Sick of losing follow your lord and savior - nfl betting thread

**blackHIPPY** · 10-15-23, 06:24 PM

Bills / Giants over 43.5 risking 400 to win 363.64
Bills / Giants over 43.5 risking 150 freeplay to win 136.36

**blackHIPPY** · 10-16-23, 05:45 AM

Chargers / Cowboys over 51 risking 1,100 to win 1,000

**Renegades** · 10-16-23, 08:22 AM

The Giants and over should not be used in the same sentence. Their offense is reduced to a high school playbook at this point.

also, why do all the primetime games go under?

**DJK** · 10-17-23, 04:00 PM

What's happening lately? You are in a freefall.

**blackHIPPY** · 10-18-23, 05:31 AM

NFL Week 6

NCAAFB (1-0) +450.45
NFL ATS/ML (4-5) -1,297.40
NFL O/U (2-5) -1,685
Parlays (0-5) -394.94

Week 6 OVR: (7-10) -2,926.89

Note: I bet 1 additional parlay that lost $50

**blackHIPPY** · 10-18-23, 05:32 AM

Originally posted by Renegades

The Giants and over should not be used in the same sentence. Their offense is reduced to a high school playbook at this point.

also, why do all the primetime games go under?

Tried to martingale an over since all those unders were hitting but it didn’t work out

**blackHIPPY** · 10-18-23, 05:33 AM

Originally posted by DJK

What's happening lately? You are in a freefall.

I had one losing week lol

**DJK** · 10-18-23, 10:52 AM

Originally posted by blackHIPPY

I had one losing week lol

Yes, I know that and that's why I have a rule in place to never bet against any of your picks but I ended up doing it on MNF.

It looked like the wheels fell off this past week and I was just wondering what happened. That's all.

Hopefully, you will go right back to winning. Thanks for your picks.

**blackHIPPY** · 10-18-23, 11:54 AM

Originally posted by DJK

Yes, I know that and that's why I have a rule in place to never bet against any of your picks but I ended up doing it on MNF.

It looked like the wheels fell off this past week and I was just wondering what happened. That's all.

Hopefully, you will go right back to winning. Thanks for your picks.

Got ya, thank you sir. I had giants + circled as a play but Sunday was such a weird day I talked myself out of it and decided to martingale an over. Sunday night and Monday didn’t hit, gonna try it again Thursday so hopefully I get it back, we’ll see.

The rest of my pics were just losers

**DJK** · 10-18-23, 01:37 PM

Originally posted by blackHIPPY

Got ya, thank you sir. I had giants + circled as a play but Sunday was such a weird day I talked myself out of it and decided to martingale an over. Sunday night and Monday didn’t hit, gonna try it again Thursday so hopefully I get it back, we’ll see.

The rest of my pics were just losers

Sorry to hear that you didn't follow through with the Giants.

Taking them would have been great to watch the game as they covered from the start to finish and it was never in doubt.

I hope your Martingale bet hits if you follow through with it. It has to be a pretty huge bet by now.

I'm guessing the reason why you backed out of the Giants bet is probably because of what happens to everyone when they start losing and start to second guess themselves.

As for myself, everything becomes mirky and I become a scared money bettor which only leads to even further wrong decisions. My way out of it is to lay off the sportsbetting for a very short while and win in casino games. The way I see it, winning in anything cures everything. Something else I try my hardest is not to chase and not to martingale. Not easy to do, but it's a must.

You were confident making those underdog ML bets which hit at a good clip. Hopefully, you will go back to that very soon and start winning again.

**DJK** · 10-18-23, 01:46 PM

Originally posted by blackHIPPY

Tried to martingale an over since all those unders were hitting but it didn’t work out

You sound like my younger brother.

He uses 50/50 reasoning where everything eventually goes to 50/50.

If there are a lot of unders, then you would think that the over is due and it should hit sooner or later. That's how he bets.

Same with the favorites and underdogs. If there are a lot of favorite covers, then he starts taking dogs or vice versa.

That's the opposite of baccarat trend betting and in baccarat doing that will backfire pretty bad.

**blackHIPPY** · 10-18-23, 07:23 PM

Originally posted by DJK

Sorry to hear that you didn't follow through with the Giants.

Taking them would have been great to watch the game as they covered from the start to finish and it was never in doubt.

I hope your Martingale bet hits if you follow through with it. It has to be a pretty huge bet by now.

