Penix for Heisman +900

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  • johnnyvegas13
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 05-21-15
    • 27777

    #1
    Penix for Heisman +900
    On it
  • Easy-Rider 66
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    • 02-14-12
    • 36045

    #2
    C'mon Man. STOP. with these absurd dart throws. How much PSI you risking?
    Comment
    • ChuckyTheGoat
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      • 04-04-11
      • 36654

      #3
      Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
      On it
      Not insane:
      1) Betting odds swung from Nix to Daniels, while Oreg was losing to Wash.
      2) Some of the mock votes show Penix in front.
      3) Feel like Daniels loses some steam by not playing in a primetime game in some time.

      My advice: Try to find some links to actual voter ballots. Will give you a sense of how votes are being cast.
      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
      Comment
      • ChuckyTheGoat
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        • 04-04-11
        • 36654

        #4
        Populous vote appears to be heavy on Daniels:

        Cast your unbiased vote- who’s your Heisman winner? - Ok all 3 QBs are done before the voting. Place your bets ladies and gentlemen. My money is on Daniels.
        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
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        • johnnyvegas13
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          • 05-21-15
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          #5
          Lol tiger dropping dot com

          that is a lsu site chuck
          Comment
          • Eddy Munny
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-13-13
            • 15740

            #6
            Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
            Lol tiger dropping dot com

            that is a lsu site chuck
            What are you and Chucky doing for the holidays?
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            • ChuckyTheGoat
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              • 04-04-11
              • 36654

              #7
              Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
              Lol tiger dropping dot com

              that is a lsu site chuck
              OK, I see that now.

              Just think the vote is coming heavy on Daniels.
              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
              Comment
              • johnnyvegas13
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                • 05-21-15
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                #8
                Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                OK, I see that now.

                Just think the vote is coming heavy on Daniels.
                So it would seem

                that is y penix a big dog

                I think they will want a guy actually in the playoffs
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                • johnnyvegas13
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                  • 05-21-15
                  • 27777

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                  What are you and Chucky doing for the holidays?
                  Posting on sbr …
                  Comment
                  • JIBBBY
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-10-09
                    • 83691

                    #10
                    With a name like Penis he ain't winning shit.
                    Comment
                    • ChuckyTheGoat
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                      • 04-04-11
                      • 36654

                      #11
                      Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                      Posting on sbr …
                      Eddy should just go away. Troll.

                      Johnny, I've studied Heisman props in the past. You CAN get an edge. But it's about the vote, not about playing a game.

                      Good catch on me landing on a Tiger board, LOL. A little biased.
                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                      Comment
                      • ChuckyTheGoat
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                        • 04-04-11
                        • 36654

                        #12
                        Johnny, you could be on to something. Go to this link:

                        The final votes are in. Follow our Heisman Tracker from the preseason until now and see who our writers picked to win college football's most coveted award.


                        That appears to be 15 actual voters. If so, they have Penix as the leader at latest report.

                        One other unusual thing about the Heisman. I repeat that it's a VOTE. Ergo, you do get Regional votes.

                        Before the Wash/Oreg game, there may have been a feeling that:
                        *Harrison would take the Midwest
                        *Daniels would take the South
                        *Penix/Nix would split the West

                        Nix was off in that last game. I don't believe he'll get many 1st-place votes at all. Penix surge via Nix decline?

                        Again, try to find tweets from ACTUAL Heisman voters. Penix just won a huge game, so you could be on to something. +900?
                        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                        Comment
                        • Eddy Munny
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 08-13-13
                          • 15740

                          #13
                          Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                          Eddy should just go away. Troll.

                          Johnny, I've studied Heisman props in the past. You CAN get an edge. But it's about the vote, not about playing a game.

                          Good catch on me landing on a Tiger board, LOL. A little biased.
                          Yeah, I post winners while Johnny posts losers like his life depends on it.

                          So guess whose threads you've made your permanent residence?

                          I'd say you're more the troll, or professional fluffer, take your pick.
                          Comment
                          • johnnyvegas13
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                            • 05-21-15
                            • 27777

                            #14
                            Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                            Johnny, you could be on to something. Go to this link:

                            The final votes are in. Follow our Heisman Tracker from the preseason until now and see who our writers picked to win college football's most coveted award.


                            That appears to be 15 actual voters. If so, they have Penix as the leader at latest report.

                            One other unusual thing about the Heisman. I repeat that it's a VOTE. Ergo, you do get Regional votes.

