My picks for NCAAF, NFL, and NCAAB for the next 150 days...

**usma1992** · 11-27-24, 06:10 PM

I am going to start including my Parlay ML bets also....

All you need to do is add them to a normal bet to get a better payoff.

For example...

If my system likes Auburn Minus the points and Gonzaga plus the points but it has two money line parlay bets... add them to each singular bet.

If my system likes Missouri and App. State Parlay ML... your two bets would be..

Auburn Spread Miss and App ML
Gonzaga Spread Miss and App ML

Hope that makes sense.

Dave
MacktheTeach

**usma1992** · 11-28-24, 07:51 AM

No NBA Games today... Happy Thanksgiving...

NBA gives up Thanksgiving and no teams play. They play on Christmas.

Dave
MacktheTeach

**usma1992** · 11-28-24, 07:57 AM

NCAAB Nov 28 Picks... Two Days until Launch

	NCAAB	2024Nov28			O/U& SPREADS			WAIT UNTIL THANKSGIVING
Time	AWAY TEAM	PROJ AWAY SCORE	HOME TEAM	PROJ HOME SCORE	TOTAL	VEGAS SPREAD	VEGAS O/U	SPREAD BET	O/U BET
2:00 PM	TX-Arlington	64	Rhode Island	82	146	-7.5	160.0	Home Minus 5*
2:30 PM	Indiana	65	Gonzaga	85	150	-9.5	156.5	Home Minus 5*
4:00 PM	Arkansas	67	Illinois	77	144	-2.5	154.5	Home Minus 5*
9:30 PM	UNLV	65	Miss State	83	148	-7.5	146.5	Home Minus 5*

Happy Thanksgiving

Dave
MacktheTeach

**usma1992** · 11-28-24, 08:10 AM

A Trick to using my College BBall System...

Here is what I have done the past few nights. I place my standard bet based on my system picks. Right now, I am only betting $25 a game. Next year, I will be betting $200 a game minimum.

Regardless, look at the teams stats around the 10 minute mark of the first half. This is about half way through the first half.

If you find one of my teams that got out really slow and is shooting poorly and the other team is hot, bet them to come back. This past week, I bet Troy, Maryland, Syracuse, UNC Greensboro... and they all hit. Some of those games weren't even my picks. Find the games where the favorite preferably can't make a shot to save their lives.

Make a live bet on them after about 10 minutes in. My live bets are normally double the original $50.

Of course, you need to be watching the game which a lot of people don't have time to do.

Dave
MacktheTeach

**BCaldwell32** · 11-28-24, 08:26 AM

Do you have your NFL picks done for the week?

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Beat it troll

**redrum448** · 11-28-24, 09:03 AM

Originally posted by BCaldwell32

Do you have your NFL picks done for the week?

Yes please, theres games today!! lol

**usma1992** · 11-28-24, 12:08 PM

NFL Week 13 Picks... I thought I posted them already...

	NFL	2024Week13			O/U& SPREADS			No Bets Until Week 3 or 4
Time	AWAY TEAM	PROJ AWAY SCORE	HOME TEAM	PROJ HOME SCORE	TOTAL	VEGAS SPREAD	VEGAS O/U	SPREAD BET	O/U BET
12:30 PM	CHICAGO	18	DETROIT	31	49	-10	48.5
4:30 PM	NYGIANTS	22	DALLAS	26	48	-4	37.5
8:20 PM	MIAMI	19	GREENBAY	24	43	-3	47
3:00 PM	LASVEGAS	16	KANSASCITY	31	47	-13	42.5
1:00 PM	TENNESSEE	16	WASHINGTON	27	43	-5.5	44.5
1:00 PM	LACHARGERS	24	ATLANTA	25	49	1	48
1:00 PM	PITTSBURGH	22	CINCINNATI	23	45	-2.5	47.5
1:00 PM	INDIANAPOLIS	21	NEWENGLAND	18	39	3	42.5
1:00 PM	HOUSTON	29	JACKSONVILLE	14	43	5	43
1:00 PM	ARIZONA	19	MINNESOTA	24	43	-3.5	45.5
1:00 PM	SEATTLE	23	NYJETS	19	42	2.5	41.5
4:05 PM	TAMPABAY	31	CAROLINA	17	48	6	46.5	Away Minus 5*
4:05 PM	LARAMS	22	NEWORLEANS	24	46	3	48.5
4:25 PM	PHILADELPHIA	28	BALTIMORE	25	53	-3	51
8:20 PM	SANFRANCISCO	20	BUFFALO	26	46	-7	44.5
8:15 PM	CLEVELAND	17	DENVER	24	41	-5.5	42

