08
                                              • 17610

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                                              I was just thinking the 1st team to score might take this one.
                                              Lets hope so.

                                              Belt solo shot 1-0 good guys.
                                              Comment
                                              • 2daBank
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-26-09
                                                • 88966

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by krk1030
                                                Lets hope so.

                                                Belt solo shot 1-0 good guys.
                                                Nice!
                                                Comment
                                                • 2daBank
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                  • 88966

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by KVB
                                                  Daayaam, flood gates opened in Zona.

                                                  They need to get this under control for a few innings.

                                                  Yikes.
                                                  That game took a incredibly quick unfortunate turn for the worse for you.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • krk1030
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 08-13-08
                                                    • 17610

                                                    #26
                                                    Bullshit ball right on the corner and the ump calls it a ball to walk in a run.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 2daBank
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                      • 88966

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by krk1030
                                                      Bullshit ball right on the corner and the ump calls it a ball to walk in a run.
                                                      Better question is wtf happened to this assholes control? 5 freaking walks now!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • krk1030
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 08-13-08
                                                        • 17610

                                                        #28
                                                        Bumgarner pitching like he forgot the rules of the sport.

                                                        Throw it over the fukking plate.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • MontrealCrw
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 06-07-18
                                                          • 283

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by MontrealCrw
                                                          Bum is washed up, been unstoppable in playoffs though
                                                          Originally posted by ikid2groove415
                                                          2.90 era is wash up ? He’s been injured the last 2 season - Canadians should stick to hockey
                                                          Walk, single, walk, walks bases loaded, walks another bases loaded

                                                          Maybe you should stick to hockey buddy

                                                          Clown Show
                                                          Comment
                                                          • CantFeelMyFace
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 01-17-12
                                                            • 372

                                                            #30
                                                            fukkin joke.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • krk1030
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 08-13-08
                                                              • 17610

                                                              #31
                                                              Bumgarner sucks fukking dick
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jjgold
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 07-20-05
                                                                • 388189

                                                                #32
                                                                Bad day here
                                                                Comment
                                                                • sourtwist
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 11-10-12
                                                                  • 9364

                                                                  #33
                                                                  this one is gonna hurt
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 2daBank
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-26-09
                                                                    • 88966

                                                                    #34
                                                                    This not good, we gotta get those runs back like quick fast and in a hurry, A’s don’t lose games when leading into the 7th. Can’t believd bumfucker just fell the fukk apart like that, what happened? I was watching cards game. Mfer just stopped throwing strikes? Or he been throwing trash and A’s simply stopped swinging at it?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • krk1030
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 08-13-08
                                                                      • 17610

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                      This not good, we gotta get those runs back like quick fast and in a hurry, A’s don’t lose games when leading into the 7th. Can’t believd bumfucker just fell the fukk apart like that, what happened? I was watching cards game. Mfer just stopped throwing strikes? Or he been throwing trash and A’s simply stopped swinging at it?
                                                                      Ump stopped giving him any calls.

                                                                      But most pitches were not even close.
                                                                      Comment
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