When ever someone says they are done gambling that really means the next day they will find money and re-up and gamble.
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why are the phils the focus of the conversation? they are 5th in runs, 9th in era in MLB. they've been without harper for over a month now, and are a respectable 15-12 without him. the focus should be on how stupid it is to bet on baseball because the lines are absurd, and only get worse with the spread.
for example, everyone loves the yankees. they are 23-17 in their last 40. how many of those games was the money line a shitty -250, -320 or something like that? no chance to consistently win. even when you take the spread at times, how often is it still a garbage -175 or -150? way too many variables in baseball to trust or predict anything.
9 of those 23 wins were by 1 run. so if you were betting the spread on the yanks.. you would have lost 26 out of 40 wagers on them. and most would have been at a disadvantage. if you wagered $700 on each game, you'd lose $18,200. if the general spread odds were around -130, you would have only won $7,532. a total loss of $10,668 wagering the spread on the last 40 yankee games.
baseball
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You'll be backComment -
good analysis but now i am depressedwhy are the phils the focus of the conversation? they are 5th in runs, 9th in era in MLB. they've been without harper for over a month now, and are a respectable 15-12 without him. the focus should be on how stupid it is to bet on baseball because the lines are absurd, and only get worse with the spread.
for example, everyone loves the yankees. they are 23-17 in their last 40. how many of those games was the money line a shitty -250, -320 or something like that? no chance to consistently win. even when you take the spread at times, how often is it still a garbage -175 or -150? way too many variables in baseball to trust or predict anything.
9 of those 23 wins were by 1 run. so if you were betting the spread on the yanks.. you would have lost 26 out of 40 wagers on them. and most would have been at a disadvantage. if you wagered $700 on each game, you'd lose $18,200. if the general spread odds were around -130, you would have only won $7,532. a total loss of $10,668 wagering the spread on the last 40 yankee games.
baseballComment -
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We don’t care if you quit gambling. Just stop posting.Comment -
The Phillies as of now are in the playoffs they’re doing very wellComment -
That was horrible analysis. In the past 40 games, the Yankees have only been longer than -130 while laying -1.5 in nine games. The odds were shorter than that in the other 31 games. Very stupid to say "if the odds were around -130". We could just use the actual odds instead of just making something up.good analysis but now i am depressedwhy are the phils the focus of the conversation? they are 5th in runs, 9th in era in MLB. they've been without harper for over a month now, and are a respectable 15-12 without him. the focus should be on how stupid it is to bet on baseball because the lines are absurd, and only get worse with the spread.
for example, everyone loves the yankees. they are 23-17 in their last 40. how many of those games was the money line a shitty -250, -320 or something like that? no chance to consistently win. even when you take the spread at times, how often is it still a garbage -175 or -150? way too many variables in baseball to trust or predict anything.
9 of those 23 wins were by 1 run. so if you were betting the spread on the yanks.. you would have lost 26 out of 40 wagers on them. and most would have been at a disadvantage. if you wagered $700 on each game, you'd lose $18,200. if the general spread odds were around -130, you would have only won $7,532. a total loss of $10,668 wagering the spread on the last 40 yankee games.
baseball
New York Yankees Odds & Betting Lines | Action NetworkComment -
it was a random example with general comments regarding fictitious lines, dingus. it wasn't a thesis or some elaborate wagering study.
the yankees obviously weren't even favorites in some games, so the spread wasn't needed. whatever the overall average wound up being, factored in with any money line action.. the point remains the same; lines on top tier teams are whacked out for wagers to fail. and regardless of what the line is, their 23-17 record in the last 40 would leave someone significantly in the hole if they locked in on them every game.
there's nothing "stupid" about stating that. the dodgers were around -218 last night on the ROAD against the rockies. the spread was around -144. both were garbage bets, but people get eaten alive all year long taking those types of lines you see every night.Comment -
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