Dave
MacktheTeach

**usma1992** · 11-28-24, 05:54 PM

College BBall starting to dial in... today...

I lost Rhode Island by 2.5 points.
I won Gonzaga by a truck load.
And I am winning Illinois right this second.

I think it is time to open the coffers... and see what it can do.

Dave
MacktheTeach

**Can U Tank It** · 11-28-24, 06:49 PM

Looking good Dave! By opening the coffers, I suppose you mean you are going to start putting more money on the line. Best of luck and thanks for your hard work.

**usma1992** · 11-28-24, 07:03 PM

YES

**usma1992** · 11-29-24, 05:18 AM

I'm Launching NCAAB Today... I will keep a running total of NCAAB

The last couple of days... I can tell the program is seeing the games well now. I have tightened it up substantially. Next year... I will have a version that offers more bets but this year... I am just trying to pick winners.

NFL has only a bet or so per week.
NBA has one or two bets every other day.
NCAAF about 4-6 bets per week.
NCAAB 3 a day average my guess...

I know that only having a few bets is not sexy... but this is where I am right now. Next year, I will take every program to the next level.

Dave
MacktheTeach

**usma1992** · 11-29-24, 05:21 AM

NCAAB Nov 29 Picks


	NCAAB	2024Nov29			O/U& SPREADS			WAIT UNTIL THANKSGIVING
Time	AWAY TEAM	PROJ AWAY SCORE	HOME TEAM	PROJ HOME SCORE	TOTAL	VEGAS SPREAD	VEGAS O/U	SPREAD BET	O/U BET
1:00 PM	Weber St	73	Bowling Grn	78	151	2	146.0	Home Plus 5*
1:30 PM	Valparaiso	56	DePaul	88	144	-15.5	150.0		Under 5*
2:00 PM	Merrimack	61	Troy	73	134	-11	136.5		Under 5*
9:30 PM	Butler	63	Miss State	79	142	-8	147.0	Home Minus 5*

Dave
MacktheTeach

**daneault23** · 11-29-24, 05:01 PM

Doh, 0-3 so far today. Hoping for a W later to salvage the day. GL the rest of the season.

**BCaldwell32** · 11-29-24, 06:28 PM

Originally posted by daneault23

Doh, 0-3 so far today. Hoping for a W later to salvage the day. GL the rest of the season.

All brutal losses too!!

**usma1992** · 11-29-24, 11:21 PM

Yes... today was rough... 0-4...

I spent the afternoon modelling and looking for trends and mistakes.

I was able to filter out Bowling Green game who fouled in the final 2-3 seconds... but if it is coming down to the last basket I am not doing my job. I was 4-1 the previous couple of days... I am going to stay my course. Easy to lose faith.

Depaul game was an easy filter because there was attributes of that game that pointed to the over. I updated my algorithm.

Merrimack Troy... there is absolutely no way I can model for a team that is 1-6 and shoots 60% from the 3 Pt range. It is like a 50-1 horse coming in.

Anyway... I am committed or should be committed(lol). I am staying the course and have faith... I end up.

