2020 Election. The State by State Odds and MATH

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  • vitterd
    Restricted User
    • 09-14-17
    • 58460

    #176
    Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
    UPDATE: 100 days until the election

    I counted the delegates for the states that are -350 or higher for the favorite and I added them up. This is what I came up with. You can look at the map I attached and make your own map if you wish if you feel that I am wrong.

    Number of delegates Trump has for states he is favored with odds of -350 or higher: 126

    Number of delegates Dem's have for states they are favored with odds of -350 or higher: 245

    Below are the 10 remaining states that are the closest with price and delegates.

    Trump's favored:
    1. Georgia -150 16
    2. Iowa -170 6
    3. North Carolina -135 15
    4. Ohio -170 18
    5. Texas -250 38

    Dems favored:
    1. Arizona -165 11
    2. Florida -160 29
    3. New Hampshire -320 4
    4. Pennsylvania -290 20
    5. Wisconsin -260 10


    Of the 167 remaining delegates of the 10 closest contested states Trump needs 144 delegates to win. Dems need 25. One of 2 things is possible here... either the books are WAY WAY off or Trump needs a miracle.

    Here's the map as I see it:


    Feel free to make your own
    It’s a blowout. Biden wins easy. I’ve been saying this for 3 years. The dem candidate would be an easy winner. America’s biggest mistake will be erased on nov 3rd
    Comment
    • RudyRuetigger
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 08-24-10
      • 65086

      #177
      Originally posted by vitterd
      It’s a blowout. Biden wins easy. I’ve been saying this for 3 years. The dem candidate would be an easy winner. America’s biggest mistake will be erased on nov 3rd
      i wonder what your posts looked like before 2016 election day
      Comment
      • RudyRuetigger
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 08-24-10
        • 65086

        #178
        I agree Texas is a toss up

        But I think this because LIBERALS from California and illegals will be voting


        Otherwise, Texas is full blown Republican

        Democrats are changing the map via ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS

        Hell, look at Minnesota
        Comment
        • hostile takeover
          SBR MVP
          • 12-06-09
          • 2258

          #179
          Originally posted by JohnGalt2341

          Well... all I can tell you for sure is that I won't be voting for either Trump or Biden.
          Originally posted by JohnGalt2341

          I'm in a state where my vote will likely not matter.

          What county in GA do you live in?
          <br>
          <br>

          Just another vague and evasive anti-Trumper who can't give straight answers
          Comment
          • RudyRuetigger
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 08-24-10
            • 65086

            #180
            Originally posted by hostile takeover
            <br>
            <br>

            Just another vague and evasive anti-Trumper who can't give straight answers
            Comment
            • vitterd
              Restricted User
              • 09-14-17
              • 58460

              #181
              Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
              i wonder what your posts looked like before 2016 election day
              This isnt 2016. Trump has to run on his record. He can’t use some fake “ crooked Hillary” scam. This election is about trump. But hey, I hear he has 99 percent approval with boaters with less than 4 teeth.
              Comment
              • JohnGalt2341
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 12-31-09
                • 9138

                #182
                Originally posted by hostile takeover
                Just another vague and evasive anti-Trumper who can't give straight answers
                Here's my straight answer.. Biden is TERRIBLE. Trump is WORSE.

                If my choices for my next meal was between a shit sandwich or diarrhea on a platter, I would choose not to eat. Just because one is terrible it doesn't mean that the other one is necessarily great.
                Comment
                • vitterd
                  Restricted User
                  • 09-14-17
                  • 58460

                  #183
                  Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                  Here's my straight answer.. Biden is TERRIBLE. Trump is WORSE.

                  If my choices for my next meal was between a shit sandwich or diarrhea on a platter, I would choose not to eat. Just because one is terrible it doesn't mean that the other one is necessarily great.
                  The reason I don’t like that comparison is this. If enough people feel that way, we could all end up with diarrhea on a platter. Hold your nose and swallow a shit sandwich because of the alternative. That’s the better way to look at it.
                  Comment
                  • RudyRuetigger
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 08-24-10
                    • 65086

                    #184
                    Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                    Here's my straight answer.. Biden is TERRIBLE. Trump is WORSE.

                    If my choices for my next meal was between a shit sandwich or diarrhea on a platter, I would choose not to eat. Just because one is terrible it doesn't mean that the other one is necessarily great.
                    I recommend you go looking at the threads you have started
                    Comment
                    • rkelly110
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 10-05-09
                      • 39691

                      #185
                      Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                      Here's my straight answer.. Biden is TERRIBLE. Trump is WORSE.

