Billy Walters - I'm gonna call Bullshit on this guy

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  • ChuckyTheGoat
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-04-11
    • 36646

    #1
    Billy Walters - I'm gonna call Bullshit on this guy
    I'm not going to kneel at the alter.

    Do I think he could carve out an edge vs the opener? Yes, I think his send-out could be +EV over time.

    Whenever someone talked to me about Billy Walters, they didn't care about the # on the ticket. If they hear that it was a Billy Walters play, they'll bet it regardless of the #. +6 or +3.5, doesn't matter.

    Also, what about the success rate over time? it's one thing to beat the # in 1984. Much harder in 2024.

    Sorry, I don't believe all the noise. Betting to the moon for a miniscule edge? I'm not religious, I don't believe this guy.
    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
  • mjsuax13
    Moderator
    • 03-14-15
    • 24778

    #2
    What’s his scam?
    Comment
    • lakerboy
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 04-02-09
      • 94362

      #3
      Originally posted by mjsuax13
      What’s his scam?
      He was able to win.
      Comment
      • mjsuax13
        Moderator
        • 03-14-15
        • 24778

        #4
        Originally posted by lakerboy
        He was able to win.
        Dude that’s funny.
        Comment
        • ChuckyTheGoat
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 04-04-11
          • 36646

          #5
          Originally posted by mjsuax13
          What’s his scam?
          Just think he talks too much nowadays. As if he has something to sell.
          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
          Comment
          • lakerboy
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 04-02-09
            • 94362

            #6
            Originally posted by mjsuax13
            Dude that’s funny.
            Lol that's basically why they charged him.

            Some guys on here should listen to his advice on buying points and when to and not to. That was pretty funny considering guys on here buy to 4 and 7 with-135 juice after being on here for 15 years.
            Comment
            • mjsuax13
              Moderator
              • 03-14-15
              • 24778

              #7
              Originally posted by lakerboy
              Lol that's basically why they charged him.

              Some guys on here should listen to his advice on buying points and when to and not to. That was pretty funny considering guys on here buy to 4 and 7 with-135 juice after being on here for 15 years.
              They were chasing his ass for decades. You already know- ZERO learning takes place here or in life for many.
              Comment
              • JIBBBY
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-10-09
                • 83691

                #8
                Comment
                • Eddy Munny
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 08-13-13
                  • 15739

                  #9
                  So Chucky calls bullshit on Billy Walters but goes to bat for Johnny Vegas.

                  That's like calling bullshit on Spuds MacKenzie and then taking Dylan Mulvaney to the prom.
                  Comment
                  • DrunkHorseplayer
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 05-15-10
                    • 7719

                    #10
                    He beat Vegas when it was possible to have an info edge, those days have been gone for decades. I don't listen to podcasts, talk shows, etc. so I don't know what he said but if he claims he's beating the books in this day and age, he's a liar.
                    Comment
                    • Eddy Munny
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-13-13
                      • 15739

                      #11
                      Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
                      He beat Vegas when it was possible to have an info edge, those days have been gone for decades. I don't listen to podcasts, talk shows, etc. so I don't know what he said but if he claims he's beating the books in this day and age, he's a liar.
                      So then why do you do it?
                      Comment
                      • texhooper
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-05-09
                        • 10001

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                        So then why do you do it?
                        I thought this myself but left it alone.

                        If you truly think it’s IMPOSSIBLE to win, there’s no reason to dabble in this. Not for fun, not to pass the time, not for any reason. I can think of many things to do for entertainment than an endeavor that was 100% guaranteed to part me from my money with no actual good or service in exchange
                        Comment
                        • getaloadoffatso
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 03-14-23
                          • 608

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                          So Chucky calls bullshit on Billy Walters but goes to bat for Johnny Vegas.

