I took the state by state odds from both 5Dimes and BetOnline and I turned them into No Juice lines and then converted them into percentages. In order to win the 500 points you must pick 5 upsets. If there is a tie, the person who predicted the single biggest upset(according to percentage) will win 500 points. If there is still a tie, the person who made their guesses first will win. There will be only one winner(or no winner). Below are the percent chances each candidate has of winning the states they are favored in according to the odds from both 5Dimes and BetOnline.
Trump's favored:
1. Idaho 94%
2. Wyoming 93%
3. North Dakota 93%
4. Oklahoma 92%
5. Louisiana 92%
6. West Virginia 91%
7. Nebraska 91%
8. South Dakota 91%
9. Mississippi 91%
10. Tennessee 90%
11. Kentucky 90%
12. Alabama 90%
13. Montana 89%
14. Arkansas 89%
15. Alaska 85%
16. South Carolina 85%
17. Kansas 84%
18. Indiana 82%
19. Missouri 82%
20. Utah 82%
21. Texas 70%
22. Iowa 61%
23. Georgia 57%
24. Ohio 56%
Dems win:
1. Washington DC 98%
2. California 96%
3. New York 96%
4. Hawaii 96%
5. Vermont 95%
6. Illinois 94%
7. Massachusetts 94%
8. Delaware 93%
9. Maryland 92%
10. Washington St. 92%
11. Oregon 91%
12. Rhode Island 91%
13. New Jersey 91%
14. Connecticut 87%
15. Colorado 85%
16. New Mexico 85%
17. Virginia 82%
18. Nevada 80%
19. Maine 76%
20. Minnesota 73%
21. New Hampshire 72%
22. Michigan 70%
23. Pennsylvania 67%
24. Wisconsin 63%
25. Arizona 59%
26. North Carolina 52%
I didn't include Florida because you can get -105 at either 5Dimes or BetOnline for one side or the other. When making your predictions PLEASE use the format below.
Trump wins:
North Carolina 48%
Arizona 41%
Wisconsin 37%
Dems win:
Ohio 44%
Georgia 43%
You can pick all Dem upsets or all Trump upsets or a combination of the two. If more than 1 person gets 5 upsets correct, the person with the single biggest upset will win the 500 points. All predictions must be made before July 5th. One set of guesses per person, no editing!
Good luck!
Trump's favored:
1. Idaho 94%
2. Wyoming 93%
3. North Dakota 93%
4. Oklahoma 92%
5. Louisiana 92%
6. West Virginia 91%
7. Nebraska 91%
8. South Dakota 91%
9. Mississippi 91%
10. Tennessee 90%
11. Kentucky 90%
12. Alabama 90%
13. Montana 89%
14. Arkansas 89%
15. Alaska 85%
16. South Carolina 85%
17. Kansas 84%
18. Indiana 82%
19. Missouri 82%
20. Utah 82%
21. Texas 70%
22. Iowa 61%
23. Georgia 57%
24. Ohio 56%
Dems win:
1. Washington DC 98%
2. California 96%
3. New York 96%
4. Hawaii 96%
5. Vermont 95%
6. Illinois 94%
7. Massachusetts 94%
8. Delaware 93%
9. Maryland 92%
10. Washington St. 92%
11. Oregon 91%
12. Rhode Island 91%
13. New Jersey 91%
14. Connecticut 87%
15. Colorado 85%
16. New Mexico 85%
17. Virginia 82%
18. Nevada 80%
19. Maine 76%
20. Minnesota 73%
21. New Hampshire 72%
22. Michigan 70%
23. Pennsylvania 67%
24. Wisconsin 63%
25. Arizona 59%
26. North Carolina 52%
I didn't include Florida because you can get -105 at either 5Dimes or BetOnline for one side or the other. When making your predictions PLEASE use the format below.
Trump wins:
North Carolina 48%
Arizona 41%
Wisconsin 37%
Dems win:
Ohio 44%
Georgia 43%
You can pick all Dem upsets or all Trump upsets or a combination of the two. If more than 1 person gets 5 upsets correct, the person with the single biggest upset will win the 500 points. All predictions must be made before July 5th. One set of guesses per person, no editing!
Good luck!