I'm guessing the reason why you backed out of the Giants bet is probably because of what happens to everyone when they start losing and start to second guess themselves.

As for myself, everything becomes mirky and I become a scared money bettor which only leads to even further wrong decisions. My way out of it is to lay off the sportsbetting for a very short while and win in casino games. The way I see it, winning in anything cures everything. Something else I try my hardest is not to chase and not to martingale. Not easy to do, but it's a must.

You were confident making those underdog ML bets which hit at a good clip. Hopefully, you will go back to that very soon and start winning again.

I think I was +/- 100 by the Sunday night game so it wasn’t that . I just liked the over martingale more.

**blackHIPPY** · 10-18-23, 07:26 PM

Originally posted by DJK

You sound like my younger brother.

He uses 50/50 reasoning where everything eventually goes to 50/50.

If there are a lot of unders, then you would think that the over is due and it should hit sooner or later. That's how he bets.

Same with the favorites and underdogs. If there are a lot of favorite covers, then he starts taking dogs or vice versa.

That's the opposite of baccarat trend betting and in baccarat doing that will backfire pretty bad.

Yea I do use that as a factor in my bets since nfl typically balances out. I’ve had this backfire before. But I’m not gonna drop it yet , if I lose Thursday I’ll just take my L and move on

**blackHIPPY** · 10-19-23, 05:11 PM

Jaguars / Saints over 40 risking 1,789.16 to win 1,626.51
Jaguars / Saints over 41 risking 149.43 to win 134.66
Jaguars / Saints over 41 risking 140.27 freeplay to win 129.88
Jaguars / Saints over 39.5 risking 25.45 to win 23.14

**DJK** · 10-19-23, 09:59 PM

Originally posted by blackHIPPY

Jaguars / Saints over 40 risking 1,789.16 to win 1,626.51
Jaguars / Saints over 41 risking 149.43 to win 134.66
Jaguars / Saints over 41 risking 140.27 freeplay to win 129.88
Jaguars / Saints over 39.5 risking 25.45 to win 23.14

Big sigh of relief that you won these. Nice bets.

**blackHIPPY** · 10-20-23, 11:20 AM

Originally posted by DJK

Big sigh of relief that you won these. Nice bets.

Banggg, needed it !

**blackHIPPY** · 10-22-23, 07:48 AM

Week 7

Colts +3 risking 548.51 to win 500
Ravens -2.5 risking 550 to win 500
Ravens / Lions over 43 risking 550 to win 500
Packers / Broncos under 45 risking 525 to win 500
Cardinals / Hawks over 46 risking 550 to win 500
Chargers ML +195 risking 1,000 to win 1,950
Eagles -2 risking 575 to win 500
49ers -6.5 risking 575 to win 500

**blackHIPPY** · 10-22-23, 07:51 AM

Parlay

Colts +2
Ravens -3
Cardinals / Hawks over 44.5
Packers / Broncos under 45
Chargers ML +195
Eagles -1.5
49ers -7

Risking 250 to win 36,837.58

**blackHIPPY** · 10-22-23, 07:55 AM

12 Team Teaser

Ravens / Lions over 37
Ravens +3
Colts +9.5
Commanders +3
Cardinals / Seahawks over 38
Steelers +9.5
Steelers / Rams under 49.5
Chargers +11.5
Chargers / Chiefs over 41.5
Packers / Broncos under 51
Eagles +3.5
49ers -1

Risking 500 to win 25,000

**DJK** · 10-22-23, 01:00 PM

I'm just curious.

1) Do you ever win any of these big payout parlays?
2) If yes, then when was the last time?

The reason why I ask is because I have been tailing with very small amounts, but if you aren't winning any of it, then I should stop tailing and save whatever little they are. Money is money, penny saved is penny earned. LOL

**Str8Mush4Life** · 10-22-23, 01:48 PM

Originally posted by DJK

I'm just curious.

1) Do you ever win any of these big payout parlays?
2) If yes, then when was the last time?

The reason why I ask is because I have been tailing with very small amounts, but if you aren't winning any of it, then I should stop tailing and save whatever little they are. Money is money, penny saved is penny earned. LOL

Parlays like these are for fun and shouldn't be counted on ever

But if they hit, like my 8 leggers that always include Ben Simmons 3+ three-point fgs made, then it's all going to be worth it.

**blackHIPPY** · 10-22-23, 02:35 PM

Originally posted by DJK

I'm just curious.

1) Do you ever win any of these big payout parlays?
2) If yes, then when was the last time?

