BTW, Nate Silver never bumped his HClinton projection to 90%+. I think he was 70/30 in days leading up to election, which would imply that the value was on Trump +400 (or more).
I still think it’s too early we have to see about corona and the stock market the two most important things and the more race stuff develops it favors trump
What's the ONLY polling topic where Trump is beating Biden? Economics
What's the ONLY thing Trump can tout in his 1st 3 years now that the SCOTUS has let him down? His economic performance
Biden is for higher taxes, unwinding corporate breaks and more regulations on the banks.
Consumer confidence and economic security are what the voter cares about. The country appears to be on it's way to a sharp V shaped recovery, unbelievably. It's quite plausible that with no televised sports upon which to air political ads, the only way Democrats can reach moderate or insecure voters is by causing economic chaos. Their governors have in many States the power to shut it all down (in others the checks and balances have worked (Wisc)).
This jobs report, and the tradjectory towards "normal" was a disaster for Biden.
What's the ONLY polling topic where Trump is beating Biden? Economics
What's the ONLY thing Trump can tout in his 1st 3 years now that the SCOTUS has let him down? His economic performance
Biden is for higher taxes, unwinding corporate breaks and more regulations on the banks.
Consumer confidence and economic security are what the voter cares about. The country appears to be on it's way to a sharp V shaped recovery, unbelievably. It's quite plausible that with no televised sports upon which to air political ads, the only way Democrats can reach moderate or insecure voters is by causing economic chaos. Their governors have in many States the power to shut it all down (in others the checks and balances have worked (Wisc)).
This jobs report, and the tradjectory towards "normal" was a disaster for Biden.
Rank & file's biggest concern is putting food on the table. .00000000001% fear voters who can't eat.
Laker, post a link. I'd like to read more about this.
Heard it on vsin. Someone tweeted it they said. They also recommended taking trump to lose vote win electoral college. That is +210 and was+240 last week.
It’s funny. You lose 40 million jobs and gain 2 million and claim victory. The weirdest thing I’ve ever seen. Nowhere to go but up.
Heard a great example. If you have 10 dollars in your bank account, go down to one dollar, then next month go to 2 dollars, you’re not a winner.
But jobs were lost due to country shutdown over covid19 had nothing to do with trump it was skyrocketing untill.then and is pumping up as the country opens up again...people like money people like low unemployment and thats what Trump brings...whats really going to piss you off Vittard is when Trump finishes another 4 years and Another Trump comes in to take his place haha.
It’s funny. You lose 40 million jobs and gain 2 million and claim victory. The weirdest thing I’ve ever seen. Nowhere to go but up.
Heard a great example. If you have 10 dollars in your bank account, go down to one dollar, then next month go to 2 dollars, you’re not a winner.
Not claiming victory, the economy was literally shut down overnight and 35mm people laid off on 3.15.
It's a goddamn miracle the last 2 job numbers are what they are....it's inconsistent with what you see on the news. But all those jobs are in hospitality so if theres a chance to limit the success of the reopening or dampen consumer enthusiasm it's going to be w reshuttering the hospitality sector and expanding unemployment vs 1 time stimulous
Heard it on vsin. Someone tweeted it they said. They also recommended taking trump to lose vote win electoral college. That is +210 and was+240 last week.
Rank & file's biggest concern is putting food on the table. .00000000001% fear voters who can't eat.
Putting food on the table?
The government is literally PAYING PEOPLE MORE MONEY to not work right now. The $600 that ends this month is automatically finished now...there is no reason to be unemployed going into mid August early Sept.
If the schools actually reopen and kids go, and Teump gets the unemployment figure back down under, say, 6.5%, then the economy really wont have lost any of its discretionary spending power (it's the economy stupid) which would suggest, along economic terms, a Trump reelection. Granted there are social issues at play here, but discretionary spending power is the election forecaster IMO.
What's the ONLY polling topic where Trump is beating Biden? Economics
What's the ONLY thing Trump can tout in his 1st 3 years now that the SCOTUS has let him down? His economic performance
Biden is for higher taxes, unwinding corporate breaks and more regulations on the banks.
Consumer confidence and economic security are what the voter cares about. The country appears to be on it's way to a sharp V shaped recovery, unbelievably. It's quite plausible that with no televised sports upon which to air political ads, the only way Democrats can reach moderate or insecure voters is by causing economic chaos. Their governors have in many States the power to shut it all down (in others the checks and balances have worked (Wisc)).
This jobs report, and the tradjectory towards "normal" was a disaster for Biden.
A lot of ifs hoping all these jobs come back when businesses aren’t fully open and aren’t generating half the sales they were. V shape recovery is if everything goes perfect from here on out and clearly it’s already taking a step back with some states having to close places again. And we aren’t even in October yet, when the weather dips, immune systems get a little lower. Virus will spike again. Trump issue is he alienated people. He refused to hear anyone outside of his base or do anything for anyone outside his base before the virus. He’s the president, he should be trying to do more than just rely on the stock market to prove his presidency.
If his competitor was Joe at a normal age this election would be wrapped up. Trumps saving grace is there’s still a shot Joe dies, joe forgets he’s running for president, or he gets crushed in the debates.
The government is literally PAYING PEOPLE MORE MONEY to not work right now. The $600 that ends this month is automatically finished now...there is no reason to be unemployed going into mid August early Sept.
If the schools actually reopen and kids go, and Teump gets the unemployment figure back down under, say, 6.5%, then the economy really wont have lost any of its discretionary spending power (it's the economy stupid) which would suggest, along economic terms, a Trump reelection. Granted there are social issues at play here, but discretionary spending power is the election forecaster IMO.
You’re saying that everyone is going to go back to work once that 600 dollar program is gone but there won’t be jobs for many of them to go back to
Heard it on vsin. Someone tweeted it they said. They also recommended taking trump to lose vote win electoral college. That is +210 and was+240 last week.
Thx, Laker. Have a good Holiday wkend, pal. I KNOW that you'll be eating well.
Nobody knows anything always remember that when it comes to gambling it’s just a guess regardless of the odds
JJ, cmon, man. Nate Silver has called these elections very accurately. Last time, he said it was 70/30...when Hillary was buying furniture for the WHouse.
Democrats have no policy, support BLM and encourage rioting in the streets... They want to defund the police, green new deals, higher taxes and open borders.
That crap just isn't gonna fly with the American voters.