Chiefs just beat Tua, Josh Allen, and Lamar Jackson........................

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  • homie1975
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-24-13
    • 15442

    #1
    Chiefs just beat Tua, Josh Allen, and Lamar Jackson........................
    Yet they are underdogs vs the Niners in the SB after the Niners have looked very average late in the regular season and at home in the playoffs vs the Packers and the Lions.

    Wow.

    Absolutely no respect.
  • budwiser
    SBR MVP
    • 11-22-11
    • 3226

    #2
    well...already down to -1 caesars -1 -120 mgm

    getting respect fast

    9ers were favorites to win it all and now it's almost pk
    Comment
    • ThaTopMoron
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 04-30-10
      • 27017

      #3
      i bet KC v SF 4 years ago because Jimmy G didn't have to throw a single clutch pass in 2 games v Vikings/trash GB defense

      he almost threw a pick v Vikes and then they basically took the ball from him

      then they just ran over GB defense all game and shut down Rodgers

      i knew he would fold in a clutch 4th quarter situation... and he did
      Comment
      • Eddy Munny
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-13-13
        • 15739

        #4
        Line is correct as it sits right now. I wouldn't say SF has looked average, they just haven't looked like the world beaters they were made out to be. The Chiefs have looked just as average if we're honest.
        Comment
        • budwiser
          SBR MVP
          • 11-22-11
          • 3226

          #5
          reid off a bye 22-3 straight up

          mahomes 10-1-1 ats as a dog
          Last edited by budwiser; 01-28-24, 10:56 PM.
          Comment
          • Eddy Munny
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-13-13
            • 15739

            #6
            Originally posted by budwiser
            i forget there's a stat out there, andy reid with 2 weeks to prepare is ridiculous good. if anyone knows please state thanks
            Yeah... the stat is with two weeks to prepare Andy Reid consumes twice as much Velveeta Shells & Cheese and accumulates twice as much back hair in the shower drain. Your old lady trends the same way.
            Last edited by Eddy Munny; 01-29-24, 01:14 AM.
            Comment
            • homie1975
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-24-13
              • 15442

              #7
              Chiefs:

              DD home win vs Miami

              Win on road @Buffalo

              Won on road @Baltimore

              that is a freaking gauntlet !!
              Comment
              • Eddy Munny
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-13-13
                • 15739

                #8
                Originally posted by homie1975
                Chiefs:

                DD home win vs Miami

                Win on road @Buffalo

                Won on road @Baltimore

                that is a freaking gauntlet !!
                Miami decimated on defense and playing in arctic weather.

                Buffalo decimated on defense and had a couple huge drops coupled with a shanked kick.

                Baltimore done in by turnovers, especially the Flowers reach, changed the entire tenor of the game... Chiefs didn't even score the second half after scoring touchdowns their first two drives. Baltimore was much better yards per play, won the box score, lost the scoreboard.
                Comment
                • homie1975
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-24-13
                  • 15442

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                  Miami decimated on defense and playing in arctic weather.

                  Buffalo decimated on defense and had a couple huge drops coupled with a shanked kick.

                  Baltimore done in by turnovers, especially the Flowers reach, changed the entire tenor of the game... Chiefs didn't even score the second half after scoring touchdowns their first two drives. Baltimore was much better yards per play, won the box score, lost the scoreboard.
                  3 straight games you are giving the opponent credit but not the Chiefs


                  What will the excuses be if if if the Chiefs beat the Niners?

                  Too cold or too warm in the Allegiant Las Vegas dome maybe and it affected the Niners negatively but helped the Chiefs ??
                  Comment
                  • Eddy Munny
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-13-13
                    • 15739

                    #10
                    Originally posted by homie1975
                    3 straight games you are giving the opponent credit but not the Chiefs


                    What will the excuses be if if if the Chiefs beat the Niners?

