NFL Season Win Totals 2023

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Eddy Munny
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-13-13
    • 15741

    #1
    NFL Season Win Totals 2023
    Browns Over 9.5

    I think they're gonna make some noise this year. The AFC North is arguably the toughest division in football but I wouldn't be surprised if the Browns win it. Watson will have a full offseason under his belt this time, his receiving corps gets a boost and they still have one of the better offensive lines, not to mention the best RB in Chubb. They've added guys like Z Smith and Tomlinson to the defense and Schwartz as the DC.

    Buccaneers Over 6.5

    What an overreaction to Brady's departure. I don't think there's even a drop off to Baker Mayfield, and if for some reason Trask wins the job or takes over at some point, I'm not that worried. It's really about the pieces around them. This roster still has above average talent in several key places. The defense should be sturdy enough to keep them in ball games, albeit not as dominant as it once was. The offense has the potential to be serviceable at the very least. The run game needs to improve but they were decimated in the trenches last year. The schedule is more forgiving as well.

    Vikings Under 8.5

    This team walked a tightrope last year and I don't know that they improved in the offseason. The offense could be potent but the secondary has questions and they didn't do themselves any favors by dealing Smith and Tomlinson (to the aforementioned Browns) away. I know running backs aren't as valued as they once were in the league but you have to factor Dalvin Cook's defection in there as well. Mattison doesn't give them the same sizzle in the run or screen game. The schedule looks daunting and with the inevitable regression I expect in those tight, four quarter games, I believe Minny stays 8 wins or less.
  • johnnyvegas13
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 05-21-15
    • 27778

    #2
    Fade

    fade

    fase
    Comment
    • Easy-Rider 66
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 02-14-12
      • 36046

      #3
      THX for your takes Eddy. However to say there is not a drop off from Tom to Baker is a stretch at best. As for the Browns Let's see how Watson performs. He did not play well in his return and you have to wonder if his legal and morality issues is a lingering problem in his head. Good luck.
      Comment
      • veriableodds
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-22-17
        • 5091

        #4
        The BUCS ov-6.5 seems logical, and level headed, also not statically off. Thanks for the work put in here. I grew up east of Cleveland in a small town in lake county. Still waiting for bernie kosar to comeback...lol
        good job
        Comment
        • trobin31
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-09-14
          • 9853

          #5
          Tom Brady at age 90y/o = Baker Mayfield, 100% correct
          Comment
          • Eddy Munny
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-13-13
            • 15741

            #6
            Well the Bucs ticket is already cashed with three games remaining. No sweat. I'd say Mayfield has been better for the offense than elderly Brady. We'll see what happens with the other two tickets.
            Comment
            • johnnyvegas13
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 05-21-15
              • 27778

              #7
              Who ties up money like this ???

              hope u win
              Comment
              • lakerboy
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 04-02-09
                • 94363

                #8
                Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                Who ties up money like this ???

                hope u win
                People who have money. Not you
                Comment
                • actiondan
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-16-10
                  • 3398

                  #9
                  great calls eddy
                  Comment
                  • Eddy Munny
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-13-13
                    • 15741

                    #10
                    Originally posted by lakerboy
                    People who have money. Not you
                    Comment
                    • RockBottom
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-03-08
                      • 1447

                      #11
                      Nice hit on TB. The TB offense is much better this year with Mayfield. Brady’s arm was shot last year, couldn’t take advantage of Mike Evans going deep. Evans is having a resurgence.
                      Comment
                      • Eddy Munny
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-13-13
                        • 15741

                        #12
                        Boom, cashed the Brownies with 2 games to go.

                        All I need now is for the Vikings to not win out.

                        The first two were +115 by the way. Vikes are even money.
                        Comment
                        • hehfest
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-28-08
                          • 7934

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                          Boom, cashed the Brownies with 2 games to go.

                          All I need now is for the Vikings to not win out.

                          The first two were +115 by the way. Vikes are even money.

                          Send Flacco a Christmas gift. Without him, it would be border-line. He's playing better than most Qb's in the NFL right now. Just starting to warm up. Dude didn't play all year comes off the street and kicked ass.
                          Comment
                          • swordsandtequila
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-23-12
                            • 9756

                            #14
                            Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                            Who ties up money like this ???

                            hope u win
                            Originally posted by lakerboy
                            People who have money. Not you
                            Comment
                            • gauchojake
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 09-17-10
                              • 34103

                              #15
                              well done eddy
                              Comment
                              • hehfest
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-28-08
                                • 7934

                                #16
                                [QUOTE=swordsandtequila;31263498][/QUOTEO]

                                Yeah, LMFAO
                                Comment
                                • johnnyvegas13
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 05-21-15
                                  • 27778

                                  #17
                                  Nice work here

                                  ibstill don’t recommend tying up money like this

                                  even tho u won
                                  Comment
                                  • Eddy Munny
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 08-13-13
                                    • 15741

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                                    Nice work here

                                    ibstill don’t recommend tying up money like this

                                    even tho u won
                                    These are bigger investments, you goofball... They're not like some random Sunday afternoon bet.

