Entered a 50k NFL Survivor Pool ($1000 buy-in)

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Doug tushyterror
    SBR MVP
    • 07-03-12
    • 4172

    #1
    Entered a 50k NFL Survivor Pool ($1000 buy-in)
    So far only 13 entries including myself so if it stays under 25 this seems like solid value. Rn I'd have a 1 in 13 chance of winning risking 1k to win 50k. You could see there's not much value in entering the other 50k & 100k pools based on all the entries. 1k buy-in should really limit that. Going Ravens this wk coming off that loss to KC with an extra 3 days rest.

    * I'd gladly take any & all suggestions since you could only take a team once & never again so there are probably better options than the Ravens based on upcoming schedule & match-ups.



    Rules & Regulations:



    Other Pools:

  • 2Sweeet
    SBR MVP
    • 08-31-22
    • 1120

    #2
    there will be way more by cut off time. Good Luck.
    Comment
    • Doug tushyterror
      SBR MVP
      • 07-03-12
      • 4172

      #3
      Originally posted by 2Sweeet
      there will be way more by cut off time. Good Luck.
      Thanks bro. Can't imagine it being that much more based on the buy-in & most bettors aren't concerned with Pools.1st time entering one, so you could be right.
      Comment
      • Madison
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-16-11
        • 6357

        #4
        Bal has too much FV, although I may use them on one of my 10 remaining entries. There is a huge difference depending on the size of the pool (I'm in much larger). I could talk survivor for hours. Been doing it for 15+ years. Best bet for your $$ as 50% plus of local pools are mom's and pop's and dead $$. With that being said, the cheap tools available today take a huge edge away that was there 10 years ago.

        BOL!
        Comment
        • Doug tushyterror
          SBR MVP
          • 07-03-12
          • 4172

          #5
          Originally posted by Madison
          Bal has too much FV, although I may use them on one of my 10 remaining entries. There is a huge difference depending on the size of the pool (I'm in much larger). I could talk survivor for hours. Been doing it for 15+ years. Best bet for your $$ as 50% plus of local pools are mom's and pop's and dead $$. With that being said, the cheap tools available today take a huge edge away that was there 10 years ago.

          BOL!
          Appreciate it!
          Not sure what FV means though.
          Comment
          • Optional
            Administrator
            • 06-10-10
            • 60655

            #6
            I think FV = Future Value


            This sounds too good to be true if it ends up anywhere near that much overlay.
            .
            Comment
            • Doug tushyterror
              SBR MVP
              • 07-03-12
              • 4172

              #7
              Originally posted by Optional
              I think FV = Future Value


              This sounds too good to be true if it ends up anywhere near that much overlay.
              Figured it was something with Variance
              Only 2 more entries since yesterday which isn't bad considering how many more in the $10 & $100 ones.
              *hopefully it stays under 25 & they close it off after wk 2 cuz it wouldn't be fair to those who made picks the first 2 wks.
              2nd Chance Survivor Pool is 1 thing, but 3rd chance is nothing but a money grab


              Comment
              • 94dc4
                SBR High Roller
                • 08-01-19
                • 176

                #8
                I'd love to be in on this! Damn Idaho doesnt allow dfk etc.

                You can only pick one team a week and never pick them again? Ravens this week seems like a low return for them if you cant pick them again!

                Colts
                Chargers
                Commanders
                Comment
                • Doug tushyterror
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-03-12
                  • 4172

                  #9
                  Originally posted by 94dc4
                  I'd love to be in on this! Damn Idaho doesnt allow dfk etc.

                  You can only pick one team a week and never pick them again? Ravens this week seems like a low return for them if you cant pick them again!