Dave
MacktheTeach

**usma1992** · 11-30-24, 10:15 AM

NCAAB Nov 20 Picks

	NCAAB	2024Nov30			O/U& SPREADS			WAIT UNTIL THANKSGIVING
Time	AWAY TEAM	PROJ AWAY SCORE	HOME TEAM	PROJ HOME SCORE	TOTAL	VEGAS SPREAD	VEGAS O/U	SPREAD BET	O/U BET
7:00 PM	Marist	82	Lehigh	68	150	-1	139.5	Away Plus 5*
8:00 PM	Marshall	67	W Kentucky	73	140	-7	153.0		Under 5*

Sorry Nov 30.
Dave
MacktheTeach

**usma1992** · 11-30-24, 10:21 AM

NBA Nov 30 Picks


	NBA	2024Nov30			O/U& SPREADS			No Bets Until 5 Games In
Time	AWAY TEAM	PROJ AWAY SCORE	HOME TEAM	PROJ HOME SCORE	TOTAL	VEGAS SPREAD	VEGAS O/U	SPREAD BET	O/U BET
6:10 PM	ATLANTA	117	CHARLOTTE	114	231	4.5	225.0
7:10 PM	PHILADELPHIA	105	DETROIT	113	218	-2	215.5
8:10 PM	WASHINGTON	103	MILWAUKEE	123	226	-15.5	231.0
9:10 PM	GOLDEN STATE	117	PHOENIX	110	227	-2.5	233.0
9:40 PM	DALLAS	122	UTAH	104	226	6.5	232.5

No Picks but here is the data.

Dave
MacktheTeach

**usma1992** · 11-30-24, 01:24 PM

NCAAF Week 14 Games already posted but here they are again...

	NCAAF	2024Week14			O/U& SPREADS			NO BETS UNTIL WEEK 4
Time	AWAY TEAM	PROJ AWAY SCORE	HOME TEAM	PROJ HOME SCORE	TOTAL	VEGAS SPREAD	VEGAS O/U	SPREAD BET	O/U BET
12:00 PM	North Texas	47	Temple	24	71	10.5	63.5	Away Minus 5*
12:00 PM	Michigan	1	Ohio State	30	31	-20.5	43.5		Under 5*
12:00 PM	West Virginia	33	Texas Tech	43	76	-3.5	64.5	Home Minus 5*
3:30 PM	Fresno State	17	UCLA	18	35	-9.5	46.5		Under 5*

Dave
MacktheTeach

**usma1992** · 12-01-24, 02:11 AM

Dec 1 NBA Games


	NBA	2024Dec1			O/U& SPREADS			No Bets Until 5 Games In
Time	AWAY TEAM	PROJ AWAY SCORE	HOME TEAM	PROJ HOME SCORE	TOTAL	VEGAS SPREAD	VEGAS O/U	SPREAD BET	O/U BET
3:40 PM	ORLANDO	113	BROOKLYN	103	216	8.5	211.0
3:40 PM	INDIANA	109	MEMPHIS	123	232	-8	242.5
6:10 PM	BOSTON	117	CLEVELAND	118	235	1.5	237.0
6:10 PM	MIAMI	114	TORONTO	111	225	4.5	221.5
6:10 PM	NEW ORLEANS	104	NEW YORK	125	229	-12	226.5	Home Minus 5*
7:10 PM	OKLAHOMA CITY	110	HOUSTON	107	217	1.5	220.0
8:10 PM	LA LAKERS	118	UTAH	108	226	7.5	232.0
9:10 PM	DALLAS	119	PORTLAND	104	223	7	228.5
9:10 PM	SAN ANTONIO	108	SACRAMENTO	114	222	-5.5	224.5
10:10 PM	DENVER	112	LA CLIPPERS	112	224	2.5	222.0

Dave
MacktheTeach

**usma1992** · 12-01-24, 02:17 AM

Ironically...

NBA was my worst program last year. I would make money on NCAAB and give it all back on NBA. NFL was a close second. I was close if not profitable on NFL.

So far, NCAAF seems to work. I won 3 blowouts yesterday and lost a close one. NBA has been crushing it since upgrade... and I'm like 11-2 or there abouts. NFL solid too.

The one program which is my crowned jealous has been getting crushed, lol. I am 0-6 since launch. So stay away from that one until I can find my footing.

