500 plays +EV theory risking 100u

**veriableodds** · 04-12-24, 07:57 AM

Glad it worked out Chuck.

**veriableodds** · 04-12-24, 07:58 AM

1-2/ -0.16u/ tp count=359
ytd/ 169-186-4/ +4.36u

4/12
---MLB
tx/+120
1 play risk 0.2u

**veriableodds** · 04-13-24, 08:06 AM

1-0/ +0.24u/ tp count=360
ytd/ 170-186-4/ +4.60u

4/13
---MLB
tx/+131
kc/+150
oak/+115
3 plays risk 0.8u (0.2u-each)

**veriableodds** · 04-14-24, 08:31 AM

*Error risked 0.6u not 0.8* post #108
1-2/ -0.10/ tp count=363
ytd/ 171-188-4/ +4.5u

4/14
---MLB
stl/+140
cbs/+128
nym/+116
laa/+116
---PGA MASTERS
THE FIELD @-115 -vs S Scheffler
5 plays risk 1u (0.2u-each)

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 04-14-24, 08:43 AM

Originally posted by veriableodds

*Error risked 0.6u not 0.8* post #108
1-2/ -0.10/ tp count=363
ytd/ 171-188-4/ +4.5u

4/14
---MLB
stl/+140
cbs/+128
nym/+116
laa/+116
---PGA MASTERS
THE FIELD @-115 -vs S Scheffler
5 plays risk 1u (0.2u-each)

GL, veri. Man, I'd tail the anti-Sheffler if my book had a good price.

**veriableodds** · 04-15-24, 07:52 AM

2-3/ -0.11/ tp count=368
ytd/ 173-191-4/ +4.39u

---MLB
cbs/+127
cnn/+140
clv/+122
3 plays risk 0.6u (0.2u-each)

**veriableodds** · 04-16-24, 09:02 AM

2-1/ +0.29u/ tp count=371
ytd/ 175-191-4/ +4.68u

4/16
---MLB
cnn/+117
1 play risk 0.2u

**veriableodds** · 04-17-24, 09:42 AM

0-1/ -0.2u/ tp count=372
ytd/ 175-192-4/ +4.48u

4/17
---MLB
cnn/+123
ptt+129
clv/+129
3 plays risk 0.6u (0.2u-each)

**veriableodds** · 04-18-24, 08:48 AM

0-3/ -0.6u/ tp count=375
ytd/ 175-195-4/ +3.88u

4/18
---MLB
az/+153
1 play risk 0.2u

**veriableodds** · 04-19-24, 07:12 AM

0-1/ -0.2u/ tp count=376
ytd/ 175-196-4/ +3.68u

4/19
---MLB
tx/+184
az/+118
cbs/-165
phi/-161
clv/-170
---NBA both *alt lines*
mia/-3/+110
sac/no/O212/+106
7 plays risk 1.4u (0.2u-each)

**veriableodds** · 04-20-24, 08:47 AM

5-2/ +0.42u/ tp count=383
ytd/ 180-198-4/ +4.10u

4/20
---MLB
tx/+139
nym/+164
mlw/+116
det/+119
---NBA both *alt lines*
orl/+4/+111
mnn/-3/+111
---MLS 3 way
mnt/+177
tor/+168
8 plays risk 1.6u (0.2u-each)

**veriableodds** · 04-21-24, 07:48 AM

4-4/ +0.32u/ tp count=391
ytd/ 184-202-4/ +4.42u

4/21
---MLB
nym/+223
tor/+115
mlw/+150
bst/+135
---NBA both *alt lines*
lac/+2/+112
no/okl/O218/+115
---PGA rbc heritage
THE FIELD (@+113) -vs S Scheffler
7 plays risk 1.4u (0.2u-each)

**veriableodds** · 04-22-24, 09:16 AM

3-4/ -0.02u/ tp count=398
ytd/ 187-206-4/ +4.40u

4/22
---MLB
mlw/+127
---NBA *alt line*
orl/clv/O205/+122
2 plays risk 0.4u (0.2u-each)

**veriableodds** · 04-23-24, 07:29 AM

0-2/ -0.4u/ tp count=400
ytd/ 187-208-4/ +4.00u

4/23
---MLB
nym/+138
det/+146
*last day for a couple months posting*
will update these 2 plays in morning.

**veriableodds** · 04-24-24, 06:57 AM

1-1/ +0.09u/ tp count=402
ytd/ 188-209-4/ +4.09u

continue at later time

**veriableodds** · 05-29-24, 06:02 PM

1-1/ +0.09u/ tp count=402
ytd/ 188-209-4/ +4.09u

5/29 *back to +ev, as long as teams have not lost more than 2 in a row for mlb

MLB
mlw/+130
laa/+180
hou/+100
hou/sea/O7/-115

WNBA (alt lines)
phx/+13/+114
atl/-4/+110
6 plays risk 1.2u (0.2u-each)

**veriableodds** · 05-29-24, 06:14 PM

Just using the + 106 ev here, no more for in depth # crunching. This 500-shit thing should be over soon so I can be gone forever anyway. AS for me personally I inherited yet another junk yard here in beautiful Arizona. Has 40-acres a well, septic, and electric, plus a dilapidated 2100 square foot house(nice Spanish floor tiles) ALL condition unknown. Just waiting on title company to close me.

