Indianapolis Colts +8

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  • raiders72001
    Senior Member
    • 08-10-05
    • 11014

    #106
    You have to look at more than stats to understand the game.
    Comment
    • raiders72001
      Senior Member
      • 08-10-05
      • 11014

      #107
      Originally posted by asiagambler
      Dobbins has been out since Week 1. What are you even trying to say here??

      You were betting because Dobbins AND Hill were out? 2 starters right?
      Dobbins is a starter. Why don't you understand that? It doesn't matter when he got hurt. 7 starters OUT includes Dobbins.

      You don't change the line much on one player but you do on 7. Just think about it. 20 is a huge difference, 7 is a difference. 1 doesn't mean much.
      Last edited by raiders72001; 09-26-23, 09:01 PM.
      Comment
      • asiagambler
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 07-23-17
        • 6831

        #108
        Originally posted by raiders72001
        again
        You can post that article from some clueless no-name publication as many times as you want. The fact that you can't come up with your own original thought tells me everything I already knew anyway

        Beckham deep threat lmao

        Beckham is WR3 behind Flowers and Bateman and if we're being serious, Agholor has outplayed him too.
        Comment
        • asiagambler
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 07-23-17
          • 6831

          #109
          Originally posted by raiders72001
          Dobbins is a starter. Why don't you understand that? It doesn't matter when he got hurt. 7 starters OUT includes Dobbins.
          So you're betting based on known injury information from Week 1 ?
          Comment
          • raiders72001
            Senior Member
            • 08-10-05
            • 11014

            #110
            Originally posted by asiagambler
            So you're betting based on known injury information from Week 1 ?
            Of course. I'll explain it again. 1 injury doesn't mean much. But when more injuries occur in subsequent weeks, then it means something.
            Comment
            • asiagambler
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 07-23-17
              • 6831

              #111
              Originally posted by raiders72001
              Dobbins is a starter. Why don't you understand that? It doesn't matter when he got hurt. 7 starters OUT includes Dobbins.

              You don't change the line much on one player but you do on 7. Just think about it. 20 is a huge difference, 7 is a difference. 1 doesn't mean much.
              It depends on the 7!

              You can't be this thick

              WHO the players are matters. WHO the players replacing them matters. HOW LONG AGO the injury happened matters A LOT

              If you're betting based on Week 1 injuries in Week 3 then you have bigger problems than not knowing the team's depth chart
              Comment
              • raiders72001
                Senior Member
                • 08-10-05
                • 11014

                #112
                If 1 OL gets hurt in a week, I'll most likely ignore it. If 2 more get injured in subsequent weeks, then I'll definitely take note. Then you look at matchups.
                Comment
                • asiagambler
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 07-23-17
                  • 6831

                  #113
                  Originally posted by raiders72001
                  Of course. I'll explain it again. 1 injury doesn't mean much. But when more injuries occur in subsequent weeks, then it means something.
                  Ok so then what is the number for you? How many injuries does it have to be?

                  We know you don't pay attention to when the injuries happened or who got injured or who's replacing them but you do seem very focused on simply how many. So what's the magic number for you?
                  Comment
                  • asiagambler
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 07-23-17
                    • 6831

                    #114
                    Originally posted by raiders72001
                    If 1 OL gets hurt in a week, I'll most likely ignore it. If 2 more get injured in subsequent weeks, then I'll definitely take note. Then you look at matchups.
                    So 3 OL is the magic number for you?

                    Well this game was only 2 OL though
                    Comment
                    • raiders72001
                      Senior Member
                      • 08-10-05
                      • 11014

                      #115
                      Originally posted by asiagambler
                      Ok so then what is the number for you? How many injuries does it have to be?

                      We know you don't pay attention to when the injuries happened or who got injured or who's replacing them but you do seem very focused on simply how many. So what's the magic number for you?
                      There isn't a magic number. It's individual players and matchups. A practice squad OT coming in to block TJ Watt is a game changer.
                      Comment
                      • raiders72001
                        Senior Member
                        • 08-10-05
                        • 11014

                        #116
                        I don't know anyone that I gamble with that doesn't look at intangibles and injuries. You aren't going to out model books in huge markets.
                        Comment
                        • asiagambler
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 07-23-17
                          • 6831

                          #117
                          Originally posted by raiders72001
                          There isn't a magic number. It's individual players and matchups. A practice squad OT coming in to block TJ Watt is a game changer.
                          Yet you didn't know hardly any of the individual players or matchups here
                          Comment
                          • asiagambler
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 07-23-17
                            • 6831

                            #118
                            Originally posted by raiders72001
                            I don't know anyone that I gamble with that doesn't look at intangibles and injuries. You aren't going to out model books in huge markets.
                            Part of looking at injuries is knowing who is injured and how long they've been injured and who is replacing them and how the replacements have done right?

