So I've been hitting about 60-70% of my spreads over a 2 month period in NBA

**Pete0** · 03-09-22, 09:02 AM

oh yea ? what do u see on the horizon today then

**EGrecu** · 03-09-22, 09:05 AM

Originally posted by Pete0

oh yea ? what do u see on the horizon today then

milwaukee - 5 and nuggets -180 ML

**NoDraMa4YoMaMa** · 03-09-22, 09:57 AM

I'm at 65% on the year. Maybe we pro's.....

**gauchojake** · 03-09-22, 10:33 AM

This fuckking guy lol

**gauchojake** · 03-09-22, 10:39 AM

😂😂😂 lol

**GoBlue23** · 03-09-22, 11:01 AM

Big Bear is trying to go tout now?

**biggie12** · 03-09-22, 01:00 PM

EC I will ask again and in every screenshot u post. Show us that balance in a video with inspect element turned off. I've met alot of birds on this forum but your slowly taking the cake. Seaweed is more believable then you

**d2bets** · 03-09-22, 01:45 PM

2 months itself means nothing. How many wagers? I asked you this before. 30? 60? 120? 300? 1,000? What?

**EGrecu** · 03-09-22, 02:19 PM

Originally posted by d2bets

2 months itself means nothing. How many wagers? I asked you this before. 30? 60? 120? 300? 1,000? What?

Prolly 200

**magpie878** · 03-09-22, 02:26 PM

I'm a believer. I tailed one pick and won easily. 100% rate.

**teecee** · 03-09-22, 02:31 PM

The fact that you created a thread signifies the beginning of the end.

**sunshine11** · 03-09-22, 02:36 PM

How much for picks?

**jjgold** · 03-09-22, 02:39 PM

1000% random sportsbetting is all random just like the stock market

**Stallion** · 03-09-22, 03:45 PM

Post your picks

**EGrecu** · 03-09-22, 03:58 PM

Originally posted by Stallion

Post your picks

I've been posting them here and there. They've been mostly winners

**hubie69** · 03-09-22, 04:35 PM

**jjgold** · 03-09-22, 04:49 PM

random

understand math and you know

**d2bets** · 03-09-22, 04:50 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

1000% random sportsbetting is all random just like the stock market

It can only be random is the market is perfectly efficient and uniform at al times. It most certainly is not.

That doesn't mean that he didn't just get lucky over 200 plays, but it ain't random.

**d2bets** · 03-09-22, 04:51 PM

Originally posted by EGrecu

Prolly 200

Prolly 200 and "about 60-70% doesn't sound like you're tracking scientifically. 60% and 70% is kind of a big difference.

**hubie69** · 03-09-22, 04:53 PM

Originally posted by d2bets

Prolly 200 and "about 60-70% doesn't sound like you're tracking scientifically. 60% and 70% is kind of a big difference.

Considering there's ZERO evidence of wins or loses in that screenshot I would say there's literally zero tracking at all.

**d2bets** · 03-09-22, 04:54 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

random

understand math and you know

Then why does some people consistently win while others do not? And if you say nobody wins consistently, then you just don't talk to the right people. It ain't random. And I know that because math.

**d2bets** · 03-09-22, 04:55 PM

Originally posted by hubie69

Considering there's ZERO evidence of wins or loses in that screenshot I would say there's literally zero tracking at all.

Maybe he's doing well. Just hard to tell at this point whether he's just gotten lucky or actually is betting with an edge.

**Buckandadime** · 03-09-22, 05:17 PM

Originally posted by d2bets

Maybe he's doing well. Just hard to tell at this point whether he's just gotten lucky or actually is betting with an edge.

Can't offer an educated guess unless we know if he's playing games with a statistical or line edge, using a formula or going by gut..
If by the latter, its luck IMO..

**EGrecu** · 03-09-22, 05:22 PM

Originally posted by Buckandadime

Can't offer an educated guess unless we know if he's playing games with a statistical or line edge, using a formula or going by gut..
If by the latter, its luck IMO..

I don't have a formula, I just look at the lines and can tell whats off and what's not

The nets were 3 point favorites yesterday and with kyrie and durant in there, they're much better than Charlotte- it should have been a 6-8 line so I jumped all over it. The only reason that line was 3 pts is because nets have struggled but they've been struggling cause they haven't had durant or kyrie in many games. With those 2 in there, they're a really great team

Milwaukee today is only giving 5 pts...They're much better than Atlanta. That should be a 8 or 9 pt spread so I'm jumping all over that. This is a situation where Atlanta continues to get a lot of respect from Vegas based on last year...Atlanta is a mediocre team. Their road ATS this year is abominable

**EGrecu** · 03-09-22, 05:23 PM

Originally posted by hubie69

Considering there's ZERO evidence of wins or loses in that screenshot I would say there's literally zero tracking at all.

