Buffalo is laying 3 in Miami

[franz555]

96 yard punt return and hill getting injured huge factors in miami defeat

on to kansas city hobbled for miami

miami +3.5 chiefs are beatable but injury questions for maimi

schedule makers did fins no favors Saturday night short rest game

We must have watched a different game. Buffalo owned the game and it became close due to a key turnover in the end zone , a fumble by Allen and 12 inches short of a TD to end the 1st half. Add in the missed catch in the end zone on 2nd down by Cooke.

This game should have been a blow out

[budwiser]

We must have watched a different game. Buffalo owned the game and it became close due to a key turnover in the end zone , a fumble by Allen and 12 inches short of a TD to end the 1st half. Add in the missed catch in the end zone on 2nd down by Cooke.

This game should have been a blow out

not saying it was miami's game either

but miami stopped pressing in the 2nd half for reasons only the coach could understand. both teams in the 2h when they got the lead stopped pushing

ir's all up for debate but i'd agree with you buffalo was the better team

that said, miami easily could have won the game. turnovers are a part of it. hill got injured, his calf was hit, and they put in his replacement for one play. on that one play tua threw the ball to where the receiver should have been and the receiver didn't cut for the ball.

750 yards, around 6 yards a play on average, and the under hits

in the end you play the averages, and buffalo and the over hits 70% of the time that game is my estimation

it's similar to a dice roll, let's say you have numbers 2 to 8, and your opponent has 9 10 11 12. it hits 10. then you got all the squares saying you were wrong. it's the long run, and you have to know when you're lucky and you aren't

[RM Logic]

Miami is a worthless fraud, 1-5 vs good teams.
This McDaniel is a weirdo. Worst playcaller ever. Just stands there the whole game , head buried in the play sheet. He looks totally lost.
Lay KC-3.5.
Easy cover.

[budwiser]

in case you're wondering if it's sour grapes, no. i got lucky on an earlier game, and the posted game over lost. the bigger play won. but of course no one can verify.

i posted the over because i had time before the sunday night game, there's nothing going on before the game.

that was the action for the day, and it was something else. only 4 weeks left of this, 6 games to 4 to 2 and then 2 weeks until 1

and that's how it works, in my world.

[budwiser]

in my world there is already a cherry to be picked on wild card weekend/large bet. but i learned the hard way to wait before doing anything. let it all play out, there's no need to wager on anything before it's time, unless you can't go back to the book or you think you get the best line.

crazy.

[franz555]

not saying it was miami's game either

but miami stopped pressing in the 2nd half for reasons only the coach could understand. both teams in the 2h when they got the lead stopped pushing

ir's all up for debate but i'd agree with you buffalo was the better team

that said, miami easily could have won the game. turnovers are a part of it. hill got injured, his calf was hit, and they put in his replacement for one play. on that one play tua threw the ball to where the receiver should have been and the receiver didn't cut for the ball.

750 yards, around 6 yards a play on average, and the under hits

in the end you play the averages, and buffalo and the over hits 70% of the time that game is my estimation

it's similar to a dice roll, let's say you have numbers 2 to 8, and your opponent has 9 10 11 12. it hits 10. then you got all the squares saying you were wrong. it's the long run, and you have to know when you're lucky and you aren't

My posted play and season record :


NFL : Buffalo @ Miami : 8:20pm

Buffalo - 3 @ 1.95 ( 2 units )


NFL : 36 - 19 ( + 40.23 units )

I don't really believe in Coin tosses or shoulda , coulda, woulda's.


Winning means never having to make excuses. You make the bet , post it and let the final tally speak for you.

No need for in game comments like " Bills on life support " etc

[budwiser]

My posted play and season record :


NFL : Buffalo @ Miami : 8:20pm

Buffalo - 3 @ 1.95 ( 2 units )


NFL : 36 - 19 ( + 40.23 units )

I don't really believe in Coin tosses or shoulda , coulda, woulda's.


Winning means never having to make excuses. You make the bet , post it and let the final tally speak for you.

No need for in game comments like " Bills on life support " etc

it is definitely about coin tosses and probabilities in my opinion. it's not black and white. i believe in shoulda, coulda, woulda, and the bills were on life support before a 96 yard punt return, i believe the longest in bills history, changed the game. unless you think the bills go 90 yards down the field for a td, which was possible that game.

we'll agree to disagree. though i'm sure you know you what you're doing.

and the final record is not your record, it's how much ca$h you have. in my world anyways.

though your record is very impressive no doubt. well done.

