March soccer picks

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  • KVB
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 05-29-14
    • 74817

    #71
    Originally posted by Headsterx
    24-17-3 (+7.53)

    Australia: Metro Claremont (R) vs Hobart United 2 u4.5 (+125) / 0-0 22 mins
    Originally posted by Headsterx
    24-18-3 (+6.53)...
    There are some mistakes in this thread, I believe you have made mistakes that short change your units.

    But this one is weird. That was 3 point game but maybe the U4.5 (+125) is a typo.

    You graded it a loss, but if it really was 4.5, it's a win. In the summary below, I count it as a win.

    Also, when your record was posted as 3-3, early on, it was actually 4-4. Also, you gave yourself a Concaaf tie why you actually won. There was an error between posts 35 and 36, where you took off -105 and it should have been -132.

    In post # 7 you come to -2.23, but it's really -2.22.

    I think you have short changed both your record and units in the thread.

    Posted Should be
    Post 35 5.97 6.98
    Post 36 4.92 5.66
    I have you're record, including post #70 at 32-30-4 and you are +3.18 units. This after losing 4 straight and 11 of the last 12, with the other a tie.

    It's been quite a ride and some of the losses on the downtrend were aiming at pretty high odds:



    Good work here, perhaps a lack of discipline with some of those haymakers on the downtrend, but it's tough to tell.

    Still, good stuff.

    Comment
    • KVB
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 05-29-14
      • 74817

      #72
      Raw data with some notes:

      Posts 1-25:

      Post # Notes Record Odds Units 0
      1 0-1 115 -1 -1
      2 0-2 140 -1 -2
      3 1-2 118 1.18 -0.82
      4 2-2 -135 1 0.18
      5 2-3 -135 -1.35 -1.17
      6 2-4 -105 -1.05 -2.22
      7 3-4 -125 1 -1.22
      8 4-4 -135 1 -0.22
      9 4-5 114 -1 -1.22
      10 5-5 -122 1 -0.22
      11 5-6 130 -1 -1.22
      12 6-6 -125 1 -0.22
      13 6-7 112 -1 -1.22
      14 7-7 -122 1 -0.22
      15 8-7 -105 1 0.78
      16 9-7 112 1.12 1.9
      17 No Push 10-7 118 1.18 3.08
      18 11-7 -112 1 4.08
      19 11-8 105 -1 3.08
      20 11-9 -115 -1.15 1.93
      21 11-10 230 -1 0.93
      23 11-11 115 -1 -0.07
      24 12-11 100 1 0.93
      25 13-11 -185 1 1.93
      Comment
      • KVB
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 05-29-14
        • 74817

        #73
        Raw data Part 2

        Posts 26-50...

        26 14-11 -102 1
        27 15-11 -135 1
        28 16-11 -105 1
        29 16-12 110 -1
        30 16-12-1 111 0
        31 17-12-1 105 1.05
        32 18-12-1 -115 1
        34 19-12-1 -154 1
        35 19-13-1 -132 -1.32
        36 20-13-1 -132 1
        37 20-14-1 125 -1
        38 21-14-1 -125 1
        40 22-14-1 -118 1
        41 22-15-1 102 -1
        42 22-16-1 123 -1
        43 23-16-1 -135 1
        44 24-16-1 -108 1
        45 24-17-1 110 -1
        46 25-17-1 125 1.25
        47 25-17-2 -122 0
        48 26-17-2 158 1.58
        49 26-18-2 -122 -1
        50 Not loss? 27-18-2 125 1.25
        Comment
        • KVB
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 05-29-14
          • 74817

          #74
          Raw data Part 3:

          Posts 51-70:

          51 27-19-2 100 -1
          52 28-19-2 102 1.02
          53 29-19-2 110 1.1
          54 30-19-2 125 1.25
          55 31-19-2 105 1.05
          56 32-19-2 102 1.02
          57 32-20-2 125 -1
          58 32-21-2 118 -1
          59 32-22-2 190 -1
          60 32-23-2 -125 -1
          61 32-24-3 105 -1
          62 32-25-3 171 -1
          65 32-26-3 125 -1
          66 32-26-4 -133 0
          67 32-27-4 -108 -1
          68 32-28-4 113 -1
          69 32-29-4 128 -1
          70 32-30-4 110 -1
          32-30-4 3.18


          Weird I had to break those up.

          Comment
          • Headsterx
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-03-16
            • 22382

            #75
            Thanks KVB! I’ll double check later. Just started drinking with the triple header college hoops today and now too drunk to think.
            Comment
            • Headsterx
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-03-16
              • 22382

              #76
              Record is pending.