                                    If 4 or 5 months is a long time to you then you must have the attention span of a kindergartener.

                                    What's your money doing for you otherwise? Do you need every penny of your net worth available to you 24/7?

                                    I get that you don't know what you're doing, but you could at least pretend.
                                    Comment
                                    • johnnyvegas13
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 05-21-15
                                      • 27778

                                      #19
                                      4 or 5 months is a long time for a pk wager

                                      i I know u said u got +115 but still
                                      Comment
                                      • Eddy Munny
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-13-13
                                        • 15741

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                                        4 or 5 months is a long time for a pk wager

                                        i I know u said u got +115 but still
                                        The reward is greater because the risk is bigger. If a typical game is a unit, then I would put 10x that on a season wins total since it's a longer term wager. The return at the end of the year is worth having some money "tied up." I'm not sweating bullets because a book holds my money for a few months. You have a lemonade stand mentality.
                                        Comment
                                        • Eddy Munny
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 08-13-13
                                          • 15741

                                          #21
                                          Johnny, would you rather have your money tied up and multiplied over the course of 4 months, or tied up for 3 hours and pissed away never to been seen again? Which of those two scenarios appeals to you?

                                          Let's get to the bottom of your compulsive need to convert money to ashes.
                                          Comment
                                          • str
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-12-09
                                            • 11507

                                            #22
                                            That was a nice job on those futures.
                                            Well played.
                                            Comment
                                            • DwightShrute
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-17-09
                                              • 102314

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                                              Johnny, would you rather have your money tied up and multiplied over the course of 4 months, or tied up for 3 hours and pissed away never to been seen again? Which of those two scenarios appeals to you?

                                              Let's get to the bottom of your compulsive need to convert money to ashes.

                                              While I never subscribed to the "tying up your money for so many months" opinion, I understand why people say it. I get it. But its still gambling. So are other things, like the stock market and Crypto.

                                              You can definitely look at it completely the opposite and say its the best sports betting value bet out there. One bet that lasts for months. Are you still gonna be alive in a few months? Probably. Similar to fantasy football in that it takes months to determine whether you win or lose, but each week has a story which ultimately gets you closer or further from a winner.

                                              There's something to be said for the discipline mindset of a bettor who's willing to place a bet not knowing if its a winner for months. I have no way of knowing this of course, but its quite possible those bettors are more successful over time than the chasers.

                                              Comment
                                              • semibluff
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-12-16
                                                • 1515

                                                #24
                                                Good calls. Normally Unders are safer because the market is skewed.
                                                Comment
                                                • Seattle Slew
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-02-06
                                                  • 7373

                                                  #25
                                                  Nice picks. I need the Raiders to finish the Chiefs off to cash KC under 12.

                                                  Incredibly, I'm still alive to the Bears over 7.5. If they hadn't handed 3 games away, it would have cashed already.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • pavyracer
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 04-12-07
                                                    • 82478

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                                                    Fade

                                                    fade

                                                    fase
                                                    How much money did you lose fading these? I mean you lost 90% of your plays this year and you lost 100% of the bets you faded. Will Chucky come and hold your hand and tell you how great you are?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Eddy Munny
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 08-13-13
                                                      • 15741

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                                                      Fade

                                                      fade

                                                      fase
                                                      Hi Johnny, just clinched the Vikes U8.5 tonight for the season wins sweep and we ain't even in the final week yet.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ex50warrior
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-10-09
                                                        • 3814

                                                        #28
                                                        Well done - congrats!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ddittie
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 09-15-12
                                                          • 819

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                                                          Hi Johnny, just clinched the Vikes U8.5 tonight for the season wins sweep and we ain't even in the final week yet.
                                                          Just curious if your book pays when it hits or does it wait out the season?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Str8Mush4Life
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-25-13
                                                            • 1029

                                                            #30
                                                            Wow great post man!!!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • johnnyvegas13
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 05-21-15
                                                              • 27778

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                                                              Hi Johnny, just clinched the Vikes U8.5 tonight for the season wins sweep and we ain't even in the final week yet.
                                                              Well done eddy

                                                              for the record I did not fade any of these
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Eddy Munny
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 08-13-13
                                                                • 15741

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by ddittie
                                                                Just curious if your book pays when it hits or does it wait out the season?
                                                                End of season.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • johnnyvegas13
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 05-21-15
                                                                  • 27778

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                                                                  End of season.
                                                                  I have to wait another week ???

                                                                  that makes it even worse
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Eddy Munny
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 08-13-13
                                                                    • 15741

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                                                                    I have to wait another week ???

                                                                    that makes it even worse
                                                                    Speak for yourself. I don't really care. I anticipated having to wait awhile anyways, nothing has changed.

                                                                    See the forest for the trees, grasshopper.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • johnnyvegas13
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 05-21-15
                                                                      • 27778

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Obv kidding here

                                                                      since u said it was a bad idea to wait this long on the play

                                                                      I stand by my position that tying up money at pk odds for 18 weeks is a bad idea

                                                                      but hey u won congrats
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...