1st kickoff no touchback +230

[raiders72001]

There is a fair catch rule now. KC kickoff touchback this year 83% and SF 62%.

Opening kick to be a touchback – no
This prop needs to be credited to fellow Sporting Life NFL contributor Ross Williams – who has had great success with this bet over the years.

A huge 49 of the 57 Super Bowl opening kickoffs were returned, including 26 of the last 30. The only four to result in a touchback over the last three decades were kicked indoors.

Pat McAfee has shared insight as to why Super Bowl kicks have such a high propensity of being returned – as kickers are usually seen handling the ball ahead of the game, allowing them to ‘break in’ the leather of the ball.

However, at the Super Bowl, the ball is carried out fresh, ready to be kicked away before being collected for preservation in the Hall of Fame, meaning it is supposedly much harder to kick. This means the ball will not travel as far – so a return is more likely.

[str]

There is a fair catch rule now. KC kickoff touchback this year 83% and SF 62%.

You are always thinking and looking for an edge Raiders. I admire that in anyone.

GL with this.

[johnnyvegas13]

I still remember Devin Hester running back the first kick for a td in that one superbowl

[lakerboy]

Odds seem too good to be true

[JAKEPEAVY21]

All the players will be at a fever pitch at kickoff, I could see the kicker blasting it off the adrenaline but good luck

[DrunkHorseplayer]

I remember reading this same thing last year and the opening kickoff was a touchback.

[DwightShrute]

good luck

worth a shot me thinks

[DrunkHorseplayer]

There is a fair catch rule now. KC kickoff touchback this year 83% and SF 62%.

I believe that if someone makes a fair catch, the ball is spotted at the 25. This might be considered a touchback; check the fine print.

[Optional]

Odds seem too good to be true

Same as I was thinking as I read the logic.

has to be something missed in write up to be those odds.

[pavyracer]

The problem I see with this prop is you don't know which team is going to kickoff first which greatly diminishes the value as each team will have a different strategy on kickoffs.

[gauchojake]

Kicker might be so geeked up he kicks it out of bounds which would work.

Indoor stadium favors the touchback here I think. Do you have the stats for the total touchbacks at Reliant?

[Smokey McPot]

Station Casinos sitting at +285 on the no touchback. Probably worth a shot.

[raiders72001]

You are always thinking and looking for an edge Raiders. I admire that in anyone.

GL with this.

Thanks str. I do have to admit that I stole this from a poster at another forum.

[raiders72001]

The problem I see with this prop is you don't know which team is going to kickoff first which greatly diminishes the value as each team will have a different strategy on kickoffs.

It's priced in. Shanahan always defers. Reid took the ball 1 time during the season in 2022.

[raiders72001]

Kicker might be so geeked up he kicks it out of bounds which would work.

Indoor stadium favors the touchback here I think. Do you have the stats for the total touchbacks at Reliant?

The theory here is the football being hard since it can't be broken in for the Super Bowl, not so much the stadium. I can't remember who it was but there was a kicker that talked about how kicking the ball to start the Super Bowl was much different. Odds say it's most likely a touchback but I'll take the "no" at +230.

[raiders72001]

Former punter Pat McAfee has referred to the Super Bowl’s opening kickoff ball as being the worst and toughest an NFL kicker will encounter in their career.

https://www.pickswise.com/news/super...ons-best-bets/



Last year and the year before

Super Bowl Opening Kickoff to be a Touchback Odds

These are the current Super Bowl Odds on the opening kickoff to be a touchback, courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook:

• Yes (-160) (last year -108)
• No (+124) (last year -118)

[Slurry Pumper]

I think it is more likely that the kickoff reaches the stands than having a run back. Good luck on this one. What about an onside kick what are the odds on that one? and if it happens, does the run back bet pay off if there is just a recovery without any yards being gained.

[gauchojake]

Interesting about the ball I hadn't considered that.

[bjb7223]

touchbackkkkkkkk

[bjb7223]

well that was unventtful

[pavyracer]