Kirk Herbstreit Says NFL And NCAA Football Should Be Postponed
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#176Comment -
#177
SOURCE: https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/index.html
CDC
Lists CDC est. influenza cases and est. deaths (past 9 years that are available)
Last column I added the simple calculation of deaths per illness case.
*If these stats are wrong please show the CDC webpage with correct info for same years.
2010/11...21,000,000....37,000...... = 1 death per 567 reported cases
2011/12.....9,300,000....12,000...... = 1 per 775
2012/13...34,000,000....43,000...... = 1 per 791
2013/14...30,000,000....38,000...... = 1 per 789
2014/15...30,000,000....51,000...... = 1 per 588
2015/16...24,000,000....23,000...... = 1 per 1,043
2016/17...29,000,000....38,000...... = 1 per 763
2017/18...45,000,000...*61,000..... = 1 per 738 *other est. is 80k, thus = 1 per 562
2018/19...35,520,883.....34,157..... = 1 per 1,040
This CDC data suggests a mean average of about 38,000 deaths per year
from a mean of 28.6 million cases each flu season....
= mean avg 1 death per 752 cases
2020 COVID-19 pandemic:
As of 6:45 pm ET, (per Johns Hopkins stats)
273,880 COVID-19 reported cases
7,077 deaths from COVID-19 (and doubling every 3-4 days)
= mean avg of 1 death per 39 cases!
Clearly COVID-19 is waaaaaaaaay more virulent (deadly)
and much WORSE than the common flu.
***If these stats are wrong please show the CDC webpage with correct info for same years.
Last edited by mezmurized2; 04-04-20, 12:59 AM.Comment -
#178Stacker
Take a seat, pal. Game, set, match.
You've lost your mind.Comment -
#179Comment -
#180there is such a high death rate because everything is being blamed on coronavirus
69 year old lenard wells died here in milwaukee, attributed to coronavirus but his family totally denies that
others just get mentioned like this and added to the total... nobody seems to notice that they are just totally random people with no proof that they even died, or how they died... 13 people and we don't know a single one of their names? i call bullshit!
"There have been three deaths in Dane County, and in two Fond du Lac and Sauk counties.
There has also been one death each in Sheboygan, Iron, Eau Claire, Rock, Washington and Waupaca counties.
No information has been released about the victims."Comment -
#181there is such a high death rate because everything is being blamed on coronavirus
69 year old lenard wells died here in milwaukee, attributed to coronavirus but his family totally denies that
others just get mentioned like this and added to the total... nobody seems to notice that they are just totally random people with no proof that they even died, or how they died... 13 people and we don't know a single one of their names? i call bullshit!
"There have been three deaths in Dane County, and in two Fond du Lac and Sauk counties.
There has also been one death each in Sheboygan, Iron, Eau Claire, Rock, Washington and Waupaca counties.
No information has been released about the victims."Comment -
#182And there are actual COVID 19 deaths occurring that are Not in the total.
My doctor buddy says the CDC testing criteria is so strict that for every 1 he tests he has 5 he cannot test but he is sure they have it. Also a lot of false negatives.
So go ahead and keep trying to minimize it. You continue to make yourselves look foolish.Comment -
#183It's a mass conspiracy by the healthcare system all over america who are in cahoots to mark every death due to CV
Comment -
#184<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">The NBA is "angling" to cancel the 2019-20 season after China's CBA shutdown, per <a href="https://twitter.com/WindhorstESPN?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@Wind horstESPN</a><br><br>"There is a significant amount of pessimism right now." <a href="https://t.co/memSPluBxQ">pic.twitter.com/memSPluBxQ</a></p>— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) <a href="https://twitter.com/BleacherReport/status/1246282349022597120?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >April 4, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>Comment -
#185
Guess what. If CV turns into pneumonia then CV was the original cause of death.
Just like if the flu causes pneumonia the flu was the original cause of death.
Some of u keep referencing the flu deaths when the flu was just the original illness not the one that caused the actual death, but you are questioning the CV death numbers?
