What NFL Sleeper Team...

**veriableodds** · 08-15-23, 04:55 PM

cowboys?

**Headsterx** · 08-15-23, 05:00 PM

Originally posted by veriableodds

cowboys?

I'd rather pick Lions, Jags and Browns over dem Cowboys.

**stevenash** · 08-15-23, 05:10 PM

Originally posted by veriableodds

cowboys?

I can't call Dallas a third favorite in the NFC a sleeper though.

Lions are fourth favorites in the NFC SB futures betting, if Detroit's front line is really that good and Gibbs too, than maybe I should sip a little Detroit Kool-Aid at 250 to 1 or whatever the market best price right now it.

**veriableodds** · 08-15-23, 05:47 PM

Ok I get it. On a little more serious note. Say you like 4 teams to make playoffs, how would you execute that play. Talking available lines before season starts, allowing action weekly, maintain a guaranteed profit as long as that team/pick makes the playoffs??

**2Sweeet** · 08-15-23, 06:31 PM

From your list I'd say Jags they can possibly get 2 home playoff games, I think the Titans may have something to say about that though. If u r feeling Lucky

**stevenash** · 08-15-23, 06:31 PM

Originally posted by veriableodds

Ok I get it. On a little more serious note. Say you like 4 teams to make playoffs, how would you execute that play. Talking available lines before season starts, allowing action weekly, maintain a guaranteed profit as long as that team/pick makes the playoffs??

Four teams?
I'd narrow the four teams down to the one team that what you think offers you the best value.
Or at most one AFC team and one NFC team, but even still I don't want to be bogged down with multiple team futures.

Let's suppose, just supposing mind you, if Herbert and Mike Williams and Keenan Allen and Ekeler all do what they are capable of doing while staying healthy most of the season, then you would have to strongly consider the Chargers as a serious playoff threat.

Chargers are pretty much even money just to make the playoffs (-120)
I personally like that bet, but then again I personally like root canals too.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 08-15-23, 06:46 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

...
Can win this years Super Bowl?

Lions +2100
Chargers +2100
Jags +2899
Brown +2800

Or is it the chalk KC and Philly/SF

It's not the Lions. Think about how bad they've been over time. When there's optimism, time to Fade em.

I say it's the Chargers. Herbert is a stud. Remember the name Quentin Johnson.

**Slurry Pumper** · 08-16-23, 05:48 AM

If the Jets make the playoffs in that tough division, I think the D will carry them to the promise land, where they will disappoint their fan yet again by getting the beat down by whatever NFC team is there.

**franz555** · 08-16-23, 05:59 AM

Buffalo Bills @ 10/1

Von Miller back healthy again. Solid D

RB James Cook 2nd year and more carries

QB Josh Allen with more weapons

**TheGoldenGoose** · 08-16-23, 06:41 AM

Raiders +4500 on their home field.

**lakerboy** · 08-16-23, 07:30 AM

Why not the Ravens? They have the greatest playoff QB of our times.

+2500

**Snowball** · 08-16-23, 07:53 AM

Giants

**Itsamazing777** · 08-16-23, 08:03 AM

Lions. Added a lot of defense

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 08-16-23, 08:04 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Why not the Ravens? They have the greatest playoff QB of our times.

+2500

Laker, tell me more about the Raven roster. You like the Off Line and the Defense?

One thing about the Ravens, and it factors into my handicapping. If they are a small dog and the teams look similar...you have to consider the Tucker factor as your Kicker.

Ravens have had some ATS success as a Dog. Have to figure Tucker is worth 1.5 pts against almost another Kicker in the league.

**Ian** · 08-16-23, 09:34 AM

Justin Herbert getting better than 20:1.

Bill Belichick getting better than 60:1.

Kyler Murray getting better than 200:1.

None of those is likely, but it seems like there's some degree of value on all 3.

**d2bets** · 08-16-23, 11:16 AM

Originally posted by Ian

Justin Herbert getting better than 20:1.

Bill Belichick getting better than 60:1.

Kyler Murray getting better than 200:1.

None of those is likely, but it seems like there's some degree of value on all 3.