                            Before the Wash/Oreg game, there may have been a feeling that:
                            *Harrison would take the Midwest
                            *Daniels would take the South
                            *Penix/Nix would split the West

                            Nix was off in that last game. I don't believe he'll get many 1st-place votes at all. Penix surge via Nix decline?

                            Again, try to find tweets from ACTUAL Heisman voters. Penix just won a huge game, so you could be on to something. +900?
                            Yes +900

                            on DK
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                            • ChuckyTheGoat
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                              • 04-04-11
                              • 36654

                              #15
                              In my research, I see that the Heisman club now doesn't like voters to reveal their votes early.

                              That ESPN graphic of 15 secret voters is telling. Penix could be live.

                              Did you bet it? +900 would be a great hit.
                              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                              Comment
                              • homie1975
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 12-24-13
                                • 15442

                                #16
                                no chance

                                he lost it vs pedestrian ASU with 0 tds and 2 int's

                                no a great game vs wazzu either.

                                also 46% completions vs oregon state


                                the winner will be JAYDEN DANIELS of LSU
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                                • johnnyvegas13
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                                  • 05-21-15
                                  • 27777

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by homie1975
                                  no chance

                                  he lost it vs pedestrian ASU with 0 tds and 2 int's

                                  no a great game vs wazzu either.

                                  also 46% completions vs oregon state


                                  the winner will be JAYDEN DANIELS of LSU
                                  What if penix goes on to win the whole thing tho

                                  His stock could continue to go up

                                  daniels is done playing and he really didn’t do that much or lsu would b in the playoffs mix
                                  Comment
                                  • ChuckyTheGoat
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                                    • 04-04-11
                                    • 36654

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                                    What if penix goes on to win the whole thing tho

                                    His stock could continue to go up

                                    daniels is done playing and he really didn’t do that much or lsu would b in the playoffs mix
                                    Johnny, think you're missing one thing.

                                    December 9, 2023 at 8:00 PM EST

                                    Heisman comes out next week (SAT), after Army/Navy. Votes will be registered in coming days.

                                    I'm not saying it's impossible. Just that the reports would have to be off:
                                    *In some ways, I do think Penix had a Heisman moment. He notched a huge win over a favored opponent. Vaulted his team into the playoffs.

                                    Penix had a very good game. But it was a team effort:
                                    *Excellent receivers.
                                    *Strong Off Line.
                                    *Good RBs.

                                    I'd have to see more vote results to feel good about this one.
                                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                    Comment
                                    • johnnyvegas13
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                                      • 05-21-15
                                      • 27777

                                      #19
                                      I know it’s before the playoffs chuck

                                      and anything penix does in playoffs will not count towards this

                                      bht just the fact he is in the playoffs he carrried them

                                      daniels has 3 loses

                                      last qb to win the horseman w 3 loses was Lamar Jackson

                                      I just don’t think of Daniela as being that good imo
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                                      • ChuckyTheGoat
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                                        • 04-04-11
                                        • 36654

                                        #20
                                        This writer is from Seattle, but he is voting for Penix:

                                        LSU's Jayden Daniels has emerged as the Heisman Trophy favorite, but Michael Penix Jr.'s performances for Washington in the big games all season means he gets my vote.
                                        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                        Comment
                                        • ChuckyTheGoat
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                                          • 04-04-11
                                          • 36654

                                          #21
                                          Read that article above. WASH did beat Oreg 2x, which is a major achievement.

                                          Still trying to think about whether you have a realistic chance.
                                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                          Comment
                                          • johnnyvegas13
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                                            • 05-21-15
                                            • 27777

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                            This writer is from Seattle, but he is voting for Penix:

                                            https://www.seattletimes.com/sports/...-heisman-vote/
                                            Ya but like u said homer

                                            there r plenty of guys who think penix should win

                                            and being in playoffs is huge

                                            that is my whole point here

                                            I have to b crazy good to win w 3 loses and Daniel is not
                                            Comment
                                            • homie1975
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-24-13
                                              • 15442

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                                              What if penix goes on to win the whole thing tho

                                              His stock could continue to go up

                                              daniels is done playing and he really didn’t do that much or lsu would b in the playoffs mix
                                              johnny !!!

                                              the deadline to vote on the Heisman is TOMORROW at 5 pm eastern time.