Seriously? U are either complete imbeciles or u are biased beyond your own recognition.Comment -
#186COVID-19 is worse than flu
We need a vaccine or high probability treatment protocol before we get sports back. Real simpleComment -
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#188
And you certainly don't shut down the economy for that.Comment -
#189Doesn't mean anything until governor's open up the doors
Without schools with students on campus, there is NO college football.
So, all 50 States have to be open for businessComment -
#190The best evidence right now is that it might be 0.2% CFR, which is questionably double that of flu, but if you understand what absolute and relative risk is (another stat that people don't, because they are not critical thinkers or are indoctrinated by the media) you aren't worried at all.
And you certainly don't shut down the economy for that.Comment -
#191----------SOURCE: https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/index.html
First of all, please stop with the big type and silly fonts, it doesn't make your argument stronger, rather the opposite. And it's just annoying.
The number of "illnesses" "hospitalizations" and "deaths" for flu and covid are all estimated. The death "number" is not quite as shaky of an endpoint, however it is questionable, since people with chronic diseases certainly can't be said to have died just from flu, or covid, for that matter. Why? Any right minded person who thought someone age 40 who just dropped dead from the "flu" wouldn't consider that person "healthy", either --- but the CDC claims this happens and reports it. So let's hold the same standard for covid. Also, if you tested someone on their death bed for covid and he was already dying from metastatic cancer, you wouldn't consider that a "covid" death. You'd just say he happened to have covid since he's in the hospital where it is in spades, but died from cancer. And that's if the test is accurate, another question, even.
Again, you are using Johns Hopkins stats now, not CDC. So switcheroo to the boogeyman stats. It still doesn't matter; the 273k confirmed cases are clearly not the number of people infected or asymptomatic, so the number is inflated because the denominator is far larger, in reality. Why is this such a hard concept for people. The deaths even in NYC, right now, ARE NOT MORE THAN LAST YEAR. If this is such a tragedy, why are fewer people dying right now, IN NEW YORK CITY, than last year? Compare each day to each day.
You will never address this point, because it exposes your fear mongering for what it is: poppycock.
Until you do, stop arguing the pointless statistics, which you butcher. If you make a good faith comparison, or try to, I will respond in kind. Until then, you are fear mongering and have an agenda, like the media and yes, like JHUComment -
#192Yes, that's the point of my posts. And why it is absolutely ridiculous to shut most of the economy down, or take away people's rights without cause.Comment -
#193Well your point is different from mine because I AM worried because of the uncertainty. You say it's ridiculous to shut down the country but NY would be 10x worse right now with hospitals completely overrunComment -
#194The best evidence right now is that it might be 0.2% CFR, which is questionably double that of flu, but if you understand what absolute and relative risk is (another stat that people don't, because they are not critical thinkers or are indoctrinated by the media) you aren't worried at all.
And you certainly don't shut down the economy for that.Comment -
#195Not to make it political, but it seems it's mostly Trump supporters who weren't in favour of a shutdown
Well guess who shut it all down: TrumpComment -
#196Even after all this, Americans will still believe their biggest risk is Muslims.Comment -
#197
When the media is against you and you have a factually incorrect guy at the head (Fauci) claiming that we need to do XYZ (although that has changed), which only considers the disease and not policy, you have to play along at least a while politically. That's just the reality. Trump can't win. They would crucify him for saying or acting like he knows more than this hack Dr. Fauci, so it is a no-win --- even if he is right in the end, which he will be. But they won't believe him, they'll just say he is lying.Comment -
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#199I'm not telling you how to feel, but I am telling you there is no data to feel that way. I've proven this time and time again. Again, explain to me why there is no excess mortality. Explain why there are fewer people dying daily in NYC right now than in 2019.
When the media is against you and you have a conservative and factually incorrect guy at the head (Fauci) claiming that we need to do XYZ (although that has changed), you have to play along at least a while politically. That's just the reality. Trump can't win. They would crucify him for saying or acting like he knows more than this hack Dr. Fauci, so it is a no-win.Comment -
#200When the media is against you and you have a factually incorrect guy at the head (Fauci) claiming that we need to do XYZ (although that has changed), which only considers the disease and not policy, you have to play along at least a while politically. That's just the reality. Trump can't win. They would crucify him for saying or acting like he knows more than this hack Dr. Fauci, so it is a no-win --- even if he is right in the end, which he will be. But they won't believe him, they'll just say he is lying.Comment -
#201So your argument here is that Trump wimped out to the media and yet you still blame the media when he decided to shut down the economy entirely and continues to shut it down? Trump did not cave because of the meda. He caved because the stock market was falling 10% per day. They were going to cash until the bailout came.Comment -
#202Anybody knows that the biggest risk to society is a mass extinction event, not Muslims. This was being widely reported on as a "pandemic" two months ago. The US did not believe that a virus would have the audacity to visit the US.
