Taking a shot with the Phillies today

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • SEAHAWKHARRY
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 11-29-07
    • 26068

    #1
    Taking a shot with the Phillies today
    Not a MLB genius by far but I did find some info I thought I would share on this game and the reasons why I am playing it today

    1.Matt Harvey is likely to be making his final start for the Reds today. He is likely to get traded here soon. I don’t think he’ll be too focused for this game with all the trade rumors surrounding his name.

    2.His last start Harvey is coming off his worst outing as a Red. He was lit up for 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 3 2/3 innings of a 2-9 home loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates.

    3.Vincent Velasquez has been at his best on the road this season, going 2-3 with a 2.42 ERA and 1.119 WHIP in eight starts.

    4.Velasquez has been lights out in his last three starts, going 1-0 with a 0.60 ERA and 0.667 WHIP.

    I am a recreational gambler who bets 20-30 a game right now
    I'm much better at NFL CFL(ncaa)
    But I like this spot here for a unit
    Good luck
    Last edited by SEAHAWKHARRY; 07-28-18, 10:35 AM.
  • pimike
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 03-23-08
    • 37139

    #2
    Thanks for sharing!


    Comment
    • Easy-Rider 66
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 02-14-12
      • 36043

      #3
      GL Harry.
      Comment
      • Sam Losco
        SBR MVP
        • 12-03-16
        • 3858

        #4
        in regards to point 1... not focused? its gonna be the opposite... hes motivated to play somewhere where he will get meaningful baseball

        cant argue with the rest

        good luck
        Comment
        • Al Masters
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 04-29-06
          • 6940

          #5
          Sounds reasonable!

          Bol with the play!
          Comment
          • SEAHAWKHARRY
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 11-29-07
            • 26068

            #6
            Gracing amigos
            And in regards to point 1 Matt's a emotional pitcher I'm betting on it today that the stress of anticipation of being traded will effect his control
            Then again he could home it all in and throw a no hitter lmao..just my luck lol
            Anyways it's just my view on this game
            Good luck
            Comment
            • krk1030
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-13-08
              • 17609

              #7
              Leftys mash Harvey. Phillies have almost all leftys except for Hoskins and Franco.
              Comment
              • SEAHAWKHARRY
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 11-29-07
                • 26068

                #8
                Originally posted by krk1030
                Leftys mash Harvey. Phillies have almost all leftys except for Hoskins and Franco.
                Another great point thanks krk1030
                Comment
                • USCPHILLYGUY
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-15-12
                  • 21744

                  #9
                  Harvey 4-0 previous 5 before his last outing vs. Pittsburgh.
                  Comment
                  • unusialsusp5
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-18-10
                    • 4197

                    #10
                    harvey wants out of cincinnati and is waiting for a contender to trade a b level prospect for him. this outing is an audition on which everything depends him performing well today.
                    Comment
                    • SEAHAWKHARRY
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 11-29-07
                      • 26068

                      #11
                      Originally posted by USCPHILLYGUY
                      Harvey 4-0 previous 5 before his last outing vs. Pittsburgh.
                      Yes this is true I think Matt fails here in this start but again I am guessing here with what I see. He is facing a lineup of lefties
                      Comment
                      • USCPHILLYGUY
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-15-12
                        • 21744

                        #12
                        Originally posted by krk1030
                        Leftys mash Harvey. Phillies have almost all leftys except for Hoskins and Franco.
                        Don’t think phillys Offense is gonna scare anyone. Doubt they have a starter who’s hitting over 270
                        Comment
                        • SEAHAWKHARRY
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 11-29-07
                          • 26068

                          #13
                          Originally posted by unusialsusp5
                          harvey wants out of cincinnati and is waiting for a contender to trade a b level prospect for him. this outing is an audition on which everything depends him performing well today.
                          And when Matt gets pressured he does unwind quickly ..we will see today if he can keep it together and deal the deal..I'm betting he will not.
                          Comment
                          • klemopixx
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-02-14
                            • 3806

                            #14
                            Phils are in 1st by 2.5 over the Braves, 6 over the Nats. They have a lot to play for unlike the Reds who are in the basement by 14.5 in the NL Central. This could be one of those games where Velasquez gets blown up early but he's had great stuff lately. Phils seem like a good bet here.
                            Comment
                            • USCPHILLYGUY
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-15-12
                              • 21744

                              #15
                              Harry better games out there.

                              DeGrom -137? Come on. Guys a stud

                              splits in DH are 18-4 this year.

                              Take KC either +360 or + 275
                              Comment
                              • pimike
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 03-23-08
                                • 37139

                                #16
                                Originally posted by USCPHILLYGUY
                                Harry better games out there.

                                DeGrom -137? Come on. Guys a stud
                                He won’t pitch 9 innings.
                                Comment
                                • USCPHILLYGUY
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-15-12
                                  • 21744

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by pimike
                                  He won’t pitch 9 innings.
                                  Pitched 8 in 4 of last 6. Mutts hitting again. Like them here
                                  Comment
                                  • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 11-29-07
                                    • 26068

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by USCPHILLYGUY
                                    Pitched 8 in 4 of last 6. Mutts hitting again. Like them here
                                    Rooting for both the Phillies and Mets today like the numbers on degrom on it small but hope are winners Philly
                                    Comment
                                    • KVB
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 05-29-14
                                      • 74817

                                      #19
                                      Pretty sure I'm about to trigger a Cinci play and maybe the Under as well.

