2020 Election. The State by State Odds and MATH

[StackinGreen]

There are a lot of states, as I mentioned (like when I bet in 2016) that are just easy money for the risk. Yes, Ohio is also one of them potentially Moron, I just haven't seen that ML. Florida is another. Last time Georgia and Missouri I remember were very, very easy.

A question I'm going to call in to these PPH's is their rules about elections. I was looking into a rules section for a book I know of last night, and the section directed the player to call in for the rules. Does anyone know literally anything about this? Is it that night, generally understood winner? Is it by December 1st? The vote will be challenged by Biden, Hillary already told him not to concede. Do you have to wait until Jan 21st inauguration to get paid?

These are huge questions if you want to bet on it like I do, and with 5 figures.

[funnyb25]

There are a lot of states, as I mentioned (like when I bet in 2016) that are just easy money for the risk. Yes, Ohio is also one of them potentially Moron, I just haven't seen that ML. Florida is another. Last time Georgia and Missouri I remember were very, very easy.

A question I'm going to call in to these PPH's is their rules about elections. I was looking into a rules section for a book I know of last night, and the section directed the player to call in for the rules. Does anyone know literally anything about this? Is it that night, generally understood winner? Is it by December 1st? The vote will be challenged by Biden, Hillary already told him not to concede. Do you have to wait until Jan 21st inauguration to get paid?

These are huge questions if you want to bet on it like I do, and with 5 figures.

Honestly, if you are betting 5 figures, you shouldn't have to worry if you need to wait a couple extra months to collect. Just being real with you.

[StackinGreen]

So what's your answer, inauguration is the time of wager grading?

[funnyb25]

[StackinGreen]

Thanks, for anyone seeing his, I made a dedicated thread to what books are doing or how they are grading a political wager.

[RoyBacon]

trump takes Ohio again guaranteed

Ohio is up to -222. I jumped on it at -201 about 2 weeks ago. IMO it should be -400. Trump will win Ohio by 7%-9%.

[vitterd]

Ohio is up to -222. I jumped on it at -201 about 2 weeks ago. IMO it should be -400. Trump will win Ohio by 7%-9%.

The golden goose is back!! Fade this man!

[RoyBacon]

The golden goose is back!! Fade this man!

dude, you would need real money to fade....LOL...sorry.

Remember you opened up a predictIt account? How many real bets did you make? $0

You should avoid the subject of money. I gave you that advice before.

[RoyBacon]

Trump is gaining; +109

Now down to Trump +106

Gains in FL, OH, WI and PA.

Still soft in AZ and MI.

[vitterd]

dude, you would need real money to fade....LOL...sorry.

Remember you opened up a predictIt account? How many real bets did you make? $0

You should avoid the subject of money. I gave you that advice before.

You lost 400 bucks to me in bets. Had I taken all your bets it be in the thousands. You are a total mush.

[jt315]

Ohio is up to -222. I jumped on it at -201 about 2 weeks ago. IMO it should be -400. Trump will win Ohio by 7%-9%.

Wait . Eddie Mush told us Ohio was in the bag for Biden . And that was after Florida was too .


Looks like that Hiden Biden strategy is working wonders .

[ace7550]

Thanks for posting those Ace. They are Interesting indeed.

The Line I am waiting for and I think at least one sportsbook will have a price for is:

"Will Trump accept the results of the election if he loses?"

If I can get a plus number on that I will bet the max on NO for sure.

I think the grading would have to be done by inauguration. If Trump loses the bet would have action. It would be graded by whether or not Biden is inaugurated on Jan 20th.

[vitterd]

Wait . Eddie Mush told us Ohio was in the bag for Biden . And that was after Florida was too .


Looks like that Hiden Biden strategy is working wonders .

“ it will only get worse for dems in midterms” jt315

“ how much you wanna bet they don’t fire Parscale” jt315

“ Tulsa will be dems oh shit moment” jt315

King mush always strikes!!

[RoyBacon]

You lost 400 bucks to me in bets. Had I taken all your bets it be in the thousands. You are a total mush.

Correction: I donated to charity. You have never profited a single cent off me.

The truth is you are too broke to pay attention. You post on a politics board 24/7 even during your sex change surgery but can't even bet a single $1 on any political bets. Sad to be that broke.

[jt315]

“ it will only get worse for dems in midterms” jt315

“ how much you wanna bet they don’t fire Parscale” jt315

“ Tulsa will be dems oh shit moment” jt315

King mush always strikes!!

This election is over just like it was in 2016 .

- Eddie Mush



Good thing you squat when you pee and avoided the five swing state bets .

Saved yourself a withdrawal from one of your 5% savings accounts .

[vitterd]

This election is over just like it was in 2016 .

- Eddie Mush



Good thing you squat when you pee and avoided the five swing state bets .

Saved yourself a withdrawal from one of your 5% savings accounts .

You already welched once. No more bets for you. You just free roll lenbo.

[jt315]

You already welched once . No more bets for you. You just free roll lenbo.

Said you and nobody else .






Another that got away .

[Thor4140]

Stfu liberal biotch, Keyboard warrior trying to talk $hit .

Who are you again?

[RudyRuetigger]

galt if you are so confident

i am sure you have many active bets


post them bro

[JohnGalt2341]

galt if you are so confident

i am sure you have many active bets


post them bro

The way you look at picks is completely different than I do. You pick teams or players and then you rationalize your play to everyone on the forum. I look for value. Everything has a price that is right. Even if I posted my plays it's very unlikely that you would get the same price as me. I'm not afraid to pick big dogs or big faves if the price is right.

Sportsbetting has nothing to do with picks. It's all about understanding the price.

If you had a bag of 100 marbles and there were 70 Blue marbles in the bag and 30 Red marbles in the bag and you could set a price for whether a person would pull either a Blue or a Red marble what would you set the prices at?

