Dapper Dan Picks - 24/25 Season Long Thread
Dapper Dan Picks:
2023-24 Season: 96-90 (-9.19 units)
Last season was rough with a lot of ups and downs, we did learn a few tricks to improve our handicapping. One thing remains true in sports betting is we’re human - and so are the players - and we are influenced by our emotions and circumstances around us. So we ride the waves, the heaters, the losing streaks - and continue to tread on. Last year, I had my daughter Isabella born and changed my perspective on a lot of things. This year, we have more reasons than ever to focus on what we’ve learned over the last 20 years betting and place better bets and hit at a higher %. Here’s all the years I’ve posted online on forums and now I currently track on Bestamp as well. Good luck to all in the season:
NCAAF Posted Records:
2012: 80-58 (+22.3 units)
2013: 96-97 (+10.62 units)
2014: 66-87 (-27.55 units)
2015: 82-54 (+26.98 units)
2016: 65-67 (-5.37 units)
2017: 74-66 (+1.41 units)
2018: 72-90 (-20.19 units)
2019: 70-68 (+0.87 units)
2020: 70-64 (+1.63 units)
2021: 89-63 (+25.68 units)
2022: 56-62 (-18.86 units)
2023: 96-90 (-9.19 units)
Lifetime Total: 916-866 (+8.33 units) (51.4% win %)
2024-25:
Week 0:
Georgia Tech +10.5 (-108) Risking 1.08 units to win 1 units
We have the more experienced team, GT is ranked 24th on PS’s experience chart and FSU is ranked 73rd in exp returning with only 24% of their total yard production, and 50% of their tackles on defense. I loved watching GT starting QB Haynes King develop over the year and he knows how to run the ball, and when to do it and just enough to get the chains moving. He has an excellent returning offensive line, with losing all but one, and have 128 starts under their belt - last year they ranked 13th in ypa on the ground and 25th in sack % allowed. Their great numbers are a good reflection of their head coach, Brent Key, who took over after Geoff Collins was fired in ‘22 and he had a long history as an offensive line coach, including 3 years under Nick Saban at Alabama. On defense, which needed help, GT brings in new DC Tyler Santucci, who was DC over at Duke last year where they only allowed 19 ppg. Key brought in 9 transfers and 5 starters return and the defense should be in a better position to not get in shootout’s every game like last season. FSU is a completely revamped team losing many to the draft and transfer portal and only 5 returning starters on both sides of the ball. I’ve never been a fan of DJ Ulagalelei, back to his Clemson days he seemed to be slow and clumsy in the pocket and inaccurate under pressure. He always had a great team around him. I think the more experienced team keeps this one close and wouldn’t be surprised if they come out with an upset against their ACC rival to kick off the season in another country. Lowing scoring and maybe sprinkle some on King rushing yards.
2023-24 Season: 96-90 (-9.19 units)
Last season was rough with a lot of ups and downs, we did learn a few tricks to improve our handicapping. One thing remains true in sports betting is we’re human - and so are the players - and we are influenced by our emotions and circumstances around us. So we ride the waves, the heaters, the losing streaks - and continue to tread on. Last year, I had my daughter Isabella born and changed my perspective on a lot of things. This year, we have more reasons than ever to focus on what we’ve learned over the last 20 years betting and place better bets and hit at a higher %. Here’s all the years I’ve posted online on forums and now I currently track on Bestamp as well. Good luck to all in the season:
NCAAF Posted Records:
2012: 80-58 (+22.3 units)
2013: 96-97 (+10.62 units)
2014: 66-87 (-27.55 units)
2015: 82-54 (+26.98 units)
2016: 65-67 (-5.37 units)
2017: 74-66 (+1.41 units)
2018: 72-90 (-20.19 units)
2019: 70-68 (+0.87 units)
2020: 70-64 (+1.63 units)
2021: 89-63 (+25.68 units)
2022: 56-62 (-18.86 units)
2023: 96-90 (-9.19 units)
Lifetime Total: 916-866 (+8.33 units) (51.4% win %)
2024-25:
Week 0:
Georgia Tech +10.5 (-108) Risking 1.08 units to win 1 units
We have the more experienced team, GT is ranked 24th on PS’s experience chart and FSU is ranked 73rd in exp returning with only 24% of their total yard production, and 50% of their tackles on defense. I loved watching GT starting QB Haynes King develop over the year and he knows how to run the ball, and when to do it and just enough to get the chains moving. He has an excellent returning offensive line, with losing all but one, and have 128 starts under their belt - last year they ranked 13th in ypa on the ground and 25th in sack % allowed. Their great numbers are a good reflection of their head coach, Brent Key, who took over after Geoff Collins was fired in ‘22 and he had a long history as an offensive line coach, including 3 years under Nick Saban at Alabama. On defense, which needed help, GT brings in new DC Tyler Santucci, who was DC over at Duke last year where they only allowed 19 ppg. Key brought in 9 transfers and 5 starters return and the defense should be in a better position to not get in shootout’s every game like last season. FSU is a completely revamped team losing many to the draft and transfer portal and only 5 returning starters on both sides of the ball. I’ve never been a fan of DJ Ulagalelei, back to his Clemson days he seemed to be slow and clumsy in the pocket and inaccurate under pressure. He always had a great team around him. I think the more experienced team keeps this one close and wouldn’t be surprised if they come out with an upset against their ACC rival to kick off the season in another country. Lowing scoring and maybe sprinkle some on King rushing yards.