                            You didn't do any of that here though. So I gave you some insights on those injuries but you couldn't actually carry a conversation because you didn't know much about either team
                            Comment
                            • asiagambler
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 07-23-17
                              • 6831

                              #119
                              Anyway, you should be looking hard at Baltimore at Cleveland right ?

                              5 more injured, damn so that's now 15 starters out (including IR)
                              Comment
                              • raiders72001
                                Senior Member
                                • 08-10-05
                                • 11014

                                #120
                                Originally posted by asiagambler
                                Yet you didn't know hardly any of the individual players or matchups here
                                Like I said, you're looking for gotcha moments. I knew the value of the matchup even if I mistakenly typed in the wrong name. You still don't realize what Beckham means to Bal.
                                Comment
                                • raiders72001
                                  Senior Member
                                  • 08-10-05
                                  • 11014

                                  #121
                                  Originally posted by asiagambler
                                  Anyway, you should be looking hard at Baltimore at Cleveland right ?

                                  5 more injured, damn so that's now 15 starters out (including IR)
                                  Yes! You're catching on.
                                  Comment
                                  • raiders72001
                                    Senior Member
                                    • 08-10-05
                                    • 11014

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by asiagambler
                                    Part of looking at injuries is knowing who is injured and how long they've been injured and who is replacing them and how the replacements have done right?

                                    You didn't do any of that here though. So I gave you some insights on those injuries but you couldn't actually carry a conversation because you didn't know much about either team
                                    Pay for SIC. I get all that info. You had to edit your mistakes.
                                    Comment
                                    • raiders72001
                                      Senior Member
                                      • 08-10-05
                                      • 11014

                                      #123
                                      When you click on a player, it tells you the injury, when he was injured and the backup.
                                      Comment
                                      • asiagambler
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 07-23-17
                                        • 6831

                                        #124
                                        Originally posted by raiders72001
                                        Like I said, you're looking for gotcha moments. I knew the value of the matchup even if I mistakenly typed in the wrong name. You still don't realize what Beckham means to Bal.
                                        Well you've been here long enough while I've posted to hopefully know that's not what I'm looking for. I gave you some insights at the beginning and offered my opinion as I sometimes do in threads where I feel like I may know something

                                        You could have just taken it for what it was but YOU were the one that wanted to argue despite not knowing much about the subject at hand and you're the one that insists on doubling down on these terrible takes
                                        Comment
                                        • asiagambler
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 07-23-17
                                          • 6831

                                          #125
                                          Originally posted by raiders72001
                                          Pay for SIC. I get all that info. You had to edit your mistakes.
                                          They weren't mistakes lmao

                                          The big post I made that you quoted is still there.

                                          They detail YOUR mistakes. You can't be this delusional lmao



                                          Everything I said was correct, down to the wet conditions being your biggest ally. I edited everything because why carry on a conversation with this guy that doesn't get anything
                                          Comment
                                          • raiders72001
                                            Senior Member
                                            • 08-10-05
                                            • 11014

                                            #126
                                            I clicked on Aaron Jones

                                            Comment
                                            • asiagambler
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 07-23-17
                                              • 6831

                                              #127
                                              Seymour - your mistake
                                              Stephens - your mistake
                                              Mustipher - your mistake
                                              Moon - your mistake

                                              I even detailed all your mistakes. I didn't edit any mistakes.
                                              Comment
                                              • asiagambler
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 07-23-17
                                                • 6831

                                                #128
                                                Originally posted by raiders72001
                                                I clicked on Aaron Jones

                                                Well if this is your source for the Colts game, then I'd consider a different source considering how many things you had wrong initially
                                                Comment
                                                • raiders72001
                                                  Senior Member
                                                  • 08-10-05
                                                  • 11014

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by asiagambler
                                                  Seymour - your mistake
                                                  Stephens - your mistake
                                                  Mustipher - your mistake
                                                  Moon - your mistake

                                                  I even detailed all your mistakes. I didn't edit any mistakes.
                                                  I didn't make a mistake with Moon and Mustipher. I told you that Mustipher is a bum from the Bears and Moon was playing in his first game off the practice squad. I hurriedly typed in two wrong names.

                                                  You wanted to discuss VROP for offensive linemen and don't even know how many snaps that Moon played.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • asiagambler
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 07-23-17
                                                    • 6831

                                                    #130
                                                    I mean I just went back to look at that post and you actually listed Tyus Bowser as one of the injuries lmao

                                                    He's been out since training camp
                                                    Comment
                                                    • asiagambler
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 07-23-17
                                                      • 6831

                                                      #131
                                                      Originally posted by raiders72001
                                                      I didn't make a mistake with Moon and Mustipher. I told you that Mustipher is a bum from the Bears and Moon was playing in his first game off the practice squad. I hurriedly typed in two wrong names.