Bill Bellichek should be 600:1.
Kyler Murray should be 800:1
Those teams will compete for sure. For the #1 seed.

**marcoloco** · 08-16-23, 11:46 AM

I don't like any of the long shots teams. I think Cowboys & Bills will make a run this year. Probably a good season record and stumble hard in the playoffs

**brock** · 08-16-23, 11:50 AM

Lions +2100

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 08-16-23, 11:50 AM

Originally posted by marcoloco

I don't like any of the long shots teams. I think Cowboys & Bills will make a run this year. Probably a good season record and stumble hard in the playoffs

BILLS are on my radar for sure. Remember how STRONG they looked early in 2022?

Lost the game vs CIN, and people soured on them a bit. The big Q: Can Allen clean up the Turnovers?

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 08-16-23, 11:51 AM

Originally posted by brock

Lions +2100

Good Luck. Telling you...people haven't been this hi on the Lions since the days of Alex Karras.

**INVEGA MAN** · 08-16-23, 12:23 PM

JAX!!

**JIBBBY** · 08-16-23, 12:24 PM

Cowboys, they suck year after year come playoff time and under achieve. They are due as a sleeper team.

**d2bets** · 08-16-23, 12:27 PM

Jax is OK because they will likely make the playoffs.

Lions are far too trendy. Not buying it at all.

**lakerboy** · 08-16-23, 12:50 PM

Originally posted by d2bets

Jax is OK because they will likely make the playoffs.

Lions are far too trendy. Not buying it at all.

I actually think the bears will win that division. It's certainly up for grabs. I also am not discounting green Bay.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 08-16-23, 03:46 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

I actually think the bears will win that division. It's certainly up for grabs. I also am not discounting green Bay.

That's one hell of a call. Good Luck.

Laker, what is your favorite Handicapping method vs the modern NFL line?

**Eddy Munny** · 08-16-23, 04:41 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

I actually think the bears will win that division. It's certainly up for grabs. I also am not discounting green Bay.

I think so too. They're the forgotten team in that division but they may have the best quarterback of the four and that could be enough to decide it.

**Eddy Munny** · 08-16-23, 04:43 PM

Originally posted by d2bets

Bill Bellichek should be 600:1.
Kyler Murray should be 800:1
Those teams will compete for sure. For the #1 seed.

You mean the #1 pick?

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 08-16-23, 05:30 PM

Originally posted by INVEGA MAN

JAX!!

Could be. Lawrence really came of age. Helped that Meyer left town.

AFC is so loaded. IMHO, I think the seven playoff teams come from the 7 best QBs.

CIN
Balt
Mia
Buf
KC
Chargers
JAX

Barring injury, I think those are your 7 AFC playoff teams. I think Rodgers will look bad on Jets.

*Biggest asterisk is Miami. Tua/Hill will likely get injured.

**stevenash** · 08-16-23, 06:20 PM

Originally posted by Snowball

Giants

God bless you sir.

**d2bets** · 08-16-23, 07:49 PM

Originally posted by Eddy Munny

You mean the #1 pick?

Hahaha yeah that's what I meant.

**gauchojake** · 08-16-23, 07:53 PM

You might not know this but lakerboy has a tattoo of Jim McMahon on one leg and Walter Payton on the other. Don't ask where The Fridge is..

**lakerboy** · 08-16-23, 07:58 PM

Originally posted by gauchojake

You might not know this but lakerboy has a tattoo of Jim McMahon on one leg and Walter Payton on the other. Don't ask where The Fridge is..

Hey you were the last guy to pick the Bears to win the division. They won. I am trying to follow in your footsteps.

Do you remember that bears 24-0 victory in 1986? I still remember experts were saying that Dickerson would be a huge factor lol.

**JIBBBY** · 08-16-23, 08:00 PM

Originally posted by gauchojake

You might not know this but lakerboy has a tattoo of Jim McMahon on one leg and Walter Payton on the other. Don't ask where The Fridge is..

**gauchojake** · 08-16-23, 08:08 PM

Originally posted by TheGoldenGoose

Raiders +4500 on their home field.

7500 at BOL fyi