Women's Coll Bask Tourn ONLY

[Mac4Lyfe]

Having followed your comments for a while, I was surprised and disappointed. Thank you for the reply.
Good luck, Happy Easter, and be well.

Nasher is as good as they come. We all love to joke and yank chains around here. You won't find any better than him.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Week = 8-11 ATS. -3.79 on 19 Risked.

YTD = 26-20 ATS. +4.01 on 26 Risked.

...Two plays pending for MON.

Day = 7-0.

ytd = 33-20. Now over 60% ATS.

[Yensel]

Nice picks on Iowa and U Conn. Gracias!

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Nice picks on Iowa and U Conn. Gracias!

Thx, Yensel. Wish this tournament went longer. Only a few games left.

[Yensel]

Yes, indeed, about Nasher, Mac4Lyfe, and that is why that single post was disappointing. Have been lurking here for a few years, and registered in order to thank people for sharing their work products. Much respect for Nasher and you, by whom I've been heartened by some posts you made in the midst of some racist posts by some bitter and sad folks. No plans to confront anybody. Perhaps this forum helps ease some pain, but how must people of color feel? Anyway, thanks, guys!

[stevenash]

Yes, indeed, about Nasher, Mac4Lyfe, and that is why that single post was disappointing. Have been lurking here for a few years, and registered in order to thank people for sharing their work products. Much respect for Nasher and you, by whom I've been heartened by some posts you made in the midst of some racist posts by some bitter and sad folks. No plans to confront anybody. Perhaps this forum helps ease some pain, but how must people of color feel? Anyway, thanks, guys!

I'm the first son of a career military man, we don't judge by color, and it's not my job to judge anyone anyway.
My motto about this is (and I'm sincere) "Don't judge by the color of one's skin but by the content of their heart".

And Mac is proud of his heritage, and I totally respect that.

Yensel, feel free to respectfully call me out anytime if you think my jokes cross the line, but it's never my intention to be hurtful.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Natl Semi-Final: 3* Conn +2.5 (1.92). 3 to win 2.76.

[stevenash]

Chucky, did you see what Dawn Staley said about Paige Bueckers?

Staley thinks Bueckers is the most elite player women’s basketball has ever offered.

Dawn Staley dubbed Paige Bueckers most elite women’s hoops player (usatoday.com)

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Chucky, did you see what Dawn Staley said about Paige Bueckers?

Staley thinks Bueckers is the most elite player women’s basketball has ever offered.

Dawn Staley dubbed Paige Bueckers most elite women’s hoops player (usatoday.com)

Didn't see that. Might be Coach-speak to butter her up.

Will be rooting for your Huskies, Nash. Clark off a truly amazing game.

Is this a game where Geno can make his imprint on a game? Clark was shooting from deep. Maybe Geno pushes her out even one more step.

Full credit to Clark. I'm impressed by her passing skill. But if I'm Geno, I want to look at that final boxscore and see:
*Clark shooting < 40%.
*And I don't want Clark scoring > 20 pts.
...If the other Hawks beat you, that's life.

[stevenash]

^
Well, the script was written and played out to perfection.
ABC wanted Iowa-UConn; they get UConn-Iowa.

Looking for the opener, I'm in Ct so the domestic books won't offer one.
I'm guessing 2 points either way.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Geno post-game. He appears to be very relaxed:

He mentions the injuries they had. But I have to believe that was in the PRE-SEASON. Looks like their starting 5 has been pretty much in tact all season.

[stevenash]

^
They're dressing eight, five are in street clothes injured.
Analytics say the five injured account for between 60-70 points.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

^
They're dressing eight, five are in street clothes injured.
Analytics say the five injured account for between 60-70 points.

Wow. But they must be reserves. Because the starting lineup hasn't changed much.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

1* Villanova -2.5 (1.86). 1 to win .86.

...Game tips in one hour.

[pablo222]

I have not pulled the trigger yet, but NC State plus all those points look good to me. They are a tough resilient team. Would like to hear what you think.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

I have not pulled the trigger yet, but NC State plus all those points look good to me. They are a tough resilient team. Would like to hear what you think.

You bet, Pab. If I had one rule that I stick with across most sports:
*I tend to NOT back Dogs that are on Dog-runs.
...So, NCSt off one nice upset. I normally doubt their ability to do it again.

I'm purely going off Ratings for this tournament. I rate South Carolina to win by 14 here.
...I know they look choppy. But I think the price is Discounted a bit.

Pass for me, unless I see -11.
...

[pablo222]

Thanks Chuck. Good luck with all your plays this week.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Thanks Chuck. Good luck with all your plays this week.

