ONLY two favorites of -150 or more have lost the election since 1870

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  • lakerboy
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-02-09
    • 94363

    #1
    ONLY two favorites of -150 or more have lost the election since 1870
    Thomas Dewey 1948-180
    Hillary Clinton 2016-550

    They have kept odds since the 1800s

    We know what Biden is
  • thetrinity
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-25-11
    • 22430

    #2
    trump was a favorite of more than -150, hillary was much higher on election night and then the money started flowing towards trump

    this needs a lot of elaboration
    Comment
    • BOA12
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-19-12
      • 20622

      #3
      Originally posted by thetrinity
      trump was a favorite of more than -150, hillary was much higher on election night and then the money started flowing towards trump

      this needs a lot of elaboration
      Stable Genius $, 1 minute B4 post.
      Comment
      • BOA12
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-19-12
        • 20622

        #4
        Originally posted by lakerboy
        Thomas Dewey 1948-180
        Hillary Clinton 2016-550

        They have kept odds since the 1800s

        We know what Biden is
        Without A MAGA Plan, trump in the shit can.
        Comment
        • thetrinity
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-25-11
          • 22430

          #5
          jimmy the greek supposedly bet 10k on truman at 17-1 odds, which is a lot longer than -180. Feels like flinging shit here and hoping it sticks
          Comment
          • Pareto
            SBR MVP
            • 04-10-07
            • 1058

            #6
            Trump was -150 four months ago.

            In fact at Betfair the lowest Trump has been traded is 1.64 ( roughly -156 ).

            Where as the lowest Biden has been traded is 1.66 ( roughly -151 ).
            Comment
            • Booya711
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-20-11
              • 27329

              #7
              Seaweed is on Trump....sadly that’s the only information I need
              Comment
              • ChuckyTheGoat
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 04-04-11
                • 36654

                #8
                Originally posted by lakerboy
                Thomas Dewey 1948-180
                Hillary Clinton 2016-550

                They have kept odds since the 1800s

                We know what Biden is
                Laker, post a link. I'd like to read more about this.
                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                Comment
                • ChuckyTheGoat
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 04-04-11
                  • 36654

                  #9
                  That's why you're POM, pal.

                  BTW, Nate Silver never bumped his HClinton projection to 90%+. I think he was 70/30 in days leading up to election, which would imply that the value was on Trump +400 (or more).
                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                  Comment
                  • jjgold
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-20-05
                    • 388189

                    #10
                    I still think it’s too early we have to see about corona and the stock market the two most important things and the more race stuff develops it favors trump
                    Comment
                    • DrunkHorseplayer
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 05-15-10
                      • 7719

                      #11
                      Originally posted by thetrinity
                      jimmy the greek supposedly bet 10k on truman at 17-1 odds, which is a lot longer than -180. Feels like flinging shit here and hoping it sticks
                      Jimmy the Greek was a big time loser; you can't believe anything you hear about his alleged big wins.
                      Comment
                      • MinnesotaFats
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-18-10
                        • 14758

                        #12
                        After today's jobs reports you can take a flyer on Trump...it's a value bet.

                        Liberals will be pressing HARD to shut the economy back down now due to the good news in mfg/ jobs
                        Comment
                        • BOA12
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-19-12
                          • 20622

                          #13
                          Originally posted by MinnesotaFats
                          After today's jobs reports you can take a flyer on Trump...it's a value bet.

                          Liberals will be pressing HARD to shut the economy back down now due to the good news in mfg/ jobs
                          Bold face lie.
                          Comment
                          • vitterd
                            Restricted User
                            • 09-14-17
                            • 58460

                            #14
                            Originally posted by MinnesotaFats
                            After today's jobs reports you can take a flyer on Trump...it's a value bet.

                            Liberals will be pressing HARD to shut the economy back down now due to the good news in mfg/ jobs
                            It’s funny. You lose 40 million jobs and gain 2 million and claim victory. The weirdest thing I’ve ever seen. Nowhere to go but up.

                            Heard a great example. If you have 10 dollars in your bank account, go down to one dollar, then next month go to 2 dollars, you’re not a winner.
                            Comment
                            • MinnesotaFats
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-18-10
                              • 14758

                              #15
                              Originally posted by BOA12
                              Bold face lie.
                              Really

                              What's the ONLY polling topic where Trump is beating Biden? Economics

                              What's the ONLY thing Trump can tout in his 1st 3 years now that the SCOTUS has let him down? His economic performance

                              Biden is for higher taxes, unwinding corporate breaks and more regulations on the banks.

