Ncaa hoops a winning strategy

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  • Festoon
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-22-18
    • 605

    #1
    Ncaa hoops a winning strategy
    ​Good morning and good luck to you all with your plays today. I love this time of year, the real race to March Madness the end of non-conference games. Having been around the game of sport wagering for over 40 years, I like most of you have all attempted to use our own betting strategies and styles to make money. Can't say that I haven't had my years of losing but I keep playing because of my passion for all sports. I can say of all the sports, college hoops is where I have had most of my success. I'm a very superstitious guy and don't normally like to post picks in fear of jinxing myself. It's time to get over it for now...Posting them hopefully will only add to the excitement. I don't wager on too many games in hopes of keeping my winning percentage on the right side.
    Typically on week days I bet no more than 2 a day, on weekends maybe up to 5 if the games fit the system. I can sift through numerous games that fit and then concentrate on those games and find the right one that are beneficial. Not going to bore you with all the statistics and numbers I crunch. Having said that, it's not perfect and I still lose my share of games, but I can say that over the long haul it seems to have worked. I will keep my record posted and see if it's worth keeping this thread alive or I have jinxed myself once again and will gladly throw in the towel and walk away wagging my tail..LOL. Though I've followed and read this site for years, I'm a fairly new member. Can someone please tell me how many games would you attempt to predict before throwing in the towel? 20-30 or more?

    Here we go two games on deck today. (Lines courtesy of 888)


    MARQUETTE GOLDEN EAGLES -7.5

    SOUTH DAKOTA STATE JACKRABBITS -3.5

    RECORD 0-0
    Last edited by Festoon; 01-06-19, 02:32 PM. Reason: change title
  • Hman
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-04-17
    • 21429

    #2
    Good morning & good luck!
    Comment
    • Festoon
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 12-22-18
      • 605

      #3
      Marquette wire to wire, despite both teams playing poorly...always nice to have a stress free play.
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388189

        #4
        Why do all these new guys have the same exact theme?
        Comment
        • Festoon
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 12-22-18
          • 605

          #5
          Ncaa hoops...race to march madness

          Originally posted by jjgold
          Why do all these new guys have the same exact theme?
          Not quite sure what you mean JJ. Not sure if I titled the thread correctly or not? I would change the title, but when I attempt to edit it, it doesn't allow me to...any ideas your a wiley veteran.
          Last edited by Festoon; 01-06-19, 02:43 PM. Reason: change title
          Comment
          • Festoon
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 12-22-18
            • 605

            #6
            One more game that fits the mold tonight. Since I don't have the time at the moment I will describe my betting style and how it works later tonight. Saying that what I can say is my starting Bankroll is $1000 and my first bet was $50.


            WISCONSIN BADGERS -2


            Comment
            • TTA_President
              SBR MVP
              • 07-14-10
              • 1434

              #7
              Best of luck
              Comment
              • Bostongambler
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 02-01-08
                • 35581

                #8
                Good luck toon
                Comment
                • Festoon
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 12-22-18
                  • 605

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Bostongambler
                  Good luck toon
                  Thanks Boston I appreciate it...I know we have had our differences but its all fun and games to me
                  Comment
                  • Festoon
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 12-22-18
                    • 605

                    #10
                    Have a little time here so I will explain, I've mentioned it in another post way back, but as a retired accountant I love numbers and this seems to work for me. I know I'm a fairly disciplined gambler, I have made all the same mistakes (INSANITY COMES TO MIND)... as long as you've learned something it keeps you on track. This style the account lasts quite a while, I rack up the points on my site for future dollars and typically get a $100 free bet per week...thanks to 888. Having read a recent post I don't deal with units either, but if you do, I always start each round with $50 so consider that a unit (will add). Since I came out of the gate early with 2 stress free wins, this is how the wagers broke down.

                    1) 1st Bet risk $50 return $94.50- MARQUETTE -117 (1 unit)

                    2) 2nd Bet risk $94.50 return $177.66- SOUTH DAKOTA STATE -115 (2 units)

                    **AT THIS POINT I TAKE OUT MY ORIGINAL BET AND PLAY WITH HOUSE MONEY**

                    UPDATED ACCOUNT: $127.66

                    3) 3rd Bet risk $127.66 return $251.35- WISCONSON -115 (2.5 units)

                    ** 5-6 GAME STREAK IT GETS INTERESTING**

                    RECORD 2-0: ACCOUNT $1000
                    Last edited by Festoon; 01-08-19, 01:26 PM.
                    Comment
                    • Festoon
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 12-22-18
                      • 605

                      #11
                      Can't say that my plays work that well all the time...but nice when you get 3 straight wire to wire wins. Not to get to excited because I know how easy it is to drop 3 straight. But it does feel good that all the grinding and crunching numbers worked, makes it all worth while. Overall I profited $251.35 for the day and am looking forward to the next play. Unfortunately, there are only 2 games on the card tomorrow and either game fits. Will take a pass and maybe play a little poker for a change and get right back at it on Tuesday.

