Hunsi Pick thread

**jjgold** · 10-31-21, 05:17 PM

Hunsi might be a professional

**marco14** · 10-31-21, 05:19 PM

Not might be...

**Bostongambler** · 10-31-21, 05:21 PM

Hopsing what are you giving out to the trick or treaters tonight?

**AKAHUNSI** · 10-31-21, 06:40 PM

Tough one if Dak Prescott out. It’s a game time decision. My line is -1 Dallas. With 58 points.

If dak starts I’ll be in them.

**Bostongambler** · 10-31-21, 06:50 PM

You will be in them alright.

**AKAHUNSI** · 10-31-21, 07:06 PM

64% on Dallas tonight. Thursday, Sunday and Monday I always go against public.

Was out with kids treat or treating. Is dak starting?

**AKAHUNSI** · 10-31-21, 07:11 PM

Never mind

https://mobile.twitter.com/CRYPTOHUSTL/status/1454884942635315203/photo/1

I’m in Dallas. To you Yankees that’s on Dallas. ��

**marco14** · 10-31-21, 07:16 PM

What's the play?

**marco14** · 10-31-21, 07:32 PM

Nevermind

**AKAHUNSI** · 10-31-21, 07:42 PM

Well Dak isn’t in...I usually drop 7 points. So line should -5 right where it is. We will need some luck tonight.

**pavyracer** · 10-31-21, 07:44 PM

What's this guy's record? 71 posts and posting picks in PT? Get outta here!

**AKAHUNSI** · 10-31-21, 08:31 PM

Pavy you are mod? Why you so angry bud? I play all sports so I’m not jumping between threads. Play or don’t but trying to help a few folks that might want it. No scams or hidden agenda here as we have all been there. So please relax bud. Probably lose this cowboy so I’m human.

**pavyracer** · 10-31-21, 09:06 PM

Originally posted by AKAHUNSI

Pavy you are mod? Why you so angry bud? I play all sports so I’m not jumping between threads. Play or don’t but trying to help a few folks that might want it. No scams or hidden agenda here as we have all been there. So please relax bud. Probably lose this cowboy so I’m human.

I'm actually bigger than a mod. You have to have the stature of lakerboy or johnyvegas to post plays in PT.

Earn your stripes first in the minor leagues and then come back here in the majors to post plays.

You have 72 posts in 11 months.

**trobin31** · 10-31-21, 11:51 PM

Hunsi you are a coin flip like the rest of us

**AKAHUNSI** · 11-01-21, 05:01 AM

Lol you guys are funny

Look at my thread alittle closer. I’m about educations not all about picks. If you understand why I play that play, when I play that type of play, understand my lines versus books, public action versus predictive lines, maybe we will all get better. Im looking for feedback on the contrary as well as looking for feedback to make myself and others betters here. I’m not a kid. 49 years, 3 kids, wife and very successful business this is my hobby.

And if you don’t know by know who I am, you’ll soon understand you might not want to prejudge. This isn’t high school. There are people who want the help so to brow beat or beat your chest is rather disappointing. We are here to win together. Good luck this week.

**jjgold** · 11-01-21, 06:00 AM

Hunsi
We have some guys here that are challenged bear with them

**trobin31** · 11-01-21, 10:19 AM

I am going to write down everything and study, calm me your apprentice

**AKAHUNSI** · 11-01-21, 12:04 PM

All good. FYI NFL and NBA in my opinion are very winnable. I don't want to promote any certain products but there are people selling models, some for free I believe or you can use stats to build you own model. I have built or bought models for NFL, NCAA hoops, NBA, NHL and MLB....working on one for college football. Sorry I'm an engineer, love spreadsheets. I'm the guy with the swing line stapler with the desk in the basement.
Next I use a few sites for public numbers with betting numbers and percentage money but I can tell you that any sites that track percentage bets from Pinnacle are very valuable. Pinnacle has more sharp betters out there and just telling you from years of experience, those public numbers matter. In NFL, If you bet against the public every Thursday, Sunday night and Monday night game if the public is 75% or more on them using pinnacle, you'll win 75% or more so you got to max those plays. But everyone knows that right? So how do you feel more confident in making that statement or better yet, placing a larger wager? Find a model.....
Now if you can build a model using for example in NFL where you use offense stats, passing offense, rushing offense, point score away/home, defensive stats against pass and rush at minimum, you can get pretty close to predictive ranges. If I see my predictive spreads off from book, then the public percentages are higher than 75% on any game, I hit that play if my spread is even slightly better.
If I see the line, lower than 75%, I follow my predictive spread.
For example, look above at my predictive line for Jax vs Seattle. I predicted a 14+ point win. I posted in NFL forum the line was way off so I asked the questions hoping somebody knew something...... I max played that one. Not beating chest... just an example.
Even if you don't have a model or can find model, there are sites to post % bet and % money. If you stay under 50% public bets and under 74% money on that team, your percentage of win rate is pretty high. Hope some of this helps.
With that said, can any find the public percentage on the KC versus NYG tonight?

**AKAHUNSI** · 11-01-21, 04:40 PM

Public on over 63%
Public on KC 54%

Note 80% public have KC moneyline in this game.

My lines are 52.5 and -10 chiefs

Book line is: 52 and -10.5

**mama whoiscrying** · 11-01-21, 04:59 PM

Thank you for taking the time to do this. Ive only been around this site for a couple months and do not post much because there is WAAAAY too much negativity here. Seems like a lot of good people with a few loud mouths. Hopefully mods will clean it up. Thanks again and best of luck

**AKAHUNSI** · 11-01-21, 05:44 PM

Still watching lines until 30 minutes but playing NBA

San Antonio +3

**jjgold** · 11-01-21, 05:45 PM

Love this kid!!

**AKAHUNSI** · 11-01-21, 06:54 PM

I’m teasing the giants and under …7 point tease

Good luck

**jjgold** · 11-01-21, 06:56 PM

Hunsi what odds screen do you use

**AKAHUNSI** · 11-01-21, 07:02 PM

Line reversal app can be downloaded for free. It links to pinnacle

**jjgold** · 11-01-21, 07:12 PM

post it Son

**AKAHUNSI** · 11-01-21, 07:31 PM

Lol I’m not really concerned on keeping records. Money in on that play. Might play clippers later if numbers hold up. Pretty early in nba for my models though. I usually wait 5 weeks on any sport do tread lightly

**AKAHUNSI** · 11-01-21, 08:34 PM

Value play lining up. You guys see it?

**jjgold** · 11-01-21, 08:41 PM

Yes

**marco14** · 11-01-21, 08:50 PM

Over 24.5 ?

**AKAHUNSI** · 11-01-21, 08:51 PM

Play KC -3.5

I have them winning by 10. I predicted first half spot on 14-10.

**marco14** · 11-01-21, 08:58 PM

Yes you did have 14-10

**AKAHUNSI** · 11-01-21, 10:40 PM

Important to learn something from a loss and recurs it. Team a 80%. …everyone loss this week on the spread. Public once again was on over with 63% in a prime time game. It lost first and 2nd half. Teaser won but common sense says you play under ride and die the entire way. I’m done till Thursday guys. Let’s get better every week.

**Bostongambler** · 11-01-21, 10:54 PM

You two should get a room .

**AKAHUNSI** · 11-02-21, 07:07 AM

Big difference in line versus actual for NYJ vs Indy on Thursday. Coming off big win with Cincy so their stock is high right. Indy lost a tight division game. What do you guys think happens here? Get the 10 now.