                      If my choices for my next meal was between a shit sandwich or diarrhea on a platter, I would choose not to eat. Just because one is terrible it doesn't mean that the other one is necessarily great.
                      I didn't vote for Obama either time, but he grew on me. Joe might, grow on you also. At least he's not spewing hate right out of the box. My vote is anti rump.
                      Comment
                      • RudyRuetigger
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 08-24-10
                        • 65086

                        #186
                        Originally posted by vitterd
                        The reason I don’t like that comparison is this. If enough people feel that way, we could all end up with diarrhea on a platter. Hold your nose and swallow a shit sandwich because of the alternative. That’s the better way to look at it.
                        Both come out of your ass

                        I love how you can justify shit



                        I don't compare Trump to diarrhea


                        But hey, glad you can eat shit
                        Comment
                        • RudyRuetigger
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 08-24-10
                          • 65086

                          #187
                          Originally posted by rkelly110
                          I didn't vote for Obama either time, but he grew on me. Joe might, grow on you also. At least he's not spewing hate right out of the box.
                          holy fukk you are dumb

                          which part grew on you?
                          Comment
                          • rkelly110
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 10-05-09
                            • 39691

                            #188
                            Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                            holy fukk you are dumb

                            which part grew on you?
                            You calling me dumb? Who are you voting for.....let me guess.
                            Comment
                            • RudyRuetigger
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 08-24-10
                              • 65086

                              #189
                              Originally posted by rkelly110
                              You calling me dumb? Who are you voting for.....let me guess.
                              which part grew of obama grew on you?

                              THANKS
                              Comment
                              • DwightShrute
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-17-09
                                • 102294

                                #190
                                Originally posted by rkelly110
                                You calling me dumb?
                                Comment
                                • JohnGalt2341
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 12-31-09
                                  • 9138

                                  #191
                                  Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                  I recommend you go looking at the threads you have started
                                  Like this one? Is there any thread in particular that you are referring to?

                                  I post data and FACTS.

                                  The majority of your posts are just you insulting someone in a very sad attempt to make yourself feel better about your miserable life. This is completely obvious to everyone.

                                  Rudy doesn't care about ideas or discussion or anything that anyone says who he has decided is not in his tribe. Hating people makes Rudy feel better about his pathetic life. This is why he's always asking people what tribe they belong to. In Rudy's mind... either you are sukking Trump's dikk 24/7(he considers this very manly) or or you are a libtard. There's no other possibility in his mind. This is how his brain works. Rudy sukks Trump dikk as much as anyone on SBR... and he's tricked his primitive brain into believing that this is manly.
                                  Comment
                                  • DwightShrute
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-17-09
                                    • 102294

                                    #192
                                    Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                    I post data and FACTS.

                                    The majority of your posts are just you insulting someone in a very sad attempt to make yourself feel better about your miserable life. This is completely obvious to everyone.
                                    Rarely, if ever actually. That's a fact.

                                    The majority of your posts are just you insulting someone in a very sad attempt to make yourself feel better about your miserable life. This is completely obvious to everyone. If you want an example of this fact, just look at your most recent post.

                                    The dishonest Left: Whatever they are accusing you of doing, they are doing themselves.

                                    Have a great day.
                                    Comment
                                    • vitterd
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 09-14-17
                                      • 58460

                                      #193
                                      Rudy and Dwight are in a battle for lowest IQ
                                      Comment
                                      • ace7550
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 05-08-15
                                        • 3729

                                        #194
                                        Anyone who sits in front of their computer and insults other people online over politics is in the running for lowest IQ.
                                        Comment
                                        • vitterd
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 09-14-17
                                          • 58460

                                          #195
                                          Originally posted by ace7550
                                          Anyone who sits in front of their computer and insults other people online over politics is in the running for lowest IQ.
                                          That’s really great info
                                          Comment
                                          • rkelly110
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 10-05-09
                                            • 39691

                                            #196
                                            This guy gets it. Listen up morons.

                                            Comment
                                            • chico2663
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 09-02-10
                                              • 36915

                                              #197
                                              Originally posted by BrickJames
                                              just like in 2016 when Trump was a 15 to 1 dog.

                                              Dems are done. No chance.
                                              hillary in the race?
                                              Comment
                                              • chico2663
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 09-02-10
                                                • 36915

                                                #198
                                                Originally posted by rkelly110
                                                You calling me dumb? Who are you voting for.....let me guess.
                                                rudy claims to be republican but doesn't support republican values. trump makes being a racist cool..rudy always wanted to be cool.
                                                Comment
                                                • Mike Huntertz
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 08-19-09
                                                  • 11203

                                                  #199
                                                  Falling down drunk is kewl, Rudy be kewllll!