Dave
MacktheTeach

**usma1992** · 12-01-24, 10:55 AM

Layoff College BBall...

It isn't working... College Football was great yesterday. Won 3 absolute blowouts and lost a close one. NBA seems to be working 11-2 with this iteration.

I will be spending the entire week on College BBall and trying to get it to work. I will post picks... just don't bet on them.

Dave
MacktheTeach

**BCaldwell32** · 12-01-24, 11:38 AM

Originally posted by usma1992

It isn't working... College Football was great yesterday. Won 3 absolute blowouts and lost a close one. NBA seems to be working 11-2 with this iteration.

I will be spending the entire week on College BBall and trying to get it to work. I will post picks... just don't bet on them.

Dave
MacktheTeach

I think you're doing great! No matter how good your model is, there will be swings and variance. I wouldn't get too upset because you lost 6 College BB games in a row, that could happen to the best handicappers in the world. Keep up the great work, buddy!

Rob

**Can U Tank It** · 12-01-24, 11:42 AM

**usma1992** · 12-01-24, 05:09 PM

NCAAB Dec 1 Picks...

I know these are late. I spent 6 plus hours on college basketball this morning. Obviously, going 0-6 is not what I had hoped for to start college season.


	NCAAB	2024Dec1			O/U& SPREADS			WAIT UNTIL THANKSGIVING
Time	AWAY TEAM	PROJ AWAY SCORE	HOME TEAM	PROJ HOME SCORE	TOTAL	VEGAS SPREAD	VEGAS O/U	SPREAD BET	O/U BET
1:00 PM	Norfolk St	84	Stony Brook	65	149	6.5	140.5		Over 5*
2:00 PM	NC-Asheville	84	TN State	78	162	1	153.0		Over 5*
4:00 PM	N Alabama	79	Wofford	80	159	-4.5	145.0		Over 5*
5:00 PM	Texas St	77	TX Southern	71	148	5	139.5		Over 5*

Dave
MacktheTeach

**usma1992** · 12-01-24, 05:16 PM

BCaldwell... I appreciate the encouragement..

A couple of those games didn't go my way which I can handle. However, I was completely off on one or two which means my system isn't seeing it.

When it isn't seeing it... I have to reevaluate. I honestly try not to put my head in the sand. I constantly upgrade and evaluate all the games whether I won or lost.

Dave
MacktheTeach

**usma1992** · 12-02-24, 07:02 PM

NO NBA Tonight... Dec 2

Ironically, this was my worst program last year. I think I am 11-2 with this iteration and it is back tested. College Football performed. NFL... I am up but not by much.

I spent the weekend of college basketball. I did a deep dive and I am ready to try again.

Dave
MacktheTeach

**usma1992** · 12-02-24, 07:57 PM

NCAAB ... launching again... Dec 2 No Bets...

I fixed some minor details. I got 2024 to 50%... still isn't a winning record. 2023 looks great. I will now go back and try to get more bets and wins by analyzing all the data and possibility.

Dave
MacktheTeach

**usma1992** · 12-02-24, 08:10 PM

NCAAF... this coming weekend... no bets but here is the data...


	NCAAF	2024Week15			O/U& SPREADS			NO BETS UNTIL WEEK 4
Time	AWAY TEAM	PROJ AWAY SCORE	HOME TEAM	PROJ HOME SCORE	TOTAL	VEGAS SPREAD	VEGAS O/U	SPREAD BET	O/U BET
8:00 PM	Tulane	22	Army	29	51	6	46.5
8:00 PM	Western Kentucky	25	Jacksonville State	29	54	-4.5	58
8:00 PM	UNLV	27	Boise State	33	60	-4	58.5
12:00 PM	Iowa State	27	Arizona State	24	51	-2	50.5
12:00 PM	Ohio	17	Miami (Ohio)	13	30	-2.5	44.5
4:00 PM	Georgia	19	Texas	30	49	-2.5	49
7:30 PM	Marshall	20	Louisiana-Lafayett	31	51	-5.5	57
8:00 PM	Clemson	31	SMU	30	61	-2.5	56
8:00 PM	Penn State	19	Oregon	22	41	-3.5	49

