(Coll FB) CFP plays and Bowl plays
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#36Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
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#38Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
#39Spite, one other observation. HFA has been big in the first two CFP games. Hoping that trend continues in Columbus.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
#402nd unit on NO DAK ST +2.5 1.95: 1 to win .95
1* OHIO ST -7 1.83: 1 to win .83
...Buckeyes off a no-show vs MICH. Bounceback spot.
...Tenn is a Public Dog. Betting public has a hard time backing the Bucks after bad showing last out.
...Knoxville is not tropical. But SEC teams almost NEVER play in freezing temps. HFA to the Bucks in Columbus OH.
2* Alabama -10.5 1.91: 2 to win 1.82
...See note above about the Mich/Ohio St result. Truly shocking, very improbable upset win.
...Wolverines should be very full of themselves. Number has been ratcheted down way too low.
...Michigan players are telling you that they don't care about this game. Their best players (Graham/WillJohnson/Loveland) all opted out.
...Shell of a roster once you see who MICH is lining up with. As long as Zvada doesn't kick five Field Goals, I feel confident about Alabama winning by margin.Comment -
#41Hey, Tommy. Still more game to play. So, we shall see. Report I heard was that a TON of Vol fans are in the stands.
I do think back to the Cold factor. SEC teams literally NEVER play in the cold temps. They don't even know what Wind Chill is.
Iamaleava is not Hawaiian. But he's Polynesian and grew up in California. QBs of this ilk literally have never practiced in freezing temps. The ball feels different. I think of the Tua games where he just wants the game to be over with.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
#42Hey, Tommy. Still more game to play. So, we shall see. Report I heard was that a TON of Vol fans are in the stands.
I do think back to the Cold factor. SEC teams literally NEVER play in the cold temps. They don't even know what Wind Chill is.
Iamaleava is not Hawaiian. But he's Polynesian and grew up in California. QBs of this ilk literally have never practiced in freezing temps. The ball feels different. I think of the Tua games where he just wants the game to be over with.
haha, yes Tua does have that look in cold weather.Comment -
#43Both plays will be in Action. We'll see if these go to post with BTCL value.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
#442nd unit on NO DAK ST +2.5 1.95: 1 to win .95
1* OHIO ST -7 1.83: 1 to win .83
...Buckeyes off a no-show vs MICH. Bounceback spot.
...Tenn is a Public Dog. Betting public has a hard time backing the Bucks after bad showing last out.
...Knoxville is not tropical. But SEC teams almost NEVER play in freezing temps. HFA to the Bucks in Columbus OH.
2* Alabama -10.5 1.91: 2 to win 1.82
...See note above about the Mich/Ohio St result. Truly shocking, very improbable upset win.
...Wolverines should be very full of themselves. Number has been ratcheted down way too low.
...Michigan players are telling you that they don't care about this game. Their best players (Graham/WillJohnson/Loveland) all opted out.
...Shell of a roster once you see who MICH is lining up with. As long as Zvada doesn't kick five Field Goals, I feel confident about Alabama winning by margin.Comment -
#45
1) I thought SoDakSt was a little overrated this year. The three Dakotas were all pretty even this year. Great game to watch, Bison were hugely motivated as SoDakSt had sort of taken their crown.
2) Wish I would have gone bigger on OhioSt. Herbstreit talked about the team being embarrassed by the showing vs Michigan. The talent showed up, and the Vols melted in the cold.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
#46
1) I really think people are overlooking Boise. It's not just a one-man team.
...Boise knows that defenses have to key on Jeanty. Jeanty being a magnet sets up so many other plays.
...Per usual, this game is on Franklin. Can he handle it? I know that the Boise HC will make adjustments.
2) Ohio St flips to Fav after the blowout win vs Tenn.
...I don't at all think this is a one-sided matchup. It really shapes up as an even matchup.
...I think Oregon's team-speed is a little better. Gabriel will be sharp, and the ideal weather should fit him.
...Can OhioSt pick off Gabriel? I think they need to pick him off at least once. Gabriel is vulnerable IMHO on the long wide throws.
...Oregon was supposed to have a great Off Line. IMHO not as good as advertised. Buckeye front 7 needs to win that matchup.
...My eyes will be on two guys: a) What does Day do in this game? b) Is this OhioSt kicker going to blow it again? I think he sux.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
#47*Game note on LATech/Army:
...I was strongly considering Army. LATech was the add-on team, after Marshall pulled out. I don't regard LATech to be a strong opponent.
...LATech without three Defensive starters. And other guys in the portal.