If I was the one offering you prices on pulling out either a Red or Blue marble... what's the lowest price you would be willing to take for either Red or Blue?

If you can't figure these things out when you know the exact percent chance of the outcome, then you have no chance making money betting on sports. Just my opinion.

[The General]

Trump wins as usual. Really pointless discussion.

[Mike Huntertz]

The way you look at picks is completely different than I do. You pick teams or players and then you rationalize your play to everyone on the forum. I look for value. Everything has a price that is right. Even if I posted my plays it's very unlikely that you would get the same price as me. I'm not afraid to pick big dogs or big faves if the price is right.

Sportsbetting has nothing to do with picks. It's all about understanding the price.

If you had a bag of 100 marbles and there were 70 Blue marbles in the bag and 30 Red marbles in the bag and you could set a price for whether a person would pull either a Blue or a Red marble what would you set the prices at?

If I was the one offering you prices on pulling out either a Red or Blue marble... what's the lowest price you would be willing to take for either Red or Blue?

If you can't figure these things out when you know the exact percent chance of the outcome, then you have no chance making money betting on sports. Just my opinion.

A great opinion it is!
Always play the edge, if you can get one.

[BOA12]

A great opinion it is!
Always play the edge, if you can get one.

Smart as Galt; GOOOD.

[StackinGreen]

Trump wins as usual. Really pointless discussion.

When all the rulings come down that, according to the actual law, ballots have to be there by election day (like has always been the case) they will all claim the judges "stole" the election for President Trump. In reality, they will have ruled according to the law and stopped the Democrats from actually stealing the election, like they are trying to do. Remember, they always accuse you of what they are already doing (Biden bought and sold by China and Russia, Clinton same thing, etc).

[BOA12]

Trump wins as usual. Really pointless discussion.

Thanks, in general.

[JohnGalt2341]

galt if you are so confident

i am sure you have many active bets


post them bro

Here you go Rudy... this line for Trump telling more than 5.5 "non-facts" at BetOnline for tomorrow nights debate should be at -400 or more. Get it at -120 while you can!

How many non-facts will Trump say?

07:00 PM

Over 5.5 non-facts

-120

Under 5.5 non-facts

-120

I've bet on several different Trump prop bets regarding the number of "non-facts" he would tell at any given time in the last 3 years or so. I've bet the over on every single one of them and I've won them all.

[StackinGreen]

"Non-fact"

Yeah, that is objective. LOL, from the crowd that tells you that by saying you are something (the opposite sex, part of race X, etc) that's what you are ... lol, the "science" crowd.

[JohnGalt2341]

galt if you are so confident

i am sure you have many active bets


post them bro

The line from post #411 has already moved. It was at -120 just a few hours ago and now it's at -155. This price is STILL a bargain. I expect it to be at -250 by tomorrow or else they will up the number from 5.5.

How many non-facts will Trump say? 07:00 PM

Over 5.5 non-facts-155
Under 5.5 non-facts+115

[BOA12]

"Non-fact"

Yeah, that is objective. LOL, from the crowd that tells you that by saying you are something (the opposite sex, part of race X, etc) that's what you are ... lol, the "science" crowd.

Nice way 2 say lie.

[hawkwind]

The Socialist party is nothing but a bunch of rainbow chasers & transgender hair smelling perverts

[BOA12]

The Socialist party is nothing but a bunch of rainbow chasers & transgender hair smelling perverts

Glad U got out? Ruins reputations. Pence has a plan 2 fix 'em. U prefer the commie's, RED, party comrade?

[Mike Huntertz]

John,

How much faith do you have in 538 for accuracy?

[RudyRuetigger]

Here you go Rudy... this line for Trump telling more than 5.5 "non-facts" at BetOnline for tomorrow nights debate should be at -400 or more. Get it at -120 while you can!

How many non-facts will Trump say?

07:00 PM

Over 5.5 non-facts

-120

Under 5.5 non-facts

-120

I've bet on several different Trump prop bets regarding the number of "non-facts" he would tell at any given time in the last 3 years or so. I've bet the over on every single one of them and I've won them all.

which site do you use to judge this?


ofcourse liberal media judges it your way



who do you think will win the debate?


IF IT EVEN HAPPENS

[JohnGalt2341]

John,

How much faith do you have in 538 for accuracy?

I mostly like to look at it for fun but I'm not putting a lot of faith behind it. Right now it appears that 538 is giving Biden about a 77% chance of winning. That seems rather high if you ask me. I would put it at somewhere between 55% and 65%(max).

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/?utm_source=digg

As of right now if I was a member of the Biden campaign I would tell them to spend as much time possible trying to win over voters in Pennsylvania. If Biden can win PA it's going to be nearly impossible for Trump to win even if he wins Florida.

I'm hoping 538 gets it right but I'm not holding my breathe on their percentages.

[RudyRuetigger]

I mostly like to look at it for fun but I'm not putting a lot of faith behind it. Right now it appears that 538 is giving Biden about a 77% chance of winning. That seems rather high if you ask me. I would put it at somewhere between 55% and 65%(max).

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/?utm_source=digg

As of right now if I was a member of the Biden campaign I would tell them to spend as much time possible trying to win over voters in Pennsylvania. If Biden can win PA it's going to be nearly impossible for Trump to win even if he wins Florida.

I'm hoping 538 gets it right but I'm not holding my breathe on their percentages.

galt you are the type of teacher to BEG your kids to listen to you for 40 minutes and then give them 20 minutes free time...you consider that a win because that is social engagement etc, which helps them but they could be doing that within your class



you do not need to compromise with those far left clowns LIKE YOU ARE DOING

60minutes of class time, but make it interesting


THANKS