                  Colts
                  Chargers
                  Commanders
                  1 & done. I'd rather start off with as close to a sure thing as possible but it is tempting to fade GB with Love out.
                  Comment
                  • 94dc4
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 08-01-19
                    • 176

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
                    1 & done. I'd rather start off with as close to a sure thing as possible but it is tempting to fade GB with Love out.
                    In this particular setting of never getting to use a team again, I'd hate to get later into the season and not be able to use the Ravens! And then double that getting what I think is great value with the Colts right now and Chargers imo. Can you enter twice? I want action!
                    Comment
                    • Doug tushyterror
                      SBR MVP
                      • 07-03-12
                      • 4172

                      #11
                      Originally posted by 94dc4
                      In this particular setting of never getting to use a team again, I'd hate to get later into the season and not be able to use the Ravens! And then double that getting what I think is great value with the Colts right now and Chargers imo. Can you enter twice? I want action!
                      Up to 5 entries per person (right side..max:5)
                      I still have until Sunday 1pm to edit my pick so your 2 choices I'll strongly consider.
                      Comment
                      • ThaWoj
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 03-09-10
                        • 6741

                        #12
                        Just curious, last year I got a free entry to a $100 survivor on DK. Did you get one this year?

                        This year no dice even after asking host twice. And I've gambled way more this year.
                        Comment
                        • trobin31
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-09-14
                          • 9853

                          #13
                          great spot for Ravens and Lamar Jackson definitely not guaranteed a full season
                          Comment
                          • 94dc4
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 08-01-19
                            • 176

                            #14
                            I highly disagree^ There’s a level of strategy to be had here. Picking the biggest favorite of the week right out of the gate certainly can’t be it. Once you use up the ravens, chiefs, bills, fins, etc who do you have left in week 7 and beyond? Coin flips at best.
                            Comment
                            • TheMetsSuck
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-14-12
                              • 6149

                              #15
                              Survive and advance. I was on the saints week 1 and will be on the ravens week 2. If there wasn’t Jamar chase drama I would’ve went down with that ship
                              Comment
                              • Easy-Rider 66
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 02-14-12
                                • 36043

                                #16
                                Originally posted by TheMetsSuck
                                Survive and advance. I was on the saints week 1 and will be on the ravens week 2. If there wasn’t Jamar chase drama I would’ve went down with that ship
                                went down with cincy week 1. in retrospect without Higgins and the Chase drama unfolding I should have jumped ship too.
                                Comment
                                • Doug tushyterror
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 07-03-12
                                  • 4172

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by ThaWoj
                                  Just curious, last year I got a free entry to a $100 survivor on DK. Did you get one this year?

                                  This year no dice even after asking host twice. And I've gambled way more this year.
                                  No free survivor pools but a shitload of random free 5k ones with too many entries to make it worth it. I randomly entered 2 of them for shits & giggles

                                  Comment
                                  • 94dc4
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 08-01-19
                                    • 176

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
                                    Up to 5 entries per person (right side..max:5)
                                    I still have until Sunday 1pm to edit my pick so your 2 choices I'll strongly consider.
                                    Split action on a second entry? Obv im having to trust the right thing will happen if it were a hit, but I’m interested.
                                    Comment
                                    • BT RayRay
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 03-23-18
                                      • 715

                                      #19
                                      I like this thread for survivor tips and advice. I got knocked out of one and Advanced in my other..
                                      Comment
                                      • ByeShea
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 06-30-08
                                        • 8032

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by BT RayRay
                                        I like this thread for survivor tips and advice. I got knocked out of one and Advanced in my other..
                                        I'm in a $100 KO pool w/ 51 entries ... 31 went bye-bye with the Bengals. Love it.
                                        Comment
                                        • Optional
                                          Administrator
                                          • 06-10-10
                                          • 60655

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by 94dc4

                                          Split action on a second entry? Obv im having to trust the right thing will happen if it were a hit, but I’m interested.
                                          We try to discourage posters making money deals on the forum.

                                          You two might be fine but when it becomes a normal thing, it attracts scammers. And us gamblers are kind of prone to "gambling" and get caught out pretty often. When SBR was at it's peak it was taking multiple staff to keep on top of it there was so much attempted fraud going on. That's why it was outlawed in the end.

                                          If you must do this stuff, please stick to PMs so as not to normalize it and encourage the problem again.

                                          (If you do have any problem do not expect SBR to step in or get involved at all and do not pollute the forum with personal stiffing complaint posts)
                                          .
                                          Comment
                                          • 94dc4
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 08-01-19
                                            • 176

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Optional
                                            We try to discourage posters making money deals on the forum.

                                            You two might be fine but when it becomes a normal thing, it attracts scammers. And us gamblers are kind of prone to "gambling" and get caught out pretty often. When SBR was at it's peak it was taking multiple staff to keep on top of it there was so much attempted fraud going on. That's why it was outlawed in the end.

