champions league wed who you got

**Thrilla** · 02-13-19, 02:29 AM

Oh dude you bet this match already?

You asked for a good soccer play in that tennis thread. Well here I am delivering it's Ajax +0.5 at +105. In other words double chance Ajax.

Public and squares on Real Madrid. Betting against Ajax at home who hasn't lost a game in all 3 competitions at home this season at that shitty Real madrid price. lol...I guess people are being misguided by Ajax's recent poor results. Well I would have bet against them in those spots too. They were outmotivated and outlucked. Anyway

Odds here should be something like Ajax+175 Draw+200 Real Madrid+150.

So value on Ajax imo. GL

**Thrilla** · 02-13-19, 02:37 AM

Cinci I don't like that over either. This is the first leg of a knock-out stage game. Never bet overs in the first leg! Especially at those terrible odds.

**eaglesfan371** · 02-13-19, 02:44 AM

1-1 draw both matches

**Thrilla** · 02-13-19, 02:51 AM

**trobin31** · 02-13-19, 10:43 AM

Ajax/RM: couldn't put two teams going in completely opposite forms in the competition if they tried. Ajax performed spectacularly in the early stages but have been realing since selling off some their stars and getting hammered in their subtier home league. This line is one of the more baffling lines I've seen this week as I think anyone with a birds eye view would make Real Madrid -200. The only reasons I can see for this is Real Madrid I believe are playing their 3rd straight road game including major rivalry games against barcelona and athletic within 1 week. There is a solid chance RM might be looking to collect a handful of away goals get home to rest. However, nothing of their recent form indicates this is their mindset and the talent on the opposing side wod likely meet relegation in LaLiga. Personally I think the safe play is Real Madrid over 1.5 goals but I will also have some stake in RM -1 as well.

Tottenham/Dortmund: Spurs have played extremely poor competitors in EPL the past few weeks and have made the most of it despite missing one of their 2 stars in each game. They've been a defensive team but not sure they've faced a pressing attack with the likes of Dortmund. The Bundesliga leaders have been giving up goals even when they are not playing so hard to see how they keep Tottenham out of the net. The over 2.5 seems most reasonable bet here but I honestly staying away unless someone else has a better angle. I would like Tottenham tt over 1.5 if Kane were playing but not sure how you could trust them w/o him. I know they've played well in his absence but look who they played. Any thoughts?

**cincinnatikid513** · 02-13-19, 10:48 AM

Originally posted by trobin31

Ajax/RM: couldn't put two teams going in completely opposite forms in the competition if they tried. Ajax performed spectacularly in the early stages but have been realing since selling off some their stars and getting hammered in their subtier home league. This line is one of the more baffling lines I've seen this week as I think anyone with a birds eye view would make Real Madrid -200. The only reasons I can see for this is Real Madrid I believe are playing their 3rd straight road game including major rivalry games against barcelona and athletic within 1 week. There is a solid chance RM might be looking to collect a handful of away goals get home to rest. However, nothing of their recent form indicates this is their mindset and the talent on the opposing side wod likely meet relegation in LaLiga. Personally I think the safe play is Real Madrid over 1.5 goals but I will also have some stake in RM -1 as well.

Tottenham/Dortmund: Spurs have played extremely poor competitors in EPL the past few weeks and have made the most of it despite missing one of their 2 stars in each game. They've been a defensive team but not sure they've faced a pressing attack with the likes of Dortmund. The Bundesliga leaders have been giving up goals even when they are not playing so hard to see how they keep Tottenham out of the net. The over 2.5 seems most reasonable bet here but I honestly staying away unless someone else has a better angle. I would like Tottenham tt over 1.5 if Kane were playing but not sure how you could trust them w/o him. I know they've played well in his absence but look who they played. Any thoughts?

i dont know what to do about that tottenham game feels like a draw kinda game maybe 1-1

**trobin31** · 02-13-19, 11:09 AM

Originally posted by cincinnatikid513

i dont know what to do about that tottenham game feels like a draw kinda game maybe 1-1

Yeah the contrarian plays today are Ajax +0.5 and under, also under in Tottenham, only play I feel good about is real Madrid goals but just looked at the odds on outcomes and 1-1 draw if lowest prices at +620, while 2-1 is +695 which makes zero sense. I don't see how Ajax can park the bus against Real Madrid when the just put up 3 goals at Atletico Madrid.

**dbouchot** · 02-13-19, 11:22 AM

I'm on Ajax at +250 for 1.5 units and Ajax win or tie at -120 for 3 units, GL today.

**lakerboy** · 02-13-19, 11:23 AM

Both dogs ml

**zalozite** · 02-13-19, 11:55 AM

It was difficult matches to win yesterday, i try Man Utd, after good performance, but it happened 2, then over 2.5 it was under, so today maybe totenham will win, but not so sure.

**Thrilla** · 02-13-19, 12:52 PM

trobin added more reason for me to like Ajax. Real Madrid 3rd straight road game in short time he said. 3rd one being in a different country. OK

**trobin31** · 02-13-19, 01:46 PM

the more I look at this I see value in grabbing Madrid 1H.

