FanDuel Dinger Tuesday Promo

[SBR Andy]

Starting thread tracking the best ways to play the weekly FanDuel Dinger Tuesday Promo:

"Place a Pre-Live, Straight, $25+ 'To Hit a Home Run' Wager on any 6/20 MLB Game and get a $5 bonus in bonus bets for each HR hit by both teams in the game (max $25 per game)."



A few things to target for this promo:

1) Games with a high total and/or struggling starting pitchers

2) Hitter-friendly stadiums and/or wind blowing out

3) Hitter near the top of the order on the road team who FD has the best odds on (chance for an extra at bat in top of the 9th)


For today's slate, I'm looking at the Padres/Giants matchup. Despite not checking all the boxes, the 24MPH wind blowing out at Oracle Park can't be ignored.

FanDuel has the best odds on J.D. Davis of the Giants (+680) to hit a home run. Might take a stab there.


What is your favorite game/player on the board tonight for this promo?

[big joe 1212]

I’ve been doing really well with this promo. I usually place 2 wagers, different games. I look at the same targets as you do. If my guy doesn’t get a homer at least I usually end up with a nice free play.

[SBR Andy]

I’ve been doing really well with this promo. I usually place 2 wagers, different games. I look at the same targets as you do. If my guy doesn’t get a homer at least I usually end up with a nice free play.

Nice. Do you play the Caesars one as well?

[big joe 1212]

Nice. Do you play the Caesars one as well?

Nah, the 25% bonus still doesn’t give you much. I’m not a prop player for the most part, only do the Tuesday Dingers on FD

[stevenash]

I like their promo, and the two run promo DK offers.

[stevex]

I don’t understand why they come up with all of these strange “bonuses” instead of just sending an email and giving us a “25% bonus up to $500” on a deposit? I’ve never reloaded with FanDuel because of them not doing that.

[SBR Andy]

Rockies/Reds and Red Sox/Twins were the two winners last night - 6 homers in each game!

[DrunkHorseplayer]

I don’t understand why they come up with all of these strange “bonuses” instead of just sending an email and giving us a “25% bonus up to $500” on a deposit? I’ve never reloaded with FanDuel because of them not doing that.

Because they would have to fork over $125 and that's too rich for their blood.

[SBR Andy]

Have an O/U of 12 tonight at Coors Field for Rockies/Dodgers - looks like the matchup to zero in on for Dinger Tuesday.

J.D. Martinez of the Dodgers at +265 is a good option. Mookie Betts at the top of the order is tempting, but FanDuel has the worst odds for his HR prop (+260). Might use the Caesars 25% boost to take him from +305 to +381 there.

Any other players/matchups to target today? Wind is blowing out at Fenway...

[d2bets]

Nice. Do you play the Caesars one as well?

Caesars HR odds are almost always shockingly bad. Still not worthwhile with 25%.

[SBR Andy]

Caesars HR odds are almost always shockingly bad. Still not worthwhile with 25%.

Agreed in general, Caesars usually not on par with the rest of the market on HR props. Can find the odd outlier like Betts tonight though - where with the 25% boost is definitely worth a play.

[d2bets]

Agreed in general, Caesars usually not on par with the rest of the market on HR props. Can find the odd outlier like Betts tonight though - where with the 25% boost is definitely worth a play.

Good find! Yeah, I guess it only takes 1 or 2. Any other good one?

Looking quick now, odds don't seem as bad. Maybe they decided to be more competitive. I was going off of past observations.

[stevenash]

Gusty winds expected in Atlanta tonight (10+ mph blowing out to left-center)
Ryan (Twins) Elder (Braves) both SP, both RHP

Braves to target

A. Riley
Acuna Jr.
Ozuna
Sean Murphy
Rosario
Albies

Twins to target

Buxton
Joey Gallo

Twins are the road team and are guaranteed a ninth inning at bat.

[stevenash]

^
Matt Olsen is a consideration as well.