Thanks, Pab. At the moment, think I'm burning myself out.

NCState surprised me on both the Mens/Womens bracket. I know South Carolina has looked shaky in this tournament. IMHO, there's still a gap to NCSt. If SoCarolina is to be challenged, I think it will be in the Final.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

1* Villanova -2.5 (1.86). 1 to win .86.

...Game tips in one hour.

Loser on this one. Props to the Illini.

Day = 0-1.
Week = 7-1.

ytd = 33-21. UConn pending.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Natl Semi-Final: 3* Conn +2.5 (1.92). 3 to win 2.76.

I'll cap it. Two more units of action for 5 in total:

1* Conn M/L (2.34). 1 to win 1.34.
1* Conn +3 (1.93). 1 to win .93.

Good Luck if you try it.

[stevenash]

2004:
UConn men and women win the championship.

2014:
UConn men and women win the championship.

2024?

[pablo222]

I had to take the +12 here Chuck

[Headsterx]

2004:
UConn men and women win the championship.

2014:
UConn men and women win the championship.

2024?

Reminds me of Giants winning WS every 3 years but here it’s every 10 yrs. Everything happens in three. It’s going to be a UConn weekend.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

I'll cap it. Two more units of action for 5 in total:

1* Conn M/L (2.34). 1 to win 1.34.
1* Conn +3 (1.93). 1 to win .93.

Good Luck if you try it.

...Conn hangs the #, but no dice on the ML.Day = 4-1.
Week = 11-2.

ytd = 37-22.

[Mac4Lyfe]

Free throws...

UConn - 4
Iowa - 14


That last offensive foul call on UConn was someone making a phone call. That was absolute horseshit. Feel real bad for UConn getting reamed in the end and I usually don't care.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Free throws...

UConn - 4
Iowa - 14


That last offensive foul call on UConn was someone making a phone call. That was absolute horseshit. Feel real bad for UConn getting reamed in the end and I usually don't care.

Mac, I'll be looking fwd to Geno's post-game:

1) They missed at least one bunny layup in the 4q.
2) I thought they missed a foul on one Conn big.
3) Not sure what's up with the Whistle on Conn's last possession. Was that legit?

[Mac4Lyfe]

Mac, I'll be looking fwd to Geno's post-game:

1) They missed at least one bunny layup in the 4q.
2) I thought they missed a foul on one Conn big.
3) Not sure what's up with the Whistle on Conn's last possession. Was that legit?

I thought that Offensive foul call on the screen was awful. Very ticky tack. You don't make that call with 3.5 seconds to go. Basketball is all about pick n roll. Guys/girls move all the time. You don't wait to make that call. Refs and the NCAA knows that Iowa butters their bread. That's why that call was made.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

2* South Carolina -6.5 (1.93). 2 to win 1.86.

...Actually think this is a great spot to back South Carolina.
...Fair to say they've been bored most of the season.
...Natural revenge spot for loss to Iowa in 2023.
...Iowa off two huge wins. They actually looked like they were celebrating after LAST GAME.
...And the # is too short, as the spotlight has squarely been on other teams.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

2* South Carolina -6.5 (1.93). 2 to win 1.86.

...Actually think this is a great spot to back South Carolina.
...Fair to say they've been bored most of the season.
...Natural revenge spot for loss to Iowa in 2023.
...Iowa off two huge wins. They actually looked like they were celebrating after LAST GAME.
...And the # is too short, as the spotlight has squarely been on other teams.

...Day = 2-0.
Week = 13-2.

ytd = 39-22 (.639). We finish up a very good tournament. Almost 64% ATS.
...Will do the full unit wrapup tonite.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

I thought that Offensive foul call on the screen was awful. Very ticky tack. You don't make that call with 3.5 seconds to go. Basketball is all about pick n roll. Guys/girls move all the time. You don't wait to make that call. Refs and the NCAA knows that Iowa butters their bread. That's why that call was made.

Mac, does this look familiar? Watch the screen in the intro:

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/qB3X76gmyIM

[ChuckyTheGoat]

...Day = 2-0.
Week = 13-2.

ytd = 39-22 (.639). We finish up a very good tournament. Almost 64% ATS.
...Will do the full unit wrapup tonite.

Week = +10.07 on 15 Risked.

Final: +14.08 on 61 Risked. ROI = +23.1%.

[Yensel]

Nice work. Thank you!

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Nice work. Thank you!

Thanks, Yensel. If I had any self-critique, I'd say that I do better in Small Markets. Major markets are priced so efficiently.