                      Good Luck and Cheers to all

                      RECORD: 3-0 (+5.5 units)

                      UPDATED ACCOUNT: $1251.35
                      Last edited by Festoon; 01-08-19, 01:27 PM.
                      Comment
                      • 2ndchance
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-14-17
                        • 1056

                        #12
                        Good job!!
                        Comment
                        • The Shooter
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-24-16
                          • 2034

                          #13
                          Nice start there Uncle Fester. Keep doing what your doing. Seems to be working for ya! The shooter will be watching. Stay disciplined and stay strong and hopefully your 1250$ lasts long !
                          Comment
                          • The Shooter
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-24-16
                            • 2034

                            #14
                            Originally posted by jjgold
                            Why do all these new guys have the same exact theme?
                            How come your such a miserable prick ? Have you ever just watched someone win a game or 2 and said “hey man nice work ?” Or do you constantly creep around on everyone’s thread and just post a negative arrogant comment like your the Jesus of the gambling world and everyone else is a piece of shit like Judas? You need to get a load off without your hand for once, maybe that would loosen ya up a bit and brighten your day. I’d love to be the owner of the porn websites that you constantly pay for the live video chats with their employees, I’d have even more cash then I already do. Time to do the real thing JJ, it might actually help your well being Oscar the Grouch
                            Comment
                            • FlyinAir
                              SBR MVP
                              • 07-14-14
                              • 1612

                              #15
                              Comment
                              • ans61201
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-11-15
                                • 3661

                                #16
                                Originally posted by The Shooter
                                How come your such a miserable prick ? Have you ever just watched someone win a game or 2 and said “hey man nice work ?” Or do you constantly creep around on everyone’s thread and just post a negative arrogant comment like your the Jesus of the gambling world and everyone else is a piece of shit like Judas? You need to get a load off without your hand for once, maybe that would loosen ya up a bit and brighten your day. I’d love to be the owner of the porn websites that you constantly pay for the live video chats with their employees, I’d have even more cash then I already do. Time to do the real thing JJ, it might actually help your well being Oscar the Grouch

                                Probably just a coincidence the ghost accounts only comment in one another’s posts 😂🤣
                                Comment
                                • TheMoneyShot
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 02-14-07
                                  • 28672

                                  #17
                                  Shi##er stay in your own thread clown.
                                  Comment
                                  • The Shooter
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-24-16
                                    • 2034

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by ans61201
                                    Probably just a coincidence the ghost accounts only comment in one another’s posts 藍
                                    Shut your fookin mouth ANALABUSEBOY...how many times do I have to spoon feed you another Texas tablespoon full of spunk for you to keep your mouth closed? Like so people just never take the L and move on. Always take it so personal and just live breathe and die for a chance to comeback. Your a know body ANALBEED...what’s it going to take to realize that?
                                    Comment
                                    • The Shooter
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-24-16
                                      • 2034

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                                      Shi##er stay in your own thread clown.
                                      That’s similar to what I always tell your mom SPUNKFACE.....but it’s usually something to do with keep going while she’s giving me head. Similar though and they both rhyme. Love the way MrsMoneyshot gobbles on my bird like a Thanksgiving Butterball Turkey. She handles it pretty well for an old bag, it’s like she’s gobbled on 500-10,000 Randy Johnson’s in here lifetime. She’s not the best looking but she sucks a good c.o.c.k and always slurps away till THE SHOOTER says stop.
                                      Comment
                                      • Festoon
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 12-22-18
                                        • 605

                                        #20
                                        I don't bet more than I can afford, to me it's minimal and I can afford it. Not looking to making 10's of 1000's of dollars, I just like to have a little skin on the games. My betting style, I have used for many years and I have made enough withdrawals for me to know it works. As a small time poker player I call it the PUSH RAISE. I'm not stupid enough to keep pushing the envelope and shoving all-in after each win. As the wins start to mount I will pull out winnings for my next round. I consider myself a disciplined gambler I keep to the plan $50 to start. I feel confident enough that I've done all the homework I can, to get that extra edge. Actually if you look back at my first thread I started off winning six strait. I cashed in for my own personal reasons and let the thread go. I had fun with it and that's why I figured why not try it again, hoping the next few months will fly by (can't wait for golf). I would never guarantee or say one of my plays is a lock. However, you can assure that I've crunched all the numbers on the particular plays. (I refer to it as being SHARP)
                                        Finally this is a message to JJ, I kind of envy you, it appears that you've been able to do this for a living. But, I challenge you to this. I will post 100 picks and I bet I will hit at least 60 games. CALL IT COCKINESS IF YOU WANT... If not, I will leave, close my account and you will never hear from me again. If I do, you have to do the same...LOL.
                                        I'm including my 3-0 start BTW and should include my first 6-0-1P record that is documented on my previous thread, but I'm confident enough I will cut you a break.
                                        I am not a pro and would never profess to be one. I'm not a tout and that's not why I'm doing this. I'm retired live very comfortable and have more time than I know what to with.