              Paraguay: Club Guaraní vs Guaireña u2 (+115)
              Comment
              • Headsterx
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-03-16
                • 22382

                #77
                0-0 20 mins
                Comment
                • Headsterx
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-03-16
                  • 22382

                  #78
                  KVB! You’re the man! Post #50: I need to contact Bovada and dispute it. They have graded it as a loss (I had the wrong odds too… lol):

                  17/23
                  1:21 AM
                  Loss - Single
                  Under 4.5 (+132)
                  Metro Claremont (R) vs Hobart United 2
                  Comment
                  • Headsterx
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 12-03-16
                    • 22382

                    #79
                    Loss - Single
                    Risk $ 200.00 / To Win $ 264.00 / Odds +132
                    Total Goals O/U
                    3/17/23
                    Under 4.5 (+132)
                    Metro Claremont (R) vs Hobart United 2
                    (Live Regulation Time) Total Goals O/U
                    Soccer - Tasmania Southern Championship 1 Mar 17, 2023 12:00 AM PDT
                    Comment
                    • Headsterx
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-03-16
                      • 22382

                      #80
                      Ah ok, so Post #50 was correct as a loss. There were two similar games but my wager were on Hobart 2 or reserve. Bovada message:

                      It's Daniel, the agent you are talking over the phone.

                      Here is the official link which states the total goals of this game was 6:



                      Regards,

                      Bovada Customer Service
                      Comment
                      • Nate rasta
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-30-22
                        • 2952

                        #81
                        Good luck Headstrex
                        Comment
                        • Headsterx
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-03-16
                          • 22382

                          #82
                          Originally posted by Nate rasta
                          Good luck Headstrex
                          Thanks Nate!
                          Comment
                          • Headsterx
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-03-16
                            • 22382

                            #83
                            Record is still pending.

                            Romania: Stiinta U Craiova U19 vs Unirea Bascov U19 u2.5 (+225) / 0-1 2H
                            Comment
                            • flyingillini
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 41219

                              #84
                              UAE clean sheet 12:30am
                              המוסד‎
                              המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים‎
                              Comment
                              • Headsterx
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 12-03-16
                                • 22382

                                #85
                                (Yeah I know, get that audit finished. Sorry, been drinking during March Madness games and can't focus but should finish up by afternoon.)

                                Euro: Scotland vs Cyprus u3 (-115)
                                Comment
                                • Headsterx
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-03-16
                                  • 22382

                                  #86
                                  Originally posted by flyingillini
                                  UAE clean sheet 12:30am
                                  I'm figuring you're referring to Viet time so 11am PT. But there's four games during that time. Which one or all four?
                                  Comment
                                  • KVB
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 05-29-14
                                    • 74817

                                    #87
                                    Originally posted by Headsterx
                                    Ah ok, so Post #50 was correct as a loss. There were two similar games but my wager were on Hobart 2 or reserve. Bovada message:

                                    It's Daniel, the agent you are talking over the phone.

                                    Here is the official link which states the total goals of this game was 6:



                                    Regards,

                                    Bovada Customer Service
                                    Here's post #50:
                                    Originally posted by Headsterx
                                    ...Australia: Metro Claremont (R) vs Hobart United 2 u4.5 (+125) / 0-0 22 mins
                                    Was there another game?

                                    Edit:

                                    This could be Tasmania southern league reserves as opposed to to the Tasmania Championship.

                                    Now I see the confusion.
                                    Last edited by KVB; 03-25-23, 12:37 PM.
                                    Comment
                                    • Headsterx
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 12-03-16
                                      • 22382

                                      #88
                                      Originally posted by KVB
                                      Here's post #50:

                                      Was there another game?

                                      Did Metro FC play Hobart United FC and the reserves, is there even a difference?

                                      You have 0-0 22minutes, but I think there was a goal in the 7th minute.

                                      We must be talking about different games?????

                                      This shows 2-1:



                                      This also shows 2-1:



                                      Here's a Hobart schedule from one site showing 2-1:



                                      Here's a Metro schedule from yet another site showing 2-1:

                                      Football live scores from global soccer leagues with live match results, statistics, league tables and upcoming fixtures on Scorebar.com


                                      What am I missing here?

                                      So Metro played Hobart 2 (reserved) at midnight (PT) which I bet 20 mins later and total goals 6. Then Metro played Hobart (non-reserved) at 2:15am which had total goals 3.

                                      I remembered trying to follow my bet but couldn’t find any site having it. I had to follow it on Bovada and then they lost the live feed in 2H.