I deposited 200K and turned it into 448 over a 2 month period. My win percentage has been astronomical

The reason it's showing 348 instead of 448 is I withdrew 100k. I showed a screenshot of that too

**d2bets** · 03-09-22, 05:33 PM

Originally posted by EGrecu

I deposited 200K and turned it into 448 over a 2 month period. My win percentage has been astronomical

The reason it's showing 348 instead of 448 is I withdrew 100k. I showed a screenshot of that too

Nice, but weren't you on here prior to that saying how you lost big and didn't know what to do? Or am I thinking of someone else?

**d2bets** · 03-09-22, 05:35 PM

Originally posted by EGrecu

I deposited 200K and turned it into 448 over a 2 month period. My win percentage has been astronomical

The reason it's showing 348 instead of 448 is I withdrew 100k. I showed a screenshot of that too

This was you less than one month ago: "I've got about 10K in my checking account, about 180k in retirement and 200K equity in my house. I'm 33...that's it though

To gamble any more, I'd have to take out a home equity loan."

Now you're talking about 2 months' worth of winning? Get your story straight and then come back.

**Str8Mush4Life** · 03-09-22, 05:37 PM

Originally posted by EGrecu

Milwaukee today is only giving 5 pts...They're much better than Atlanta. That should be a 8 or 9 pt spread so I'm jumping all over that. This is a situation where Atlanta continues to get a lot of respect from Vegas based on last year...Atlanta is a mediocre team. Their road ATS this year is abominable

Is this the first time that you've seen a line that should be obvious but is completely out of whack? Vegas isn't respecting ATL after last year. Maybe MIL should OBVIOUSLY blow ATL out, but this line tells me to not only take ATL to cover but even possibly sprinkle the ATL ML.

**EGrecu** · 03-09-22, 05:44 PM

...

**EGrecu** · 03-09-22, 05:45 PM

Originally posted by d2bets

This was you less than one month ago: "I've got about 10K in my checking account, about 180k in retirement and 200K equity in my house. I'm 33...that's it though

To gamble any more, I'd have to take out a home equity loan."

Now you're talking about 2 months' worth of winning? Get your story straight and then come back.

So about 2 months ago, I lost 100k on 6 parlays but I won about 55% of plays on that. I just kept going 1-1 or 2-1. It was very stupid. I don't do parlays anymore

Last 6 weeks or so, I gained everything back and am now up 200K+ and have been blazing hot

**EGrecu** · 03-09-22, 05:46 PM

Originally posted by Str8Mush4Life

Is this the first time that you've seen a line that should be obvious but is completely out of whack? Vegas isn't respecting ATL after last year. Maybe MIL should OBVIOUSLY blow ATL out, but this line tells me to not only take ATL to cover but even possibly sprinkle the ATL ML.

You're trying to get too cute

Atlanta has been terribly overvalued by vegas all year. They're 28-36 ATS.

On the road, they're 10-22 ATS. As road underdogs, they're 6-14 ATS.

**Buckandadime** · 03-09-22, 05:48 PM

Originally posted by EGrecu

I don't have a formula, I just look at the lines and can tell whats off and what's not

The nets were 3 point favorites yesterday and with kyrie and durant in there, they're much better than Charlotte- it should have been a 6-8 line so I jumped all over it. The only reason that line was 3 pts is because nets have struggled but they've been struggling cause they haven't had durant or kyrie in many games. With those 2 in there, they're a really great team

Milwaukee today is only giving 5 pts...They're much better than Atlanta. That should be a 8 or 9 pt spread so I'm jumping all over that. This is a situation where Atlanta continues to get a lot of respect from Vegas based on last year...Atlanta is a mediocre team. Their road ATS this year is abominable

Good luck going forward..

**d2bets** · 03-09-22, 05:50 PM

Originally posted by EGrecu

So about 2 months ago, I lost 100k on 6 parlays but I won about 55% of plays on that. I just kept going 1-1 or 2-1. It was very stupid. I don't do parlays anymore

Last 6 weeks or so, I gained everything back and am now up 200K+ and have been blazing hot

Except it wasn't 2 months ago. That post was Feb. 13. That's 22 days ago. 3 weeks ago you were destitute and desperate and needed a home equity loan to ever gamble again, but today you are a 60-70% winner over the last 2 months. Do you see the discrepancy? I believe you've been winning the last few weeks. I don't believe you've hit over 60% on 200 plays over the last two months. Sounds like you had bad variance for awhile and now the last few weeks good variance. Now are you up overall gambling lifetime? Were up you up lifetime before the last 3 weeks? Now that's revealing. Still, could be luck if you just hit a lucky streak and pressed it. Also means you might lose it back as fast as you made it. Under no circumstances do I believe you could sustain 60%+ NBA over any sustained period.
Good luck, sir. You need it.

For me to believe i someone, I want to see consistent winning over a period of years, or heavy volume consistent winning over several months at least. Then I'll believe you have something. A 3-week hot streak after a cold streak doesn't impress me.

**lonegambler23** · 03-09-22, 05:59 PM

this guy is fuucking great!!!!!!!!