Tuesday Play?? Pounded The Last Night

**KVB** · 06-11-19, 04:12 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Also seeing some indications bringing the second game of the NYM NYY UNDER 9 on the Fund radar.

I need some updated information there, though.

I wish I had time to put in more input, but to give you an idea, what is attractive in the contrarian sense is that the reports and input I get are put together to get a general picture.

The evidence shows the UNDER has been hit with the early money but that the bets, or what could be construed as the public, are on the OVER.

History shows these market conditions favor the UNDER and with enough info, bet samples, and time, can lead to an adjustment in the forecast for the game.

Right now, the stacking percentages forecast I create has a 9 point game, or just a hair over that.

We could see an adjustment that creates value in the UNDER bet...

As information came in on this one, it looks like things evened out a bit and the line looks too sharp to bet into at 9. This example was a good look into the process.

MIA and SF remain strong Contrarian plays. As we approach the last hour before the first action, look for a play to trigger.

**sosawestbrook** · 06-11-19, 04:20 PM

KVB would you be able to explain the line movement on STL/MIA total? went from 8.5 to 8 to 7.5 for a little bit at my book. doesn't make much sense to me

**KVB** · 06-11-19, 04:27 PM

Picked up three more moneylines in the Fund...

Originally posted by KVB

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

951	11-Jun	ARI +127
955		PIT +139
963		OAK +141

...

**KVB** · 06-11-19, 04:29 PM

Added that OAK RL...

Originally posted by KVB

The KVB MLB Contrarain RL Fund has picked up...

963

11-Jun

OAK +1.5 (-140)

...

**KVB** · 06-11-19, 04:34 PM

Here are those MIA and SF plays...

Originally posted by KVB

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

954	11-Jun	MIA +131
960		SF +135

Big night...

**KVB** · 06-11-19, 04:39 PM

Originally posted by sosawestbrook

KVB would you be able to explain the line movement on STL/MIA total? went from 8.5 to 8 to 7.5 for a little bit at my book. doesn't make much sense to me

Books definitely blinking here. I see tickets on the UNDER but even more money from what I can tell.

This was steam situation for sure and not much in the way of bets going the other way. The books just had to fall.

The action could have started at BetOnline that triggered the fall, but it was market wide. Didn't see a pitcher change or major injury news, the number was just too high.

It seems.

**sosawestbrook** · 06-11-19, 04:57 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Books definitely blinking here. I see tickets on the UNDER but even more money from what I can tell.

This was steam situation for sure and not much in the way of bets going the other way. The books just had to fall.

The action could have started at BetOnline that triggered the fall, but it was market wide. Didn't see a pitcher change or major injury news, the number was just too high.

It seems.

fukk bro you are a market wizard.

thanks for the knowledge

**jjgold** · 06-11-19, 05:43 PM

Lines are tighter than ever now

You’re really got to take liens early if You like salmon or something and think it’s going to move

**funnyb25** · 06-11-19, 05:44 PM

Salmon or Trout?

**JIBBBY** · 06-12-19, 01:08 AM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Dodgers should rebound tonight against the Angels.. That's all I got..

This was a bust tonight my bad.. Dodgers get swept by the Angels of all teams.. SOB!!!

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: live game updates, stats, play-by-play

https://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/los-angeles-dodgers-los-angeles-angels-390611103/

Sports News, Scores, Fantasy Games

Gotta bump the good with the bad.. I really thought the Dodgers would respond tonight after the heart break loss last night.. No suck luck. Dodgers might be reeling now facing the Cubs tomorrow.. I'm laying off them for a bit now.. This one stung a bit... Next...

$148.00

$100.00

Loss

6/11/19 10:07pm MLB Baseball 979 Los Angeles Dodgers -148* vs Los Angeles Angels (K Maeda - R must Start C Bedrosian - R must Start)

**KVB** · 06-15-19, 04:04 PM

Some major maintenance here, catching up with daily results...

Originally posted by KVB

Here come those results, starting with Tuesday...

Trailing 10-1 in the top of the 9th, the Cubs scored 2 runs to make it 10-3, spoiling the UNDER 12.

Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund after Tuesday, through 290 plays, touching -20 units again...

951	11-Jun	ARI +127	-1
952		ARI/PHI UNDER 9 (-105)	-1
954		MIA +131	-1
955		PIT +139	-1
958		CHC/COL UNDER 12 (-105)	-1
960		SF +135	1.35
963		OAK +141	1.41
975		MIL +108	-1

		Tue	-3.24

		Weeks 1-5	-1.32
		Weeks 6-10	-1.23
		Week 11	-17.75
		Mon	2.93

		Total	-20.61

Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund after Tue, through 54 plays...

918	10-Jun	LAA +1.5 (+100)	1
963	11-Jun	OAK +1.5 (-140)	0.71

		Week 12	1.71

		Weeks 1-5	-4.92
		Weeks 6-10	-4.59
		Week 11	2.39

		Total	-5.41

...

Gotta just keep on pressing...