[budwiser]

i don't mean to tease. I'll prove what I'm saying.

say your record is 36-19. ok, great. so what are you putting on each game, the exact amount?

a lot of guys that call themselves absolute professionals who know absolutely everything there is to know, say bankroll management is the KEY to success.

but that is 100% absolute donkey shot

and i'll tell you why...

because no game is the same. some games are more likely to win than others.

so if you have $100, you have a choice to play 10 games or 1. the 1 game is more likely to hit than the other 9.

the mathematical advantage is to play 1 game with all $100 instead of 10 at $10 each. because you're playing all $100 at the highest probability/advantage, instead of $90 with lower probabilities.

plus you have a life. instead of watching 10 games you watch 1.

at 36-19 obviously you have this under control and know what you're doing.

this verifies why anyone who does a 5-game parlay is an automatic square.

[franz555]

i don't mean to tease. I'll prove what I'm saying.

say your record is 36-19. ok, great. so what are you putting on each game, the exact amount?

a lot of guys that call themselves absolute professionals who know absolutely everything there is to know, say bankroll management is the KEY to success.

but that is 100% absolute donkey shot

and i'll tell you why...

because no game is the same. some games are more likely to win than others.

so if you have $100, you have a choice to play 10 games or 1. the 1 game is more likely to hit than the other 9.

the mathematical advantage is to play 1 game with all $100 instead of 10 at $10 each. because you're playing all $100 at the highest probability/advantage, instead of $90 with lower probabilities.

plus you have a life. instead of watching 10 games you watch 1.

at 36-19 obviously you have this under control and know what you're doing.

this verifies why anyone who does a 5-game parlay is an automatic square.

You clearly missed my point

I have more respect for someone who posts a play pre game and stands behind his conviction. It makes zero difference how much you bet , by posting it and keeping a record , it speaks for itself. No need to come back and explain a " War & Peace version of why your wager lost. As for the varying amounts wagered...... Do you or any gambler like EVERY wager the same ? No chance. The amount wagered expresses your interest level.

Professional ????

Im a poster on a gambling site just like you

[texhooper]

Franz you are a professional don’t let anyone tell you different

[franz555]

Franz you are a professional don’t let anyone tell you different

Only on Saturday nights at the local Old Folks home. $20 a dance

[lakerboy]

I can bet $100 on a +780 line and win more often then most people.

I can also place $2500 on a -105 line and lose more often then most.

[johnnyvegas13]

I can bet $100 on a +780 line and win more often then most people.

I can also place $2500 on a -105 line and lose more often then most.

What ???

[DonnieBrasco23]

***

[asiagambler]

For some reason these types of games seem to stay under a lot.

Yep

[budwiser]

I can bet $100 on a +780 line and win more often then most people.

I can also place $2500 on a -105 line and lose more often then most.

exactly. that is the chess game and more.

[budwiser]

You clearly missed my point

I have more respect for someone who posts a play pre game and stands behind his conviction. It makes zero difference how much you bet , by posting it and keeping a record , it speaks for itself. No need to come back and explain a " War & Peace version of why your wager lost. As for the varying amounts wagered...... Do you or any gambler like EVERY wager the same ? No chance. The amount wagered expresses your interest level.

Professional ????

Im a poster on a gambling site just like you

understood and agree

as for war and peace i cover games like a blanket.
different style that's all.

[ThaTopMoron]

Yup. That punt return for a TD changed the game

some interesting storylines we will be hearing all week.


Tyreek back in KC
Stafford back in Detroit
Holmgren against the Packers

KC wins
Browns win
Bills win

Browns and Joe Flacco face Ravens (old Browns) and Joe goes against Ravens who won a SB with him

I will def be making a parlay with these 3

[budwiser]

KC wins
Browns win
Bills win

Browns and Joe Flacco face Ravens (old Browns) and Joe goes against Ravens who won a SB with him

I will def be making a parlay with these 3

RE: KC most everyone picking against the Dolphins. Team is in a tailspin and weather calling for 0 degrees. Already up to 4. Should be interesting to watch how the books handle it.

Since January 2017, the Dolphins are:
0-11 overall when the temperature is below 40
1-17 overall when the temperature is below 49.

this isn't 40 degrees. this is 0 degrees. this is polar vortex stuff

[OldBill]

i told you all long 100% kiss of death the playbook cover pick whoever he puts on cover has never ever won a SB or college championship like some times 4 lil boxes with 2 college teams and 2 more nfl teams

you get pics of previous issues online i did find them and posted somewhere either here or another forum and baby like from early issues in 80's up until this year 100% LOSERS

[Str8Mush4Life]

you get pics of previous issues online i did find them and posted somewhere either here or another forum and baby like from early issues in 80's up until this year 100% LOSERS

Bill I kept goldfish on my desk, and I just dumped bleach into its bowl so it never had to endure reading sentences like these on this Centralia of a forum ever again.

Stay off the drugs, Bill.