**veriableodds** · 05-30-24, 10:56 AM

3-3/ +0.11/ tp count=408
ytd/ 191-212-4/ +4.2u

5/30
MLB
kc/+144
oak/+142
2 plays risk 0.4u (0.2u-each)

**veriableodds** · 05-31-24, 09:24 AM

0-2/ -0.4u/ tp count= 410
ytd/ 191-214-4/ +3.8u

5/31
MLB
kc/+115
det/+150
az/nym/O7/-115

WNBA * both alt lines
phx/+5/+113
dll/cnn/O160/-119
5 plays risk 1u (0.2u-each)

**veriableodds** · 06-01-24, 09:15 AM

1-4/ -0.63u/ tp count= 415
ytd/ 192-218-4/ +3.17u

6/1
MLB
mnn/+115
cinn/+125
2 plays risk 0.4 (0.2u-each)

**veriableodds** · 06-01-24, 11:46 AM

3 more adds. These are more than 10 ranked differences. Clear better team with no more than -120 line. As long as they have not lost 2 or more in a row
*adding
MLB
nyy/+100
tx/-102
bst/+100
makes 5 plays risk 1u today

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-01-24, 01:32 PM

Originally posted by veriableodds

3 more adds. These are more than 10 ranked differences. Clear better team with no more than -120 line. As long as they have not lost 2 or more in a row
*adding
MLB
nyy/+100
tx/-102
bst/+100
makes 5 plays risk 1u today

GL on the bases, veri.

**veriableodds** · 06-02-24, 08:17 AM

3-2/ +0.2u/ tp count=420
ytd/ 195-220-4/ +3.37u

6/2
MLB
mnn/+126
sd/+121
det/+130

PGA- RBC
Robert Maclntyre/+105 -vs- the field
4 plays risk 0.8u (0.2u-each)

**veriableodds** · 06-02-24, 07:51 PM

I'm here days plays are over, might as well update.
3-1/ +0.52u/ tp count=424
ytd/ 198-221-4/ +3.89u

Manana

**veriableodds** · 06-03-24, 08:52 AM

6/3
MLB
tx/-103
1 play risk 0.2u

**veriableodds** · 06-04-24, 10:26 AM

0-1/ -0.2u/ tp count=425
ytd/ 198-222-4/ +3.69u

6/4
MLB
mnn/+166
mlw/+152
clv/-117
tx/+100
sd/-110
5 plays risk 1u (0.2u-each)

**veriableodds** · 06-05-24, 08:37 AM

1-4/ -0.63u/ tp count=430
ytd/ 199-226-4/ +3.09u

6/5
MLB (* here on out blind ev of +105 or higher) Biased the system won't work in a 150-play sample size
mlw/+160
lad/+104
laa/+146
tb/mia/O7.5/+105
cws/cbs/U9/-120

WNBA *all 3 alternative lines*
dll/+7/+126
las/+6/+114
mnn/las/O159/+108
8 plays risk 1.6u (0.2u-each)

**veriableodds** · 06-06-24, 10:38 AM

2-6/ -0.70u/ tp count=438
ytd/ 201-232-4/ +2.39u

6/6
MLB
ptt/+165
wsh/+154
cld/+220
az/+111
cbs/cnn/U9/-105

WNBA
wsh/+4/+103
atl/+6/+109
7 plays risk 1.4u (0.2u-each)

**veriableodds** · 06-07-24, 10:05 AM

2-5/ -0.34u/ tp count=445
ytd/ 203-237-4/ +2.05u

Just slinging +ev over 105 value(based on model% and payout). Unbiased to, they appear to be getting crushed as of late

MLB 6/7
lad/nyy/U9/-110
hou/laa/O8/-120
az/sd/O7/-120
wsh/+181
tb/+105
nyy/+124
cnn/-112
mia/+107
tx/+103
kc/+115
cld/+177
oak/+145

WNBA *most alt lines*
ind/-1/-130
phx/+5/-103
sea/+8/-103
mnn/phx/O162/-102
16 plays 3.2u (0.2u-each)

**veriableodds** · 06-08-24, 09:13 AM

9-6-1/ +0.74u/ tp count=461
ytd/ 212-243-5/ +2.79u

6/8
MLB
sfg/+125
oak/+146
kc/+123
laa/+150
phi/nym/U10/-105
az/sd/O8/-110
6 plays risk 1.2u (0.2u-each)

**veriableodds** · 06-09-24, 09:55 AM

4-2/ +0.47u/ tp count=467
ytd/ 216-245-5/ +3.26u

6/9
WNBA
dll/ml/+110
lv/las/O161/-105

MLB
mlw/+155
hou/laa/O8/-120

PGA- MEMORIAL
S Scheffler/-400/ -vs- the field

We have profit (+3.26u)@ since its free

**0.25-each today for mlb, and wnba =risk 1u
** PGA going to risk the rest 2.26u on S SCH.
5 plays risk 3.26u

**veriableodds** · 06-10-24, 08:06 AM

3-2/ +0.52u/ tp count=472
ytd/ 219-247-5/ +3.78u

6/10
MLB
tb/+140
sfg/+105
hou/sfg/O8/-110
3 plays risk 0.6u (0.2u-each)

**veriableodds** · 06-11-24, 09:00 AM

1-2/ -0.19u/ tp count=475
ytd/ 220-249-5/ +3.59u

6/11
MLB
blt/+120
bst/+151
cld/+182
WNBA *alt line*
mnn/+5/+118
4 plays risk 0.8u (0.2u-each)

**veriableodds** · 06-12-24, 08:29 AM

3-1/ +0.65u/ tp count=479
ytd/ 223-250-5/ +4.24u

6/12 *all 3 plays alt lines*
MLB
mia/nym/O7/-152

WNBA
cnn/chi/O154.5/+100

NBA
bst/-1/+128
3 plays risk 0.6u (0.2u-each)

**veriableodds** · 06-12-24, 10:05 PM

I am up and here (for some reason) so let's update
3-0/ +0.59/ tp count=482
ytd/ 226-250-5/ +4.83u

manana