I don't have access to bet365 or another book that offers 1H -1 line but if you can get RM -1 1H at +400 or even -1.5 1H +500s I like it.

RM can get up early and then pack it in for second half, thus opening the door to grab Ajax at a nice price to come back 2nd half.

Either way if you are taking g Madrid full game I'd be looking to hedge if they grab a nice lead

**Thrilla** · 02-13-19, 01:58 PM

Home advantage stronger early in the match. Thus first half. I rarely play first half road team unless I think it's a dog catching the home favorite off guard. Not the case here.

**trobin31** · 02-13-19, 02:42 PM

Here's my final card for CL. Good luck fellas. The RM tt over 0.5 is 1H

**Thrilla** · 02-13-19, 03:13 PM

10 minutes in and Real Madrid on the ml is +140

**cincinnatikid513** · 02-13-19, 03:24 PM

Originally posted by Thrilla

10 minutes in and Real Madrid on the ml is +140

let's see what those odds are when real goes up 1-0 before half

**Thrilla** · 02-13-19, 03:29 PM

Originally posted by cincinnatikid513

let's see what those odds are when real goes up 1-0 before half

Dude are you for real?

**cincinnatikid513** · 02-13-19, 03:33 PM

Originally posted by Thrilla

Dude are you for real?

more real than a hillary clinton presidency

**Thrilla** · 02-13-19, 03:34 PM

Half an hour in and it's knocking on the pickem door.

**Duckshit** · 02-13-19, 03:37 PM

Originally posted by cincinnatikid513

2 games wed real madrid at ajax dortmund at tottenham

i'm going with a real madrid beat down tommorow, 3-1 4-1 read madrid over ajax

SOC [11023] REAL MADRID -1+170

1000.00 USD / 1700.00 USD

SOC [11023] TOTAL o3½+130 (REAL MADRID vrs AJAX)

1000.00 USD / 1300.00 USD

Seaweed of soccer.....

**cincinnatikid513** · 02-13-19, 03:42 PM

i ll have to remember to start pro only threads now on for the broke dikks in the peanut gallery

**Duckshit** · 02-13-19, 03:47 PM

Every wager is Thousands of Dollars and he NEVER wins.....

**Thrilla** · 02-13-19, 03:47 PM

Ajax officially the favorite now. I win no matter the result.

**cincinnatikid513** · 02-13-19, 03:51 PM

Originally posted by Duckshit

Every wager is Thousands of Dollars and he NEVER wins.....

i won 10k last week on phil mickelson, this week bubba wins me 21k

**Thrilla** · 02-13-19, 03:51 PM

Mr. van Gaal said that there isn't much difference between this and the Golden mid 90s Ajax.

**cincinnatikid513** · 02-13-19, 03:53 PM

Originally posted by Thrilla

Ajax officially the favorite now. I win no matter the result.

not game i hoped for i should known better 1st legs are tight more goals in 2nd

**trobin31** · 02-13-19, 03:54 PM

RIP realMadrid, good job ajax backers,

**Thrilla** · 02-13-19, 04:00 PM

Originally posted by trobin31

RIP realMadrid, good job ajax backers,

Too early for that. Tactical changes are instructed in the lockerroom.

**dbouchot** · 02-13-19, 04:57 PM

really good game by Ajax outplayed Madrid most of the game but when it came to score they couln't finish, congrats to the winners!

**Thrilla** · 02-13-19, 05:03 PM

Originally posted by dbouchot

really good game by Ajax outplayed Madrid most of the game but when it came to score they couln't finish, congrats to the winners!

Yep. To the people don't be thinking this was a lucky win for Real when they do advance and bet against them in the next round based on this game. Ajax is just that good and underrated on the international stage. Ajax slapped Bayern around twice but couldn't get the win in the end. Just like today.

**trobin31** · 02-13-19, 05:32 PM

Small winning day, picked up one unit, hitting the 3:1 correct score would’ve been nice, should’ve avoided the 1st half plays.

Next week week looks like some tight games, atm/juventus, Liverpool/Munich, schalke/Man city, Barca at Lyon. Both man city and Barca away favorites. Assuming man city and Barca will be heavy public sides.

Europa league tomorrow, Arsenal and Chelsea look good if they field a decent team.

Probably look closely at fading most of those Russian teams that have been sitting on their asses the past month.

**Thrilla** · 02-13-19, 10:53 PM

Ajax opened +898 now +714 on Pinnacle. For the return leg.

You know what to do.

**cincinnatikid513** · 02-13-19, 10:55 PM

Originally posted by Thrilla

Ajax opened +898 now +714 on Pinnacle. For the return leg.

You know what to do.

ajax going to get thumped

**cryptocap** · 02-14-19, 12:30 AM

Real got it done. They snatched victory from a very determined Ajax team who were unlucky at times...Exactly how I thought it could go.