                                        GOOD LUCK FESTOON
                                        Last edited by Festoon; 01-11-19, 09:46 AM.
                                        Comment
                                        • MikeTizzy
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-09-12
                                          • 1192

                                          #21
                                          kill JJ, TONNERZ.
                                          Comment
                                          • Big Bear
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 11-01-11
                                            • 43253

                                            #22
                                            Just fade the overweight coaches. How can you be a short fat bald white giy and motivate these guys?
                                            Comment
                                            • doubledime
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 04-22-09
                                              • 9751

                                              #23
                                              Good luck, and welcome to SBR
                                              Comment
                                              • KVB
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 05-29-14
                                                • 74817

                                                #24
                                                Good Luck Festoon!!

                                                Comment
                                                • Festoon
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 12-22-18
                                                  • 605

                                                  #25
                                                  Thanks from all of you...just wanted JJ to know that not all newbies are wannabee's. He pissed me off! LOL

                                                  Last edited by Festoon; 01-08-19, 01:29 PM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Bostongambler
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 02-01-08
                                                    • 35581

                                                    #26
                                                    Geez man, I read War & Peace in quicker time.

                                                    Good luck
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Festoon
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 12-22-18
                                                      • 605

                                                      #27
                                                      [QUOTE=Bostongambler;28318955]Geez man, I read War & Peace in quicker time.



                                                      Lol...was never the intent of writing all that...once I started I couldnt stop. Was time to let people know where I was coming from that's all.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • The Shooter
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-24-16
                                                        • 2034

                                                        #28
                                                        [QUOTE=Festoon;28319039]
                                                        Originally posted by Bostongambler
                                                        Geez man, I read War & Peace in quicker time.



                                                        Lol...was never the intent of writing all that...once I started I couldnt stop. Was time to let people know where I was coming from that's all.
                                                        Where in gods name did you come up with festoon?? And what’s with the happy face ? Some sort of higher power eh Uncle Festy!!!! Lol....what the hell does that mean ?

                                                        love everyone’s favourite capper

                                                        THE SHOOTER!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • matt711
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 07-09-12
                                                          • 2282

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Festoon
                                                          Can't say that my plays work that well all the time...but nice when you get 3 straight wire to wire wins. Not to get to excited because I know how easy it is to drop 3 straight. But it does feel good that all the grinding and crunching numbers work, makes it all worth while. Overall I profited $251.35 for the day and am looking forward to the next play. Unfortunately, there are only 2 games on the card tomorrow and either game fits. Will take a pass and maybe play a little poker for a change and get right back at it on Tuesday.

                                                          Good Luck and Cheers to all

                                                          RECORD: 3-0 (+5.5 units)

                                                          UPDATED ACCOUNT: $1251.35
                                                          Good luck
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Festoon
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 12-22-18
                                                            • 605

                                                            #30
                                                            [QUOTE=The Shooter;28319359]
                                                            Originally posted by Festoon
                                                            Where in gods name did you come up with festoon?? And what’s with the happy face ? Some sort of higher power eh Uncle Festy!!!! Lol....what the hell does that mean ?

                                                            love everyone’s favourite capper

                                                            THE SHOOTER!!!
                                                            Sorry Shooter had to edit the entire post. I'm sure you read it and some others to... so now you know.
                                                            Last edited by Festoon; 01-07-19, 09:51 PM.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Bostongambler
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 02-01-08
                                                              • 35581

                                                              #31
                                                              Ok, Pontoon enough with the fukken novels already
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Festoon
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 12-22-18
                                                                • 605

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Bostongambler
                                                                Ok, Pontoon enough with the fukken novels already
                                                                LOL... I'm glad I got that out my system, moving forward this thread is for plays only. Unfortunately, nothing fits tonight, so I will sit back and enjoy this game.

                                                                GOOD LUCK all with your plays tonight, I will be back for some plays tomorrow.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • KVB
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 05-29-14
                                                                  • 74817

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Bostongambler
                                                                  Ok, Pontoon enough with the fukken novels already
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • The Shooter
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-24-16
                                                                    • 2034

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Deep shit Uncle Fester. The story of Festoon. Could bring a tear to a glass eye!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Festoon
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 12-22-18
                                                                      • 605

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Good morning, well at least the 1st quarter was entertaining, went 1 and 1 with my selections last night on that game. Although I lost with Bama I did however hit on the coin flip. In the future remember this "a little head in the morning and good ole tail in the afternoon". I've used that theory for years and its worked.
                                                                      Back to business don't usually post a game this early but I expect the line to move north. Typically I like to spread my plays out, so I can play my PUSH RAISE THEORY on the next game (7pm-9pm). I'm having said that first play. (Bet #4)

                                                                      ORIGINAL ACCOUNT: $1000

                                                                      EXISTING ACCOUNT: $1251.35 (+5.5 units)

                                                                      4) 4th Bet risk $175 return $329 - BALL STATE CARDINALS -11.5 -114 (1.75 units)


                                                                      UPDATED ACCOUNT: $1076.35

                                                                      RECORD: 3-0
                                                                      Last edited by Festoon; 01-08-19, 01:30 PM.
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