(New NFL Contest) I'm mirroring Ian's contest - INVITE ONLY

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  • hawkwind
    SBR MVP
    • 04-25-11
    • 4036

    #36
    Patriots
    Steelers
    Broncos
    Redskins (Washington)
    Panthers
    Cardinals
    Comment
    • hawkwind
      SBR MVP
      • 04-25-11
      • 4036

      #37
      THX
      Originally posted by BOA12
      $120 prize $$.


      Top 2/ $90/$30 split.

      1. Perfect sheet.

      2. Tiebreaker total pts.

      Open to the original 20 and these additions:

      19th hole chico's pal

      Jibbbby

      Dwite

      itsamazing777

      Byeshea trying to escape NY.

      hawkwind

      Donnie Brasco

      gonad chico's childhood friend.

      homie

      jackpot

      EZ

      capt

      Jbex

      lester

      harabee

      misjuax

      2dbets

      golden goose

      headerstex



      and last but not least my black and blue brother--

      "88 fingers" khicks.


      BOL2ALL

      Any questions or comments see Chuck.
      Comment
      • ChuckyTheGoat
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 04-04-11
        • 36666

        #38
        Originally posted by hawkwind
        Patriots
        Steelers
        Broncos
        Redskins (Washington)
        Panthers
        Cardinals
        OK. Good Luck, hawk.
        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
        Comment
        • str
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-12-09
          • 11506

          #39
          I have it on my list to get to this today. Buried in the horse forum now.

          I'll post it later.

          Thank you for the invite. Appreciate it and glad you had a good time at the track. I think you can now see why when I go, it can be hard to bet much with all that is going on. If I really want to bet, I gotta stay in a corner somewhere. Lol.
          I would never want to do that though. So many many good people out there. What a place!
          Comment
          • gauchojake
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 09-17-10
            • 34103

            #40
            Buff
            Chargers
            Vikings
            Cardinals
            Tampa
            Browns
            Comment
            • jackpot269
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 09-24-07
              • 12813

              #41
              Originally posted by BOA12
              $120 prize $$.


              Top 2/ $90/$30 split.

              1. Perfect sheet.

              2. Tiebreaker total pts.

              Open to the original 20 and these additions:

              19th hole chico's pal

              Jibbbby

              Dwite

              itsamazing777

              Byeshea trying to escape NY.

              hawkwind

              Donnie Brasco

              gonad chico's childhood friend.

              homie

              jackpot

              EZ

              capt

              Jbex

              lester

              harabee

              misjuax

              2dbets

              golden goose

              headerstex



              and last but not least my black and blue brother--

              "88 fingers" khicks.


              BOL2ALL

              Any questions or comments see Chuck.
              Interesting way to grade this one. Thanks BkofAma for the invite and CTG for grading.
              GL all.

              JAX 1.67
              CLE 1.59
              CHARG 1.65
              TBAY 1.57
              SEA 1.47
              MIN 1.29
              Comment
              • ChuckyTheGoat
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 04-04-11
                • 36666

                #42
                Thx, guys. And Good Luck.
                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                Comment
                • Madison
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-16-11
                  • 6360

                  #43
                  Huummm .... Feeling a little slighted Chuck?
                  Comment
                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 04-04-11
                    • 36666

                    #44
                    Originally posted by Madison
                    Huummm .... Feeling a little slighted Chuck?
                    Madison, you should put picks in! Consider this an invite! I actually thought about that: 'Is there anybody I'm forgetting?'

                    At this pace, we won't get to forty. Will make another announcement this week.
                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                    Comment
                    • BOA12
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 02-19-12
                      • 20622

                      #45
                      Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                      Madison, you should put picks in! Consider this an invite! I actually thought about that: 'Is there anybody I'm forgetting?'

                      At this pace, we won't get to forty. Will make another announcement this week.
                      I had the same thought, who did I forget?

                      Fill in players as you see fit Goat.
                      Comment
                      • ChuckyTheGoat
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 04-04-11
                        • 36666

                        #46
                        Originally posted by BOA12
                        I had the same thought, who did I forget?

                        Fill in players as you see fit Goat.
                        Will do, b-o-a. Going to post another announcement now.
                        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                        Comment
                        • BOA12
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-19-12
                          • 20622

                          #47
                          Originally posted by hawkwind
                          THX
                          Comment
                          • batt33
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 12-23-16
                            • 5963

                            #48
                            Originally posted by str
                            I have it on my list to get to this today. Buried in the horse forum now.

                            I'll post it later.