...My reservation re: Army = two missing starters. Top DT Lewis out, and 1000-yd FB Udoh surprisingly in the portal.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
#482nd unit on NO DAK ST +2.5 1.95: 1 to win .95
1* OHIO ST -7 1.83: 1 to win .83
...Buckeyes off a no-show vs MICH. Bounceback spot.
...Tenn is a Public Dog. Betting public has a hard time backing the Bucks after bad showing last out.
...Knoxville is not tropical. But SEC teams almost NEVER play in freezing temps. HFA to the Bucks in Columbus OH.
2* Alabama -10.5 1.91: 2 to win 1.82
...See note above about the Mich/Ohio St result. Truly shocking, very improbable upset win.
...Wolverines should be very full of themselves. Number has been ratcheted down way too low.
...Michigan players are telling you that they don't care about this game. Their best players (Graham/WillJohnson/Loveland) all opted out.
...Shell of a roster once you see who MICH is lining up with. As long as Zvada doesn't kick five Field Goals, I feel confident about Alabama winning by margin.
...I view the MICH win over OhioSt as an outlier. Wolverine lineup will look like a shell on gameday.
...PS: this is a revenge game. MICH stopped Milroe on the goal-line run last year.
1* Texas (1st half) -7 1.87: 1 to win .87
...ArizSt has killed me. I just see the Big12 as an outsider. Step-up in class.
...Horns have National Championship aspirations. They have horses, and I think they'll have a gameplan for Skattebo.
1* BYU +5.5 1.91: 1 to win .91
...Very strange to see Conference foes in a bowl game. I rate these teams as close to even.
...Playing the time-tested angle of going against the Heisman winner in the bowl game.
...Colorado has the name players, and that ratchets the line up. I honestly can't see the Buffs being too motivated. Hunter and the QB have one foot out the door, looking forward to the combine.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
#49(Week) -2.73/14. Mostly the result of one very bad pick.
Summary:
*Jax St +2.5 was an awful pick. I thought they might close Fav. Late HC change moves the #. Missed 2-pt try, I lose by the hook. I took the only price that loses, all the late #s cover.
*Tulane closes w/ 3 pts of line value. Replacement QB Thompson was awful. Salvaged one unit on FLA.
*NoDakSt plays a great game, wins SU. You have to see the game-winner TD catch that Lance made.
*I won't say that South Dakota was the right side. They wind up two yards short of the cover. -1.00 on the SoDak future as well.
*OhioSt rolls. Vols crumble in the cold.
*Not Dame dominated IND. Hoosiers get two late scores to make it look respectable.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
#50Ending 143.17 Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
#51FCS Championship: 2* NoDakSt +3 1.95: 2 to win 1.90
...Full respect to MontSt. They have answered every challenge.
...I like the Bison as a Dog here. Three players to note:
a) QB Miller is a veteran. He's beaten SoDakSt 2x this year, so he'll be ready.
b) K Crosa has 85% FG accuracy over his career. Will be ready in Texas.
c) WR Lance. Trey's younger brother. Emerging talent, can make the game-changing play.
GL, boys. Enjoy the game.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
#52I don't see how you can bet against Montana St. They've been smoking everybody.Comment -
#53Pretty unique story line on Colo vs BYU:
Colorado secured what it said was record insurance coverage for Shedeur Sanders and Travis Hunter as the star duo opted to play in the Alamo Bowl.
...The school is providing insurance for Sanders and Hunter.
...They will be playing in this game. But I have to wonder about how long they'll play.
...I'm sure they'll want to showcase. But will they play four quarters?
...So much attention on these two players. I have to wonder about the Buff preparation.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
#541* Arkansas St +10 1.91: 1 to win .91
...Bowl Gr TE Fannin is playing. Very good player. But this is a heavy # for a MAC team.
...Ark St roster appears to be mostly in tact. Should be a value-dog.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
#55*Game note on LATech/Army:
...I was strongly considering Army. LATech was the add-on team, after Marshall pulled out. I don't regard LATech to be a strong opponent.
...LATech without three Defensive starters. And other guys in the portal.
...My reservation re: Army = two missing starters. Top DT Lewis out, and 1000-yd FB Udoh surprisingly in the portal.
...I see some reasons to like Army. Best Army team in fifty years.
...Army Off Line just won the coveted Joe Moore Award. Best blocking team in the country.
...I don't see how LATech's preparation will be good. They are a late fill-in for Marshall declining invite.
...One hesitation = LATech playing in home-state. Territorial edge, so no travel issue.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
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#58I am still tempted by Army. Passing for now.
...I see some reasons to like Army. Best Army team in fifty years.
