Getch's Tracking and Info Thread

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Nikola Jokic has eclipsed his Assists prop in seven of 10 games – So far this season, Jokic is putting up 11.7 Assists/G. The Pelicans enter this matchups giving up the 7th most Assists/G this season – However, dating back to ‘21, Jokic is under in six of 10 when playing the NOP

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Karl-Anthony Towns has hit his Points prop in four of his previous five games – During this stretch, Towns is logging 32.6 Points/G on 11.8 FGM/G. When up agains the Center position – The Nets are allowing the 5th most Points/G. Towns has scored 26+ Points in back to back matchups vs BKN

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Zach Eddy has given up two or more Turnovers in each of his last five games – While on this streak, Edey is averaging 3.2 Turnovers/G. When it comes to forcing Turnovers, the Warriors are forcing Centers into TOs at the 13th highest rate – Will Edey make it six straight games with 2+ TOs vs GSW?Zach Eddy has given up two or more Turnovers in each of his last five games – While on this streak, Edey is averaging 3.2 Turnovers/G. When it comes to forcing Turnovers, the Warriors are forcing Centers into TOs at the 13th highest rate – Will Edey make it six straight games with 2+ TOs vs GSW?Eddy has given up two or more Turnovers in each of his last five games – While on this streak, Edey is averaging 3.2 Turnovers/G. When it comes to forcing Turnovers, the Warriors are forcing Centers into TOs at the 13th highest rate – Will Edey make it six straight games with 2+ TOs vs GSW

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Yesterday’s Trends in Review:

Jordan Clarkson 14.5 Points – Clarkson came away with 20 Points in UTA’s win over DAL
Luka Doncic 8.5 Assists – Doncic was able to dish out nine Assists
PJ Washington 5.5 Rebounds – Washington did not play
Lauri Markkanen 2.5 3PT Made – Markkanen managed to knock down two of his five 3PTAs
John Collins 1.5 Steals+Blocks – Collins had no Blocks, but came through with two Steals

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Devin Vassell over 20.5 PRA

Breaking down Vassell’s recent performance trends ahead of tonight’s matchup vs. the Lakers. The line is set at 20.5 Pts + Reb + Ast (PRA), so let’s dive in.

Over his last 5 games, Vassell has shown a high level of consistency, clearing this 20.5 PRA line in 4 out of 5 games (80% hit rate). His standout performance came on 3/27/24 against Utah, where he exploded for 41 PRA. That game showcased his potential for high-volume scoring and active contributions on the boards and assists.

Even in his more moderate games, he remains a solid bet: he notched 24 PRA vs. UTA on 11/09 and 22 PRA against WAS on 11/13. His only recent miss was against SAC, where he logged 18 PRA—still close to the mark, but just short.

Zooming out to the larger sample, Vassell holds a 67% hit rate on this PRA line for the season, averaging 21.3 PRA overall. Even better, his head-to-head record vs. the Lakers shines with a 78% hit rate and a 25.1 PRA average. Notably, the Lakers rank 22nd in the league at defending SGs, a green light for prop bettors looking at his upside tonight.

What to take away? Vassell’s 27.4 PRA average over his last 5 games is comfortably above the 20.5 line, and the matchup factors align favorably. Despite one recent dip, the numbers and trends point to value on the OVER

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Jordan Poole Over 21.5 Points -115 DK.

It’s lookin like a Poole Party today given the matchup he has vs ATL, already cleared this line twice vs the Hawks this szn with 24 and 26. Cleared this line in 6/8 games when playing 25+ mins averaging 24.8 points this szn. ATL are allowing the 2nd most points to point guards so far, great matchup for Poole to get the job done a 3rd time.

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Draymond Green o19.5pra

Dray is OVER this line in 7 OF THE LAST 8 meetings against the Grizzlies He has played 27+minutes in 8 of the last 9 games, and when he plays 27+minutes he is OVER this mark in 5/L7 games this season and has averaged 23PRA in that span

On those 27+minutes Dray has also seen 11.7pAST and 12.7 rebound chances

The Grizzlies have allowed the MOST points, 9TH MOST rebounds and 5TH MOST assist to the PF spot and multiple PF’s have seen 20+PRA against them all ready

