Golf Betting Newb Learns Valuable/Expensive Lesson

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  • cincinnatikid513
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 11-23-17
    • 45360

    #36
    Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
    NO


    you get what i posted above



    any book not doing it this way is scamming
    dont' see it rudy u can read the rules at the sportsbooks posted and clearly see the stakes are cut at most places i've very surprised somebody who is around golf so much like urself doesn't know about the dead heat rule
    Comment
    • RudyRuetigger
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 08-24-10
      • 65086

      #37
      Originally posted by cincinnatikid513
      rudy what happens when 2 horses tie for 1st place

      are u trolling today jfc


      Many bets can be subject to dead heat rules but we’ll start with a very simple example and the one where the rule was probably first applied. In a horse race, in the unlikely event of a dead heat – that is to say the horses cannot be separated even by a photo finish – dead heat rules will apply.
      In effect, because both horses finished first they share first place between them. This means that half your stake is settled as a winner, whilst half is settled as a loss. If there are more than two horses involved in the dead heat then the bet is split proportionately, such that in a three way dead heat one third is settled as a winner and you lose two thirds of your original stake.
      its just flat out wrong



      i dont do horses


      but golf is wrong and i would not accept a loss
      Comment
      • cincinnatikid513
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 11-23-17
        • 45360

        #38
        Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
        its just flat out wrong



        i dont do horses


        but golf is wrong and i would not accept a loss
        i don't know what to tell u rudy

        rules are rules
        Comment
        • RudyRuetigger
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 08-24-10
          • 65086

          #39
          Originally posted by cincinnatikid513
          i don't know what to tell u rudy

          rules are rules
          i see your point bro


          but i do NOT agree with it
          Comment
          • RudyRuetigger
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 08-24-10
            • 65086

            #40
            How often is there a tie after 1st round especially?


            pretty goddamn often
            Comment
            • cincinnatikid513
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 11-23-17
              • 45360

              #41
              Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
              How often is there a tie after 1st round especially?


              pretty goddamn often
              yah but most odds for 1st round leader are well over 10-1 odds so it's hard to lose money unless more than 10 people tie which is unheard of
              Comment
              • cincinnatikid513
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 11-23-17
                • 45360

                #42
                obv if ur betting live there is risk since odds will be lowered
                Comment
                • RudyRuetigger
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 08-24-10
                  • 65086

                  #43
                  Originally posted by cincinnatikid513
                  yah but most odds for 1st round leader are well over 10-1 odds so it's hard to lose money unless more than 10 people tie which is unheard of
                  so


                  $100 on rahm at +600

                  5 people tie including him



                  whats the return in a books "rule"?
                  Comment
                  • cincinnatikid513
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 11-23-17
                    • 45360

                    #44
                    Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                    so


                    $100 on rahm at +600

                    5 people tie including him



                    whats the return in a books "rule"?
                    rudy this isn't 3rd grade math class it's common sense

                    100 divided by 5 20 dollars x 6 so u get 120 dollars plus ur 20 back u make 40 bucks
                    Comment
                    • RudyRuetigger
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 08-24-10
                      • 65086

                      #45
                      i dont bet 1st round leaders


                      but lets compare the odds next week for first round with the overall tourney


                      since ties matter in 1st round it should be a huge difference
                      Comment
                      • cincinnatikid513
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 11-23-17
                        • 45360

                        #46
                        it is what it is rudy
                        Last edited by cincinnatikid513; 02-06-21, 03:45 PM.
                        Comment
                        • Optional
                          Administrator
                          • 06-10-10
                          • 60656

                          #47
                          Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                          if 100 players tied my first round leader bet at a risk of 100, +150 odds (101 players total)


                          what do you think my payout should be?
                          1/100th of the stake wins, the rest loses.

                          What do you think the payout should be?

                          Imagine the bet is placed on an exchange, where every cent needs to be matched. The same pool of winning funds does not change whether 1 or 100 players lead round 1.


                          Why are you arguing so hard anyway. It's not what we 'think' it is, it's what the OPs book rules say it is.
                          Last edited by Optional; 02-06-21, 03:41 PM.
                          .
                          Comment
                          • RudyRuetigger
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 08-24-10
                            • 65086

                            #48
                            so clearly only PointsBet and Bet365 are the only ones not scamming people



                            otherwise this is a clear cut scam
                            Comment
                            • RudyRuetigger
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 08-24-10
                              • 65086

                              #49
                              Originally posted by Optional
                              Why are you arguing so hard anyway. It's not what we 'think' it is, it's what the OPs book rules say it is.
                              because theyre scamming
                              Comment
                              • RudyRuetigger
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 08-24-10
                                • 65086

                                #50
                                Originally posted by Optional
                                1/100th of the stake wins, the rest loses.


                                Why are you arguing so hard anyway. It's not what we 'think' it is, it's what the OPs book rules say it is.
                                Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                because theyre scamming
                                maybe not???


                                fukk if i know

                                PointsBet 26.4% Odds Cut
                                BetMGM 26.7% No Dead Heat
                                Bet365 22.05% Stake Cut
                                Comment
                                • RudyRuetigger
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 08-24-10
                                  • 65086

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                  maybe not???