                                                  Originally posted by chico2663
                                                  rudy claims to be republican but doesn't support republican values. trump makes being a racist cool..rudy always wanted to be cool.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ace7550
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 05-08-15
                                                    • 3729

                                                    #200
                                                    Originally posted by vitterd
                                                    That’s really great info
                                                    Comment
                                                    • vitterd
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 09-14-17
                                                      • 58460

                                                      #201
                                                      Originally posted by ace7550
                                                      That seems to be you right now. Calm down kid.....soon President Biden will be here.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Itsamazing777
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-14-12
                                                        • 12602

                                                        #202
                                                        Originally posted by chico2663
                                                        hillary in the race?
                                                        Biden is more incompetent than hillary.
                                                        Shes a scumbag but she did accomplish a few things

                                                        Hillary is smart and cunning. Joe, well... like a few of our buddies here, not so much.... Iqs of a potato
                                                        Last edited by Itsamazing777; 07-27-20, 11:30 AM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • vitterd
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 09-14-17
                                                          • 58460

                                                          #203
                                                          Originally posted by Itsamazing777
                                                          Biden is more incompetent than hillary.
                                                          Shes a scumbag but she did accompmish a few things
                                                          Doesn’t the look of disgust, disappointment and shame on your parents face have any impact on you? You are one clueless virgin
                                                          Comment
                                                          • vitterd
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 09-14-17
                                                            • 58460

                                                            #204
                                                            Originally posted by Itsamazing777
                                                            Biden is more incompetent than hillary.
                                                            Shes a scumbag but she did accompmish a few things

                                                            Hillary is smart and cunning. Joe, well... like a few of our buddies here, not so much.... Iqs of a potato
                                                            Potatoe. Hahahaha. Good edit dummy
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Wabashwonders
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 02-28-20
                                                              • 813

                                                              #205



                                                              If history continues to repeat as this articles states, me and many people I know will have a say in who gets elected. Only 2 misses since 1888, and haven’t been wrong since 1952. Be interesting to see what happens this year.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ace7550
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 05-08-15
                                                                • 3729

                                                                #206
                                                                Originally posted by Wabashwonders
                                                                https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.iri...826%3fmode=amp


                                                                If history continues to repeat as this articles states, me and many people I know will have a say in who gets elected. Only 2 misses since 1888, and haven’t been wrong since 1952. Be interesting to see what happens this year.
                                                                Wow that's crazy! So i gotta ask, do you hear more people in your county saying they will switch and vote repub or more people saying they will switch and vote dem?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ace7550
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 05-08-15
                                                                  • 3729

                                                                  #207
                                                                  Originally posted by vitterd
                                                                  That seems to be you right now. Calm down kid.....soon President Biden will be here.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Wabashwonders
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 02-28-20
                                                                    • 813

                                                                    #208
                                                                    Originally posted by ace7550
                                                                    Wow that's crazy! So i gotta ask, do you hear more people in your county saying they will switch and vote repub or more people saying they will switch and vote dem?
                                                                    To be honest I don’t talk politics that much with people I socialize with. Most of my friends I play golf with and are mostly older white guys. But I’d say very few are hardcore Republicans. Most Republicans I know here are not happy with Trump. Mostly because of what he says, not what he’s done. They understand that will hurt him in the long run. One guy(younger guy in his 30’s) is a gun shop owner and Trump supporter and last time I played with him he said he thinks things will get worse if Trump gets re-elected.

                                                                    Maybe I’ll quietly take a poll amongst the guys I play with and see how it comes out. I’ll get back to you if I get some results.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • RudyRuetigger
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 08-24-10
                                                                      • 65086

                                                                      #209
                                                                      Originally posted by Wabashwonders
                                                                      To be honest I don’t talk politics that much with people I socialize with. Most of my friends I play golf with and are mostly older white guys. But I’d say very few are hardcore Republicans. Most Republicans I know here are not happy with Trump. Mostly because of what he says, not what he’s done. They understand that will hurt him in the long run. One guy(younger guy in his 30’s) is a gun shop owner and Trump supporter and last time I played with him he said he thinks things will get worse if Trump gets re-elected.

                                                                      Maybe I’ll quietly take a poll amongst the guys I play with and see how it comes out. I’ll get back to you if I get some results.
                                                                      you must play golf at the local MUNI
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • JohnGalt2341
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 12-31-09
                                                                        • 9138

                                                                        #210
                                                                        Update:

                                                                        Below are 3 states that Trump is leading in according to him from this afternoon. He said he's leading in the following states and I added their current odds from 5Dimes...

                                                                        Pennsylvania +230
                                                                        Arizona +150
                                                                        Florida +140
                                                                        (for this one he said he was leading NICELY)

                                                                        The sharpest of all sharps has just set the sportsbooks straight. If Trump is right(nobody has any reason to believe that he's not) then the prices above are a TERRIFIC value! Get these bets in now before the lines move!!!
                                                                        Comment
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