Would you take the niners ml +475 in Philly for the NFC championship game

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  • lakerboy
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-02-09
    • 94363

    #1
    Would you take the niners ml +475 in Philly for the NFC championship game
    Both rosters healthy as currently constructed.

    That's what you are getting right now.
  • Machba
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-08-19
    • 6743

    #2
    Give me 9ers
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    • johnnyvegas13
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 05-21-15
      • 27777

      #3
      Explain...
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      • goduke
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-17-10
        • 11580

        #4
        I’ll take anyone in the nfc championship against Philly. They aren’t making the super bowl
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        • DiggityDaggityDo
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 11-30-08
          • 81454

          #5
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          • Nate rasta
            SBR MVP
            • 05-30-22
            • 2952

            #6
            Hell ya. Eagles run defense is ranked 29th in the league. 49ers bread and butter is running the ball and now they got McCaffrey. Sprinkle on top of that playoff experience. Are you saying this because the 49ers are +475 to win nfc. I wonder if you can get more value if you just bet 49ers every playoff game and roll it over
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            • jjgold
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 07-20-05
              • 388189

              #7
              Yes

              Sf much more mentally tough for playoffs
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              • Snowball
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 11-15-09
                • 30040

                #8
                Maybe but just to sell them live.

                Only way I would hold the bet is if they were up 2+ possessions.
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                • TheMoneyShot
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 02-14-07
                  • 28672

                  #9
                  interesting thread. I'd take 49ers points for sure though
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                  • DrunkHorseplayer
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 05-15-10
                    • 7719

                    #10
                    You're assuming way too much given that it's the NFL playoffs.
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                    • lakerboy
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 04-02-09
                      • 94363

                      #11
                      Not sure why anyone would not take sf +475. You will not get that in gameday.
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                      • DiggityDaggityDo
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 11-30-08
                        • 81454

                        #12
                        I bet them a while back.

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                        • lakerboy
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 04-02-09
                          • 94363

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Nate rasta
                          Hell ya. Eagles run defense is ranked 29th in the league. 49ers bread and butter is running the ball and now they got McCaffrey. Sprinkle on top of that playoff experience. Are you saying this because the 49ers are +475 to win nfc. I wonder if you can get more value if you just bet 49ers every playoff game and roll it over
                          Probably on the last part. Then again you might pay juice first gm and be out and behind more.
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                          • Nate rasta
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-30-22
                            • 2952

                            #14
                            Originally posted by lakerboy
                            Probably on the last part. Then again you might pay juice first gm and be out and behind more.
                            Yeah a lot of that depends on if they win the division. start on the road or have a home game. They could still not even make the playoffs but I think they will. Kicking myself for not hammering them at 9/1 right when they got mccaffery. McCaffrey is at 100/1 for MVP right now, but probably way too late in the season for that to gain momentum
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                            • Goat Milk
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 03-24-10
                              • 25850

                              #15
                              I think SF has a good chance to win it all. Crazy roster. Weak on cornerbacks though. Lost their best 2 for the year. Great offense, probably the best on paper in the league. Still a rock solid defense with game changing players.
                              Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
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                              • Goat Milk
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 03-24-10
                                • 25850

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Nate rasta
                                Yeah a lot of that depends on if they win the division. start on the road or have a home game. They could still not even make the playoffs but I think they will. Kicking myself for not hammering them at 9/1 right when they got mccaffery. McCaffrey is at 100/1 for MVP right now, but probably way too late in the season for that to gain momentum
                                An RB needs to have 2000 yards and 20 tds to be mvp.
                                Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
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                                • GunShard
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-05-10
                                  • 10026

                                  #17
                                  49ers vs Eagles NFC championship game does sound like it's going to happen.
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                                  • Booya711
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 12-20-11
                                    • 27329

                                    #18
                                    Philly won’t be in the championship game
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                                    • gauchojake
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                                      • 09-17-10
                                      • 34103

                                      #19
                                      Of course
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                                      • Goat Milk
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 03-24-10
                                        • 25850

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Booya711
                                        Philly won’t be in the championship game
                                        I see them being in the NFC championship as of now unless they have to go through SF earlier. This Philly team is pretty loaded on both sides of the ball, they aren't a fluke for sure
                                        Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
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                                        • unde0087
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 03-27-08
                                          • 28861

