Don't get smart and try to think too much. They will absolutely annihilate the Bengals.
LAY IT
LAY IT
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Yeppers
Joe Pubic
on BungholesComment -
Love the confidence
Hope you're right
GO BILLSComment -
Buffalo over chiefsComment -
Joe Burrow made it to Superbowl. Allen has not.
Bengals are a live dog. The Cerberus of NFL guarding the gates of Hades.Comment -
Is this the most you've ever bet on an NFL game?Comment -
I like it.Comment -
ml? or spread?Comment -
Do people forget that the Bengals beat the Chiefs in KC last year?Comment -
No
I had the Bengals
Did you forget?Comment -
Good luck, let’s get this!Comment -
Same team same situation. 3 point game either way.Comment -
cinn by 80Comment -
Laker hotComment -
Agreed i think cinci should maybe win outright, both teams had a struggle 1st round but....i gotta go with burrow over allen, even if his line is banged up, he did it last year with a bad oline as well.
What i dont understand is why vegas made buffalo a 5.5/6 pt favorite, when they are.aware.how good burrow and kinda clutch he is...if cinci does win ill be even more confused as.to why they made buffalo a 6 pt fav....meaning if vegas in this game does think cinci wins, why did they make buf a 6 pt fav, how would that maximize profit? I guess the reason would be if they make buffalo say -3 it probably wouldnt make a difference.....meaning say vegas puts buff at 3...all the people who want cincinatti are probably still taking cincinatti, and the people betting buff are either laying the chalk or the 3 still, but are just happier the line is low. Whereas if they make buffalo 6, all those people who wouldn lay 3 are probably not gonna change their minds on buffalo at 6 and will still bet it, only they will make a lot more from moneyline bettors. Also what the higher line does at 6 is make people maybe not take cinci on the ml thinking its too unlikely, and vice versa with buffalo on the ml, its a sure thing they win, whereas say they put the line up at 3....then vegas would be telling all the bettors that its a coinflip game evenly matched, does this make sense.to anyone. (This is assuming vegas knows cinci prob wins, cinci goes out and wins, this my theory of why vegas had this line )
Also if they make buff 3 all.the buff backers will just lay the 3.and not even consider ml....whereas at 6 some.may consider laying the wood...cuz its now harder to cover, but they think buffalo is great or something so theyraither lay the points or lay the.juice, and bettors are much more likely to take ml probably on a -6 as opposed to -3....and when.cinci is at 5.5/6 it may encourage either smaller ml bets on cinci becauae its a longshot or just playing it safe with the points.
Also when lines at 6 many people might think its sharp or wiae to buy up to 7, in this case vegas knows theyre.gonna win, but is just giving them less money for.being right, literally suckering them.into buy that extra point, even tho its gonna win and.the point is meaningless, theyre winning less.Last edited by Gamblinglover; 01-22-23, 05:41 AM.Comment -
I agree and another reason bengals line. Maybe could get backdoored but I’m with you for a dimeComment -
when u cash as little as u do I guesss the wins (few and far between) REALLY stick out in your mind….No
I had the Bengals
Did you forget?Comment -
But see.thing is im assuming cinci is the better team (better qb receivers made.it to sb last year etc.) yet vegas has them as a decent dog, for some reason....and im.just trying to.figure out why....so.my theory is there must be a lot of hype on buffalo...fans, people.who just think josh allen is due or is better, and vegas should know who the better team.is and im.sure they do....so imo assuming cinci does win, im.trying to figure out why vegas would make buffalo a 6pt fav, cuz obv they are.not gonna put a line out thats gonna lose them money.
But lets assume vegas knows.cinci is better, and vegas knows or.thinks they win....realisically the line can be anywhere from pk to buff -7, they chose to make it 5.5/6 which means that that line is going to make them the most money...and if cinci wins, its unlikely the money was on cinci, even if they are a public play, one way or.another the money was on buffalo unless, vegas.is just stupid (made the better team and qb a dog that was popular with the betting public allowing them to lose on the game) this is super unlikely, and its also v likely books are cruahing it in the biggest most bet games.