[SBR Andy]

Gusty winds expected in Atlanta tonight (10+ mph blowing out to left-center)
Ryan (Twins) Elder (Braves) both SP, both RHP

Braves to target

A. Riley
Acuna Jr.
Ozuna
Sean Murphy
Rosario
Albies

Twins to target

Buxton
Joey Gallo

Twins are the road team and are guaranteed a ninth inning at bat.

Out of those you listed, FD has the best odds on Acuna, Ozuna and Rosario.

[stevenash]

I have my eye on Austin Riley myself.
Ozuna too,

[stevenash]

I have my eye on Austin Riley myself.

There it is!!!

=)

[SBR Andy]

I have my eye on Austin Riley myself.
Ozuna too,

Nicely done! That game and Rays/Dbacks were the big winners - 5 homers a piece.

[Keith Richard]

I had Shohei penciled in then took the new guy (Moustakos) instead. Ohtani only slammed 2 dingers. ☹️

[stevenash]

Nicely done! That game and Rays/Dbacks were the big winners - 5 homers a piece.

Thanks Andy.

Joc Pederson is in a nice spot today.
SF visits Toronto, which is a climate controlled stadium.
Pedersen can easily handle Bassitt.

Miami's Soler is a target as well.
Buxton too for the Twins.

The conditions are right for homers in the Cards game tonight too.
Thing is the pitching is capable there on both sides.

I'm on Soler tonight.

[SBR Andy]

Who is everyone eyeing for Dinger Tuesday today?

Looking at Lindor (+480) vs the Dbacks. Another matchup to target could be Jays vs White Sox with Bassitt and Giolito both T12 in most homers allowed on the year with 16.

[Coolcanuck79]

I like Luis Robert for CWS and Torkelson for DET tonight for the 25% bonus.

[SBR Andy]

I like Luis Robert for CWS and Torkelson for DET tonight for the 25% bonus.

Nice hit on Robert!

[stevenash]

I like Luis Robert for CWS and Torkelson for DET tonight for the 25% bonus.

Yes, good call.
I went with the DH Jimenez for a bigger payout.
Good eye targeting the Pale Hose last night.

[SBR Andy]

Going with Mookie Betts +320 tonight as the Dodgers are on the road against the Orioles. He's hit 4 HR's in the last 6 games and BAL starter Tyler Wells has given up 21 bombs this year.

[SBR Andy]

Rockies vs Nationals looks like a matchup to target tonight.

Starting Pitchers:

Gomber (COL) - 22 HRs allowed
Williams (WAS) - 20 HRs allowed

WAS bullpen - 56 HRs allowed (T-most)

If he is in the lineup again, looking at Randall Grichuk (+460). He has 4 homers in his last 10 games and FD is offering the best price.

[SBR Andy]

Taking a crack with Juan Soto (+340) to go deep at Coors Field tonight for Dinger Tuesday. Tough to turn down the 12.5 run total and FD has the best odds with Soto as low as +280 elsewhere.

[SBR Andy]

Had a nice hit on Soto last week, going to roll with Ozzie Albies (+470) vs Pittsburgh tonight. Albies has gone deep in 2 of the last 3 games and Keller has given up 7 HRs in his last 4 starts.

[SBR Andy]

FanDuel Dinger Tuesday is back!

Place a Pre-Live, Straight, $25+ "To Hit a Home Run" Wager on any 4/2 MLB Game and get $5 in Bonus Bets for each Home Run BOTH TEAMS hit in the game, up to a maximum of $25 per game.

The two games jumping out at first glance are Braves vs White Sox (15 MPH wind blowing out) and Yankees vs Diamondbacks (only other 9 run total on the board).

Out of these games, I'm looking at Ronald Acuna (+320), Luis Robert (+350), or Juan Soto (+470).

Which games/players do you have your eye on for home runs tonight?

[SBR Andy]

Going to start targeting some positive regression candidates for Dinger Tuesday the next couple weeks. Cubs/Dbacks is a game that jumps out here with the 10.5 total.

AZ - Corbin Carroll only 1 home run in 16 games, had 25 last season. He's +520 to hit a HR tonight, FanDuel has the best odds.