The reason why I ask is because I have been tailing with very small amounts, but if you aren't winning any of it, then I should stop tailing and save whatever little they are. Money is money, penny saved is penny earned. LOL

Lol I hit for 25 k and 10 k before but it’s been a good 4 seasons since that’s happened. I was a one win away from hitting a 150k last year but like str8 music said they’re just for shits and giggles really. So I try not to risk more than a unit a week total on them

**blackHIPPY** · 10-22-23, 04:33 PM

Steelers +.5 second half risking 550 to win 500

**blackHIPPY** · 10-22-23, 06:30 PM

Time for another martingale Eagles / Dolphins over 51.5 risking 565 to win 500

**Da Manster!** · 10-22-23, 06:35 PM

Chargers fukked both us royally today, BlackHippy! good luck on the rest of your games!

**Renegades** · 10-22-23, 07:02 PM

Something is not right with LA. They have talent to compete with anyone yet they lose most of their close games and they dont beat any good teams. I think the coach needs to go. They need someone that has extreme attention to detail.

**blackHIPPY** · 10-23-23, 05:35 AM

Thanks Manster!

Idk what to make of this chargers team. Im starting to think of them like the bills where they’re just not that good even though you want to convince yourself they are. Nearly blanked the chiefs in the second half and it still felt like they never had a chance.

**blackHIPPY** · 10-23-23, 05:37 AM

Vikings / 49ers over 43 risking 1,100 to win 1,000

**Da Manster!** · 10-23-23, 07:45 AM

Originally posted by blackHIPPY

Thanks Manster!

Idk what to make of this chargers team. Im starting to think of them like the bills where they’re just not that good even though you want to convince yourself they are. Nearly blanked the chiefs in the second half and it still felt like they never had a chance.

Yes sir. Self inflicted wounds. good teams DON'T beat themselves and I know it's hard for a lot of us to actually grasp that concept but the Chargers are a BAD football team not to mention poorly coached by Staley! Herbert throws an ill advised INT deep in the red zone as they were getting ready to score and the so-called excellent WR corps dropped at least 5 or 6 balls that hit them squarely in the hands. and on defense way too many missed tackles, bad angles, etc! recipe for disaster! live and learn brother!

**mjsuax13** · 10-23-23, 09:08 AM

Originally posted by Renegades

Something is not right with LA. They have talent to compete with anyone yet they lose most of their close games and they dont beat any good teams. I think the coach needs to go. They need someone that has extreme attention to detail.

Coaching for sure. He may be the first to go. That job is appealing to Harbaugh and as the NCAA footsteps ramp up… why not? Get to live in SoCal, wife from there, will get 15 per probably. Personally- I think he’s been waiting for this kind of situation with a young QB and the geography he wants. Only tough part is moving his aging parents. They do love living in Ann Arbor. We’ll see.

**Str8Mush4Life** · 10-23-23, 09:55 AM

Good run yesterday!!!

**DJK** · 10-23-23, 12:16 PM

Originally posted by blackHIPPY

Vikings / 49ers over 43 risking 1,100 to win 1,000

Did you cap to come up with this type of pick or just taking a shot?

I'm looking to tail but it will make more sense doing it if I knew why you are taking the Over.

**blackHIPPY** · 10-23-23, 04:50 PM

Originally posted by Str8Mush4Life

Good run yesterday!!!

Thank you sir, close to a real banger of a day. We’ll get there

**blackHIPPY** · 10-23-23, 04:53 PM

Originally posted by DJK

Did you cap to come up with this type of pick or just taking a shot?

I'm looking to tail but it will make more sense doing it if I knew why you are taking the Over.

I’m running a martingale over chase since all the afternoon games went under again, so no real cappin to offer you.

There’s been 5 straight unders and unders are 8-1 on mnf this season. Gotta think an over is coming
i do like my chances tonight niners offense will be better. Vikes d is much worse than browns d.
and no pressure on Kirk so I don’t think we get a poor prime time Kirk performance

**blackHIPPY** · 10-23-23, 06:52 PM

Parlay

49ers -7
49ers / Vikings over 44
Saints / Colts over 43.5
Panthers +2.5
Eagles -6.5
Cowboys ML -275
Jets -3
Jets / Giants over 37
Falcons / Titans under 37
Vikings / Packers over 42
Broncos +8
Broncos / Chiefs over 46
Ravens ML -380
Chargers ML -400

Risking 33.72 to win 100,015.13