                              Consumer confidence and economic security are what the voter cares about. The country appears to be on it's way to a sharp V shaped recovery, unbelievably. It's quite plausible that with no televised sports upon which to air political ads, the only way Democrats can reach moderate or insecure voters is by causing economic chaos. Their governors have in many States the power to shut it all down (in others the checks and balances have worked (Wisc)).

                              This jobs report, and the tradjectory towards "normal" was a disaster for Biden.
                              Comment
                              • BOA12
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-19-12
                                • 20622

                                #16
                                Originally posted by MinnesotaFats
                                Really

                                What's the ONLY polling topic where Trump is beating Biden? Economics

                                What's the ONLY thing Trump can tout in his 1st 3 years now that the SCOTUS has let him down? His economic performance

                                Biden is for higher taxes, unwinding corporate breaks and more regulations on the banks.

                                Consumer confidence and economic security are what the voter cares about. The country appears to be on it's way to a sharp V shaped recovery, unbelievably. It's quite plausible that with no televised sports upon which to air political ads, the only way Democrats can reach moderate or insecure voters is by causing economic chaos. Their governors have in many States the power to shut it all down (in others the checks and balances have worked (Wisc)).

                                This jobs report, and the tradjectory towards "normal" was a disaster for Biden.
                                Rank & file's biggest concern is putting food on the table. .00000000001% fear voters who can't eat.
                                Last edited by BOA12; 07-02-20, 08:58 AM.
                                Comment
                                • johnnyvegas13
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 05-21-15
                                  • 27777

                                  #17
                                  We’re r these odds archived

                                  they never kept track of this that long
                                  Comment
                                  • jonal
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 06-01-09
                                    • 772

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Pareto
                                    Trump was -150 four months ago.

                                    In fact at Betfair the lowest Trump has been traded is 1.64 ( roughly -156 ).

                                    Where as the lowest Biden has been traded is 1.66 ( roughly -151 ).
                                    Today I am seeing Biden -160 to -165
                                    Comment
                                    • lakerboy
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 04-02-09
                                      • 94363

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                      Laker, post a link. I'd like to read more about this.
                                      Heard it on vsin. Someone tweeted it they said. They also recommended taking trump to lose vote win electoral college. That is +210 and was+240 last week.
                                      Comment
                                      • Slipknot26
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 07-17-15
                                        • 5046

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Booya711
                                        Seaweed is on Trump....sadly that’s the only information I need
                                        Absofukkinlutely
                                        Seen doom for my man as soon as I seen it.
                                        Damn Seaweed , damn him to hell .
                                        Comment
                                        • Pareto
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-10-07
                                          • 1058

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by jonal
                                          Today I am seeing Biden -160 to -165
                                          Biden is right now 1,72 - 1,73 . Which means you can buy him at -139 and sell him at -138
                                          Comment
                                          • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 11-29-07
                                            • 26068

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by vitterd
                                            It’s funny. You lose 40 million jobs and gain 2 million and claim victory. The weirdest thing I’ve ever seen. Nowhere to go but up.

                                            Heard a great example. If you have 10 dollars in your bank account, go down to one dollar, then next month go to 2 dollars, you’re not a winner.
                                            But jobs were lost due to country shutdown over covid19 had nothing to do with trump it was skyrocketing untill.then and is pumping up as the country opens up again...people like money people like low unemployment and thats what Trump brings...whats really going to piss you off Vittard is when Trump finishes another 4 years and Another Trump comes in to take his place haha.
                                            Comment
                                            • MinnesotaFats
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-18-10
                                              • 14758

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by vitterd
                                              It’s funny. You lose 40 million jobs and gain 2 million and claim victory. The weirdest thing I’ve ever seen. Nowhere to go but up.

                                              Heard a great example. If you have 10 dollars in your bank account, go down to one dollar, then next month go to 2 dollars, you’re not a winner.
                                              Not claiming victory, the economy was literally shut down overnight and 35mm people laid off on 3.15.

                                              It's a goddamn miracle the last 2 job numbers are what they are....it's inconsistent with what you see on the news. But all those jobs are in hospitality so if theres a chance to limit the success of the reopening or dampen consumer enthusiasm it's going to be w reshuttering the hospitality sector and expanding unemployment vs 1 time stimulous
                                              Comment
                                              • ChiLLx
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 12-24-11
                                                • 5412

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                Heard it on vsin. Someone tweeted it they said. They also recommended taking trump to lose vote win electoral college. That is +210 and was+240 last week.
                                                That is a solid play...
                                                Comment
                                                • MinnesotaFats
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-18-10
                                                  • 14758

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by BOA12
                                                  Rank & file's biggest concern is putting food on the table. .00000000001% fear voters who can't eat.
                                                  Putting food on the table?

