Bengals to win the superbowl +15000

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  • Spite
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-28-24
    • 171

    #71
    Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
    I’m not crazy look at bengals and broncos schedule

    cincy would need to win at Steelers week 17 but they could b resting starters by then
    Wait, John you think they are making the playoffs? I wouldn't be surprised one bit if they lose outright tomorrow night to Big Mike and the Cowboys.
    Comment
    • johnnyvegas13
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 05-21-15
      • 27775

      #72
      Originally posted by Spite
      Wait, John you think they are making the playoffs? I wouldn't be surprised one bit if they lose outright tomorrow night to Big Mike and the Cowboys.
      Possible but I doubt it

      cowboys should start Trey lance btw
      Comment
      • asiagambler
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 07-23-17
        • 6831

        #73
        Comment
        • johnnyvegas13
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 05-21-15
          • 27775

          #74
          Laugh now …
          Comment
          • asiagambler
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 07-23-17
            • 6831

            #75
            Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
            Laugh now …
            You double down on this at +30000 ?
            Comment
            • johnnyvegas13
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 05-21-15
              • 27775

              #76
              Originally posted by asiagambler
              You double down on this at +30000 ?
              I should but no just letting the original ride
              Comment
              • stevenash
                Moderator
                • 01-17-11
                • 65145

                #77
                AFC Odds Entering Week 14

                Miami's OT win over the Jets earlier may have been the death blow.

                Bengals need to run the table just to finish 9-8, and the way things stack up now it's going to take 10 wins to make the AFC playoffs, minimum.

                Colts play Denver next week, after that they close the regular season with the 3-10 Titans, the 2-11 Giants, and the 3-10 Jags. That SoS is softer than Granma Plopwell's frozen yogurt.

                8-31 combined record (21% win pct), and you just know all three of those bottom feeders will be tanking down the stretch.

                You're doomed Johnny.


                Team Make Playoffs Miss Playoffs
                Buff N/A N/A
                KC N/A N/A
                Pitt -10000 1800
                Hou -10000 1800
                Balt -6000 1500
                LAC -1800 900
                Den -250 200
                Indy 210 -270
                Mia 425 -600
                Cincy 1300 -3000
                Tenn 5000 N/A
                NYJ 15000 N/A
                Clev 20000 N/A
                Comment
                • asiagambler
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 07-23-17
                  • 6831

                  #78
                  Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                  I should but no just letting the original ride
                  Why not ?

                  How often do you get a chance to hit a +30000 !!
                  Comment
                  • johnnyvegas13
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 05-21-15
                    • 27775

                    #79
                    Broncos beat colts this week then lose out

                    fins lose to Texans Sunday

                    not that crazy
                    Comment
                    • johnnyvegas13
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 05-21-15
                      • 27775

                      #80
                      That’s basically it besides of course the bengals winning out
                      Comment
                      • johnnyvegas13
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 05-21-15
                        • 27775

                        #81
                        The only hitch in the whole thing is chiefs need to lose one and bills win out to keep pressure for the one seed so that chiefs don’t rest week 18 vs broncos

                        ok maybe this is a little crazy …
                        Comment
                        • johnnyvegas13
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 05-21-15
                          • 27775

                          #82
                          Is anyone w me still ???

                          need Texans and broncos to both win as favs tmr
                          Comment
                          • Doug tushyterror
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-03-12
                            • 4172

                            #83
                            Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                            Is anyone w me still ???

                            need Texans and broncos to both win as favs tmr
                            Still marginally with you JV
                            Got CIN ML in that 8 teamer & Colts +10.5 so no issues with DEN winning by less than 11. That Ravens ML (beyond risky at that price) covers the parlay amount

                            Comment
                            • johnnyvegas13
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 05-21-15
                              • 27775

                              #84
                              Getting what I need so far to keep the miracle alive
                              Comment
                              • Doug tushyterror
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-03-12
                                • 4172

                                #85
                                Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                                Getting what I need so far to keep the miracle alive
                                Rooting for ya JV. Parlay lost cuz I was dumb enough to ruin it with a total but at least won 10.5k on CIN /NYJ live down 7-0 each
                                Will be hammering CIN the next few games at least until wk 18 @PIT

                                Comment
                                • johnnyvegas13
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 05-21-15
                                  • 27775

                                  #86
                                  Bengals mathematician odds r 2% of making the playoffs

                                  I think the true odds r much higher tho
                                  Comment
                                  • Doug tushyterror
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-03-12
                                    • 4172

                                    #87
                                    Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                                    Bengals mathematician odds r 2% of making the playoffs

                                    I think the true odds r much higher tho
                                    They should be in the 10%-15% range if CIN gets to 9-8. Your only realistic hope is DEN losing out to finish 9-8 with CIN winning the playoff TB with a win against them. LAC just need to win 1 more game to overtake CIN so that's why it's imperative they beat DEN on TNF. Then CIN beats them next wk & you better pray KC has something to play for in wk 18.