Heres another thing: if they think cinci wins, say they lower the line and make it 3, a lot of cinci backers and fans will just take the ml cause they think.its likely they win and not even take the 3 points, so youre gonna have a lot more people taling the ml on cinci and not even bother with +3 spread but when its at 6, this may entice.them to.think.cinci is less likely to.win.outright and if.they want to bet.now they will.ceetainly take.the points, saving the books money on cinci fans
The more.i.think about it...i actually.think vegas made.buffalo the biggest favorite they could realistically get away with...meaning they cant make.buff a.td or more favorite, and because cinci is on the road thry cant be favored either. So the only possible lines for.this game is from 0-6 and vegas did make.it 6. Which means buffalo backers are laying the most points vegas could realistically get away with like charging....which obv means all.the value is on cinci, and this must be a perception thing, or the hype around buffalo, that they could make buffalo lay the most points possible, and the money would STILL come in on buffaloLast edited by Gamblinglover; 01-22-23, 06:30 AM.Comment -
Experience counts for something and should be factored in, I agree. But all in all the Bills are a better team. And Allen is not a rookie QB that hasn't seen it before. This is his 4th consecutive run to the postseason, and he's surely had enough experience in playing enough postseason games to negate the fact that Burrow has got to a Superbowl. Allen played in the 2020 AFC championship game and just came up short to an excellent Mahomes-led Chiefs team, remember that.
All being said, just because Burrow has been to the show before doesn't mean Allen will never get there. I just feel that the Bills are a stronger team and will win, probably by 2+ scores.Comment -
Why not a million? Pocket change for a delivery driverComment -
Bills looked awful against the Ravens, Jets and Dolphins this season.Comment -
Yeah this must be the perception and why vegas is able to tax you with laying 6....i havent paid attention but is bills defense like reslly great, because burrow and allen have similar numbers maybe burrow is slighlty better this year, burrow has great recievers jamarr chase and some other guy i cant think of, does buff have better recievers?
Idk about cinci defense either, i know the only problem with the team was their o line last year, they fixed.that, but now they have injuries.....
Im trying to see why its worth laying 6...is all, either buffalo has better wrs or cinci does....lets assume josh allen and burrow are equals, and ill also assume the defenses are equal, are they idk? If thats the case youre laying the 6 because of the injuries to the offensive line.
Or buffs defense is way better than cincis?Comment -
Bills by double digits.Comment -
I'm hoping for a Bills-Cowboys Super Bowl and I hope that this guy is alive to witness it.
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Buffalo 🦬Comment -
The only other possible reason they made buffalo 6 which.is.the most points they can reasonably make the line...would be to lure people onto cincinatti taking +6 because buffalo is gonna romp. But that doesnt appear to be true as far as.this forum goes as most like.buffalo, which may be the general consensus...like books made the line as high as possible and people still came in on buffalo, so if like buffalo doesnt steamroll it might have been correct as to.why the line was 6.Last edited by Gamblinglover; 01-22-23, 07:53 AM.Comment -
All over Buffalo today let’s goComment -
All in all the bills are a better team? Not saying they cant win but I don't agree with this.
Qb is what? A push?
Rb I'd take Perine/Mixon over Cook/Singletary
Wr it's not even close. Davis drops passes all the time and their #3 wrs cant hold a candle to Boyd
TE Hurst imo is about as good as Knox just doesnt get the TDs as often
OL Edge to the Bills for being healthier
Defensively the Bills have several great players but no real pass rush, thats why they lost their minds and gave Miller stupid guaranteed money at his age. Bengals can definitely apply more pressure. Outside of LB i dont see an edge for the Bills anywhere on defense. The secondary has the name but certainly haven't been playing up to it.Comment -
Bengals to score first??Comment