                                            If you must do this stuff, please stick to PMs so as not to normalize it and encourage the problem again.

                                            (If you do have any problem do not expect SBR to step in or get involved at all and do not pollute the forum with personal stiffing complaint posts)
                                            understood!
                                            Comment
                                            • Easy-Rider 66
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 02-14-12
                                              • 36043

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Optional
                                              We try to discourage posters making money deals on the forum.

                                              You two might be fine but when it becomes a normal thing, it attracts scammers. And us gamblers are kind of prone to "gambling" and get caught out pretty often. When SBR was at it's peak it was taking multiple staff to keep on top of it there was so much attempted fraud going on. That's why it was outlawed in the end.

                                              If you must do this stuff, please stick to PMs so as not to normalize it and encourage the problem again.

                                              (If you do have any problem do not expect SBR to step in or get involved at all and do not pollute the forum with personal stiffing complaint posts)
                                              always been that way here at SBR. across the street they have no issues with it and it is rampant especially during football season.
                                              Comment
                                              • Madison
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 09-16-11
                                                • 6357

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by trobin31
                                                great spot for Ravens and Lamar Jackson definitely not guaranteed a full season
                                                This is the pothole of survivor and all football betting. Saving picks for later is great, but value is PERCIEVED at best. The NYJ are another example of when to use given Rodgers health. You better know who the backup QB is.

                                                Spend the $40 on TeamRankings now PoolGenius. Thank me later. The Data Grid is worth $200 by itself. What you'll learn there will be worth thousands. 15/20 years I developed this myself, and very few had this kind of edge.

                                                Also check out the Circa casino contest. That's my dream. I have a few people interested in buying a piece of me. I would need 10K for 10 entries. You have to be in LV to enter, or you need to have a proxy. (there's a whole profit center there by itself)

                                                Thank me later. I was going to say "Send me some points" but we all know what they're worth. LOL

                                                I'm looking at LAC (Again I'm in bigger pools). Remember you can only pick a team once to win but you can bet against a team every week!!!

                                                Also, make sure you read the rules carefully. EX ... Ties winner or loser? Holidays considered extra week by themselves.
                                                Comment
                                                • Doug tushyterror
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 07-03-12
                                                  • 4172

                                                  #25
                                                  Well this sucks. 18 entries when I entered, now up to 84. Prize went up but it seems rather hopeless beating out that many. Sticking with the Ravens for whatever it's worth.

                                                  Comment
                                                  • ARCHIVADO98
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 09-27-20
                                                    • 890

                                                    #26
                                                    Certainly won't win it picking the largest fav (-9) every week

                                                    Or rather you will but you'll split 10 ways. Judging by the fact you're upset (?) with almost a 100 buy ins, you shouldn't mind splitting?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Doug tushyterror
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 07-03-12
                                                      • 4172

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by ARCHIVADO98
                                                      Certainly won't win it picking the largest fav (-9) every week

                                                      Or rather you will but you'll split 10 ways. Judging by the fact you're upset (?) with almost a 100 buy ins, you shouldn't mind splitting?
                                                      Obviously won't be doing that. (If the Jets lose today, I'm 100% picking them next wk [Thurs game] not to fall to 0-3 with NE at home). It means I might be eliminated next wk but that's why I went with the Ravens today. Pretty much a "must-win" based on their schedule regardless of being the "largest fav" today.

                                                      Comment
                                                      • Optional
                                                        Administrator
                                                        • 06-10-10
                                                        • 60655

                                                        #28
                                                        84! Well thats a let down for you.

                                                        The way you roll, will probably get to week 12 and hedge out for 5 figures somehow
                                                        .
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Doug tushyterror
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 07-03-12
                                                          • 4172

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Optional
                                                          84! Well thats a let down for you.

                                                          The way you roll, will probably get to week 12 and hedge out for 5 figures somehow
                                                          Rather lose wk 2 than wk 18. I'd like to say it was fun while it lasted, but it really wasn't.
                                                          Comment
                                                          SBR Contests
                                                          Collapse
                                                          Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                          Collapse
                                                          Working...