                                    Comment
                                    • johnnyvegas13
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 05-21-15
                                      • 27775

                                      #88
                                      Ya that’s what I been saying all along Doug
                                      Comment
                                      • Doug tushyterror
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-03-12
                                        • 4172

                                        #89
                                        Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                                        Ya that’s what I been saying all along Doug
                                        Rooting for ya JV
                                        If LAC beat DEN on TNF, I'm going at least 10K on CIN vs CLE

                                        Comment
                                        • OldBill
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 11-02-21
                                          • 6398

                                          #90
                                          dude t hey have no de fnse and t hey strte d out 0-3 no tem ever string out 0-5 ever won or got to a sb

                                          ravens also dead meat 0-2 start panters 0-2 strt n then 1 8 first 9 hames

                                          well sory you losing $200
                                          Comment
                                          • johnnyvegas13
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 05-21-15
                                            • 27775

                                            #91
                                            Bill ur post reminds of guys telling me bucs had no chance years ago cus no team had ever won on home field

                                            trends r meant to b broken…
                                            Comment
                                            • DwightShrute
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-17-09
                                              • 102289

                                              #92
                                              Originally posted by OldBill
                                              dude t hey have no de fnse and t hey strte d out 0-3 no tem ever string out 0-5 ever won or got to a sb

                                              ravens also dead meat 0-2 start panters 0-2 strt n then 1 8 first 9 hames

                                              well sory you losing $200
                                              was there a new language invented that only you know about?
                                              Comment
                                              • Eddy Munny
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 08-13-13
                                                • 15739

                                                #93
                                                Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                                                Bill ur post reminds of guys telling me bucs had no chance years ago cus no team had ever won on home field

                                                trends r meant to b broken…
                                                Bill himself used that trend despite the fact that there was already an outlier... another trend he used (that escapes me atm) also had been bucked. For some reason that only Old Bill knows, those don't count. I guess they have to confirm his bias in order to count.
                                                Comment
                                                • Doug tushyterror
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 07-03-12
                                                  • 4172

                                                  #94
                                                  Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                                                  Bill ur post reminds of guys telling me bucs had no chance years ago cus no team had ever won on home field

                                                  trends r meant to b broken…
                                                  Knew I should've taken a shot at 30-1 Yes Playoffs before the DAL game. The fact they're down to 7-1 should tell you their Playoffs implied probability is around 15% instead of the 3% they're talking about.

                                                  Comment
                                                  • Doug tushyterror
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 07-03-12
                                                    • 4172

                                                    #95
                                                    Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
                                                    Knew I should've taken a shot at 30-1 Yes Playoffs before the DAL game. The fact they're down to 7-1 should tell you their Playoffs implied probability is around 15% instead of the 3% they're talking about.

                                                    Only other good bet at + money is Den NO since LAC last 2 games are too EZ to miss the playoffs needing just 1 win

                                                    Comment
                                                    • stevenash
                                                      Moderator
                                                      • 01-17-11
                                                      • 65145

                                                      #96
                                                      Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                                                      Bengals mathematician odds r 2% of making the playoffs

                                                      I think the true odds r much higher tho
                                                      Bengals have a six percent chance to make the playoffs.
                                                      (Implied odds +1550)

                                                      Colts would be a better bet, and I don't endorse either side.
                                                      Colts have a seven percent to make the playoffs (Implied odds +1350)
                                                      The Colts have a softer three game schedule v. Giants, Titans, and Jags, and the Colts own the tiebreaker over the Bengals.
                                                      You can get longer odds on the Colts than the Bengals, but you're not getting value from the books either way.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • johnnyvegas13
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 05-21-15
                                                        • 27775

                                                        #97
                                                        Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
                                                        Knew I should've taken a shot at 30-1 Yes Playoffs before the DAL game. The fact they're down to 7-1 should tell you their Playoffs implied probability is around 15% instead of the 3% they're talking about.

                                                        At this point u would get better than 7-1 by parlaying the games needed every week now
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Doug tushyterror
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 07-03-12
                                                          • 4172

                                                          #98
                                                          Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                                                          At this point u would get better than 7-1 by parlaying the games needed every week now
                                                          Not really cuz you'd still need 5 favorable outcomes. CIN winning out & DEN losing out. Since CIN would have to beat DEN I'm not counting that as a favorable outcome since it's included in DEN winning out.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Doug tushyterror
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 07-03-12
                                                            • 4172

                                                            #99
                                                            Originally posted by stevenash
                                                            Bengals have a six percent chance to make the playoffs.
                                                            (Implied odds +1550)

                                                            Colts would be a better bet, and I don't endorse either side.
                                                            Colts have a seven percent to make the playoffs (Implied odds +1350)
                                                            The Colts have a softer three game schedule v. Giants, Titans, and Jags, and the Colts own the tiebreaker over the Bengals.
                                                            You can get longer odds on the Colts than the Bengals, but you're not getting value from the books either way.
                                                            Not true Nasher since IND already lost the tb to DEN with that loss. Assuming LAC & whoever doesn't win the NFC North are already in, it basically comes down to DEN, CIN & MIA for the final spot despite what this projection Implies.