                    Too cold or too warm in the Allegiant Las Vegas dome maybe and it affected the Niners negatively but helped the Chiefs ??
                    What are you talking about? The Chiefs belong in the Super Bowl, I'm not debating that. This is a gambling forum, I'm just offering perspective. Did you want a discussion or an echo chamber? You said the Niners have looked average, I'm saying the Chiefs have too for the most part. The latter two games you could flip a coin.

                    All I'm saying is that the Vegas line is accurate. No substantial points were ever gonna be awarded to either side.
                    Comment
                    • ThaTopMoron
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 04-30-10
                      • 27017

                      #11
                      homie you use teasers don't you?

                      tease up KC and tease down the over
                      Comment
                      • hehfest
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-28-08
                        • 7934

                        #12
                        The 9ers were favored by 6.5 against Baltimore although that was at home. How is the line out of disrespect? I can't read this guys posts anymore.
                        Comment
                        • homie1975
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-24-13
                          • 15442

                          #13
                          Originally posted by hehfest
                          The 9ers were favored by 6.5 against Baltimore although that was at home. How is the line out of disrespect? I can't read this guys posts anymore.
                          yes and they got hammered by the Ravens

                          IMO the chiefs should be favored, even if only by 1
                          Comment
                          • OldBill
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 11-02-21
                            • 6398

                            #14
                            line will move guarnteed that it flips to kc -1 or goes hiher

                            never fear i see 49ers finally doing things right on ground and n air

                            this was great win for them from down 24- 7 to completely shut out lions most all of second half with 34 unsnaswered points
                            Comment
                            • DrunkHorseplayer
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 05-15-10
                              • 7719

                              #15
                              Beating Miami was no big deal because they stunk all year against good teams and Buffalo, although a good team, did have injury issues. Winning in Baltimore was impressive but the Niners are much more proven in the playoffs lately than the Ravens; Niners minus anything at a FG or less.
                              Comment
                              • budwiser
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-22-11
                                • 3226

                                #16
                                Originally posted by OldBill
                                line will move guarnteed that it flips to kc -1 or goes hiher
                                if you're saying money moves super bowl lines, that's what we're told
                                Comment
                                • EddieMusher
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 09-10-15
                                  • 858

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by ThaTopMoron
                                  homie you use teasers don't you?

                                  tease up KC and tease down the over
                                  Chiefs +7½
                                  Over 41½

                                  On it!
                                  Comment
                                  • lakerboy
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 04-02-09
                                    • 94362

                                    #18
                                    This sf defense is not good and it is certainly much worse then the last meeting although KC is not as good at offense as last time.
                                    At this stage betting against mahomes isn't the way to go.

                                    Sf is starting to become a franchise that loses superbowls.
                                    Comment
                                    • odog11
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-14-11
                                      • 3874

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                                      What are you talking about? The Chiefs belong in the Super Bowl, I'm not debating that. This is a gambling forum, I'm just offering perspective. Did you want a discussion or an echo chamber? You said the Niners have looked average, I'm saying the Chiefs have too for the most part. The latter two games you could flip a coin.

                                      All I'm saying is that the Vegas line is accurate. No substantial points were ever gonna be awarded to either side.
                                      This. Though I would have used less words and think true line should be 9ers -3.5. Sure, they could come out sloppy and slow again or be the team that chokes late, but odds are they won’t. I mean, it was the Dolphins decimated in cold weather and the Bills. Today Baltimore lost the game. Chiefs getting too much respect here.
                                      Last edited by odog11; 01-29-24, 02:49 AM.
                                      Comment
                                      • hehfest
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-28-08
                                        • 7934

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
                                        Beating Miami was no big deal because they stunk all year against good teams and Buffalo, although a good team, did have injury issues. Winning in Baltimore was impressive but the Niners are much more proven in the playoffs lately than the Ravens; Niners minus anything at a FG or less.
                                        The Ravens are more proven in the playoffs than the Lions though.
                                        Comment
                                        • hehfest
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-28-08
                                          • 7934

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by homie1975
                                          yes and they got hammered by the Ravens

                                          IMO the chiefs should be favored, even if only by 1

                                          Based on what has happened in the playoffs so far I would agree, but based on the fact the Lions and Packers were getting 7.5 and 10.5 or whatever......and now its down to 2.5 at open and now -1? The Lions and Pack both beat the Taylor Swifters. I know it was the regular season, but the REG isn't meaningless.

