(Plays 3/18-3/24)

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-17-24, 08:31 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Beginning Balance: 111.17
(NCAA Bask Tourney starts this week)
...First play = 2* Virginia +1.5 (2.05). 2 to win 2.10

3* Gonzaga -6 (1.88). 3 to win 2.64.
...I saw the early # was -6, don't want to lose by the pip. Not that that's a good reason.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-17-24, 08:54 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

3* Gonzaga -6 (1.88). 3 to win 2.64.
...I saw the early # was -6, don't want to lose by the pip. Not that that's a good reason.

Adding two more units on Gonz: -6 (1.92). 2 to win 1.84.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-17-24, 08:59 PM

2* on Wisconsin. Splitting my risk:

-5 (2.02). 1 to win 1.02
-5.5 (2.10). 1 to win 1.10

...Not that this is a great reason to back Wisconsin. Badgers should get good support in Brooklyn. A lot of alums in the New York area.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-17-24, 09:09 PM

(NBA) 2* NY Knicks +4.5 (1.92). 2 to win 1.84.
...Again, I think we get good line value on the Knicks.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-17-24, 09:30 PM

4* Clemson +3 (1.91). 4 to win 3.64.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-17-24, 10:51 PM

3* Oregon +1.5 (1.90). 3 to win 2.70

1* St Mary's CA -4.5 (1.91). 1 to win .91

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-18-24, 12:33 AM

2* Kansas -7.5 (1.97). 2 to win 1.94.
...I know Bruce Dickinson is good. But I'm just not that concerned about the injuries.
...Jayhawks were pretty lame late in the season. I'm expecting better here.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-18-24, 07:49 AM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

(NBA) 2* NY Knicks +4.5 (1.92). 2 to win 1.84.
...Again, I think we get good line value on the Knicks.

Adding a unit: +3.5 (2.25). 1 to win 1.25

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-18-24, 10:06 AM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Adding a unit: +3.5 (2.25). 1 to win 1.25

Adding two units for total of 5. +5.5 (1.91). 2 to win 1.82.

...Will cap any given play at 5 units. Like this side based on the matchup.

**veriableodds** · 03-18-24, 10:26 AM

I don't trust NBA now, way too close to playoffs as 70 games + teams have played now. The playoff series matchups could provide some value. GL GL
I see few more in cbb, hockey, till mlb season.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-18-24, 10:52 AM

2* plays:

LSU -2.5 (1.91). 2 to win 1.82
Utah -7.5 (1.87). 2 to win 1.74

**lakerboy** · 03-18-24, 10:56 AM

Good luck. Knicks line is climbing

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-18-24, 11:00 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Good luck. Knicks line is climbing

Thx, Laker. Ya, I got the short end of the stick there.

The one player in question is Anunoby. Have said that I like this Knicks team.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-18-24, 11:31 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Good luck. Knicks line is climbing

Achiuwa starts for Anunoby. We'll see if Sims gets more minutes than usual.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-18-24, 01:12 PM

3* BUTLER -3.5 (1.94). 3 to win 2.82

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-18-24, 02:32 PM

2* SMU +7.5 (1.94). 2 to win 1.88.
...Road Dog value looks good.
...More importantly, where is IndSt's head? Three teams declined NIT bids after missing out on the NCAAs. I'd put the Sycamores in the same category. They won a hell of a lot of games (and made the Conf Tourney finals), just to get shut out. This has to feel like a consolation prize.

**johnnyvegas13** · 03-18-24, 02:50 PM

Gl chuck

thats a lot of action

I prob won’t bet until Thursday

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-18-24, 03:12 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Beginning Balance: 111.17
(NCAA Bask Tourney starts this week)
...First play = 2* Virginia +1.5 (2.05). 2 to win 2.10

Adding two units. Virginia +2.5 (1.94). 2 to win 1.88.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-18-24, 03:31 PM

Originally posted by johnnyvegas13

Gl chuck

thats a lot of action

I prob won’t bet until Thursday

Thx, John. I've been spending a lot of time in the lab. Need all the Luck I can get.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-18-24, 04:30 PM

2* Central Fla -5 (1.94). 2 to win 1.88.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-18-24, 04:42 PM

2* VA Tech -5.5 (1.91). 2 to win 1.82.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-18-24, 10:50 PM

1* BRADLEY -4.5 (1.98). 1 to win .98

2* Kentucky -13.5 (1.98). 2 to win 1.96

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-18-24, 11:39 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Adding two units for total of 5. +5.5 (1.91). 2 to win 1.82.