                            Thank you for the invite. Appreciate it and glad you had a good time at the track. I think you can now see why when I go, it can be hard to bet much with all that is going on. If I really want to bet, I gotta stay in a corner somewhere. Lol.
                            I would never want to do that though. So many many good people out there. What a place!
                            Gettum STR!
                            Comment
                            • BOA12
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 02-19-12
                              • 20622

                              #49
                              Originally posted by batt33
                              Gettum STR!
                              If interested you're invited too batt man
                              Comment
                              • JBEX
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-02-12
                                • 22970

                                #50
                                titans
                                giants
                                redskins
                                bears
                                raiders
                                cardinals
                                Comment
                                • Madison
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 09-16-11
                                  • 6360

                                  #51
                                  Thanks CTG and BkofAma. Hat tip to Chico, he would be fretting NIO.

                                  Fun contest. Got a lot going on so mostly gut feelings. This might be fun with win totals vs playoffs. What Conf/Div you play in is so important and also the out of conference opponents.

                                  NYJ (play so depends on QB)
                                  NE (I'll take the easy pts. LOL)
                                  GB (little worried about this one)
                                  WAS (Whole year will be defined by young QB's)
                                  MIN (Seems like easy pts with QB play. WR must be pissing)
                                  PIT (Just hate Tomlin)

                                  Gentlemen: First 3/4 games chart, New Qb's, New HC's, and new OC's. Add them up and some teams will struggle badly early.

                                  A great comment by Bellichik, "These young QB's are seeing basic defenses in Preseason and want to be DB's, wait until coverages start getting disguised).

                                  BOL and good health to all!
                                  Comment
                                  • batt33
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 12-23-16
                                    • 5963

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by BOA12
                                    If interested you're invited too batt man
                                    Thanks ! I appreciate the offer!
                                    Last edited by batt33; 08-26-24, 02:05 PM.
                                    Comment
                                    • Ian
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 11-09-09
                                      • 6019

                                      #53
                                      Atl: 2.55
                                      Cin: 2.7
                                      Jets: 2.35
                                      Ind: 1.59
                                      GB: 2.45
                                      NYG 1.17

                                      Thank you Chucky and BOA12.
                                      Comment
                                      • aggieshawn
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-24-07
                                        • 4377

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                        Here's the list of 20 invitees (including myself):

                                        4th and Stupid
                                        BOA12
                                        ctg
                                        daneblazer
                                        Diamond Jack
                                        franklee168
                                        gauchojake
                                        Ian
                                        JakePeavy21
                                        JohnnyVegas13
                                        MacLyfe
                                        MOBIL19
                                        Optional
                                        pablo
                                        stevenash
                                        str
                                        sunshine11
                                        Tanko
                                        UscPhillyGuy
                                        veriableodds
                                        Brings back memories when Chucky would take my lunch money....
                                        Comment
                                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 04-04-11
                                          • 36666

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by aggieshawn
                                          Brings back memories when Chucky would take my lunch money....
                                          Hey, aggie. Have definitely made a lot of friends on this msg-board. Haven't seen you around in a while.
                                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                          Comment
                                          • hawkwind
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-25-11
                                            • 4036

                                            #56
                                            THX CTG
                                            Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                            OK. Good Luck, hawk.
                                            Comment
                                            • semibluff
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-12-16
                                              • 1515

                                              #57
                                              The rules aren't entirely clear. Either the high score wins or 6 winners are mandatory and points scored are a tie-breaker. As it stands 5 wins including a long-shot winner will likely outscore the 6 shortest priced winners.

                                              I ran an NFL money-line pick'em for 4 or 5 years. They're a much more engaging contest than straight or handicap pick'ems. However my take-away was that if winning is purely by points scored rather than winners picked the contest should be run with a small built in advantage for favourites. If not the outlier lucky-long-shot picks dictate the outcome. If nothing else the juice on a 1-sided game/division outcome is lower than on an even match-up or 4-way. On a contest like this you probably need to revalue odds on a differential curve rather than a fixed percentage bias. Just my 2 cents, but it is based on actual experience.

                                              A bit late now to change anything, but the winning criteria should be clarified.
                                              Comment
                                              • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 04-04-11
                                                • 36666

                                                #58
                                                Hi, semi. I tried to put a clarifying statement in this thread:


                                                Winner is based on Gross accumulated points from the six picks.
                                                ...Small bonus of $20 if someone wins the points AND does it with a 6-0 record.
                                                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                Comment
                                                • Itsamazing777
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-14-12
                                                  • 12602

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                  I'm mirroring Ian's contest. Pick 6 teams to Miss the NFL Playoffs.

                                                  Here's the catch. We're doing it against odds.

