Risking 5 units to win 4
Jones had a hamstring injury late in the year that made him ineffective for most of the playoffs, but he was strong most of the season and he's much better than Fournette. Jones is a better runner and receiver than Fournette, who can't catch at all.
Dallas has a solid pass rush, but their run defense has been trash, and Tampa likely will play with the lead most of the game. Brady is obviously older, and Tampa doesn't want to throw 40 times a game early in the year.
Jones had a hamstring injury late in the year that made him ineffective for most of the playoffs, but he was strong most of the season and he's much better than Fournette. Jones is a better runner and receiver than Fournette, who can't catch at all.
Dallas has a solid pass rush, but their run defense has been trash, and Tampa likely will play with the lead most of the game. Brady is obviously older, and Tampa doesn't want to throw 40 times a game early in the year.