                          That's like calling bullshit on Spuds MacKenzie and then taking Dylan Mulvaney to the prom.
                          I actually took that Dylan Mulvaney chick to the prom

                          I was excited because she was the first woman I had ever gone to third base with

                          It was alot different than I had dreamed of, but I made it work
                          Comment
                          • Eddy Munny
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 08-13-13
                            • 15739

                            #14
                            Originally posted by getaloadoffatso
                            I actually took that Dylan Mulvaney chick to the prom

                            I was excited because she was the first woman I had ever gone to third base with

                            It was alot different than I had dreamed of, but I made it work
                            Well you thought you'd rented an automatic transmission and found out you were given a stick.
                            Comment
                            • Madison
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-16-11
                              • 6360

                              #15
                              Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
                              He beat Vegas when it was possible to have an info edge, those days have been gone for decades. I don't listen to podcasts, talk shows, etc. so I don't know what he said but if he claims he's beating the books in this day and age, he's a liar.
                              There was a day (70's) where I had the phone number to the local weather for all NFL games. Back then you had 1/1000 of the access to info you have today. There was a tropical storm of sorts in Wash on Monday night. The line barely moved if at all. I bet 1400 (a all in amount for me at the time) on the under. I don't believe either team got inside the others 30 yd line the majority of the game. Like 3-0 at half. One of the easiest covers ever for me. Nowadays NEVER.
                              Comment
                              • texhooper
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-05-09
                                • 10001

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Madison
                                There was a day (70's) where I had the phone number to the local weather for all NFL games. Back then you had 1/1000 of the access to info you have today. There was a tropical storm of sorts in Wash on Monday night. The line barely moved if at all. I bet 1400 (an all in amount for me at the time) on the under. I don't believe either team got inside the others 30 yd line the majority of the game. Like 3-0 at half. One of the easiest covers ever for me. Nowadays NEVER.
                                Retired poster “betweather” is unexpectedly cumming in his pants right now and he doesn’t know why
                                Comment
                                • ChuckyTheGoat
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 04-04-11
                                  • 36646

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Madison
                                  There was a day (70's) where I had the phone number to the local weather for all NFL games. Back then you had 1/1000 of the access to info you have today. There was a tropical storm of sorts in Wash on Monday night. The line barely moved if at all. I bet 1400 (a all in amount for me at the time) on the under. I don't believe either team got inside the others 30 yd line the majority of the game. Like 3-0 at half. One of the easiest covers ever for me. Nowadays NEVER.
                                  Exactly, Madison. Remember the Pit/Mia game in heavy-rain. 3-0 final.

                                  The game I've referenced to people was the late-season Raider game. Stabler was dinged up, didn't take the flight. Raiders were -15, Hum started and they won by 3 (I think).
                                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                  Comment
                                  • Eddy Munny
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 08-13-13
                                    • 15739

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                    Exactly, Madison. Remember the Pit/Mia game in heavy-rain. 3-0 final.

                                    The game I've referenced to people was the late-season Raider game. Stabler was dinged up, didn't take the flight. Raiders were -15, Hum started and they won by 3 (I think).
                                    When are you gonna call bullshit on Johnny Vegas?

                                    If you haven't clapped his cheeks by now it's probably just not in the cards.
                                    Comment
                                    • homie1975
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 12-24-13
                                      • 15442

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                      I'm not going to kneel at the alter.

                                      Do I think he could carve out an edge vs the opener? Yes, I think his send-out could be +EV over time.

                                      Whenever someone talked to me about Billy Walters, they didn't care about the # on the ticket. If they hear that it was a Billy Walters play, they'll bet it regardless of the #. +6 or +3.5, doesn't matter.

                                      Also, what about the success rate over time? it's one thing to beat the # in 1984. Much harder in 2024.

                                      Sorry, I don't believe all the noise. Betting to the moon for a miniscule edge? I'm not religious, I don't believe this guy.
                                      1,000% agree on all.

                                      there are much better cappers out there.
                                      Comment
                                      • stackz125
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-03-16
                                        • 6190

                                        #20
                                        He made money from betting back in the day
                                        Now he makes his money from other businesses that he owns
                                        Comment
                                        • DrunkHorseplayer
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 05-15-10
                                          • 7719

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                                          So then why do you do it?
                                          I'm not saying it can't be done, I'm saying that he isn't beating the books as he claims.
                                          Comment
                                          • JIBBBY
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-10-09
                                            • 83691

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by stackz125
                                            He made money from betting back in the day
                                            Now he makes his money from other businesses that he owns
                                            Every good gambler made money back in the day. It was easy to beat the odds. MMA was a gold mine for me. Today not so easy.
                                            Comment
                                            • Eddy Munny
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-13-13
                                              • 15739

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
                                              I'm not saying it can't be done, I'm saying that he isn't beating the books as he claims.
                                              Oooohhh okay.