                                                  The government is literally PAYING PEOPLE MORE MONEY to not work right now. The $600 that ends this month is automatically finished now...there is no reason to be unemployed going into mid August early Sept.

                                                  If the schools actually reopen and kids go, and Teump gets the unemployment figure back down under, say, 6.5%, then the economy really wont have lost any of its discretionary spending power (it's the economy stupid) which would suggest, along economic terms, a Trump reelection. Granted there are social issues at play here, but discretionary spending power is the election forecaster IMO.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jjgold
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 07-20-05
                                                    • 388189

                                                    #26
                                                    It’s basically if you want blacks running the United States and radicals or a strong white man that nobody gonna walk over
                                                    Comment
                                                    • goduke
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 02-17-10
                                                      • 11580

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by MinnesotaFats
                                                      Really

                                                      What's the ONLY polling topic where Trump is beating Biden? Economics

                                                      What's the ONLY thing Trump can tout in his 1st 3 years now that the SCOTUS has let him down? His economic performance

                                                      Biden is for higher taxes, unwinding corporate breaks and more regulations on the banks.

                                                      Consumer confidence and economic security are what the voter cares about. The country appears to be on it's way to a sharp V shaped recovery, unbelievably. It's quite plausible that with no televised sports upon which to air political ads, the only way Democrats can reach moderate or insecure voters is by causing economic chaos. Their governors have in many States the power to shut it all down (in others the checks and balances have worked (Wisc)).

                                                      This jobs report, and the tradjectory towards "normal" was a disaster for Biden.
                                                      A lot of ifs hoping all these jobs come back when businesses aren’t fully open and aren’t generating half the sales they were. V shape recovery is if everything goes perfect from here on out and clearly it’s already taking a step back with some states having to close places again. And we aren’t even in October yet, when the weather dips, immune systems get a little lower. Virus will spike again. Trump issue is he alienated people. He refused to hear anyone outside of his base or do anything for anyone outside his base before the virus. He’s the president, he should be trying to do more than just rely on the stock market to prove his presidency.
                                                      If his competitor was Joe at a normal age this election would be wrapped up. Trumps saving grace is there’s still a shot Joe dies, joe forgets he’s running for president, or he gets crushed in the debates.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • goduke
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 02-17-10
                                                        • 11580

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by MinnesotaFats
                                                        Putting food on the table?

                                                        The government is literally PAYING PEOPLE MORE MONEY to not work right now. The $600 that ends this month is automatically finished now...there is no reason to be unemployed going into mid August early Sept.

                                                        If the schools actually reopen and kids go, and Teump gets the unemployment figure back down under, say, 6.5%, then the economy really wont have lost any of its discretionary spending power (it's the economy stupid) which would suggest, along economic terms, a Trump reelection. Granted there are social issues at play here, but discretionary spending power is the election forecaster IMO.
                                                        You’re saying that everyone is going to go back to work once that 600 dollar program is gone but there won’t be jobs for many of them to go back to
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 04-04-11
                                                          • 36654

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                          Heard it on vsin. Someone tweeted it they said. They also recommended taking trump to lose vote win electoral college. That is +210 and was+240 last week.

                                                          Thx, Laker. Have a good Holiday wkend, pal. I KNOW that you'll be eating well.
                                                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jjgold
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 07-20-05
                                                            • 388189

                                                            #30
                                                            Nobody knows anything always remember that when it comes to gambling it’s just a guess regardless of the odds
                                                            Comment
                                                            • lakerboy
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 04-02-09
                                                              • 94363

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                              Thx, Laker. Have a good Holiday wkend, pal. I KNOW that you'll be eating well.
                                                              Happy 4th bro. I will be eating steak this weekend.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 04-04-11
                                                                • 36654

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                                Happy 4th bro. I will be eating steak this weekend.
                                                                Thx, man. I've been working hard, lookin fwd to the break.

                                                                Eat heartily. Lookin fwd to some pictures of your feast.
                                                                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 04-04-11
                                                                  • 36654

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by jjgold
                                                                  Nobody knows anything always remember that when it comes to gambling it’s just a guess regardless of the odds
                                                                  JJ, cmon, man. Nate Silver has called these elections very accurately. Last time, he said it was 70/30...when Hillary was buying furniture for the WHouse.
                                                                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ChiLLx
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 12-24-11
                                                                    • 5412

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Biden is now down to -134 the day after he was formally nominated at the DNC...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JIBBBY
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-10-09
                                                                      • 83691

                                                                      #35
                                                                      All in on Trump again with the futures!!!

                                                                      Democrats have no policy, support BLM and encourage rioting in the streets... They want to defund the police, green new deals, higher taxes and open borders.

                                                                      That crap just isn't gonna fly with the American voters.
                                                                      Comment
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