On the other hand, Japan knew full well how to deal with it because they are all wearing masks. They have not even shut down their economy. But the US cannot even make a mask or a ventilator because it does not know how. It relies on China for everything. That was a very poor risk assessment.
And now when it is done, it will spend trillions on Muslims and very little on being prepared again.Comment -
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#205And there are actual COVID 19 deaths occurring that are Not in the total.
My doctor buddy says the CDC testing criteria is so strict that for every 1 he tests he has 5 he cannot test but he is sure they have it. Also a lot of false negatives.
So go ahead and keep trying to minimize it. You continue to make yourselves look foolish.
Bingo.....
the 10,000+ deaths in SPAIN the past 2 months (pop. 47 million) is UNPRECEDENTED
the 15,000+ deaths in ITALY the past 2 months (pop. 60 million) is UNPRECEDENTED
It was reported on Friday, March 27 (a week ago) that there were 86,000+ cases of COVID-19
in Italy, from which 9,100 have died....a frightening death rate of 1 per every 9.5 cases!!
There were 51 docotors who tested positive that have died. Again, UNPRECEDENTED
Comment -
#206
Oh yes....mass conspiracy.....yep.....and all orchestrated by Hunter Biden, plus
Robert Mueller (R), Adam Schiff (D), former Ambassador Marie Yovanovitch (R),
former FBI director James Comey (R), the whistleblower, Mitt Romney (R),
former WH director of communications Anthony Scaramucci (R) and that former
PLAYBOY model he had an affair with while his 3rd wife was at home with his 5th child
...all coordinated from the basement of a pizza parlor where, along with Hillary Clinton
they operate a lucrative child sex ring.Comment -
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#208First of all, please stop with the big type and silly fonts, it doesn't make your argument stronger, rather the opposite. And it's just annoying.
I'll respond as I choose.
If you don't like it you are free to exercise your right to stop reading/responding to them.
Again, you are using Johns Hopkins stats now, not CDC. So switcheroo to the boogeyman stats
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And where are the links to support your stats and speculations ?
I included mine. Where's yours ??
Until you do, stop arguing the pointless statistics, which you butcher.
where are the links to support your stats and speculations ?
I included mine. Where's yours ??
Until YOU refute with VERIFIABLE stats (with links), then this stands:
This CDC data suggests a mean average of about 38,000 deaths per year
from a mean of 28.6 million cases each flu season....
= mean avg 1 death per 752 cases
2020 COVID-19 pandemic:
As of 6:45 pm ET, (per Johns Hopkins stats)
273,880 COVID-19 reported cases
7,077 deaths from COVID-19 (and doubling every 3-4 days)
= mean avg of 1 death per 39 cases!
Clearly COVID-19 is waaaaaaaaay more virulent (deadly)
and much WORSE than the common flu.
*If these stats are wrong please show the CDC webpage with correct info for same years.Comment -
#209
I have to agree.
A lot of people are worried, and there is very real REASON to be worried.
CDC data suggests the common flu kills, on avg, 1 per every 752 cases, each year.
But meanwile, stats listed on FOX NEWS website https://www.foxnews.com/ COVID-19 kills an avg of 1 per every 39 cases !!
FOX News lists its sources as WHO, CDC, ECDC, NHC
While I believe "social distancing" and "stay-at-home" orders will have a
beneficial impact on the horrific death rate and soon we will see a flattening of the curve
and hopefully -- if those measures are ahered to -- a relaxation in those measures
so we can begin a long recovery sooner rather than later.Comment -
#210I bet NFL will cancel preseason gms and start on time
U don't wanna mess up off-season which is every in NFLComment
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