                                  fukk if i know

                                  PointsBet 26.4% Odds Cut
                                  BetMGM 26.7% No Dead Heat
                                  Bet365 22.05% Stake Cut
                                  Bet365 will cut the odds, not the stake, for certain bets like first-round leaders.



                                  yea books are clearly scamming
                                  Comment
                                  • RudyRuetigger
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 08-24-10
                                    • 65086

                                    #52
                                    this is even WORSE than "action" mlb lines
                                    Comment
                                    • Optional
                                      Administrator
                                      • 06-10-10
                                      • 60656

                                      #53
                                      Imagine the bet is placed on an exchange, where every cent needs to be matched. The same pool of winning funds does not change whether 1 or 100 players lead round 1.

                                      It's easier to understand what the 'normal' correct way to grade dead heats is in that context.

                                      Books do have different dead heat rules though, partly because how often people lose their mind trying to understand it I guess.

                                      The question gets asked over and again.
                                      .
                                      Comment
                                      • RudyRuetigger
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 08-24-10
                                        • 65086

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by Optional
                                        Imagine the bet is placed on an exchange, where every cent needs to be matched. The same pool of winning funds does not change whether 1 or 100 players lead round 1.

                                        It's easier to understand what the 'normal' correct way to grade dead heats is in that context.

                                        Books do have different dead heat rules though, partly because how often people lose their mind trying to understand it I guess.

                                        The question gets asked over and again.
                                        I see your point and was wrong on general books, though I do not agree with their golf first round leader as opposed to a horse race.

                                        a horse race ends...now, if there are bets for 1st quarter leader of the race...that is similar





                                        Point 2, maybe people have a hard time understanding because 1. books are different (true as posted above by cincy) 2. books are scamming


                                        I assume the hold on golf 1st round bets compared to tourney would be able to answer that, but it appears bet365 is only place to use my way of thinking with the correct lines?
                                        Last edited by RudyRuetigger; 02-07-21, 03:36 PM.
                                        Comment
                                        • RudyRuetigger
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 08-24-10
                                          • 65086

                                          #55
                                          The thing is...in golf if you tie for 2nd with 5 people...you take the prize money for all and divide it evenly

                                          Comment
                                          • Optional
                                            Administrator
                                            • 06-10-10
                                            • 60656

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                            The thing is...in golf if you tie for 2nd with 5 people...you take the prize money for all and divide it evenly

                                            And that is what happens with a normal dead heat rule. The total amount of money that is paid out remains the same, just divided. The book is not making an extra profit when dead heats happen.

                                            Bet365 has player friendly special rules in a bunch of sports.

                                            In tennis with a retirement they void unders but pay out on overs if they could not lose if the match had played out normally.

                                            In cricket they will void unders but payout overs for next wicket to fall totals, when no wicket actually falls.

                                            There is probably more than a dozen examples like that there.

                                            I like those rules, no one feels hard done by, but it's hard to say all the other books who dont grade the same way are scamming.
                                            .
                                            Comment
                                            • RudyRuetigger
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 08-24-10
                                              • 65086

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by Optional
                                              but it's hard to say all the other books who dont grade the same way are scamming.
                                              we need to find that info to see if they are
                                              Comment
                                              • Optional
                                                Administrator
                                                • 06-10-10
                                                • 60656

                                                #58
                                                Think about it like this Rudy.

                                                10 people bet on a race between 10 flies escaping a container.

                                                Each person bets $100 on a different fly at 9/1 making the prize pool $1000

                                                If they have a dead heat between 2 flies, I say normal dead hate rules are Half each bet wins and half each bet loses.

                                                So from the $1000 each person gets $50 stake back plus their 9/1 profit of $450.

                                                If they are both supposed to also get their $100 stake returned, where does the extra $100 come from?
                                                .
                                                Comment
                                                • RudyRuetigger
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 08-24-10
                                                  • 65086

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by Optional
                                                  Think about it like this Rudy.

                                                  10 people bet on a race between 10 flies escaping a container.

                                                  Each person bets $100 on a different fly at 9/1 making the prize pool $1000

                                                  If they have a dead heat between 2 flies, I say normal dead hate rules are Half each bet wins and half each bet loses.

                                                  So from the $1000 each person gets $50 stake back plus their 9/1 profit of $450.

                                                  If they are both supposed to also get their $100 stake returned, where does the extra $100 come from?
                                                  Think about it like this Optional:


                                                  maybe the book shouldnt have laid those odds





                                                  WHAT IS THE HOLD overall
                                                  Comment
                                                  • slayer14
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 08-12-13
                                                    • 22007

                                                    #60
                                                    Xander Schauffele choking
                                                    Comment
                                                    • RudyRuetigger
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 08-24-10
                                                      • 65086

                                                      #61
                                                      im bumping this thread to admit you guys were right overall


                                                      HOWEVER


                                                      Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                      Think about it like this Optional:


                                                      maybe the book shouldnt have laid those odds





                                                      WHAT IS THE HOLD overall
                                                      can we get updates for 1st round this week compared with overall to win lines from a variety of books (include bet365)?



                                                      surely someone can import that very quickly or already knows the answer



                                                      this is different than horse racing
                                                      Last edited by RudyRuetigger; 02-08-21, 03:02 PM.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • cincinnatikid513
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 11-23-17
                                                        • 45360

                                                        #62
                                                        too early for 1st round lines
                                                        Comment
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