                                                            Comment
                                                            • Spite
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 11-28-24
                                                              • 171

                                                              #100
                                                              If Joe Burrow was serious about wining he would bic his head and grow a beard.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • stevenash
                                                                Moderator
                                                                • 01-17-11
                                                                • 65145

                                                                #101
                                                                I beg to differ with you Doug, Colts hold the tie breakers.

                                                                Wins tie break over Miami based on head-to-head win percentage. Wins tie break over Cincinnati based on best win percentage in conference games.




                                                                Tm W L T Position Reason
                                                                Kansas City Chiefs (1) 13 1 0 West Champion
                                                                Buffalo Bills (2) 11 3 0 East Champion
                                                                Pittsburgh Steelers (3) 10 4 0 North Champion
                                                                Houston Texans (4) 9 5 0 South Champion
                                                                Baltimore Ravens (5) 9 5 0 Wild Card #1 head-to-head record
                                                                Denver Broncos (6) 9 5 0 Wild Card #2
                                                                Los Angeles Chargers (7) 8 6 0 Wild Card #3
                                                                Indianapolis Colts 6 8 0 head-to-head record
                                                                Miami Dolphins 6 8 0 conference win percentage
                                                                Cincinnati Bengals 6 8 0
                                                                New York Jets 4 10 0
                                                                Cleveland Browns 3 11 0 head-to-head record
                                                                Jacksonville Jaguars 3 11 0 head-to-head record
                                                                Tennessee Titans 3 11 0 head-to-head record
                                                                New England Patriots 3 11 0
                                                                Las Vegas Raiders 2 12 0
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Spite
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 11-28-24
                                                                  • 171

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Nash, my Colts have the worst QB I have watched make 14 starts in the National Football League during my existence on this planet. Give me JamJam over AR. AR is so absolutely horrendous it is unimaginable. He has no touch, everything is a fastball and the few times he has to make throw with air under it he misses by 10 yards look no further than last Sunday against Denver. AR has a wide open guy and clean pocket for a 15 yard completion and 1st down and he air mails it for an INT. He has zero ability to recognize coverage. I understand the logic drafting him but experiment over. If that BUM AR gets my guy Steichen fired I will not be happy.

                                                                  Why TF are we not giving Bean a start? That kid can sling it.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Headsterx
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-03-16
                                                                    • 22381

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Originally posted by stevenash
                                                                    Bengals have a six percent chance to make the playoffs.
                                                                    (Implied odds +1550)

                                                                    Colts would be a better bet, and I don't endorse either side.
                                                                    Colts have a seven percent to make the playoffs (Implied odds +1350)
                                                                    The Colts have a softer three game schedule v. Giants, Titans, and Jags, and the Colts own the tiebreaker over the Bengals.
                                                                    You can get longer odds on the Colts than the Bengals, but you're not getting value from the books either way.
                                                                    6%? So they still have a shot!!! 🤣
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • johnnyvegas13
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 05-21-15
                                                                      • 27775

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Need bolts win tonight

                                                                      to start …
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • stevenash
                                                                        Moderator
                                                                        • 01-17-11
                                                                        • 65145

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Originally posted by Spite
                                                                        Nash, my Colts have the worst QB I have watched make 14 starts in the National Football League during my existence on this planet. Give me JamJam over AR. AR is so absolutely horrendous it is unimaginable. He has no touch, everything is a fastball and the few times he has to make throw with air under it he misses by 10 yards look no further than last Sunday against Denver. AR has a wide open guy and clean pocket for a 15 yard completion and 1st down and he air mails it for an INT. He has zero ability to recognize coverage. I understand the logic drafting him but experiment over. If that BUM AR gets my guy Steichen fired I will not be happy.

                                                                        Why TF are we not giving Bean a start? That kid can sling it.
                                                                        I hear you and feel your pain.
                                                                        I place a premium on loyalty, I respect fans that are loyal to their teams, no matter what.

                                                                        The Colts were set up for life with Andrew Luck.
                                                                        Then Luck went down for good eight years ago the team spiraled down and still haven't recovered.
                                                                        Luck would have kept going right into the Hall.
                                                                        Luck was special, that injury devasted that team.
                                                                        Colts are 50-70 since.

                                                                        Regarding AR I'm disappointed too.
                                                                        I thought he'd be having a much better rookie year.

                                                                        Bo Nix is the real deal though in Denver.
                                                                        Comment
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