                                              the winner gets announced next Sat at 8 pm eastern

                                              Comment
                                              • homie1975
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-24-13
                                                • 15442

                                                #24
                                                the only way i see Daniels NOT winning is if the Heisman voters want to punish LSU and Jayden because Bama got into the playoff over FSU.

                                                maybe it is backlash.

                                                other than, it is JAYDEN easily
                                                Comment
                                                • ChuckyTheGoat
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                                                  • 04-04-11
                                                  • 36654

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                                                  Ya but like u said homer

                                                  there r plenty of guys who think penix should win

                                                  and being in playoffs is huge

                                                  that is my whole point here

                                                  I have to b crazy good to win w 3 loses and Daniel is not
                                                  *20 straight wins (dating back to last year). The 2022 games include ANOTHER win over Oreg and a bowl win over Texas.

                                                  Heisman has a history of awarding the guy who produced HEISMAN MOMENTS. Like I said, I think you have a chance.

                                                  Just a matter of getting the vote. Daniels' stats are better. But some of that is playing with a porous LSU defense.
                                                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • homie1975
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-24-13
                                                    • 15442

                                                    #26
                                                    Jayden 72% pass pct and 40 TDs 4 Ints, 10 rushing TDs

                                                    only Nix can counter that at all.

                                                    Penix stats nowhere close.

                                                    it is OVER
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 04-04-11
                                                      • 36654

                                                      #27
                                                      Another pro-Penix article:


                                                      See my points above. Part of me feels like WASH wins the TEAM AWARD.

                                                      As for drilling the Heisman, I'm luke-warm. Penix is worthy, but I wonder about the stat comparison.
                                                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • homie1975
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-24-13
                                                        • 15442

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                        Another pro-Penix article:


                                                        See my points above. Part of me feels like WASH wins the TEAM AWARD.

                                                        As for drilling the Heisman, I'm luke-warm. Penix is worthy, but I wonder about the stat comparison.
                                                        Chucker
                                                        you are my guy.

                                                        love ya bruh.

                                                        but you are cherry picking articles.

                                                        when penix shat the bed and they almost lost to hapless ASU at home and they scored no offensive TDs in that game.

                                                        penix threw 2 int's.

                                                        almost lost the damn game if not for a defensive return for TD
                                                        Comment
                                                        • johnnyvegas13
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                                                          • 05-21-15
                                                          • 27777

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by homie1975
                                                          Jayden 72% pass pct and 40 TDs 4 Ints, 10 rushing TDs

                                                          only Nix can counter that at all.

                                                          Penix stats nowhere close.

                                                          it is OVER
                                                          Lamar jackson had 51 td combined pass and run

                                                          so not like his stats r a record or anything
                                                          Comment
                                                          • homie1975
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-24-13
                                                            • 15442

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                                                            Lamar jackson had 51 td combined pass and run

                                                            so not like his stats r a record or anything
                                                            and LAMAR won the HEISMAN !!!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • homie1975
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-24-13
                                                              • 15442

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                                                              Lamar jackson had 51 td combined pass and run

                                                              so not like his stats r a record or anything

                                                              Jayden did it in SEC.

                                                              Lamar did it in ACC

                                                              do you know football, Bro?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • homie1975
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-24-13
                                                                • 15442

                                                                #32
                                                                big PENIX energy not winning.

                                                                and you got a bad number to boot !

                                                                he is +1000 now

                                                                Jayden is Minus 1400
                                                                Comment
                                                                • asiagambler
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 07-23-17
                                                                  • 6831

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by homie1975
                                                                  johnny !!!

                                                                  the deadline to vote on the Heisman is TOMORROW at 5 pm eastern time.

                                                                  the winner gets announced next Sat at 8 pm eastern

                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 04-04-11
                                                                    • 36654

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Johnny, been reading up on this. Remember how I said that the Heisman club has been stressing voters to keep their votes private.

                                                                    Found this on stiffarmtrophy.com:
                                                                    Last year (2014), the Heisman Trust started putting the screws to the voters. They threatened them with the loss of their ballots if they disclosed who they voted for prior to the ceremony. As a result, many voters declined to share their ballots with our readers.

                                                                    Long story short, it's hard to determine who people are voting for. I think Penix +900 might actually be fair value. Penix might have a > +10% of winning, which would be +EV.
                                                                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • homie1975
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 12-24-13
                                                                      • 15442

                                                                      #35
                                                                      it is JAYDEN all day.

                                                                      all day.
                                                                      Comment
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