...Will cap any given play at 5 units. Like this side based on the matchup.

Knicks do get there. Wire-2-wire, never trailed. They looked good, too.

Sort of the flip on the Sunday Suns play:
*Got great BTCL value on the Suns. But the Bucks shot em out.
*Butchered the peak line on the Knicks. But they bailed me out by playing a great game.

**macoeric** · 03-19-24, 12:36 PM

Chucky I need to thank you for your past 3 or 4 5* NBA plays
Thank you!

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-19-24, 01:18 PM

Originally posted by macoeric

Chucky I need to thank you for your past 3 or 4 5* NBA plays
Thank you!

Hey, thanks, Eric. Appreciate the kind words.

I'm taking a scientific approach to these games. Have been fortunate on some of the recent NBA plays.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-19-24, 09:40 PM

Holy shit, nice effort by Virginia. Their offense went into a deep freeze.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-19-24, 10:33 PM

Originally posted by macoeric

Chucky I need to thank you for your past 3 or 4 5* NBA plays
Thank you!

*Tues results look like a bloody mess.

One play for NBA Wed: 1* Utah Jazz +15 (1.92). 1 to win .92.
...Markannen returned last game. Very solid player. He should help.

Been better on NBA than Coll. Looking for the Jazz to hang tight against a top-end team.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-20-24, 12:15 AM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

*Tues results look like a bloody mess.

One play for NBA Wed: 1* Utah Jazz +15 (1.92). 1 to win .92.
...Markannen returned last game. Very solid player. He should help.

Been better on NBA than Coll. Looking for the Jazz to hang tight against a top-end team.

I'm not going to retract the play. Just an FYI to anyone reading this:

Mar 19: Markkanen is out for Wednesday's game versus the Thunder due to quadriceps contusion maintenance, Andy Larsen of The Salt Lake Tribune reports.

...I saw that Markkanen returned for the previous game. Thought he was good to go. I whiffed on that one.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-20-24, 12:17 AM

Also, daily update:

MON: 5-0
TUE: 4-11. I'm just glad I salvaged ANYTHING. Looked like I might take the Collar.
...Week to Date: 9-11.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-20-24, 03:21 PM

1* Grambling +4.5 (1.96). 1 to win .96.

...I'm a little gunshy on Coll after getting roofied yesterday. But I do like this one, GL.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-20-24, 05:12 PM

1* NBA play = Milw Bucks +11 (1.94). 1 to win .94.
...Giannis it Out.
...But I think they have enuf of a team to hang.
...FYI: Bucks are 15-9 S/U L2 years when Giannis sits out. Like em to hang the #.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-20-24, 05:12 PM

FYI: separate thread where I'll post Women's NCAA Bask picks ONLY:

Women's Coll Bask Tourn ONLY - Sportsbook Review Forum

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-talk/3737237-womens-coll-bask-tourn-only.html

The SBR Lobby: Sports Talk, Gambling and Bettors Chat

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-20-24, 09:30 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Also, daily update:

MON: 5-0
TUE: 4-11. I'm just glad I salvaged ANYTHING. Looked like I might take the Collar.
...Week to Date: 9-11.

Very good nite. Only loss was SMU. 4-2. Week = 13-13.

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 03-20-24, 10:23 PM

Been posting more NBA notes in here. Will post some Stream of Consciousness thoughts for Thur:

*Was considering ORL.
...I think it will be a close game. Would like a slightly bigger price.
...Have to concede that the West is a little deeper than the East this year.

*WASH is brutal.
...They're not only bad. They've traded guys away, and now they're really banged up.
...Skeleton crew. I thought they were value versus Boston, and I learned my lesson.

*Knicks have been good to me.
...My instinct is to pass this game, tho.
...Knicks off two very nice wins. Denver will be waiting for them.