                                                      You wanted to discuss VROP for offensive linemen and don't even know how many snaps that Moon played.
                                                      No YOU made a mistake thinking Moon was starting

                                                      Moon was brought up for DEPTH

                                                      You kept going on and on and on and on about how Moon is a practice squad player so he can't do what a starter can.

                                                      Well obviously he CAN do what Oweh does because Oweh doesn't do anything. But that is your mistake because you thought Moon was starting. He was not.

                                                      This is another thing I've said minimum 100 times in this thread
                                                      Comment
                                                      • asiagambler
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 07-23-17
                                                        • 6831

                                                        #132
                                                        Originally posted by raiders72001
                                                        I didn't make a mistake with Moon and Mustipher. I told you that Mustipher is a bum from the Bears and Moon was playing in his first game off the practice squad. I hurriedly typed in two wrong names.

                                                        You wanted to discuss VROP for offensive linemen and don't even know how many snaps that Moon played.
                                                        Put it this way, if Ojabo doesn't get hurt, Moon barely plays

                                                        So in that regard, you got lucky because you get to think Moon was brought up to get serious snaps in this game
                                                        Comment
                                                        • asiagambler
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 07-23-17
                                                          • 6831

                                                          #133
                                                          And Mustipher is not a bum. You can say whatever you want about his time in Chicago but here in Baltimore, he has not played like a bum. He has filled in admirably and has allowed 0 pressures all year. That's not a bum
                                                          Comment
                                                          • raiders72001
                                                            Senior Member
                                                            • 08-10-05
                                                            • 11014

                                                            #134
                                                            Originally posted by asiagambler
                                                            Put it this way, if Ojabo doesn't get hurt, Moon barely plays

                                                            So in that regard, you got lucky because you get to think Moon was brought up to get serious snaps in this game
                                                            Mustipher is a bum. The Bears are one team that I do know all the names.

                                                            This is what you aren't understanding. Moon wouldn't have been on the field if not for injuries. Ojabo's injury wouldn't have put Moon on the field.

                                                            You keep making excuses instead of discussing the fact that backups blew the game.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • asiagambler
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 07-23-17
                                                              • 6831

                                                              #135
                                                              Anyway, this is boring now

                                                              I'm sure you'll be on the Browns -3 with 15 starters out (including IR) for Baltimore

                                                              I have no opinion on that as of yet, not that it wouldn't go completely over your head anyway
                                                              Comment
                                                              • raiders72001
                                                                Senior Member
                                                                • 08-10-05
                                                                • 11014

                                                                #136
                                                                On Bears
                                                                It's true, Mustipher was a weak spot on the offensive line,
                                                                https://ontapsportsnet.com/bears/sam...%20few%20years.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • asiagambler
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 07-23-17
                                                                  • 6831

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Originally posted by raiders72001
                                                                  Mustipher is a bum. The Bears are one team that I do know all the names.

                                                                  This is what you aren't understanding. Moon wouldn't have been on the field if not for injuries. Ojabo's injury wouldn't have put Moon on the field.

                                                                  You keep making excuses instead of discussing the fact that backups blew the game.
                                                                  Mustipher wasn't even a bum in Chicago. He was made to look worse because Fields is the worst QB in NFL history at taking sacks. If you knew anything about the Bears you'd know this

                                                                  And so what? Again for the 100th time, Moon is no difference from Oweh. You don't know them so why do you keep arguing this?

                                                                  Backups made some mistakes sure. Starters made some mistakes too. Lamar, the most important starter made some big ones. These things happen. They didn't blow the game as much as you want to think so. They played more or less at the level of the players they were replacing. Already said this ad nauseum. You can't come up with anything new or original. Zero substance
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • asiagambler
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 07-23-17
                                                                    • 6831

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Originally posted by raiders72001
                                                                    Look up his PFF grade last year
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • raiders72001
                                                                      Senior Member
                                                                      • 08-10-05
                                                                      • 11014

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Originally posted by asiagambler
                                                                      Anyway, this is boring now

                                                                      I'm sure you'll be on the Browns -3 with 15 starters out (including IR) for Baltimore

                                                                      I have no opinion on that as of yet, not that it wouldn't go completely over your head anyway
                                                                      Part of your gambling problem is thinking -3 is a good bet when it opened lower. My Cleveland bet was already placed.
                                                                      Last edited by raiders72001; 09-26-23, 09:55 PM.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • raiders72001
                                                                        Senior Member
                                                                        • 08-10-05
                                                                        • 11014

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Originally posted by asiagambler
                                                                        Look up his PFF grade last year
                                                                        Another problem of yours. You take PFF as gospel. Mustipher is a bum. You're wrong if you think anything else.
                                                                        Comment
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