                                          What I'm saying is that the open at -2.5 was the right line IMO.
                                          Comment
                                          • hehfest
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-28-08
                                            • 7934

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by odog11
                                            This. Though I would have used less words and think true line should be 9ers -3.5. Sure, they could come out sloppy and slow again or be the team that chokes late, but odds are they won’t. I mean, it was the Dolphins decimated in cold weather and the Bills. Today Baltimore lost the game. Chiefs getting too much respect here.
                                            I will meet you in the middle and say -3 should be the open.
                                            Comment
                                            • lakerboy
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 04-02-09
                                              • 94362

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by hehfest
                                              The Ravens are more proven in the playoffs than the Lions though.
                                              Maybe ten years ago but not with Jackson. Detroit had two wins this season in the playoffs which equals Lamar's career total.
                                              Comment
                                              • raiders72001
                                                Senior Member
                                                • 08-10-05
                                                • 11012

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
                                                Beating Miami was no big deal because they stunk all year against good teams and Buffalo, although a good team, did have injury issues. Winning in Baltimore was impressive but the Niners are much more proven in the playoffs lately than the Ravens; Niners minus anything at a FG or less.
                                                Buffalo wasn't a good team. It was close to a backup defense. Only two pro bowlers on the whole team. Diggs is suppose to be a star but he averaged a little over 40 yds/game the last 10 games or so. Buffalo was a one man team.
                                                Comment
                                                • hehfest
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 09-28-08
                                                  • 7934

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                  Maybe ten years ago but not with Jackson. Detroit had two wins this season in the playoffs which equals Lamar's career total.
                                                  Like I said, they still are more proven right?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • dxp
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 10-06-18
                                                    • 463

                                                    #26
                                                    if you're that confident the chiefs should be favorites, you know what to do. the eagles beat the dolphins, cowboys, chiefs and bills over a 5 game stretch. they were 10-1 and playing the niners at home, but were 3.5 underdogs.

                                                    this was a really weak season in the NFL. aside from the ravens, no one really stood out. if flowers didn't pick up the taunting penalty, or even the eventual fumble, the ravens could have pulled out that game. san fran or detroit would have gotten rolled in the superbowl. as is, should be a good game of "next level teams."
                                                    Comment
                                                    • GunShard
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 03-05-10
                                                      • 10026

                                                      #27
                                                      Keep betting Mahomes Chiefs when they are underdogs. It's free money.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • budwiser
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-22-11
                                                        • 3226

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by hehfest
                                                        Based on what has happened in the playoffs so far I would agree, but based on the fact the Lions and Packers were getting 7.5 and 10.5 or whatever......and now its down to 2.5 at open and now -1? The Lions and Pack both beat the Taylor Swifters. I know it was the regular season, but the REG isn't meaningless.

                                                        What I'm saying is that the open at -2.5 was the right line IMO.
                                                        you can choose to believe or not believe, but supposedly the super bowl line has nothing much to do with reality. it's about evening the money train that's coming in. because bookmakers don't want to have to go to the boss and need to explain losses for the biggest bet game of the year (by far) and the last game of the year (do we keep this bookmaker around)

                                                        the books advertise all the props to clean up on garbage, which imo is essentially what props are (contrary to expert opinion). you can choose to believe there'll be as much $ spent on props as the game

                                                        we'll have the usual yes to this, over to that, will there be a safety with lines of -2000 no and +1200 yes, or some awful garbage line. we'll have the line of sports geniuses lining up to get first crack at the Westgate prop line

                                                        and the circus continues for way too long (2 weeks). so it's time for hibernation for a week and a half
                                                        Comment
                                                        • budwiser
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-22-11
                                                          • 3226