                                      The link that Bovada gave me is the only existing link I know of that game.
                                      Comment
                                      • Headsterx
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-03-16
                                        • 22382

                                        #89
                                        Originally posted by Headsterx
                                        I'm figuring you're referring to Viet time so 11am PT. But there's four games during that time. Which one or all four?
                                        Oh, I got it, UAE in Friendly game. Clean sheet +120.
                                        Comment
                                        • KVB
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 05-29-14
                                          • 74817

                                          #90
                                          Originally posted by Headsterx
                                          So Metro played Hobart 2 (reserved) at midnight (PT) which I bet 20 mins later and total goals 6. Then Metro played Hobart (non-reserved) at 2:15am which had total goals 3.

                                          I remembered trying to follow my bet but couldn’t find any site having it. I had to follow it on Bovada and then they lost the live feed in 2H.

                                          The link that Bovada gave me is the only existing link I know of that game.
                                          I edited that post.

                                          I figured it out. Had trouble finding the reserves scores, but found it. For Metro, it alwasy says SC, even the reserves scores.

                                          Find live scores, results, standings and season stats for Manchester United football team on Scorebar.com.
                                          Comment
                                          • Headsterx
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-03-16
                                            • 22382

                                            #91
                                            Originally posted by Headsterx
                                            Oh, I got it, UAE in Friendly game. Clean sheet +120.
                                            Tied up 0-0. Maybe both team will clean sheet.

                                            Comment
                                            • KVB
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 05-29-14
                                              • 74817

                                              #92
                                              Headster, I don't why I decided to track all that. It was either the 3-3 record that should have been 4-4 or one of the mistakes that seemed to be hurting your record.

                                              Whatever it was, good thread.

                                              I learned something today about those Australian Leagues, and the reserves, and I appreciate it.

                                              Comment
                                              • Headsterx
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-03-16
                                                • 22382

                                                #93
                                                Originally posted by KVB
                                                Headster, I don't why I decided to track all that. It was either the 3-3 record that should have been 4-4 or one of the mistakes that seemed to be hurting your record.

                                                Whatever it was, good thread.

                                                I learned something today about those Australian Leagues, and the reserves, and I appreciate it.

                                                I do appreciate your audit as I didn't realized those mistakes. Most of them are live wagers and I'm hurrying up to post it and calculate the record before it gets stale. And then drinking doesn't help... lol

                                                Comment
                                                • KVB
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 05-29-14
                                                  • 74817

                                                  #94
                                                  Originally posted by Headsterx
                                                  I do appreciate your audit as I didn't realized those mistakes. Most of them are live wagers and I'm hurrying up to post it and calculate the record before it gets stale. And then drinking doesn't help... lol

                                                  Don't worry pal. We all know that these things happen...

                                                  Originally posted by thomorino
                                                  Get lost piece of shit if you weren't a coward and you ever posted picks you'd know that .7 units mistakes happen all the time…
                                                  Comment
                                                  • KVB
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                    • 74817

                                                    #95
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Headsterx
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-03-16
                                                      • 22382

                                                      #96
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Headsterx
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-03-16
                                                        • 22382

                                                        #97
                                                        Euro: Spain vs Norway u2 (+138) / 0-0 7 mins
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Headsterx
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-03-16
                                                          • 22382

                                                          #98
                                                          MLS: Portland Timbers vs LA Galaxy u2.5 (+114)
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Headsterx
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-03-16
                                                            • 22382

                                                            #99
                                                            (I think Brazil?): Baré vs Atlético Roraima u2.5 (+113) / 0-0 27 mins
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Headsterx
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-03-16
                                                              • 22382

                                                              #100
                                                              Originally posted by Headsterx
                                                              (I think Brazil?): Baré vs Atlético Roraima u2.5 (+113) / 0-0 27 mins
                                                              Campeonatos Estaduais - Roraimense ???

                                                              Comment
                                                              • Headsterx
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-03-16
                                                                • 22382

                                                                #101
                                                                MLS: Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City u2.5 (+102)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Headsterx
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 12-03-16
                                                                  • 22382

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Euro: Kazakhstan vs Denmark u2 (+120) / 0-0 15 mins
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Headsterx
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-03-16
                                                                    • 22382

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Euro: Slovenia vs San Marino u4 (+105) / 0-0 10 mins
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Headsterx
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 12-03-16
                                                                      • 22382

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Paraguay: Club Guarani (W) vs Nacional - Humaita (W) u3.5 (+185) / 1-0 22 mins
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Headsterx
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 12-03-16
                                                                        • 22382

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Peru: Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico u1.5 (-125) / 0-0 48 mins
                                                                        Comment
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