                                                  Here are the Fixed Odds. Via BetOnline:

                                                  ARZ 1.29
                                                  ATL 2.55
                                                  BAL 3.00
                                                  BUF 2.40
                                                  CAR 1.17
                                                  CHARG 1.65
                                                  CHI 1.80
                                                  CIN 2.70
                                                  CLE 1.59
                                                  DAL 2.60
                                                  DEN 1.10
                                                  DET 2.90
                                                  GB 2.45
                                                  HOU 2.60
                                                  IND 1.59
                                                  JAX 1.67
                                                  JETS 2.35
                                                  KC 4.75
                                                  MIA 2.15
                                                  MIN 1.29
                                                  NEW ENG 1.06
                                                  NEW ORL 1.48
                                                  NYG 1.17
                                                  PHI 3.00
                                                  PIT 1.50
                                                  RAID 1.29
                                                  RAM 1.91
                                                  SEA 1.47
                                                  SF 4.25
                                                  TBAY 1.57
                                                  TEN 1.17
                                                  WASH 1.29
                                                  Chargers 1.65
                                                  Rams 1.91
                                                  Packers 2.45
                                                  Atlanta 2.55
                                                  Colts 1.59
                                                  Seattle 1.47
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BOA12
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-19-12
                                                    • 20622

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by semibluff
                                                    The rules aren't entirely clear. Either the high score wins or 6 winners are mandatory and points scored are a tie-breaker. As it stands 5 wins including a long-shot winner will likely outscore the 6 shortest priced winners.

                                                    I ran an NFL money-line pick'em for 4 or 5 years. They're a much more engaging contest than straight or handicap pick'ems. However my take-away was that if winning is purely by points scored rather than winners picked the contest should be run with a small built in advantage for favourites. If not the outlier lucky-long-shot picks dictate the outcome. If nothing else the juice on a 1-sided game/division outcome is lower than on an even match-up or 4-way. On a contest like this you probably need to revalue odds on a differential curve rather than a fixed percentage bias. Just my 2 cents, but it is based on actual experience.

                                                    A bit late now to change anything, but the winning criteria should be clarified.
                                                    Any confusion is due to me.

                                                    My original idea was a 2nd contest within Chuck's but after further review we combined it into one.

                                                    Hope that explains it semibluff..
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BOA12
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 02-19-12
                                                      • 20622

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by str
                                                      I have it on my list to get to this today. Buried in the horse forum now.

                                                      I'll post it later.

                                                      Thank you for the invite. Appreciate it and glad you had a good time at the track. I think you can now see why when I go, it can be hard to bet much with all that is going on. If I really want to bet, I gotta stay in a corner somewhere. Lol.
                                                      I would never want to do that though. So many many good people out there. What a place!
                                                      Why I started pre-capping when going to live racing; too much socializing and beautiful women makes it tough to "stay on track".

                                                      Been 2 years since I've been to HAW, always my favorite in town track.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Itsamazing777
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-14-12
                                                        • 12602

                                                        #62
                                                        Thanks for the invite Boa12
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BOA12
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 02-19-12
                                                          • 20622

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by Itsamazing777
                                                          Thanks for the invite Boa12
                                                          777 you and I will always be OK unless you choose otherwise.

                                                          Plus you do requests, I know you're a good guy.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BOA12
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 02-19-12
                                                            • 20622

                                                            #64
                                                            Hey Goat clear out some PM's can't send you any secret messages.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • trytrytry
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-13-06
                                                              • 23649

                                                              #65
                                                              thanks for the invite..GL all! SBR lives on
                                                              DAL 2.60
                                                              TEN 1.17
                                                              BUF 2.40
                                                              CHARG 1.65
                                                              ATL 2.55
                                                              KC 4.75
                                                              Comment
                                                              • lesterdymond
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 07-25-11
                                                                • 2356

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                                Good Luck. "What are we gonna do about this Lester Dymond thing?"
                                                                Can you feel me at the pit of your stomach ?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BOA12
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 02-19-12
                                                                  • 20622

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by lesterdymond
                                                                  Can you feel me at the pit of your stomach ?
                                                                  Yeah, what can anybody do about The lesterdymond thing?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • batt33
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 12-23-16
                                                                    • 5963

                                                                    #68
                                                                    ugh ... okay here weee go!
                                                                    Tampa Bay 1.57
                                                                    Dolphins 2.15
                                                                    Raiders 1.29
                                                                    Browns 1.59
                                                                    Bills 2.40
                                                                    Cowboys 2.60

                                                                    Good Luck all! and thanks again Chucky and B!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DonnieBrasco23
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-06-23
                                                                      • 1136

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Since I’m having a good year and I believe in good karma, I’ll match MJsaux13 $200, but I will challenge him to upgrade his amount and add a zero to his donation at $2,000 total so 2,200 from us. I will not participate in this contest I just wanna see posters have a chance to win money to help keep things more interesting over here. Call this my "tithe" to the Gambling Gods to keep them happy.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • DonnieBrasco23
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 11-06-23
                                                                        • 1136

                                                                        #70
                                                                        It's been over 24 hours and not a peep out of any of you to set up the money for this contest, very strange.

                                                                        Last edited by DonnieBrasco23; 08-28-24, 02:58 PM.
                                                                        Comment
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