                                          #21
                                          That has "on it" written all over it
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                                          • DrunkHorseplayer
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 05-15-10
                                            • 7719

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by lakerboy
                                            Not sure why anyone would not take sf +475. You will not get that in gameday.
                                            There may not be a gameday; you're assuming that Philly is No. 1, that SF makes the playoffs, that Philly wins once and that SF wins twice. A lot can happen between now and then.
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                                            • d2bets
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 08-10-05
                                              • 39990

                                              #23
                                              Of course.
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                                              • kingdom
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 07-25-10
                                                • 10099

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                                niners. jimmy g redemption. shanahan owes the man an apology. wasting a trade and picks on trey lance. jimmy was one pass away from winning the super bowl. kyle never got over it.
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                                                • stevenash
                                                  Moderator
                                                  • 01-17-11
                                                  • 65149

                                                  #25
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                                                  • jjgold
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 07-20-05
                                                    • 388189

                                                    #26
                                                    SF built for playoffs not Phila
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                                                    • lakerboy
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 04-02-09
                                                      • 94363

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
                                                      There may not be a gameday; you're assuming that Philly is No. 1, that SF makes the playoffs, that Philly wins once and that SF wins twice. A lot can happen between now and then.
                                                      This is a hypothetical scenario. The reason I posted this is to see if people are doing things the right way. There has been at least one wrong answer so far.
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                                                      • manny24
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-22-07
                                                        • 20046

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                        This is a hypothetical scenario. The reason I posted this is to see if people are doing things the right way. There has been at least one wrong answer so far.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • d2bets
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 08-10-05
                                                          • 39990

                                                          #29
                                                          How are you deriving these odds. Looks like SF to win East is +500 at most spots. So how would that project +475 in the NFC Championship?
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                                                          • Goat Milk
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 03-24-10
                                                            • 25850

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by d2bets
                                                            How are you deriving these odds. Looks like SF to win East is +500 at most spots. So how would that project +475 in the NFC Championship?
                                                            It wouldn't be anywhere near that. If those two teams met in the NFC championship in Philly it would be SF +150. I already took SF to win the superbowl after the mcaffrey trade. That itself was only like +1400 or something.
                                                            Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
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                                                            • d2bets
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 08-10-05
                                                              • 39990

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                              It wouldn't be anywhere near that. If those two teams met in the NFC championship in Philly it would be SF +150. I already took SF to win the superbowl after the mcaffrey trade. That itself was only like +1400 or something.
                                                              +150 would be a +3+100 type line. Of course a lot can change, but I doubt it would be quite that low. I thinking a -4.5/-200 type line.
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                                                              • lakerboy
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 04-02-09
                                                                • 94363

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by d2bets
                                                                +150 would be a +3+100 type line. Of course a lot can change, but I doubt it would be quite that low. I thinking a -4.5/-200 type line.
                                                                No chance that sf would be +4.5 in Philly. ZERO

                                                                The +475 is what you are getting if the game is played today. That's an automatic bet on sf
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                                                                • d2bets
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 08-10-05
                                                                  • 39990

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                                  No chance that sf would be +4.5 in Philly. ZERO

                                                                  The +475 is what you are getting if the game is played today. That's an automatic bet on sf
                                                                  Again, how do you figure?
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                                                                  • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 11-30-08
                                                                    • 81454

                                                                    #34
                                                                    This could be a tremendous bump thread for Laker come Championship time.
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                                                                    • Goat Milk
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 03-24-10
                                                                      • 25850

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by d2bets
                                                                      +150 would be a +3+100 type line. Of course a lot can change, but I doubt it would be quite that low. I thinking a -4.5/-200 type line.
                                                                      Maybe, always depends on how things shake out in playoffs, if niners are winning close games to get there, or if they are blowing out teams, just depends. I think GB was -5 last year to SF. But you add arguably the best player in the nfl to your team, yeah... -3 seems pretty fair, you'll get plenty of action on both sides. Who knows. Fun to think about tho.
                                                                      Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                                      Comment
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