                                                          #29
                                                          as for the game itself i think i already have a pick, barring something strange, and i'll be looking. i've always been good with chiefs games, but i've been poor on the 9ers. something has to give. and as usual, i'll be betting a grand total of 0 props. but maybe an alternate line, depending on what's the # and odds. gl
                                                          Comment
                                                          • budwiser
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-22-11
                                                            • 3226

                                                            #30
                                                            oh yeah one more thing, because of the mass load of betting, there WILL be opportunities mathematically (e.g. alternate lines to me are important) if you look for them. so be on the lookout by gameday. to most people especially the pros here i'm just repeating the obvious...but it needs to be said because who knows who's reading this.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • budwiser
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-22-11
                                                              • 3226

                                                              #31
                                                              ok stating the obvious one more time but there are newbies here i'm sure or at least hoping...if you go to a book, plan for being in line for a long time on Sunday. you don't want to be the guy showing up at 4pm or later you may not get your bet in
                                                              Comment
                                                              • franz555
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 11-13-14
                                                                • 10425

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by budwiser
                                                                ok stating the obvious one more time but there are newbies here i'm sure or at least hoping...if you go to a book, plan for being in line for a long time on Sunday. you don't want to be the guy showing up at 4pm or later you may not get your bet in
                                                                I have to agree with Eddy on this one, although not as emphatically. You love to ramble on and on about the games upcoming ( even talking to yourself as you are doing here ) but never pick a side or total before a kick off. Brutal
                                                                Comment
                                                                • budwiser
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-22-11
                                                                  • 3226

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by franz555
                                                                  I have to agree with Eddy on this one, although not as emphatically. You love to ramble on and on about the games upcoming ( even talking to yourself as you are doing here ) but never pick a side or total before a kick off. Brutal
                                                                  listen jerk...i picked the 9ers before the game on the nfl forum.

                                                                  i don't care about eddie and i don't care about you either. if you, or anyone else, don't like my posts, feel free to ignore. i'm here to talk about the game. eddie has mental problems imo. and it seems to me now, that you do also.

                                                                  i come from Covers where there's an NFL post every 5 minutes. this is who i am, if you don't like me sorry but again, I don't care. I prefer a higher volume of posts, and getting info, that's my style.

                                                                  by writing a summary i figured something out important, to myself. i believe i'm more set for 2 weeks from now because of it. i do what i do, in my way.

                                                                  a long time back someone said to me not everyone is going to like you. that's true for everyone. even Jesus was nailed to a cross.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • budwiser
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-22-11
                                                                    • 3226

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by franz555
                                                                    I have to agree with Eddy on this one, although not as emphatically. You love to ramble on and on about the games upcoming ( even talking to yourself as you are doing here ) but never pick a side or total before a kick off. Brutal
                                                                    you've got 8,883 posts in 9 years. so i wouldn't use you anyways as a case study on how not to ramble on about complete nonsense, like what you think about a poster
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • franz555
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 11-13-14
                                                                      • 10425

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by budwiser
                                                                      listen jerk...i picked the 9ers before the game on the nfl forum.

                                                                      i don't care about eddie and i don't care about you either. if you, or anyone else, don't like my posts, feel free to ignore. i'm here to talk about the game. eddie has mental problems imo. and it seems to me now, that you do also.

                                                                      i come from Covers where there's an NFL post every 5 minutes. this is who i am, if you don't like me sorry but again, I don't care.

                                                                      by writing a summary i figured something out important, to myself. i believe i'm more set for 2 weeks from now because of it. i do what i do, in my way.

                                                                      a long time back someone said to me not everyone is going to like you. that's true for everyone. even Jesus was nailed to a cross.
                                                                      " Listen Jerk " ??

                                                                      I was on Covers years ago , in addition to BMR and SBR. I have been posting pre kickoff wagers for 18 years , so stop pretending that you know something that others don't. You took shots at my NFL Posted record this season and rambled on about size of wager and made zero sense.

                                                                      You are talking to yourself here. Remember , you are never alone with a schizophrenic
                                                                      Comment
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