                                              So you've gone on record in this thread and others stating Billy Walters, as well as all other high profile cappers and/or touts absolutely are not making money doing this. I'm assuming joe lunchbucket isn't walking out of the sportsbook with duffel bags full of money either, so you're telling us you're the guy then? Is that correct? You're the one who's managed to carve out and maintain an edge after all the dust settles? You're him?

                                              Fascinating, you're a fascinating character study. I guess that explains why you continue to do what can't be done. You're that one in a million. It's a damn shame you don't share your picks more often. I'm guessing someone in your position has to maintain a low profile lest your blow your cover as the final boss the books have yet to defeat.

                                              Again, fascinating.
                                              Comment
                                              • gauchojake
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 09-17-10
                                                • 34103

                                                #24
                                                It's a good interview. He's an interesting guy and even though Joe doesn't know shit about sports betting, it's worth listening to.

                                                Billy lays out the whole thing. If you think he can't hire quants and analysts to build models that have an edge, then I'm not sure what to tell you.
                                                Comment
                                                • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 04-04-11
                                                  • 36646

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by gauchojake
                                                  It's a good interview. He's an interesting guy and even though Joe doesn't know shit about sports betting, it's worth listening to.

                                                  Billy lays out the whole thing. If you think he can't hire quants and analysts to build models that have an edge, then I'm not sure what to tell you.
                                                  Jake, maybe I was rash in my opinion. Might have to re-think this one.
                                                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DonnieBrasco23
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-06-23
                                                    • 1136

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                                                    Oooohhh okay.

                                                    So you've gone on record in this thread and others stating Billy Walters, as well as all other high profile cappers and/or touts absolutely are not making money doing this. I'm assuming joe lunchbucket isn't walking out of the sportsbook with duffel bags full of money either, so you're telling us you're the guy then? Is that correct? You're the one who's managed to carve out and maintain an edge after all the dust settles? You're him?

                                                    Fascinating, you're a fascinating character study. I guess that explains why you continue to do what can't be done. You're that one in a million. It's a damn shame you don't share your picks more often. I'm guessing someone in your position has to maintain a low profile lest your blow your cover as the final boss the books have yet to defeat.

                                                    Again, fascinating.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • d2bets
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 08-10-05
                                                      • 39990

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                      I'm not going to kneel at the alter.

                                                      Do I think he could carve out an edge vs the opener? Yes, I think his send-out could be +EV over time.

                                                      Whenever someone talked to me about Billy Walters, they didn't care about the # on the ticket. If they hear that it was a Billy Walters play, they'll bet it regardless of the #. +6 or +3.5, doesn't matter.

                                                      Also, what about the success rate over time? it's one thing to beat the # in 1984. Much harder in 2024.

                                                      Sorry, I don't believe all the noise. Betting to the moon for a miniscule edge? I'm not religious, I don't believe this guy.
                                                      What's a miniscule edge? That's what it's all about.

                                                      But you're right, of course the number matters. It's all that matters, really.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • d2bets
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 08-10-05
                                                        • 39990

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
                                                        He beat Vegas when it was possible to have an info edge, those days have been gone for decades. I don't listen to podcasts, talk shows, etc. so I don't know what he said but if he claims he's beating the books in this day and age, he's a liar.
                                                        Why? I have no idea if he's doing it, but he books can definitely be beaten.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • povis
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 08-31-16
                                                          • 351

                                                          #29
                                                          Can you beat the stock market, forex market, sports betting in 2024? Can you make consistent long-term profits? I do think yes but odds are not in your favor. Nowadays, when information travels very fast, it's hard to have an advantage over bookies.
                                                          In the early 2000s, poker was very easy compared to today's games even at higher limits. I saw recently an old instructional poker video from around 2006, I play poker and I am far from an expert but even the teacher speaks very superficially he is playing cash game against a very weak player at $300-$600 blinds, good luck finding those games today.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 04-04-11
                                                            • 36646

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by povis
                                                            Can you beat the stock market, forex market, sports betting in 2024? Can you make consistent long-term profits? I do think yes but odds are not in your favor. Nowadays, when information travels very fast, it's hard to have an advantage over bookies.
                                                            In the early 2000s, poker was very easy compared to today's games even at higher limits. I saw recently an old instructional poker video from around 2006, I play poker and I am far from an expert but even the teacher speaks very superficially he is playing cash game against a very weak player at $300-$600 blinds, good luck finding those games today.
                                                            Your post is very good, povis. Hits on what I'm trying to say.