...Army Off Line just won the coveted Joe Moore Award. Best blocking team in the country.
...I don't see how LATech's preparation will be good. They are a late fill-in for Marshall declining invite.
...One hesitation = LATech playing in home-state. Territorial edge, so no travel issue.
...Number dipped. I'm playing it. Army has been relentless in building up an early lead on opponents.
...LATech preparation can't be great. Ton of guys in the tfr-portal. Season was over, and they came back to play against the Option.
...Army FB Udoh out. But I can't see it being that big of a deal. If that means more touches for Daily & Short, that's a good thing.
...Army looked tired vs Navy (after playing a lot of games). Chance to get the sour taste out of their mouth.
...Off Line is Senior-oriented. Along with Daily, chance to cap off a great season before shipping off to deployment.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
#591* Army (full game) -14 1.86: 1 to win .86
...Number has ratcheted down. I believe in this Army team. Chance to win 12th game for first time.
...Army players are saying the right things. Senior-oriented team that is focused on this game.
...LATech changed Off Coord on 12/12. Lot of moving parts. Can't see them being well-prepared.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
#60FCS Championship: 2* NoDakSt +3 1.95: 2 to win 1.90
...Full respect to MontSt. They have answered every challenge.
...I like the Bison as a Dog here. Three players to note:
a) QB Miller is a veteran. He's beaten SoDakSt 2x this year, so he'll be ready.
b) K Crosa has 85% FG accuracy over his career. Will be ready in Texas.
c) WR Lance. Trey's younger brother. Emerging talent, can make the game-changing play.
GL, boys. Enjoy the game.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
#611* IASt +4.5 1.91: 1 to win .91
...Number looks good. Dog should be ready.
...I question the Cane mindset. Thru nine games they were pretty much locked into the CFP.
...Lost two games late in the season. Step-down in class of game.
...Cane defense is vulnerable. And I question how hungry they'll be in an Exhibition game.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
#62Liking Iowa St even more with how poorly the ACC has been this December and you also on it. May add some more.Comment -
#63
But I hear you on the Conferences. I question how much GeoTech and North Carol wanted to be there.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
#64Comment -
#65Ferrin makes a 51-yarder. 10-0.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
#66(Week) +4.41/7
Summary of results:
*North Carol loses SU.
...Maybe a bad pick. This was based on Power Ratings.
...UNC fell into a category of "not wanting to be there." UConn looked much more interested.
*BYU wins going away.
...Thought the # looked too high, based on star-power.
...I think the Insurance angle was good. Sanders & Hunter probably don't play w/o the insurance in place.
...They were mentally gone. It's not the CFP. They already had one eye on the NFL.
*Ark St wins outright. Despite a monster game from Bowl Gr TE Fannin.
*Army gets there on both bets. They cover the 1h as well as the game.
...Have written about Army many times this year. Readers will know how much I like this team.
...Daily closes out a record-book season. Wonder what their 4th-down conversion stats were on the season.
...I hope that Army grants Daily a waiver to defer his service commitment. NFL scouts compare him to Taysum Hill (from the Saints). Hill is faster. But I'd argue that Daily is a more powerful runner. And I think that Daily is also a more accurate passer, when given the chance to throw.
...Fantastic blocking team. Joe Moore Award was well-deserved. I think that LT Finucane could play in the NFL, if given the opportunity.
...LATech was game. But I thought they had too many hurdles to be competitive in this game.
*IowaSt rallies to complete a great win over MiamiFL.
...Canes had defensive issues for much of the season. I loved seeing IASt bleed out the clock on the final drive.
...We caught a huge break when QB Ward opted to not play in the 2h. I wonder if he would have played if he had the same insurance deal that Sanders & Hunter had (to protect against a career-ending injury).
...How much do the bowls suck now? Imagine being a pro scout evaluating Ward. Guy looked really good in the 1h. But he quit on his team @halftime with the game in the balance. Cristobal called Ward the best leader he's ever coached, GMAFB.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
#67Alab has some personnel issues. But MICH is laying down:
DL Kenneth Grant, RB Kalel Mullings,and RB Donovan Edwards have since joined them in opting out.
...This is a joke of a game. We'll see if Milroe is a late-scratch. MICH literally has no interest in this game.
...Virtually all of Michigan's top players are out (except for the kicker). It's now reflected in the line, as MICH is going to be playing a shell roster.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
#68nice results last week Chucky - here we go, next few days will be great - GL!Comment -
#69Nice work in here Chucky ! Lots of action today.
BOL and All the best of health and prosperity in the coming year
CheersComment -
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