(NFL picks) - Week 18

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 01-04-24, 08:41 PM

Several NFL plays in link (above).

Adding one Coll FB play. 1* Michigan -4 (1.90). 1.00 to win .90.

Just my opinion, an action play. Good Luck.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 01-05-24, 06:09 PM

Pit/Bal game has been discussed ad infinitum. Sticking with my logic stated.

1) I don't think Harbaugh will show the Steelers any real plays out of his playbook. Just in case they face the Steelers later in the playoffs.

2) From my perspective, public bettors love the Ravens as dog here. History of Pit/Bal landing 3 so often, Fav has only covered 1x in L18 meetings. People are very comfortable grabbing a strong Home Dog.

3) I say that you throw it all out. Ravens with a mail-in here. Throw-out the trends.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 01-06-24, 12:01 PM

Doubling down on this. Adding: 2* Pitt Steelers -3 (1.98). 2.00 to win 1.96.

**johnnyvegas13** · 01-06-24, 01:09 PM

Agree on Steelers tonight chuck

huge week this week coming up

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 01-06-24, 01:11 PM

Originally posted by johnnyvegas13

Agree on Steelers tonight chuck

huge week this week coming up

Good Luck, johnny. You've hit some good winners of late.

NFL's final regular season week (Week 18 this year) is always a different handicap. Lot of good dog plays...but the Steelers stick out to me as an unusually good spot.

**Mr KLC** · 01-06-24, 01:31 PM

Houston is 0-5 ATS since October when they allowed no more than 17 points last game.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 01-06-24, 01:54 PM

Originally posted by Mr KLC

Houston is 0-5 ATS since October when they allowed no more than 17 points last game.

KLC, that should be a great game. A great late-season elimination game.

Either way, the Texans have had a great season. They have everything to look forward to.

**Mr KLC** · 01-06-24, 02:05 PM

Pittsburgh is 2-12-1 ATS since December 2020 as a favorite of at least 3 points.

**johnnyvegas13** · 01-06-24, 02:08 PM

Originally posted by Mr KLC

Pittsburgh is 2-12-1 ATS since December 2020 as a favorite of at least 3 points.

No trend here since ravens resting starters

**OldBill** · 01-06-24, 03:10 PM

lol steelrs 9-7 are negative points diif. PF 287 PA 314 -2 PPG but nuts they are 4-1 in div giggles.

sorry guys but im realistic when teams flip roles win as a dog then go chalk fade em 68% in nfll over 30 years losers

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 01-06-24, 07:30 PM

Steelers win. They now need: a BUFF Loss...OR...a JAX Loss.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 01-06-24, 07:43 PM

Adding: 1-unit MIAMI +3 (1.87). 1.00 to win .87.

Has to do with the Miami injury rpt looking pretty good. I expect the Dolphins to be pretty healthy:
*Two defenders out, Howard/Chubb.
*Most of the Offense should be playing. Two Off Lineman on IR.

**hehfest** · 01-06-24, 07:55 PM

Chuck strikes again. Didn't bet it myself. I wanted to play it cool this week and chill wait for playoffs with my roll. Plus, I might go a nice sum on the big game Monday. Nice call on Steelers Chuck.

**hehfest** · 01-06-24, 07:56 PM

Oh yeah, let's say the winner of this game (if not tie) ends up NOT winning division. Are we looking at them likely playing who in 1st round? I know its speculative but.......(HOU/IND)

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 01-06-24, 11:15 PM

Disgusting finish in the Hou/Ind game. Dropped ball, would have been set up to finish it off.

**johnnyvegas13** · 01-06-24, 11:40 PM

Get some sleep chuck

huhe day tme

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 01-07-24, 12:18 AM

Originally posted by johnnyvegas13

Get some sleep chuck

huhe day tme

Yeah. Check my link (above). All my action is set. Probably won't add any new plays.

**hehfest** · 01-07-24, 12:28 AM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Disgusting finish in the Hou/Ind game. Dropped ball, would have been set up to finish it off.

I ended up laying off Colts but bet the under 47 to win a nickel. That TD would've at worse probably pushed me and if Houston goes down and wins on a FG after I lose.

Even so, that was awful. Not the best thrown ball but Minshew had more time to throw too. Catch still should've been made. Still, backup 3rd string RB in for the most important pass/play of the game? Ouch on that.

**johnnyvegas13** · 01-07-24, 10:02 AM

U ready for today chuck

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 01-07-24, 10:03 AM

Originally posted by johnnyvegas13

U ready for today chuck

John, I don't bet a lot ON NFL GAMEDAY. The #s have already been hammered out.

I said that I posted several plays in the link above. Mostly Home Dogs that I expect to be feisty.

**Slurry Pumper** · 01-07-24, 10:56 AM

Anybody on the Titans with me, I got them at +4 a day or so ago. Titans at home getting points in a spolier game with the jagoffs allowing over 120 yds rushing per game for the last month. Yeah, give me the Titans to atleast cover and probably win outright.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 01-07-24, 11:06 AM

Originally posted by Slurry Pumper

Anybody on the Titans with me, I got them at +4 a day or so ago. Titans at home getting points in a spolier game with the jagoffs allowing over 120 yds rushing per game for the last month. Yeah, give me the Titans to atleast cover and probably win outright.

Titans are a play in my link:
1) I got +3.5, so I didn't get the peak #.
2) There was a ? on Lawrence playing. +5 was available mid-week, but later in the week there were stories about Lawrence's health situation. Lawrence is < 100%.
3) Jags as a must-win Fav. I do feel like the # is too high.

Good Luck. Still need to play the game, and the Titans aren't great.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 01-07-24, 07:41 PM

Dolphin injuries worse than I expected. Gonna be tough.

I'm already in on the Dolphins. But I'm luke-warm at best.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 01-08-24, 11:21 PM

Mich nets me a profit for the week:

Risk: 17.00
Net Profit +/-: +0.58

Updated Balance: 103.22