                                                            Gets harder and harder to beat a game over time.
                                                            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • DrunkHorseplayer
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 05-15-10
                                                              • 7719

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                                                              Oooohhh okay.

                                                              So you've gone on record in this thread and others stating Billy Walters, as well as all other high profile cappers and/or touts absolutely are not making money doing this. I'm assuming joe lunchbucket isn't walking out of the sportsbook with duffel bags full of money either, so you're telling us you're the guy then? Is that correct? You're the one who's managed to carve out and maintain an edge after all the dust settles? You're him?

                                                              Fascinating, you're a fascinating character study. I guess that explains why you continue to do what can't be done. You're that one in a million. It's a damn shame you don't share your picks more often. I'm guessing someone in your position has to maintain a low profile lest your blow your cover as the final boss the books have yet to defeat.

                                                              Again, fascinating.
                                                              As I stated previously, he beat the books with an info edge that one simply can't get today; he's a brilliant guy but he's not beating the books. Like touts, he gets a rep, rides with it and makes cash from morons like you who believe the hype.

                                                              I don't claim to be the only one beating the books, only that it's very difficult to do. I know this is lost on you but most winners are those you don't hear about; if the public knows you, so do the books and you don't get to bet.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Eddy Munny
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 08-13-13
                                                                • 15739

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
                                                                As I stated previously, he beat the books with an info edge that one simply can't get today; he's a brilliant guy but he's not beating the books. Like touts, he gets a rep, rides with it and makes cash from morons like you who believe the hype.

                                                                I don't claim to be the only one beating the books, only that it's very difficult to do. I know this is lost on you but most winners are those you don't hear about; if the public knows you, so do the books and you don't get to bet.
                                                                Who are you calling a moron? I didn't even state an opinion on Billy Walters, jackass. I merely pointed out a major contradiction in your entire position. By your own admission you didn't even listen to the interview, but you're so adamant nonetheless.

                                                                You go around lamenting the state of sportsbetting any chance you get, yet you insinuate that you're still beating odds, meanwhile anyone else who makes a similar claim is a liar. You wanna walk this tightrope by slinging mud at everyone, but keen to clarify that you still make money doing it.

                                                                Okay great. Everyone is a charlatan, but there's this guy called "Drunk Horse Player" on SBR that just won't stop cashing tickets. I'm gonna go ahead and call bullshit on your dumbass. You're just another degen making annual donations, that's why you insist it can't be done, and anytime you hear otherwise you're triggered.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • DrunkHorseplayer
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 05-15-10
                                                                  • 7719

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I'm calling you a moron, you moron; you just wanna be jjgold but in a stupid fukk way. My position is that beating the books is tough, that Billy Walters can't do it in this day and age and that the touts that advertise their superb records are bald-faced liars.

                                                                  I never insinuated that nobody but myself can win but I will say it again, the ones who truly win are the ones that you don't hear or know much about.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Eddy Munny
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 08-13-13
                                                                    • 15739

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
                                                                    I'm calling you a moron, you moron; you just wanna be jjgold but in a stupid fukk way. My position is that beating the books is tough, that Billy Walters can't do it in this day and age and that the touts that advertise their superb records are bald-faced liars.

                                                                    I never insinuated that nobody but myself can win but I will say it again, the ones who truly win are the ones that you don't hear or know much about.
                                                                    You default to name calling cause you've been exposed as an infantile blowhard with no leg to stand on.

                                                                    You just blindly shame anyone who's claimed any degree of success because you're a broke dikk loser.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DrunkHorseplayer
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 05-15-10
                                                                      • 7719

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Translation: Only blowhard infantile losers call people names you (insert name here).
                                                                      Comment
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