Who has a lean on tonight's Marquette v. Butler game.

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65147

    #1
    Who has a lean on tonight's Marquette v. Butler game.
    First off I'm in a bit of a funk lately, 2- 5 across my last seven.
    Usually unranked home teams pay me off, lately, babkas.

    Butler's pretty much a mediocre 14-15 team playing in a brutal league.
    Marquette is sixth ranked in the nation, wraps up the Big East league title with a 'W' here.

    Betting line is 8.5 total is 141.

    This game is killing me.

    Like I said, I do like the home dog vs. ranked visitor angle, but that's not been paying me off lately.

    I'm looking at the six February games Butler has played, all Big East games, and if you throw out that miserable home loss to the Hoyas, I'm sorry, a home loss to Georgetown is inexcusable, Butler has been extremely competitive in the other five February games.

    2/4 - The first Marquette game, lose on the road to them 60-52.
    Very respectable loss. if a loss can be respectable?
    Rematch tonight.

    2/7 - Knocks off St. John's in a thriller.

    2/10 - Upsets #14 Xavier by eight, extremely impressive win.

    2/14 - Loses to 'Nova, in 'Nova, not a shameful road loss at all

    2/19 - Brain fart awful loss at home to Georgetown.

    2/22 - Knocks off DePaul on the road by a point.

    Overall, a pretty nice February.

    No need to run down the Big East Beast Marquette.
    Won five straight from Dec-Jan, than a tough loss to Xavier.
    Then won five straight again from Jan-Feb. than got bitch slapped by UConn.
    Currently on a four game win streak, I'm seeing a consistent pattern/trend here, even though trend betting is not always profitable.

    A Marquette win, they lock up the Big East regular season title, so they're playing with a purpose here. If Butler does pull off the home upset, I don't see them losing to St. John's Saturday.

    Butler is locked in to a 8/9 game with St. John's regardless of tonight's outcome, even if they lose the last game Saturday to Xavier, which is likely.
    That's a brutal final two games, Xavier and Marquette.

    Butler, outside of pride has no agenda tonight.
    Is it Senior night there? Not sure.

    The 141 total is equally frustrating.
    Your typical Butler game as of late is like 68-66, Marquette is like 81-71.
    I did the math, no edge on a razor sharp line.

    I'm inclined to take the home dog.

    Thoughts?
  • Renegades
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-12-11
    • 5290

    #2
    If Butler dictates the tempo they will cover but that is so hard to predict.
    Comment
    • hawkwind
      SBR MVP
      • 04-25-11
      • 4036

      #3
      Butler ml
      Comment
      • Slow Fanta
        SBR High Roller
        • 03-21-22
        • 242

        #4
        Don't know bout ML but like em to cover with Bates starting.
        Comment
        • johnnyvegas13
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 05-21-15
          • 27775

          #5
          Think butler hangs but loses
          Comment
          • stevenash
            Moderator
            • 01-17-11
            • 65147

            #6
            Originally posted by hawkwind
            Butler ml
            Line closed 8.5
            I told myself anything over 7.0 is a slight value.

            I'm on Butler + 8.5, small forty dollar action/value wager.

            Best of luck all.
            (total is just too tight, might revisit that at HT)
            Comment
            • trobin31
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 01-09-14
              • 9853

              #7
              I knew a lady with a stump for a leg, her name was Eileen. I lean butler points but that’s a stay away for me
              Comment
              • johnnyvegas13
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 05-21-15
                • 27775

                #8
                Nash u like seton hall ml +105 tonight?
                Comment
                • Renegades
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 10-12-11
                  • 5290

                  #9
                  Cant get much worse than Butler offense tonight. Wow

                  even Mt Saint Marys plays better lol
                  Comment
                  • stevenash
                    Moderator
                    • 01-17-11
                    • 65147

                    #10
                    Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                    Nash u like seton hall ml +105 tonight?
                    SH or pass.
                    Lean Hall, but the game doesn't really get my juices flowing here.
                    Comment
                    • stevenash
                      Moderator
                      • 01-17-11
                      • 65147

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Renegades
                      Cant get much worse than Butler offense tonight. Wow

                      even Mt Saint Marys plays better lol
                      I'll see your Mt. St. Mary's and raise you my 'beloved' Fairfield Stags.
                      Comment
                      • johnnyvegas13
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 05-21-15
                        • 27775

                        #12
                        I took hall Nash just so ya know
                        Comment
                        • stevenash
                          Moderator
                          • 01-17-11
                          • 65147

                          #13
                          Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                          I took hall Nash just so ya know
                          Best of luck..
                          I love to bust your balls, but you're a decent fella.

                          I'm passing there, I got my eye on a couple of West Coast NBA games a little later.

                          Hey, looky here, six points from a Butler back door cover.
                          Who knows?
                          Comment
                          • Nate rasta
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-30-22
                            • 2952

                            #14
                            Who are you leaning tonight for NBA nash?
                            Comment
                            • stevenash
                              Moderator
                              • 01-17-11
                              • 65147

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Nate rasta
                              Who are you leaning tonight for NBA nash?
                              Clips/Wolves OVER 232
                              I'm kind of cold lately though, tail at own risk, but there should be a shit ton of points in that one.
                              Comment
                              • Nate rasta
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-30-22
                                • 2952

                                #16
                                Originally posted by stevenash
                                Clips/Wolves OVER 232
                                I'm kind of cold lately though, tail at own risk, but there should be a shit ton of points in that one.
                                Right on.gl
                                Comment
                                • stevenash
                                  Moderator
                                  • 01-17-11
                                  • 65147

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Nate rasta
                                  Right on.gl
                                  Thanks.
                                  Not for nothing 30 minutes ago the total was 232, I just went to place my wager, it was 230.
                                  Interesting, it's not a major move, but just enough of a move to make me think.

                                  Gobert is officially starting, upgraded from GTD, that's the only reason I can think of as to why the total would move two points, but as terrific he is on defense, he can score down low too.

                                  Since I'm still on a mini cooler, my wager is only a small 40 dollar OVER 230.

                                  I'm big on money management, I press up on a heater, I 'll keep is small and simple when on a cooler

                                  Best of luck again, this old school classic is for you.




                                  Comment
                                  • Nate rasta
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 05-30-22
                                    • 2952

                                    #18
                                    Nice,thank you sir. She is still touring the U.S. and doing shows
                                    Comment
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