(NFL picks) - Playoff Week 02

[ChuckyTheGoat]

2* SAN FRAN Niners -9.5 (1.93). 2.00 to win 1.86.

[lakerboy]

Absolutely a blowout here IMO.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Absolutely a blowout here IMO.

Hope so. Think we catch at least 1.5 pts of line value.

Dumb question: *Was anybody else surprised to see Lafleur pull the starters at 48-24 (w/ 6:00 left)?

I know it's a long-long shot. But Dallas knew GBay would be handing off to run. Lamb TD catch + Onside Kick Recovery could have made it interesting.

[trobin31]

Was surprised this didn’t open -11/12, now it’s even dropping lower to -8.5

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Was surprised this didn’t open -11/12, now it’s even dropping lower to -8.5

Interesting. I think bettors fall in love with dogs more than they used to in the past.

We'll see. Might add on here, b/c I think this # is off.

[DonnieBrasco23]

I’m on the Packers +9.5 -108 their defense is playing better down the stretch & Love is doing his best Aaron Rodgers impression right now. The Packers are balanced enough to keep this with-in a touchdown or less IMO. 49er's pass defense is middle of the pack and I think the OL will hold up enough for Love to keep playing well. No pressure on GB, a lot of names and a lot expectation for San Francisco right now.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

2* SAN FRAN Niners -9.5 (1.93). 2.00 to win 1.86.

Thanks for the replies, boys.

Adding: 1* SAN FRAN -8 (1.78). 1.00 to win .78.

Just think everything adds up to GBay being ripe here:
1) They needed SEA/MIN to falter to even have a chance to make the playoffs.
2) Zero margin for error down the stretch. Had to win out.
3) Prescott gift-wrapped 1h points last week.

Looks like a bridge too far this week. Good Luck if you follow (or even if you fade).

[pavyracer]

I know one thing that NFL and the refs love is close games at the end so the refs will make sure is close. NFL doesn't want to lose money again like Dallas game where half the fans turned the TVs off at halftime. This is why they made the Lions/Rams game close the next day as the losses were huge.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Adding: 1* SAN FRAN -8.5 (1.88). 1.00 to win .88.

Line improved again. I'm sure people will be referencing the Jordan Love TD/INT stats down the stretch.

Look at the Orlovsky video. Cowboys gifted a lot of those yards.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Whether you Follow/Fade/Ignore, Good Luck on your action.

Niners for me. Will be interesting to see how the Niner staff dissects the GB/Dal tape. I can't see the Niners conceding all those busted coverages.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Risk: 4.00
Net Profit +/-: -4.00

Updated Balance: 95.30

[DonnieBrasco23]

Chucky we’ve been on opposite sides through the playoffs most games. Who do you like this weekend ? Hoping to finally be on the same side as you as positive variance should on your side this week.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Chucky we’ve been on opposite sides through the playoffs most games. Who do you like this weekend ? Hoping to finally be on the same side as you as positive variance should on your side this week.

Who do I like? No one. Not betting.

My picks suck, and there's a reason for that. It's lack of preparation.

[johnnyvegas13]

Chuck did u release tmr picks yet

u going niners again ???

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Chuck did u release tmr picks yet

u going niners again ???

No play, John.

Just betting the tennis dog. Think that people hyped up Sinner too much.

[DonnieBrasco23]

Who do I like? No one. Not betting.

My picks suck, and there's a reason for that. It's lack of preparation.

Yeah if you are not confident then good idea not to bet. I’ll take mini breaks myself when things go bad.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Yeah if you are not confident then good idea not to bet. I’ll take mini breaks myself when things go bad.

It's not really confidence, Donnie. This game is about putting in the heavy-lifting and getting accurate projections.

Anybody can kid themselves and tell themselves they have a winning ticket.