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Nate Silver is the sharpest of the sharps. Right now, it looks like he has the odds at a 76% chance of a Biden win. I’ve bet BIGLY on Biden winning and I’m feeling better every day about that. The last month before the election could be pretty wild, so anything could happen, but what is really wrecking Trump right now are all the votes he got from the “wildcard” voters that would otherwise not vote for anyone... who are no longer willing to back trump (or any candidate) with enough conviction to vote.
It’s looking bleak for trump and his interviews/appearances lately have been unhinged even for him, so he knows it’s desperation time from now until the election.
If you think Trump will win, ok... he’s got about a 25% chance so fair enough... but if you are actually “confident” about a Trump win... you need to seek different news sources.Comment -
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Yard signs!!! Lmao. IdiotsComment -
There's more energy behind Trump. People who are voting for Biden don't really care much for him. They just are voting for him even though he's halfway to dementia.
I don't know really who's going to win. I think it's probably more 50/50 than polls indicate. I do think Trump has the energy factor and will definitely outperform polls next month. I don't know if it's enough to carry him to a victory but it will be close.
If I'm Biden, I'm worried about Pennsylvania a lot. I do think Trump has a good chance there.
If I'm Trump, I'm worried about Arizona because that has a very good chance of flipping.
I do think Trump will win NC while Biden eeks out a win in Wisconsin and Michigan. That leaves Florida, which as the Reuters poll indicated today, is a dead heat.Comment -
I know who is going to win. The biggest winner in American history.Comment -
Billionaire TV star president of united States. Wish I was a loser like Mr Trump.Comment -
You need to seek different news sources, son. The onus is on you as to why your "sources" were so wrong last time and why they won't be again --- Silver still uses polling that's not accurate, that's why he comes up with loser predictions. The same environment that led to reliable polling in some way (beyond the desire for the media to lie to try to swing votes) is no longer the case in the USA. Trump proved that last time.
Biden doesn't even have a 25% chance. He's got a 10% chance, and only because the election isn't today. So yes it can get better, but it can also get worse for him. And it's about to next Tuesday. The fair odds are Trump -1000.Comment -
Nate Silver has Florida 58-42, Biden.
That's one of many examples showing how bad his polling data is.
Again, never a counter, never an argument, just more snowflake emotion. How did Trump win last time when Silver predicted he had barely a shot? LOL, you can't even be honest enough with yourself or others, to answer a single question like this that requires insight or introspection, or better yet, trying to overcome your bias against the truth or seeking it.Comment -
[QUOTE=StackinGreen;29729990]Nate Silver has Florida 58-42, Biden.
That's one of many examples showing how bad his polling data is.
He has Biden with a 2 point lead in Florida.Comment -
Mr Trump will win every battleground state. eos.Comment -
If this is your measure of success then more power to you.
If in your next life you were treated exactly as you treated everyone in this life would you be looking forward to your next life or would it terrify you?
What do you think Trump would say? Deep down he knows he's a fraud but he doesn't care as long he can get enough people to think that he's not.Comment -
I really don't enjoy life past, present or future. Just a lot of suffering in a variety of ways.
Semper FiComment -
State polls today truly show how close this race is. Trump seems to be right in it in Pa. He’s got a better shot of winning there than Michigan and Wisky, although a new poll today in Michigan showed Trump ahead there. Florida polls are very tight. So is Ohio and NC.Comment -
Trump 2020
Debates will destroy Biden.Comment -
Seriously, I do think this is possible --- what I am betting may be a different scenario --- but what bothers me about these threads are guys like turd who just run their mouths and when you talk about actually putting money where your mouth is they vanish like rats on the titanic.Comment -
You gotta love Galt's questions, as if politics means something in the ultimate sense here, that's a really weird or dystopian view that usually the godless have, since it is all they think they have. You can say what you want about Mr. Trump, but their minds are so warped they can't even consider that a successful man who became president (unlike Mr. Obama who was an absolutely unsuccessful man who became president through no merit of his own) is a "loser". It's just weird and another point on how you can't even reason with these people. It's like saying someone like Michael Jordan is a loser even though in reality, they just think he's a dick (and he sorta is). So stupid.Comment -
Looking solid broThat's it huh? So... according to you all the Trump supporters on SBR are afraid that 5Dimes won't exist in 4 months? Makes perfect sense... I'll take my chances.
Let's keep in mind that I think Trump has roughly a 45% chance of winning. I don't think my bets above are a lock by any means... however... do they have value? Well... considering that the price is now -170 I would say Yes, they do.
I haven't seen 1 single screen shot from ANY Trump supporters that have bet on him. There are 100's of people on SBR that GUARANTEE Trump's victory... and not a single one of them has posted a screenshot of them betting on Trump. You're telling me it's because they think 5Dimes will be out of business in 4 months? I'm not buying it. It's either because they don't believe their own words... or they are broke.
Great numbers, maybe should've dropped 5DIMES on themComment -
Atta boy Rudy. I only wish I would have listened to your great wisdom.
I deposited $500 in 5Dimes ONCE back in 2009. I've withdrawn at least 50K from them since then. And now your moment of glory is that I had $500 worth of bets cancelled and refunded to me.
You win again!!Comment -
"I won’t be able to give you all the vitterd attention you crave for a week. I’m going to a place with people that you trumptards couldn’t near or afford. I will still be here so you guys don’t jump off a bridge but I won’t pull a Bacon and have my internet taken away while strapped to a bed." - vitterdComment
