Braves -138. Hammer time

[goduke]

They will rebound in this game. Great spot to make some cash on this one.

[Easy-Rider 66]

Get em Duke

[Brock Landers]

Look at the radar

[KVB]

Nice, I posted this about the same time...

I'll let my numbers out, fukk it.

I'd take Atl up to about -135 or -140, but I think the market could hit -145.

You know I make several lines, some of them just percentages and moneylines, and some of them score predictions converting to the same, a percentage and moneyline.

One of them, one of the sharper lines I make, has Atl winning by about a run with Atl not quite getting 5 and Philly not quite getting 4 points. I will purposely be vague there.

I can convert this to about a -146.23 no vig line, that's not being vague.

Do what you will with that info...

[jjgold]

all the squares on the fav
We all think the same

[KVB]

all the squares on the fav
We all think the same

Yes, when analyzing the market we have to consider the intentional low line as trying to draw action on the favorite, especially when you can look under the hood of the market with several sharp numbers at your disposal, similar to what I posted above.

We aren't all thinking the same though, Gold, even if we are on the same side. Some of us are playing chess, while the rest are playing checkers.

[lakerboy]

Good luck.

I have made a rule to NEVER get involved in a game with rain effecting times etc.

[KVB]

Good luck.

I have made a rule to NEVER get involved in a game with rain effecting times etc.

Doesn't even have to be rain. Any time change, any sport, even college basketball.

I totally hear you there, I've posted the same before.

[Gamblinglover]

Almost positive phillies win. But besides the magic, wheeler is pitching great over his last handful of starts, phillies have star power up and down the line up and have been hitting the ball all over the place. Harper hoskins realmuto scchwarber....no better first 4 batters than that lineup in the league..the only ones who can come close is betts turner freeman smith

I forgot castellenos at the 5th hole, whos also heating up.

[pologq]

good price on the braves for sure. doesn't happen often.

[Gamblinglover]

Braves are square the only reason people are laying juice vs the phillies ace is because braves are in a must win, well see if wheeler continues to deal or not we shall see.

[slayer14]

It gonna be rained out according to some guys near the stadium

[BiloxiSaintsFan]

Almost positive phillies win. But besides the magic, wheeler is pitching great over his last handful of starts, phillies have star power up and down the line up and have been hitting the ball all over the place. Harper hoskins realmuto scchwarber....no better first 4 batters than that lineup in the league..the only ones who can come close is betts turner freeman smith

I forgot castellenos at the 5th hole, whos also heating up.

They may win, but this made me laugh. Like they’re the better team or something. Too funny.

[BiloxiSaintsFan]

The one thing I can say about this as I have to agree with the MLB experts on this. If this game is postponed. It would put it where they would have to play four games in four nights. That would drastically favor Atlanta because they have a much better bullpen

[goduke]

Alright time to score a run in the bottom of the sixth. Here it comes….

[jjgold]

Getting worried here

[goduke]

Alright time to score a run in the bottom of the sixth. Here it comes….

Right on cue let’s go!

[goduke]

Getting worried here

Worried for what? I said hammer time. You better not have faded me JJ

[TheLock]

Acuna’s usual hyper theatrics after getting hit by a pitch worked; it got Wheeler (and the Phillies) off their game.

I have Braves -1.5 so I’ll reluctantly take it.

[goduke]

Acuna’s usual hyper theatrics after getting hit by a pitch worked; it got Wheeler (and the Phillies) off their game.

I have Braves -1.5 so I’ll reluctantly take it.

It got the crowd invested. That was key. But it was a legit fastball to the elbow. I doubt very many could take that without the same reaction

[TheLock]

It got the crowd invested. That was key. But it was a legit fastball to the elbow. I doubt very many could take that without the same reaction

Fair enough. But I watch a ton of NL East baseball. Historically, Acuna is the absolute worst about crying about getting hit.

[goduke]

Fair enough. But I watch a ton of NL East baseball. Historically, Acuna is the absolute worst about crying about getting hit.

I guess but I don’t know man if you take 95+ off any part of the body I think you would be mad too. I look at like a Lebron James when I call out athletes crying. He acts like he’s taken 4 bullets to the chest when he gets touched. A hockey puck or baseball off the body hurts no matter what

[TheLock]

I guess but I don’t know man if you take 95+ off any part of the body I think you would be mad too. I look at like a Lebron James when I call out athletes crying. He acts like he’s taken 4 bullets to the chest when he gets touched. A hockey puck or baseball off the body hurts no matter what

Acuna makes a huge penetrating deal about getting hit 95% of the time. And often it’s when he gets hit in one of the four pads he wears. I don’t know what else to tell you.

Sick catch by Riley. Big!

[KVB]

Chicken Dinner Duker.

[TheLock]

Yes……let’s goooooo

[pologq]

nice call. almost made back my game 1 loss.

[jjgold]

Many cashed


Tremendous job

[Foxx]

Duke, hottest caper around here

[lakerboy]

Easy money

[goduke]

Easy money

Agreed but your bet had more value. Good call over there. I have a hard time betting dodger games because they are capable of winning every game when they give full effort.

[KVB]

I agree Duke. That post I quoted of mine with my no vig line came from a thread that I also put a no vig line for the other game.

I saw so much value there on SD that I was sure I had an error in the numbers, but sometimes we can get a market like that. I described that market a bit in the other thread.

That first game never made it to the bottom of the ninth, that second one’s gonna lol.