CHC - Ian Happ 0 home runs in 16 games, had 21 last season & 25 in 2021. He's +560 to hit a HR tonight, only BetRivers (+575) has slightly better odds.


What game/hitters are the ones to circle tonight?

[hawkwind]

Like Em !!! THX ANDY

[stevenash]

Player Name	Pos	Team	Opp	HR	RBI
Aaron Judge	OF	NYY	@TOR	0.42965	0.72679
Giancarlo Stanton	OF	NYY	@TOR	0.42113	0.74777
Juan Soto	OF	NYY	@TOR	0.35902	0.60541
Mookie Betts	OF	LAD	vs WSH	0.343	0.80397
Kyle Schwarber	OF	PHI	vs COL	0.33744	0.61029
Pete Alonso	1B	NYM	vs PIT	0.33163	0.84089
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	KC	@CWS	0.32896	0.74502
Shohei Ohtani	DH	LAD	vs WSH	0.32877	0.73762
Shea Langeliers	C	OAK	vs STL	0.32773	0.64107
Max Muncy	3B	LAD	vs WSH	0.32435	0.81388
Bobby Witt	SS	KC	@CWS	0.31347	0.72832
Nelson Velazquez	OF	KC	@CWS	0.31297	0.67393
Cal Raleigh	C	SEA	vs CIN	0.29622	0.5394
Lane Thomas	OF	WSH	@LAD	0.27984	0.61197
Matt Olson	1B	ATL	@HOU	0.27895	0.6956
Salvador Perez	C	KC	@CWS	0.27523	0.77797
Mike Trout	OF	LAA	@TB	0.27497	0.53877
Teoscar Hernandez	OF	LAD	vs WSH	0.27466	0.78016
Marcell Ozuna	DH	ATL	@HOU	0.27457	0.67165

[SBR Andy]

Player Name	Pos	Team	Opp	HR	RBI
Aaron Judge	OF	NYY	@TOR	0.42965	0.72679
Giancarlo Stanton	OF	NYY	@TOR	0.42113	0.74777
Juan Soto	OF	NYY	@TOR	0.35902	0.60541
Mookie Betts	OF	LAD	vs WSH	0.343	0.80397
Kyle Schwarber	OF	PHI	vs COL	0.33744	0.61029
Pete Alonso	1B	NYM	vs PIT	0.33163	0.84089
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	KC	@CWS	0.32896	0.74502
Shohei Ohtani	DH	LAD	vs WSH	0.32877	0.73762
Shea Langeliers	C	OAK	vs STL	0.32773	0.64107
Max Muncy	3B	LAD	vs WSH	0.32435	0.81388
Bobby Witt	SS	KC	@CWS	0.31347	0.72832
Nelson Velazquez	OF	KC	@CWS	0.31297	0.67393
Cal Raleigh	C	SEA	vs CIN	0.29622	0.5394
Lane Thomas	OF	WSH	@LAD	0.27984	0.61197
Matt Olson	1B	ATL	@HOU	0.27895	0.6956
Salvador Perez	C	KC	@CWS	0.27523	0.77797
Mike Trout	OF	LAA	@TB	0.27497	0.53877
Teoscar Hernandez	OF	LAD	vs WSH	0.27466	0.78016
Marcell Ozuna	DH	ATL	@HOU	0.27457	0.67165

Thanks for sharing. Are those HR percentages projections?

[stevenash]

Thanks for sharing. Are those HR percentages projections?

Yes, based on analytics.
I just gave you guys the top twenty.

I don't mind posting the top twenty on a daily basis.

When I was a teen in HS, number nerds were considered geeks for the most part.
Now it's considered normal.

[SBR Andy]

Yes, based on analytics.
I just gave you guys the top twenty.

I don't mind posting the top twenty on a daily basis.

When I was a teen in HS, number nerds were considered geeks for the most part.
Now it's considered normal.

Great stuff. Ya they're a key part of handicapping these days. Can use to compare against FD odds to find some value.