                                      Remember, it's a contrarian fund I'm working with.

                                      Whole damn world and money on Philly.

                                      Other metrics starting to make this a play.

                                      Comment
                                      • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 11-29-07
                                        • 26068

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by KVB
                                        Pretty sure I'm about to trigger a Cinci play and maybe the Under as well.

                                        Remember, it's a contrarian fund I'm working with.

                                        Whole damn world and money on Philly.

                                        Other metrics starting to make this a play.

                                        No worries good luck today on your plays KVB
                                        Comment
                                        • USCPHILLYGUY
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-15-12
                                          • 21744

                                          #21
                                          Philly been winning with smoke & mirrors all year. Went all in on Machado and lost. So many games this year more runs than hits. Middle relief been keeping them in games
                                          Comment
                                          • Dogball
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 04-15-10
                                            • 625

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by KVB
                                            Pretty sure I'm about to trigger a Cinci play and maybe the Under as well.

                                            Remember, it's a contrarian fund I'm working with.

                                            Whole damn world and money on Philly.

                                            Other metrics starting to make this a play.

                                            Exactly. Everyone on philly. Fade
                                            Comment
                                            • USCPHILLYGUY
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-15-12
                                              • 21744

                                              #23
                                              Harry also on Nats tnite -150
                                              Comment
                                              • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 11-29-07
                                                • 26068

                                                #24
                                                Good Luck I'll look into it
                                                Freakin beautiful here in Diego right now 74 breezy lil humid
                                                Comment
                                                • USCPHILLYGUY
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-15-12
                                                  • 21744

                                                  #25
                                                  Also philly 3-14 last 17 in Cincinnati

                                                  taking Under in Cubbies game
                                                  Comment
                                                  • KVB
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                    • 74817

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by USCPHILLYGUY
                                                    Philly been winning with smoke & mirrors all year. Went all in on Machado and lost. So many games this year more runs than hits. Middle relief been keeping them in games
                                                    Originally posted by USCPHILLYGUY
                                                    Also philly 3-14 last 17 in Cincinnati...
                                                    Brutal.

                                                    Serious looking at Cinci here. PhillyGuy showing us the weakness .

                                                    Comment
                                                    • KVB
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                      • 74817

                                                      #27
                                                      Phillies taking heavy action today but the books just not moving that line.

                                                      Hmmmm.

                                                      The Under is also developing. At least there's been some movement higher on that line, with all the over pressure.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • KVB
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                        • 74817

                                                        #28
                                                        Line finally starting to move on Philly.

                                                        This gives the contrarian play a better look.

                                                        If we see a sudden, even small, RLM, Cinci becomes the play.

                                                        Comment
                                                        • USCPHILLYGUY
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-15-12
                                                          • 21744

                                                          #29
                                                          Guy they got from the Mets starting & batting 5th.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 11-29-07
                                                            • 26068

                                                            #30
                                                            Cabrera
                                                            Comment
                                                            • unde0087
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 03-27-08
                                                              • 28861

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by USCPHILLYGUY
                                                              Pitched 8 in 4 of last 6. Mutts hitting again. Like them here
                                                              DeGrom doesn't get run support and never gets any help from bullpen. They guy seriously is the best pitcher in baseball and can't get a win. Case and point:

                                                              Last 3 games, he has a 1.12 ERA, he has averaged 8 innings per start, and hasn't recorded a win. That is how pathetic the rest of the team is when he is on the hill. That just screams stay the fuk away.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • USCPHILLYGUY
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-15-12
                                                                • 21744

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by unde0087
                                                                DeGrom doesn't get run support and never gets any help from bullpen. They guy seriously is the best pitcher in baseball and can't get a win. Case and point:

                                                                Last 3 games, he has a 1.12 ERA, he has averaged 8 innings per start, and hasn't recorded a win. That is how pathetic the rest of the team is when he is on the hill. That just screams stay the fuk away.
                                                                Getting the guy at-127 now says good value
                                                                Comment
                                                                • unde0087
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 03-27-08
                                                                  • 28861

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by USCPHILLYGUY
                                                                  Getting the guy at-127 now says good value
                                                                  I hope you win, and Mets should win when he is on the mound, but seriously there is a reason you are getting that price.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • KVB
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                                    • 74817

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by KVB
                                                                    Line finally starting to move on Philly.

                                                                    This gives the contrarian play a better look.

                                                                    If we see a sudden, even small, RLM, Cinci becomes the play...
                                                                    Tickets still high here, but according to my sources the money is getting more split and less one sided.

                                                                    The market was waiting and responded to that little move.

                                                                    Books set a good line here and can control and split their action.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • pimike
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 03-23-08
                                                                      • 37139

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY
                                                                      Good Luck I'll look into it
                                                                      Freakin beautiful here in Diego right now 74 breezy lil humid
                                                                      If I fly in tomorrow you have time for a Padres game? I’ll buy.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...