Dave
MacktheTeach

**usma1992** · 12-02-24, 08:34 PM

NCAAB Dec 3 Picks


	NCAAB	2024Dec3			O/U& SPREADS			WAIT UNTIL THANKSGIVING
Time	AWAY TEAM	PROJ AWAY SCORE	HOME TEAM	PROJ HOME SCORE	TOTAL	VEGAS SPREAD	VEGAS O/U	SPREAD BET	O/U BET
7:00 PM	N Kentucky	71	Akron	89	160	-6.5	145.0		Over 5*
7:00 PM	W Michigan	59	Dayton	82	141	-23	146.5		Under 5*
9:00 PM	Wake Forest	61	Texas A&M	75	136	-11	140.5		Under 5*

Dave
MacktheTeach

**Spite** · 12-02-24, 10:12 PM

Usma1992, do you have any youtube videos or something we can reference in regard to your chart? I would recommend it. If you are not sure where to start I have some tips to make it engaging.

**usma1992** · 12-03-24, 07:28 AM

NBA Dec 3 Picks


	NBA	2024Dec3			O/U& SPREADS			No Bets Until 5 Games In
Time	AWAY TEAM	PROJ AWAY SCORE	HOME TEAM	PROJ HOME SCORE	TOTAL	VEGAS SPREAD	VEGAS O/U	SPREAD BET	O/U BET
7:10 PM	WASHINGTON	103	CLEVELAND	130	233	-16	234.5	Home Minus 5*
7:10 PM	PHILADELPHIA	108	CHARLOTTE	109	217	4.5	209.5
7:10 PM	MILWAUKEE	114	DETROIT	109	223	4	221.0
7:40 PM	INDIANA	115	TORONTO	115	230	3	238.0
7:40 PM	ORLANDO	105	NEW YORK	112	217	-5	216.5
8:10 PM	UTAH	103	OKLAHOMA CITY	124	227	-14	222.5
8:40 PM	MEMPHIS	113	DALLAS	117	230	-4	241.5
9:10 PM	SAN ANTONIO	108	PHOENIX	115	223	-7.5	230.0
10:10 PM	HOUSTON	117	SACRAMENTO	106	223	1.5	225.5	Away Minus 5*
10:10 PM	GOLDEN STATE	117	DENVER	115	232	-4.5	239.0
10:40 PM	PORTLAND	103	LA CLIPPERS	115	218	-8.5	218.0

Dave
MacktheTeach

**usma1992** · 12-03-24, 08:39 PM

Feeling rejuvenated...

Had a solid college football weekend. Even after a rough start to college bball... I think I got a shot.

Looks good tonight anyway. NBA on fire.

NFL is always going to be a coin flip.

Dave
MacktheTeach

**usma1992** · 12-04-24, 05:32 AM

NCAAB 3-0 Last Night... NBA 1-1

But 2 of the wins were blowouts. I made some adjustments but I am going to run with it. NBA is on fire. Sacramento hit 15 straight shots to beat Houston.

If I lose to that... so be it.

And Dayton game both teams shot over 50% and it still fell .5 short.

Texas A&M under was by 30 points and Akron over by 15 or so.

Dave
MacktheTeach

**usma1992** · 12-04-24, 05:33 AM

NCAAB Dec 4 Picks

	NCAAB	2024Dec4			O/U& SPREADS			WAIT UNTIL THANKSGIVING
Time	AWAY TEAM	PROJ AWAY SCORE	HOME TEAM	PROJ HOME SCORE	TOTAL	VEGAS SPREAD	VEGAS O/U	SPREAD BET	O/U BET
6:30 PM	Baylor	74	Connecticut	83	157	-2.5	144.5		Over 5*
8:00 PM	N Arizona	82	Oral Roberts	75	157	-4	146.0	Away Plus 5*
9:00 PM	Wyoming	59	Utah St	82	141	-19	146.5		Under 5*

Dave
MacktheTeach