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Gradey Dick over 19.5 PTS (-110 BetMGM
Dick has only gone over this in 50% of games this year, however with Barnes and Quickley out for this game, Dick sees an increased usage (pause). In games without Quickley and Barnes, Gradey has gone over this line in 5 of 6 games. He is averaging 33.7 minutes and 18.3 FGA in those games. He has shot the ball at least 17 times in 5 out of those 6 games, and really the only miss he had was because he only played 23 minutes against Sacramento and managed 10 FGA and 7 PTS. That USG will not fly tonight, as the Raptors are going to look to be competitive in the NBA cup, and will have to rely on Gradey for scoring. In games where he played 30 or more minutes and had 15 or more FGA, he went over this line in 5 of 5 games. That usage is what I am expecting out of Gradey tonight

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Julius Randle PTS
20+ (-130)
25+ (255)

Over in L7/8 (30+ MIN)

Amazing matchup for him SAC has nobody to guard him 33,23,27,46 L4 vs SAC

Don’t like old lines of people on new teams but the 33 is this season he took his 2nd most FGA also just 3 FTA could see 5-7 here

1 point spread expecting this to stay close & Randle get 30+ mins

Could see Edwards getting trapped a lot which will give Randle tons of 1on1 opportunities

Keeping this simple this is a low line for Randle when he gets his minutes regardless of matchup & he gets a perfect matchup for him in SAC who loves playing “small” they have no real power forward Keegan/Demar are 3’s not 4’s especially compared to Randle

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The Atlanta Hawks are 11-1 O/U this season and 13-1 O/U their last 14 games. The only under was a 10 point home dog versus the Celtics

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NBA Over & Under ClubHere are the players with the best hit rates on these lines in their last 10 games. These are not projections.For example, an 80% Hit Rate means they have hit this line in 8/10 games.

Green = Over
Red = Undeer

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𝐌𝐲𝐥𝐞𝐬 𝐓𝐮𝐫𝐧𝐞𝐫 𝐔𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐫 𝟐𝟖.𝟓 𝐏𝐑𝐀: (-𝟏𝟏&#120787 ORL

Turner has gone under this line at a 67% rate this season.

He's been averaging 26.2 per game this season.
Turner went way under this line in his last three games straight against the Magic
He averaged 22.3 PRA per game during that three game stretch against the Magic.
He also has an extremely tough matchup in this game against the Magic.
The Magic have been allowing the 9th least amount of points in the league to opposing centres this season.
The Magic have been allowing the 5th least amount of assists in the league to opposing centres this season


The Magic have been allowing the 9th least amount of points in the league to opposing centres this season.
The Magic have been allowing the 5th least amount of assists in the league to opposing centres this season.

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𝐑𝐮𝐝𝐲 𝐆𝐨𝐛𝐞𝐫𝐭 𝐎𝐯𝐞𝐫 𝟏𝟎.𝟓 𝐑𝐞𝐛𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐝𝐬: (+𝟏𝟎&#120786 𝐯𝐬 SAC

Rudy Gobert has absolutely smashed this line in his last eleven games straight against the Kings.
He averaged 15.2 rebounds per game during that stretch against the Kings.
Rudy Gobert should be playing heavy minutes in this competitive game with the Timberwolves only being one point favourites on the road.
He has a pretty solid matchup in this game against the Kings who have been allowing the 9th most rebounds in the league to opposing centres this season.
We saw Rudy cash this line at a 70% rate last season with an average of 12.4 rebounds per game.

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SOG Consistency Sheet!

These are 5 players who have hit their lines in their last 5 games at an impressive clip

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Sean Monahan o2.5 SOG (-110) at Bet 365
Covered in 6/7 home games this season as well as 73% of games this season. Seems to be meshing super well with the rest of the team and has been great in his new leadership role. Sean has put up 3.6 SOG on 5.0 SA in these 7 home games so far.

PIT is allowing the 2nd MOST SOG and 10th most SA to opposing teams this season, along with the 3rd MOST SA to Forwards. The Penguins biggest weak spot is defending near the net, an area where Monahan excels. Sean has taken 18 shots this season in the “high-danger” zone, putting him in the top 7% of players in the league. With 40% of his shots coming from this zone, I’m very confident in Sean to stay hot.

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Did you know that went the better ranked team in top 25 matchups is a medium favorite, they have absolutely slayed?
The better ranked team in top 25 matchups is 133-88 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5-13.5 points!
This applies to #21 South Carolina vs #23 Missouri today!

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A Bill Krackomberger just released NYG Malik Nabers over 6.5 receptions