A correlated way of making money with Futures

**pat venditto** · 08-13-09, 03:24 PM

Lou you never fail to suprise with your stupidity.

**SBR Lou** · 08-13-09, 03:24 PM

Originally posted by pat venditto

Lou you never fail to suprise with your stupidity.

What part of my theorizing was incorrect in your assessment?

**onthewhat** · 08-13-09, 03:27 PM

**pavyracer** · 08-13-09, 03:29 PM

All theories are valid until proven wrong.

**themajormt** · 08-13-09, 03:29 PM

What are correlated parlays? Ive seen books boot players for that and stuff.. what is it?

**smitch124** · 08-13-09, 03:29 PM

**UntilTheNDofTimE** · 08-13-09, 03:39 PM

Crazy it makes sense for instance this last NBA year i had money on " possible NBA finals match up" of lakers vs magic. I could have also took the magic to win the East and the lakers to win the West.

A correlated parlay is when one event happening makes the other even more likely. A book will not allow you to take Over 100 in the first half parlayed with over 200 for the game because if the first event occurs the 2nd event is more likely to also occur. example if there were 110 points scored in the first half its likely over 90 would be scored in the 2nd. Thus these bets arnt allowed.

**MonkeyF0cker** · 08-13-09, 03:40 PM

Originally posted by themajormt

What are correlated parlays? Ive seen books boot players for that and stuff.. what is it?

It's parlaying events together, where if one were to occur, the odds of the other(s) occuring would be increased. Things such as +1.5 RL's or PL's and the under on low totals, or more simplistically, first half over with the game over would be examples of correlated parlays. Most books won't allow them to be placed. Their software blocks it.

**themajormt** · 08-13-09, 03:40 PM

OHHH gotcha!!! Thanks!

**themajormt** · 08-13-09, 03:41 PM

So basically you could take an OVER for a game along with the first half over and get better odds than betting them straight up

**Mudcat** · 08-13-09, 03:42 PM

It's supposed to be funny as far as I can tell. Let's hope so.

**UntilTheNDofTimE** · 08-13-09, 03:42 PM

NO books dont allow you to do these bets. But if you were allowed to do correlated parlays your % would improve

**smitch124** · 08-13-09, 03:43 PM

well Crazy didn't mention a parlay, thats what puzzled me. Obviously any book allowing such a parlay wouldn't be in business long.

**donjuan** · 08-13-09, 03:43 PM

Yes, often times if a future to win a championship has value, a future to win conference/league/division will also. However, books won't allow you to parlay these bets and the correlation factor on straight bets is a negative thing, not a positive.

**UntilTheNDofTimE** · 08-13-09, 03:43 PM

Mudcat what hes saying is this. Say you wanted to bet 10,000 on the Lakers to win the NBA championship you might as well drop 2500 on them Winning the west and 7500 on them winning it all. Both are correlated obviously if the event you want to happen occurs. And if they dont win it all you have a chance to get soem back if they atleast get there

**UntilTheNDofTimE** · 08-13-09, 03:44 PM

Originally posted by donjuan

Yes, often times if a future to win a championship has value, a future to win conference/league/division will also. However, books won't allow you to parlay these bets and the correlation factor on straight bets is a negative thing, not a positive.

I think hes referring to two separate bets. He didn't mention a parlay. Just said correlated plays.

**DacBietViet** · 08-13-09, 03:45 PM

**MonkeyF0cker** · 08-13-09, 03:47 PM

Originally posted by donjuan

Yes, often times if a future to win a championship has value, a future to win conference/league/division will also. However, books won't allow you to parlay these bets and the correlation factor on straight bets is a negative thing, not a positive.

Exactly.

**TPowell** · 08-13-09, 03:48 PM

just to make sure, this isnt possible right?

**JerseyShop101** · 08-13-09, 03:49 PM

Most books still consider parlays correlated -

if you take the Dog with the Under if the dog points are 33% or more of the TOTAL.

But some still take them.

**UntilTheNDofTimE** · 08-13-09, 03:50 PM

Tpowell whats not possible about it. if you think the titans will win it all this year you can make 3 separate bets if you wish

Titans to win AFC South
Titans to win the AFC
Titans to win the Superbowl

**Iwinyourmoney** · 08-13-09, 03:50 PM

mod of the year

**TPowell** · 08-13-09, 03:51 PM

Originally posted by UntilTheNDofTimE

Tpowell whats not possible about it. if you think the titans will win it all this year you can make 3 separate bets if you wish

Titans to win AFC South
Titans to win the AFC
Titans to win the Superbowl

you can do that?

**MadTiger** · 08-13-09, 03:51 PM

That's why you have multiple outs.

**UntilTheNDofTimE** · 08-13-09, 03:52 PM

Originally posted by TPowell

you can do that?

In separate bets yes, In a parlay, NO